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Impacts of Possible Chinese 25% Tariff on U.S. Soybeans and Other Agricultural Commodities

Author

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  • Taheripour, Farzad
  • Tyner, Wallace E.

Abstract

If China imposes a 25% tariff on U.S. agricultural products, after multi-year adjustments, U.S. exports of soybeans to China will drop 69%, costing the United States and China each $2.5 billion annually. With this tariff, Brazil will export 27% more soybeans to China and annually gain $2.1 billion.

Suggested Citation

  • Taheripour, Farzad & Tyner, Wallace E., 2018. "Impacts of Possible Chinese 25% Tariff on U.S. Soybeans and Other Agricultural Commodities," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(2), June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaeach:273330
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.273330
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Morgan, Stephen & Arita, Shawn & Beckman, Jayson & Ahsan, Saquib & Russell, Dylan & Jarrell, Philip & Kenner, Bart, 2022. "The Economic Impacts of Retaliatory Tariffs on U.S. Agriculture," USDA Miscellaneous 316892, United States Department of Agriculture.
    2. Yuan, Hongyi & Liu, Yangxuan Liu, Jing & Liu, Jing & Escalante, Cesar, 2020. "The Impact of Chinese Retaliatory Tariffs on U.S. Cotton Industry," Conference papers 333193, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Blanchard, Emily J. & Bown, Chad P. & Chor, Davin, 2024. "Did Trump’s trade war impact the 2018 election?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    4. Cortney Cowley, 2020. "Reshuffling in Soybean Markets following Chinese Tariffs," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 0(no.1), pages 5-30, June.
    5. Adjemian, Michael K. & Smith, Aaron & He, Wendi, 2021. "Estimating the market effect of a trade war: The case of soybean tariffs," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    6. Eugenio Arima & Paulo Barreto & Farzad Taheripour & Angel Aguiar, 2021. "Dynamic Amazonia: The EU–Mercosur Trade Agreement and Deforestation," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-23, November.
    7. Munisamy Gopinath, 2021. "Does Trade Policy Uncertainty Affect Agriculture?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(2), pages 604-618, June.
    8. Lee, Meongsu & Westhoff, Patrick, 2020. "The U.S.-China Trade war and Impact on Land Returning to Soybean Production from the Conservation Reserve Program," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304518, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Wenting Wang & Longbao Wei, 2021. "Impacts of agricultural price support policy on price variability and welfare: Evidence from China's soybean market," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(1), pages 3-17, January.
    10. Xiang, Hongjin & Kuang, Yanxiang & He, Hongbo & Yao, Shujie, 2022. "Could tariffs reduce overcapacity and environmental pollution? Evidence from China’s adjustment of tariffs on coal," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 129-144.
    11. Arunava Bandyopadhyay & Prabina Rajib, 2023. "The impact of Sino–US trade war on price discovery of soybean: A double‐edged sword?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 858-879, July.
    12. Asci, Serhat & Ramaswamy, Karthik & Devadoss, Stephen & Konduru, Srinivasa P., 2020. "Modern Time Trade Wars: Chinese Retaliatory Tariffs vs California’s Tree Nuts industry," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304532, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Monique Carvalho & André Azevedo & Angélica Massuquetti, 2019. "Emerging Countries and the Effects of the Trade War between US and China," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-21, May.
    14. Minghao Li & Wendong Zhang & Dermot J. Hayes, 2018. "China’s Agricultural Import Potential," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 18-pb23, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    15. Jason H. Grant & Shawn Arita & Charlotte Emlinger & Robert Johansson & Chaoping Xie, 2021. "Agricultural exports and retaliatory trade actions: An empirical assessment of the 2018/2019 trade conflict," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(2), pages 619-640, June.

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