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Implications of World Trade Organisation accession for China’s agricultural trade patterns

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  • Carter, Colin A.
  • Li, Xianghong

Abstract

This paper examines the composition of China’s international trade from 1980 to 1997, with a focus on agriculture and a view towards understanding agriculture’s changing trade structure relative to other sectors. We analyse the time series behaviour of individually traded goods at the Standard Industrial Trade Classification three‐digit level, categorised into three groups: agricultural commodities, ‘other’ primary commodities and manufactures. We find that China’s agricultural trade has expanded along comparative advantage lines in only a very modest way, suggesting that World Trade Organization membership will have a large impact on China’s agricultural trade patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • Carter, Colin A. & Li, Xianghong, 2002. "Implications of World Trade Organisation accession for China’s agricultural trade patterns," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 46(2), pages 1-15.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aareaj:118996
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.118996
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gagnon, Joseph E & Rose, Andrew K, 1995. "Dynamic Persistence of Industry Trade Balances: How Pervasive Is the Product Cycle?," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 47(2), pages 229-248, April.
    2. Ianchovichina, Elena, 2001. "Trade Liberalization in China’s Accession to WTO," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 16, pages 421-445.
    3. Carolan, Terrie & Singh, Nirvikar & Talati, Cyrus, 1998. "The composition of U.S.-East Asia trade and changing comparative advantage," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 361-389.
    4. Colby, Hunter & Diao, Xinshen & Tuan, Francis C., 2001. "China's WTO Accession: Conflicts with Domestic Agricultural Policies and Institutions," Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade Policy, Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International Trade, vol. 2(1), pages 1-14.
    5. Kym Anderson (ed.), 2005. "The WTO and Agriculture," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 0, number 3024.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Meilin Ma & Sandro Steinbach & Junqian Wu, 2014. "A Study on Regional Specialization of China’s Agricultural Production: Recent Trends and Drivers," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(2), pages 113-127.
    2. Hübler, Michael, 2010. "Can Carbon Based Tariffs Effectively Reduce Emissions? A Numerical Analysis with Focus on China," Conference papers 331921, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Guzin Erlat & Haluk Erlat, 2012. "Measuring the persistence in trade patterns: the case for Turkey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(14), pages 1339-1348, September.
    4. Erlat, Haluk, 2013. "A Time Series Analysis of Turkish Trade Patterns at the Sector Level," EY International Congress on Economics I (EYC2013), October 24-25, 2013, Ankara, Turkey 300, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association.
    5. Wusheng Yu & Hans G. Jensen, 2010. "China’s Agricultural Policy Transition: Impacts of Recent Reforms and Future Scenarios," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 343-368, June.
    6. Terrie Carolan & Jesse Mora & Nirvikar Singh, 2013. "Trade Dynamics in the East Asian Miracle: A Time Series Analysis of US–East Asia Commodity Trade, 1962–1992," Millennial Asia, , vol. 4(1), pages 87-108, April.
    7. Singh, Nirvikar & Mora, Jesse & Carolan, Terrie, 2012. "Trade Dynamics in the East Asian Miracle: A Time Series Analysis of U.S.-East Asia Commodity Trade, 1962-1992," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt0fm1r83r, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
    8. Taylor, J. Edward & Dyer, George A. & Yunez-Naude, Antonio, 2005. "Disaggregated Rural Economywide Models for Policy Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 33(10), pages 1671-1688, October.
    9. Meilin Ma & Sandro Steinbach & Junqian Wu, 2014. "A Study on Regional Specialization of China`s Agricultural Production: Recent Trends and Drivers," Asian Journal of Agriculture and rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(2), pages 113-127, February.
    10. Yinhua Mai, 2006. "Removing border protection on wheat and rice: effects on rural income and food securities in China," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-160, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    11. Gale, Fred & Hansen, James & Jewison, Michael, 2015. "China’s Growing Demand for Agricultural Imports," Economic Information Bulletin 198800, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

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