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The Impacts of Variable Renewable Production and Market Coupling on the Convergence of French and German Electricity Prices

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  • Jan Horst Keppler, Sebastien Phan, and Yannick Le Pen

Abstract

This paper estimates the impact of two separate factors on the spread between French and German electricity prices, the amount of production by variable renewables and "market coupling". As renewable electricity production is concentrated during a limited number of hours with favourable meteorological conditions and interconnection capacity between France and Germany is limited, increases in production of wind and solar PV in Germany lead to increasing price spreads between the two countries. Our estimates based on a sample of 24 hourly French and German day-ahead prices from November 2009 to June 2013 confirm that renewable electricity production in Germany has a strongly positive impact on price divergence. On the other hand, market coupling, the establishment of a combined order book on the basis of information of both markets, which was introduced in November 2010, can be shown to have mitigated the observed price divergence. Both results have policy relevant implications for welfare and the optimal provision of interconnection capacity.

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  • Jan Horst Keppler, Sebastien Phan, and Yannick Le Pen, 2016. "The Impacts of Variable Renewable Production and Market Coupling on the Convergence of French and German Electricity Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:ej37-3-keppler
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    3. Brennan, Noreen & van Rensburg, Thomas M., 2020. "Public preferences for wind farms involving electricity trade and citizen engagement in Ireland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    4. Newbery, David & Gissey, Giorgio Castagneto & Guo, Bowei & Dodds, Paul E., 2019. "The private and social value of British electrical interconnectors," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Frondel, Manuel & Kaeding, Matthias & Sommer, Stephan, 2022. "Market premia for renewables in Germany: The effect on electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    6. Rinne, Sonja, 2018. "Radioinactive: Are nuclear power plant outages in France contagious to the German electricity price?," CIW Discussion Papers 3/2018, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
    7. Adeoye, Omotola & Spataru, Catalina, 2020. "Quantifying the integration of renewable energy sources in West Africa's interconnected electricity network," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    8. Jan Horst Keppler & William Meunier, 2018. "Determining Optimal Interconnection Capacity on the Basis of Hourly Demand and Supply Functions of Electricity," The Energy Journal, , vol. 39(3), pages 117-140, May.
    9. Pfeifer, Antun & Krajačić, Goran & Haas, Reinhard & Duić, Neven, 2020. "Consequences of different strategic decisions of market coupled zones on the development of energy systems based on coal and hydropower," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    10. Klaus Gugler & Adhurim Haxhimusa, 2016. "Cross-Border Technology Differences and Trade Barriers: Evidence from German and French Electricity Markets," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp237, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    11. Gugler, Klaus & Haxhimusa, Adhurim, 2016. "Cross-Border Technology Differences and Trade Barriers: Evidence from German and French Electricity Markets," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 237, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    12. Flottmann, Jonty, 2024. "Australian energy policy decisions in the wake of the 2022 energy crisis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 238-248.
    13. Tselika, Kyriaki & Tselika, Maria & Demetriades, Elias, 2024. "Quantifying the short-term asymmetric effects of renewable energy on the electricity merit-order curve," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    14. Luis María Abadie & José Manuel Chamorro, 2024. "On the Dynamics of Spot Power Prices across Western Europe in Pandemic Times," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-24, July.
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    17. Theresa Graefe, 2023. "The effect of the Austrian-German bidding zone split on unplanned cross-border flows," Papers 2303.14182, arXiv.org.
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