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Time-varying Armington elasticity and country-of-origin bias: from the dynamic perspective of the Japanese demand for beef imports

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  • Kawashima, Shigekazu
  • Sari, Deffi Ayu Puspito

Abstract

Elasticities of substitution, often called Armington elasticities, reflect incomplete substitutability because of perceived product characteristics. This study divides the determinants of the Japanese demand for beef imports into two factors: (i) substitution elasticity and (ii) country-of-origin bias, and demonstrate how these measurements are associated with trade policy and food scare events. The Japanese beef industry serves as a case study to evaluate the multifold impact of import liberalisation and a series of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) outbreaks. A time-varying parameter model is used to shed light on the dynamic effects of the import liberalisation and BSE outbreaks on the measurements. The estimation results reveal that the estimated substitutability and country-of-origin bias are very sensitive to the BSE cases, but not to the process of trade liberalisation. The results also confirm that as a result of the BSE outbreaks, the major factor of the Japanese demand for beef imports has changed from relative prices to the country-of-origin effect, thereby emphasising the importance of a traceability system and promotional activities, which would help in the formation of the country-of-origin effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Kawashima, Shigekazu & Sari, Deffi Ayu Puspito, 2010. "Time-varying Armington elasticity and country-of-origin bias: from the dynamic perspective of the Japanese demand for beef imports," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(1), pages 1-15.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aareaj:161994
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.161994
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    Cited by:

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    2. Taha, Fawzi A. & Hahn, William F., 2012. "Modeling South Africa’s Meat Import Demand System," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124582, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Soon, Byung Min & Thompson, Wyatt, 2016. "Estimating Import Demand Functions in Major Beef Importing Countries by Bayesian Hierarchical Linear Model," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235735, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Zhou, Li & Li, Lingzhi & Lei, Lei, 2019. "Avian influenza, non-tariff measures and the poultry exports of China," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(1), January.
    5. Cabrini, Silvina & Olemberg, Demián & Cristeche, Estela & Pace, Ignacio & Amaro, Ignacio Benito, 2024. "Agriculture carbon pricing in EU, carbon leakage and carbon adjustment mechanism impacts in southern cone beef exports," IAAE 2024 Conference, August 2-7, 2024, New Delhi, India 344399, International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE).
    6. Taha, Fawzi A. & Hahn, William F., 2015. "Factors Driving South African Poultry and Meat Imports," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 18(A), pages 1-18, July.
    7. Byung Min Soon & Wyatt Thompson, 2020. "Japanese beef trade impact from BSE using a time‐varying Armington model," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 385-401, June.
    8. Schnettler, Berta & Sánchez, Mercedes & Orellana, Ligia & Sepúlveda, José, 2013. "Country of origin and ethnocentrism: a review from the perspective of food consumption," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 17.
    9. Bajzik, Josef & Havranek, Tomas & Irsova, Zuzana & Schwarz, Jiri, 2020. "Estimating the Armington elasticity: The importance of study design and publication bias," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    10. Uuld, Amar & Magda, Robert, 2021. "Estimation Of Armington Elasticities: Case Of Vegetables In Mongolia," APSTRACT: Applied Studies in Agribusiness and Commerce, AGRIMBA, vol. 15(1-2), June.
    11. Josef Bajzik & Tomas Havranek & Zuzana Irsova & Jiri Schwarz, 2019. "Estimating the Armington Elasticity: The Importance of Data Choice and Publication Bias," Working Papers IES 2019/19, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jul 2019.
    12. Lei, Lei & Zhou, Li, 2017. "Avian influenza, nontariff measures, and the poultry exports in the global value chain," IDE Discussion Papers 640, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    13. Edgardo Ayala & Joana Chapa, 2017. "AH1N1 impact on the Mexican pork meat market," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 32(1), pages 3-25.
    14. Schnettler, Berta & Sánchez, Mercedes & Orellana, Ligia & Sepúlveda, José, 2013. "Country of origin and ethnocentrism: a review from the perspective of food consumption," Economi­a Agraria (Revista Economia Agraria), Agrarian Economist Association (AEA), Chile, vol. 17, pages 1-17, December.
    15. Takahashi, Kohya & Maeda, Koshi, 2018. "Impacts of the TPP Agreement on Beef Demand in Japan: An Analysis by Class," Japanese Journal of Agricultural Economics (formerly Japanese Journal of Rural Economics), Agricultural Economics Society of Japan (AESJ), vol. 20.
    16. Soon, Byung Min & Thompson, Wyatt, 2017. "Testing for Persistent Japanese Beef Trade Impacts from BSE Using a Time-Varying Armington Model," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 259150, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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