David I. Harvey
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions
(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)- Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey, 2010.
"Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 1028-1062.
- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," Economic Research Papers 269744, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P & Harvey, David I, 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 774, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
Mentioned in:
- David Harvey & Paul Newbold, 2000.
"Tests for multiple forecast encompassing,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(5), pages 471-482.
Mentioned in:
- Tests for multiple forecast encompassing (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2000) in ReplicationWiki ()
Working papers
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Taylor, AM Robert, 2021.
"Simple Tests for Stock Return Predictability with Good Size and Power Properties,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
29814, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2021. "Simple tests for stock return predictability with good size and power properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 198-214.
Cited by:
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Structural Break Detection in Quantile Predictive Regression Models with Persistent Covariates," Papers 2302.05193, arXiv.org.
- Tassos Magdalinos & Katerina Petrova, 2022.
"Uniform and Distribution-Free Inference with General Autoregressive Processes,"
Working Papers
1344, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Tassos Magdalinos & Katerina Petrova, 2022. "Uniform and distribution-free inference with general autoregressive processes," Economics Working Papers 1837, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Xiaosai Liao & Xinjue Li & Qingliang Fan, 2024. "Robust Inference for Multiple Predictive Regressions with an Application on Bond Risk Premia," Papers 2401.01064, arXiv.org.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, AM Robert, 2020.
"Real-Time Detection of Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
27775, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2021. "Real‐time detection of regimes of predictability in the US equity premium," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 45-70, January.
Cited by:
- Rossi, Barbara & Odendahl, Florens & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2020. "Comparing Forecast Performance with State Dependence," CEPR Discussion Papers 15217, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021.
"Evaluating Forecast Performance with State Dependence,"
Working Papers
1295, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Odendahl, Florens & Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2023. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Economics Working Papers 1800, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Fan, Rui & Lee, Ji Hyung & Shin, Youngki, 2023.
"Predictive quantile regression with mixed roots and increasing dimensions: The ALQR approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Rui Fan & Ji Hyung Lee & Youngki Shin, 2021. "Predictive Quantile Regression with Mixed Roots and Increasing Dimensions: The ALQR Approach," Papers 2101.11568, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Smith, Simon C., 2021. "International stock return predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Miriam Arden & Tiemen Woutersen, 2021. "A Balanced Portfolio Can Have a Higher Geometric Return Than the Risky Asset," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-5, September.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2018.
"Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility,"
Discussion Papers
18/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2019. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1131-1151, November.
Cited by:
- Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Dettoni, Robinson & Costamagna, Rodrigo & Valenzuela, Mario, 2019. "Rational bubbles in the real housing stock market: Empirical evidence from Santiago de Chile," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 269-281.
- Verena Monschang & Bernd Wilfling, 2019.
"Sup-ADF-style bubble-detection methods under test,"
CQE Working Papers
7819, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Verena Monschang & Bernd Wilfling, 2021. "Sup-ADF-style bubble-detection methods under test," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 145-172, July.
- Monschang, Verena & Wilfling, Bernd, 2019. "Sup-ADF-style bubble detection methods under test," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203568, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Yang Hu, 2023. "A review of Phillips‐type right‐tailed unit root bubble detection tests," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 141-158, February.
- Stefan Richter & Weining Wang & Wei Biao Wu, 2018.
"A supreme test for periodic explosive GARCH,"
Papers
1812.03475, arXiv.org.
- Richter, Stefan & Wang, Weining & Wu, Wei Biao, 2020. "A supreme test for periodic explosive GARCH," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-018, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
- Stefan Richter & Weining Wang & Wei Biao Wu, 2023. "Testing for parameter change epochs in GARCH time series," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 26(3), pages 467-491.
- Vicente Esteve & María A. Prats, 2022. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: The case of the Spanish public debt, 1850?2021," Working Papers 2205, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
- Zhang, Erhua & Wu, Jilin, 2020. "Adaptive estimation of AR∞ models with time-varying variances," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
- Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
- Sam Astill & David I Harvey & Stephen J Leybourne & A M Robert Taylor & Yang Zu, 2023. "CUSUM-Based Monitoring for Explosive Episodes in Financial Data in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 187-227.
- Yiu Lim Lui & Weilin Xiao & Jun Yu, 2021. "Mildly Explosive Autoregression with Anti‐persistent Errors," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 518-539, April.
- Xuanling Yang & Dong Li & Ting Zhang, 2024. "A simple stochastic nonlinear AR model with application to bubble," Papers 2401.07038, arXiv.org.
- Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: The case of Spanish public debt," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: the case of Spanish public debt," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116980, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, AM Robert, 2018.
"Detecting Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
23198, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
Cited by:
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2018. "Real‐Time Monitoring for Explosive Financial Bubbles," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 863-891, November.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017.
"Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples,"
Discussion Papers
17/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2017. "Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 833-847.
Cited by:
- Lin, Yu & Lu, Qin & Tan, Bin & Yu, Yuanyuan, 2022. "Forecasting energy prices using a novel hybrid model with variational mode decomposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
- Rubaszek, Michał & Karolak, Zuzanna & Kwas, Marek, 2020. "Mean-reversion, non-linearities and the dynamics of industrial metal prices. A forecasting perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Arabinda Basistha & Richard Startz, 2023. "Measuring Persistent Global Economic Factors with Output, Commodity Price, and Commodity Currency Data," Working Papers 23-05, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Owyang, Michael, 2020.
"Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data,"
EMF Research Papers
38, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang, 2020. "Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data," Working Papers 2020-028, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised Apr 2022.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael Owyang, 2022. "Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 1314-1333, November.
- Zhou, Jin & Li, Haiqi & Zhong, Wanling, 2021. "A modified Diebold–Mariano test for equal forecast accuracy with clustered dependence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
- Coroneo, Laura & Iacone, Fabrizio & Paccagnini, Alessia & Santos Monteiro, Paulo, 2023.
"Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 606-622.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2021. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," CAMA Working Papers 2021-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2020. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," Discussion Papers 20/10, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone, 2020. "Comparing predictive accuracy in small samples using fixed‐smoothing asymptotics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(4), pages 391-409, June.
- Håvard Hungnes, 2020. "Equal predictability test for multi-step-ahead system forecasts invariant to linear transformations," Discussion Papers 931, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2020.
"Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?,"
EMF Research Papers
33, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2021. "Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1247-1260.
- Timo Dimitriadis & Xiaochun Liu & Julie Schnaitmann, 2020.
"Encompassing Tests for Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Multi-Step Forecasts based on Inference on the Boundary,"
Papers
2009.07341, arXiv.org.
- Dimitriadis, Timo & Liu, Xiaochun & Schnaitmann, Julie, 2020. "Encompassing tests for value at risk and expected shortfall multi-step forecasts based on inference on the boundary," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 11-2020, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
- Rubaszek Michal & Karolak Zuzanna & Kwas Marek & Uddin Gazi Salah, 2020. "The role of the threshold effect for the dynamics of futures and spot prices of energy commodities," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(5), pages 1-20, December.
- Schlösser, Alexander, 2020. "Forecasting industrial production in Germany: The predictive power of leading indicators," Ruhr Economic Papers 838, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2021. "Common factors and the dynamics of industrial metal prices. A forecasting perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Costantini, Mauro & Kunst, Robert M., 2021.
"On using predictive-ability tests in the selection of time-series prediction models: A Monte Carlo evaluation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 445-460.
- Costantini, Mauro & Kunst, Robert M., 2018. "On Using Predictive-ability Tests in the Selection of Time-series Prediction Models: A Monte Carlo Evaluation," Economics Series 341, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Yijie Fei & Daniel Han, 2023. "Forecasting GDP with many predictors in a small open economy: forecast or information pooling?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 805-829, August.
- Qin Lu & Jingwen Liao & Kechi Chen & Yanhui Liang & Yu Lin, 2024. "Predicting Natural Gas Prices Based on a Novel Hybrid Model with Variational Mode Decomposition," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(2), pages 639-678, February.
- Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Yang, Lin, 2020. "Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 684-694.
- Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017.
"A bootstrap stationarity test for predictive regression invalidity,"
Discussion Papers
17/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2019. "A Bootstrap Stationarity Test for Predictive Regression Invalidity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 528-541, July.
- Georgiev, I & Harvey, DI & Leybourne, SJ & Taylor, AMR, 2018. "A Bootstrap Stationarity Test for Predictive Regression Invalidity," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 21006, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
Cited by:
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & Iliyan Georgiev, 2019.
"Inference under random limit bootstrap measures,"
Papers
1911.12779, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & Iliyan Georgiev, 2020. "Inference Under Random Limit Bootstrap Measures," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(6), pages 2547-2574, November.
- Yang, Bingduo & Long, Wei & Yang, Zihui, 2022. "Testing predictability of stock returns under possible bubbles," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 246-260.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M., 2022.
"Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(2), pages 429-460.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Matei Demetrescu, 2016. "Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression," Working Papers w201605, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2023.
"Transformed regression-based long-horizon predictability tests,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo MM & Taylor, AM Robert, 2022. "Transformed Regression-based Long-Horizon Predictability Tests," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 30620, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Georgiev, I & Harvey, DI & Leybourne, SJ & Taylor, AM, 2018.
"Testing for Parameter Instability in Predictive Regression Models,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
21162, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Georgiev, Iliyan & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2018. "Testing for parameter instability in predictive regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 101-118.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Matei Demetrescu, 2019.
"Testing for Episodic Predictability in Stock Returns,"
Working Papers
w201906, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Georgiev, Iliyan & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2022. "Testing for episodic predictability in stock returns," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 85-113.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Georgiev, Iliyan & Rodrigues, Paulo MM & Taylor, AM Robert, 2019. "Testing for Episodic Predictability in Stock Returns," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 24137, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Fukang Zhu & Mengya Liu & Shiqing Ling & Zongwu Cai, 2020. "Testing for Structural Change of Predictive Regression Model to Threshold Predictive Regression Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202021, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2020.
- Xiaohui Liu & Yuzi Liu & Yao Rao & Fucai Lu, 2021. "A Unified test for the Intercept of a Predictive Regression Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 571-588, April.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Predictability Tests Robust against Parameter Instability," Papers 2307.15151, arXiv.org.
- Chrystalleni Aristidou & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2016.
"The impact of the initial condition on covariate augmented unit root tests,"
Discussion Papers
16/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Aristidou Chrystalleni & Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J., 2017. "The Impact of the Initial Condition on Covariate Augmented Unit Root Tests," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
Cited by:
- Chrystalleni Aristidou & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2016.
"The impact of the initial condition on covariate augmented unit root tests,"
Discussion Papers
16/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Aristidou Chrystalleni & Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J., 2017. "The Impact of the Initial Condition on Covariate Augmented Unit Root Tests," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
- Sam Astill & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Robert Taylor, 2016.
"Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series,"
Discussion Papers
16/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017. "Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 651-666, October.
Cited by:
- Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Dettoni, Robinson & Costamagna, Rodrigo & Valenzuela, Mario, 2019. "Rational bubbles in the real housing stock market: Empirical evidence from Santiago de Chile," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 269-281.
- Sinelnikova-Muryleva, Elena & Skrobotov, Anton, 2017. "Testing time series for the bubbles (with application to Russian data)," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 46, pages 90-103.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2018. "Real‐Time Monitoring for Explosive Financial Bubbles," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 863-891, November.
- Escobari, Diego & Garcia, Sergio & Mellado, Cristhian, 2017.
"Identifying bubbles in Latin American equity markets: Phillips-Perron-based tests and linkages,"
Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 90-101.
- Escobari, Diego & Garcia, Sergio & Mellado, Cristhian, 2017. "Identifying Bubbles in Latin American Equity Markets: Phillips-Perron-based Tests and Linkages," MPRA Paper 81453, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Moreira, Afonso M. & Martins, Luis F., 2020. "A new mechanism for anticipating price exuberance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 199-221.
- Astill, Sam & Taylor, A.M. Robert & Kellard, Neil & Korkos, Ioannis, 2023. "Using covariates to improve the efficacy of univariate bubble detection methods," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 342-366.
- Frank J. Fabozzi & Iason Kynigakis & Ekaterini Panopoulou & Radu S. Tunaru, 2020. "Detecting Bubbles in the US and UK Real Estate Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 469-513, May.
- Sam Astill & David I Harvey & Stephen J Leybourne & A M Robert Taylor & Yang Zu, 2023. "CUSUM-Based Monitoring for Explosive Episodes in Financial Data in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 187-227.
- Eiji Kurozumi, 2018. "Confidence Sets for the Date of a Structural Change at the End of a Sample," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 850-862, November.
- KUROZUMI, Eiji & 黒住, 英司, 2017. "Confidence Sets for the Date of a Mean Shift at the End of a Sample," Discussion Papers 2017-06, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
- Christopher Lynch & Benjamin Mestel, 2019. "Change-Point Analysis Of Asset Price Bubbles With Power-Law Hazard Function," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(07), pages 1-24, November.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014.
"Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown,"
Discussion Papers
14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
Cited by:
- KUROZUMI, Eiji & 黒住, 英司 & SKROBOTOV, Anton, 2016.
"Confidence Sets for the Break Date in Cointegrating Regressions,"
Discussion Papers
2016-07, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
- Eiji Kurozumi & Anton Skrobotov, 2018. "Confidence Sets for the Break Date in Cointegrating Regressions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(3), pages 514-535, June.
- Skrobotov Anton & Eiji Kurozumi, 2016. "Confidence Sets for the Break Date in Cointegrating Regressions," Working Papers wpaper-2016-268, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2016. "Improving the length of confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 239-245.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Yicong Lin & Mingxuan Song, 2023. "Robust bootstrap inference for linear time-varying coefficient models: Some Monte Carlo evidence," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2013.
"Break date estimation for models with deterministic structural change,"
Discussion Papers
13/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2014. "Break Date Estimation for Models with Deterministic Structural Change," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 623-642, October.
Cited by:
- Anton Skrobotov, 2016.
"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
0097, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2018. "On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015.
"Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2012.
"Bias Correction of KPSS Test with Structural Break for Reducing of Size Distortion,"
Working Papers
0043, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2013. "Bias Correction of KPSS Test with Structural Break for Reducing of Size Distortion," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 33-61, December.
- Ioanna Konstantakopoulou, 2017. "The aggregate exports-GDP relation under the prism of infrequent trend breaks and multi-horizon causality," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 661-689, October.
- Yiannis Karavias & Elias Tzavalis, 2014. "Testing for unit roots in panels with structural changes, spatial and temporal dependence when the time dimension is finite," Discussion Papers 14/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2016. "Improving the length of confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 239-245.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Yicong Lin & Mingxuan Song, 2023. "Robust bootstrap inference for linear time-varying coefficient models: Some Monte Carlo evidence," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- David Harvey & Neil Kellard & Jakob Madsen & Mark Wohar, 2012.
"Trends and Cycles in Real Commodity Prices: 1650-2010,"
CEH Discussion Papers
010, Centre for Economic History, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2015.
"Trends and cycles in historical gold and silver prices,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 98-109.
- Luis A. Gil-Alana & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Trends and Cycles in Historical Gold and Silver Prices," Working Papers 201507, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Trends and Cycles in Historical Gold and Silver Prices," NCID Working Papers 05/2016, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
- Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2017. "Does investor attention matter? The attention-return relation in gold futures market," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-37, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Awaworyi-Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2022. "Breaks, trends and correlations in commodity prices in the very long-run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2015.
"Trends and cycles in historical gold and silver prices,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 98-109.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series,"
Discussion Papers
11/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 342-358, August.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Discussion Papers 10/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
Cited by:
- Matteo Mogliani, 2010.
"Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple deterministic structural breaks: A Monte Carlo study,"
PSE Working Papers
halshs-00564897, HAL.
- Matteo Mogliani, 2010. "Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple deterministic structural breaks: A Monte Carlo study," Working Papers halshs-00564897, HAL.
- Ghoshray Atanu & Kejriwal Mohitosh & Wohar Mark, 2014. "Breaks, trends and unit roots in commodity prices: a robust investigation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 23-40, February.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Pierre Perron, 2009.
"A Sequential Procedure to Determine the Number of Breaks in Trend with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component,"
Purdue University Economics Working Papers
1217, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Pierre Perron, 2009. "A Sequential Procedure to Determine the Number of Breaks in Trend with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2009-005, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Pierre Perron, 2010. "A sequential procedure to determine the number of breaks in trend with an integrated or stationary noise component," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 305-328, September.
- Josep Lluís Carrion-I-Silvestre & María Dolores Gadea, 2016. "Bounds, Breaks and Unit Root Tests," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 165-181, March.
- Claudio Morana, 2014. "Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Heteroskedastic Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks," Working Papers 273, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised May 2014.
- Mar'ia Jos'e Presno & Manuel Landajo & Paula Fern'andez Gonz'alez, 2024. "Stochastic convergence in per capita CO$_2$ emissions. An approach from nonlinear stationarity analysis," Papers 2402.00567, arXiv.org.
- Fabien Candau & Michaël Goujon & Jean-François Hoarau & Serge Rey, 2013.
"Real exchange rate and competitiveness of an EU’s ultra-peripheral region: La Reunion Island,"
Working papers of CATT
hal-01847942, HAL.
- Fabien Candau & Michaël Goujon & Jean-François Hoarau & Serge Rey, 2014. "Real exchange rate and competitiveness of an EU's ultra-peripheral region: La Reunion Island," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 137, pages 1-21.
- Fabien Candau & Michaël Goujon & Jean-François Hoarau & Serge Rey, 2013. "Real exchange rate and competitiveness of an EU’s ultra-peripheral region: La Reunion Island," Working Papers hal-01847942, HAL.
- Fabien Candau & Michaël Goujon & Jean-François Hoarau & Serge Rey, 2013. "Real exchange rate and competitiveness of an EU's ultra-peripheral region: La Reunion Island," Post-Print halshs-00933602, HAL.
- Chambers, Marcus J. & Ercolani, Joanne S. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2014.
"Testing for seasonal unit roots by frequency domain regression,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 243-258.
- Marcus J. Chambers & Joanne S. Ercolani & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Testing for seasonal unit roots by frequency domain regression," Discussion Papers 10/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015.
"Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2014. "A simple modification of the Busetti-Harvey stationarity tests with structural breaks at unknown time," Working Papers 0102, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2014.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Nuno Sobreira, 2013.
"Characterizing economic growth paths based on new structural change tests,"
Working Papers
w201313, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Nuno Sobreira & Luis C. Nunes & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2014. "Characterizing Economic Growth Paths Based On New Structural Change Tests," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 845-861, April.
- Presno, María José & Landajo, Manuel & Fernández González, Paula, 2018. "Stochastic convergence in per capita CO2 emissions. An approach from nonlinear stationarity analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 563-581.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2013.
"Unit Roots, Level Shifts, and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 892-927, November.
- Kejriwal , M. & Lopez, C., 2011. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Working papers 334, Banque de France.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in PerCapita Output: A Robust Evaluation," University of Cincinnati, Economics Working Papers Series 2010-02, University of Cincinnati, Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2009. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1227, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Kejriwal, Mohitosh & Lopez, Claude, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," MPRA Paper 25204, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jean-François Hoarau, 2019.
"How resilient is La Réunion in terms of international tourism attractiveness: an assessment from unit root tests with structural breaks from 1981-2015,"
Post-Print
hal-02053296, HAL.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jean-François Hoarau, 2018. "How resilient is La Réunion interms of international tourism attractiveness: an assessment from unit root tests with structural breaks from1981-2015," Working Papers hal-01943891, HAL.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jean-François Hoarau, 2019. "How resilient is La Réunion in terms of international tourism attractiveness: an assessment from unit root tests with structural breaks from 1981-2015," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(24), pages 2639-2653, May.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2013.
"Break date estimation for models with deterministic structural change,"
Discussion Papers
13/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2014. "Break Date Estimation for Models with Deterministic Structural Change," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 623-642, October.
- Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre & María Dolores Gadea, 2021.
""Detecting multiple level shifts in bounded time series","
IREA Working Papers
202115, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2021.
- Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre & María Dolores Gadea, 2021. "“Detecting multiple level shifts in bounded time series”," AQR Working Papers 202106, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jul 2021.
- Zerbo, Eléazar & Darné, Olivier, 2019. "On the stationarity of CO2 emissions in OECD and BRICS countries: A sequential testing approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 319-332.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Manuel Landajo & Mar'ia Jos'e Presno, 2024. "The prices of renewable commodities: A robust stationarity analysis," Papers 2402.01005, arXiv.org.
- Presno, María José & Landajo, Manuel & Fernández, Paula, 2012. "Non-renewable resource prices. A robust evaluation from the stationarity perspective," MPRA Paper 42523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Manuel Landajo & María José Presno, 2022. "The prices of renewable commodities: a robust stationarity analysis," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(2), pages 447-470, April.
- Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre & Maria Dolores Gadea, 2015. "Testing for multiple level shifts in I(0) and I(1) stochastic processes," EcoMod2015 8702, EcoMod.
- Ghoshray, A., 2018. "The Dynamic Properties of Natural Resource Prices," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277210, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Ghoshray, Atanu & Kejriwal, Mohitosh & Wohar, Mark E., 2011. "Breaking Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: A Further Investigation," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 120387, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Presno, María José & Landajo, Manuel & Fernández, Paula, 2014. "Non-renewable resource prices: A robust evaluation from the stationarity perspective," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 394-416.
- Josep Lluís Carrion‐i‐Silvestre & María Dolores Gadea, 2023. "Testing for multiple level shifts with an integrated or stationary noise component," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 801-819, September.
- Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2013. "Recursive adjustment, unit root tests and structural breaks," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 62-82, January.
- Sobreira, Nuno & Nunesz, Luis C. & Rodriguesz, Paulo M. M., 2012. "Neoclassical, semi-endogenous or endogenous growth theory? Evidence based on new structural change tests," Insper Working Papers wpe_291, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
- Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2020. "Stationarity properties of per capita CO2 emissions in the OECD in the very long-run: A replication and extension analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Atanu Ghoshray & Issam Malki & Javier Ordóñez, 2022. "On the long-run dynamics of income and wealth inequality," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 375-408, February.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Unit root testing under a local break in trend,"
Discussion Papers
11/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 140-167.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 10/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
Cited by:
- Anton Skrobotov, 2013. "Local Structural Trend Break in Stationarity Testing," Working Papers 0074, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2016.
"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
0097, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2018. "On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Marilena Furno, 2021. "Cointegration tests at the quantiles," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1087-1100, January.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2014. "A simple modification of the Busetti-Harvey stationarity tests with structural breaks at unknown time," Working Papers 0102, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2014.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2013. "Testing for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey–Fuller statistics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 265-284.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- David Harris & Hsein Kew & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2020.
"Level Shift Estimation in the Presence of Non-stationary Volatility with an Application to the Unit Root Testing Problem,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
8/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Harris, David & Kew, Hsein & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2020. "Level shift estimation in the presence of non-stationary volatility with an application to the unit root testing problem," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 354-388.
- Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015. "Testing for Unit Roots Under Multiple Possible Trend Breaks and Non-Stationary Volatility Using Bootstrap Minimum Dickey–Fuller Statistics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 603-629, September.
- Meligkotsidou, Loukia & Tzavalis, Elias & Vrontos, Ioannis, 2017. "On Bayesian analysis and unit root testing for autoregressive models in the presence of multiple structural breaks," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 4(C), pages 70-90.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009.
"The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend,"
Discussion Papers
09/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 292-302, July.
Cited by:
- Anton Skrobotov, 2016.
"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
0097, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2018. "On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Elliott, Graham, 2020.
"Testing for a trend with persistent errors,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
qt8qb0j5s7, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Elliott, Graham, 2020. "Testing for a trend with persistent errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 314-328.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2015.
"Trend and Initial Condition in Stationarity Tests: The Asymptotic Analysis,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(2), pages 254-273, April.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2012. "Trend and initial condition in stationarity tests: the asymptotic analysis," Working Papers 0048, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Terence Mills, 2013. "Breaks and unit roots in global and hemispheric temperatures: an updated analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 745-755, June.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009.
"Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series [Revised to become No. 10/01 above],"
Discussion Papers
09/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
Cited by:
- Matteo Mogliani, 2010.
"Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple deterministic structural breaks: A Monte Carlo study,"
PSE Working Papers
halshs-00564897, HAL.
- Matteo Mogliani, 2010. "Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple deterministic structural breaks: A Monte Carlo study," Working Papers halshs-00564897, HAL.
- Matteo Mogliani, 2010.
"Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple deterministic structural breaks: A Monte Carlo study,"
PSE Working Papers
halshs-00564897, HAL.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2008.
"Testing for Unit Roots in the Presence of a Possible Break in Trend and Non-Stationary Volatility,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-62, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2011. "Testing For Unit Roots In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend And Nonstationary Volatility," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(5), pages 957-991, October.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of a possible break in trend and non-stationary volatility," Discussion Papers 09/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
Cited by:
- Terence C. Mills, 2013. "Trends, cycles and structural breaks," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 3, pages 45-60, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Balcombe, Kelvin & Fraser, Iain, 2017. "Do bubbles have an explosive signature in markov switching models?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 81-100.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2016.
"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
0097, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2018. "On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Francesca Iorio & Stefano Fachin, 2014.
"Savings and investments in the OECD: a panel cointegration study with a new bootstrap test,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1271-1300, June.
- Francesca Di Iorio & Stefano Fachin, 2012. "Savings and Investments in the OECD: a panel cointegration study with a new bootstrap test," DSS Empirical Economics and Econometrics Working Papers Series 2012/2, Centre for Empirical Economics and Econometrics, Department of Statistics, "Sapienza" University of Rome.
- Vitaly Pershin & Juan Carlos Molero & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2015.
"Exploring the oil prices and exchange rates nexus in some African economies,"
Faculty Working Papers
01/15, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Pershin, Vitaly & Molero, Juan Carlos & de Gracia, Fernando Perez, 2016. "Exploring the oil prices and exchange rates nexus in some African economies," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 166-180.
- Sebastian Fossati, 2013.
"Unit root testing with stationary covariates and a structural break in the trend function,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 368-384, May.
- Fossati, Sebastian, 2011. "Unit Root Testing with Stationary Covariates and a Structural Break in the Trend Function," Working Papers 2011-10, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009.
"Unit Root Testing In Practice: Dealing With Uncertainty Over The Trend And Initial Condition,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 587-636, June.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Unit root testing in practice: dealing with uncertainty over the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 07/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2013.
"Unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks,"
Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 4, pages 61-94,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2012. "Unit roots, nonlinearities and structural breaks," CREATES Research Papers 2012-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Russo, Emanuele & Foster-McGregor, Neil & Verspagen, Bart, 2019.
"Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in long run time series,"
MERIT Working Papers
2019-026, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
- Emanuele Russo & Neil Foster-McGregor & Bart Verpagen, 2019. "Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in long run time series," LEM Papers Series 2019/29, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Apergis, Nicholas & Bowden, Nicholas & Payne, James E., 2015. "Downstream integration of natural gas prices across U.S. states: Evidence from deregulation regime shifts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 82-92.
- Lajos Horváth & Piotr Kokoszka & Jeremy VanderDoes & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Inference in functional factor models with applications to yield curves," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(6), pages 872-894, November.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2013.
"Unit Roots, Level Shifts, and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 892-927, November.
- Kejriwal , M. & Lopez, C., 2011. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Working papers 334, Banque de France.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in PerCapita Output: A Robust Evaluation," University of Cincinnati, Economics Working Papers Series 2010-02, University of Cincinnati, Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2009. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1227, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Kejriwal, Mohitosh & Lopez, Claude, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," MPRA Paper 25204, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Addison, Tony & Ghoshray, Atanu, 2023.
"Discerning trends in international metal prices in the presence of nonstationary volatility,"
Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Tony Addison & Atanu Ghoshray, 2020. "Discerning trends in international metal prices in the presence of non-stationary volatility," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-104, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
- Sven Otto, 2020. "Unit Root Testing with Slowly Varying Trends," Papers 2003.04066, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Harris, David & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2016.
"Tests of the co-integration rank in VAR models in the presence of a possible break in trend at an unknown point,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 451-467.
- Harris, D & Leybourne, SJ & Taylor, AMR, 2016. "Tests of the Co-integration Rank in VAR Models in the Presence of a Possible Break in Trend at an Unknown Point," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 15847, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Górecki, Tomasz & Horváth, Lajos & Kokoszka, Piotr, 2018. "Change point detection in heteroscedastic time series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 7(C), pages 63-88.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- David Harris & Hsein Kew & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2020.
"Level Shift Estimation in the Presence of Non-stationary Volatility with an Application to the Unit Root Testing Problem,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
8/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Harris, David & Kew, Hsein & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2020. "Level shift estimation in the presence of non-stationary volatility with an application to the unit root testing problem," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 354-388.
- Husein, Jamal, 2020. "Current account sustainability for 21 African economies: Evidence based on nonlinear flexible Fourier stationarity and unit-root tests," MPRA Paper 100410, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dervis Kirikkaleli & Hasan Güngör, 2021. "Co-movement of commodity price indexes and energy price index: a wavelet coherence approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.
- Börger, Matthias & Schupp, Johannes, 2018. "Modeling trend processes in parametric mortality models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 369-380.
- David I. Harvey, & Stephen J. Leybourne, & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Testing for a unit root when uncertain about the trend [Revised to become 07/03 above]," Discussion Papers 06/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Sun, Jingwei & Shi, Wendong, 2015. "Breaks, trends, and unit roots in spot prices for crude oil and petroleum products," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 169-177.
- Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2013. "Recursive adjustment, unit root tests and structural breaks," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 62-82, January.
- Emanuele Russo & Neil Foster-McGregor, 2022. "Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in countries’ long run trajectories," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 713-756, April.
- Terence Mills, 2013. "Breaks and unit roots in global and hemispheric temperatures: an updated analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 745-755, June.
- Aquino, Juan, 2019. "The Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Phillips Curve: Specification, Structural Breaks and Robustness," Working Papers 2019-019, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Sven Otto, 2021. "Unit root testing with slowly varying trends," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(1), pages 85-106, January.
- Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015. "Testing for Unit Roots Under Multiple Possible Trend Breaks and Non-Stationary Volatility Using Bootstrap Minimum Dickey–Fuller Statistics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 603-629, September.
- Wang, Shaoping & Li, Yanglin & Wen, Kuangyu, 2021. "Recursive adjusted unit root tests under non-stationary volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008.
"Seasonal unit root tests and the role of initial conditions,"
Discussion Papers
08/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Seasonal unit root tests and the role of initial conditions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(3), pages 409-442, November.
Cited by:
- Anton Skrobotov, 2013. "On GLS-detrending for deterministic seasonality testing," Working Papers 0073, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2014.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008.
"Testing for unit roots and the impact of quadratic trends, with an application to relative primary commodity prices,"
Discussion Papers
08/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Testing for Unit Roots and the Impact of Quadratic Trends, with an Application to Relative Primary Commodity Prices," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 514-547, October.
Cited by:
- Georgios Bertsatos & Plutarchos Sakellaris & Mike G. Tsionas, 2022. "Extensions of the Pesaran, Shin and Smith (2001) bounds testing procedure," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 605-634, February.
- Marcos Sanso-Navarro, 2011.
"Broken trend stationarity of hours worked,"
Post-Print
hal-00712742, HAL.
- Marcos Sanso-Navarro, 2012. "Broken trend stationarity of hours worked," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(30), pages 3955-3964, October.
- Winkelried, Diego, 2015.
"Unit Roots, Flexible Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis,"
Working Papers
2015-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
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- Winkelried, Diego, 2021.
"Unit roots in real primary commodity prices? A meta-analysis of the Grilli and Yang data set,"
Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
- Winkelried, Diego, 2017. "Unit roots in real primary commodity prices? A meta-analysis of the Grilli and Yang data set," Working Papers 2017-013, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Ligang Liu & Andrew Tsang, 2008. "Pass‐through Effects of Global Commodity Prices on China's Inflation: An Empirical Investigation," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 16(6), pages 22-34, November.
- Yiannis Karavias & Elias Tzavalis, 2014. "Testing for unit roots in panels with structural changes, spatial and temporal dependence when the time dimension is finite," Discussion Papers 14/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Manuel Landajo & Mar'ia Jos'e Presno, 2024. "The prices of renewable commodities: A robust stationarity analysis," Papers 2402.01005, arXiv.org.
- Presno, María José & Landajo, Manuel & Fernández, Paula, 2012. "Non-renewable resource prices. A robust evaluation from the stationarity perspective," MPRA Paper 42523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Manuel Landajo & María José Presno, 2022. "The prices of renewable commodities: a robust stationarity analysis," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(2), pages 447-470, April.
- Westerlund, Joakim, 2013. "Simple unit root testing in generally trending data with an application to precious metal prices in Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 12-27.
- Yamada, Hiroshi & Yoon, Gawon, 2014. "When Grilli and Yang meet Prebisch and Singer: Piecewise linear trends in primary commodity prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 193-207.
- Manuel Landajo & María José Presno & Paula Fernández González, 2021. "Stationarity in the Prices of Energy Commodities. A Nonparametric Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-16, June.
- Presno, María José & Landajo, Manuel & Fernández, Paula, 2014. "Non-renewable resource prices: A robust evaluation from the stationarity perspective," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 394-416.
- Lan Cheng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2017.
"Combination of “combinations of p values”,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 329-350, August.
- Xuguang Sheng & Lan Cheng, 2012. "Combination of "Combinations of P-values," Working Papers 2012-11, American University, Department of Economics.
- Gonçalves, Thallis Macedo de Assis & Cerqueira, Luiz Fernando & Feijó, Carmem Aparecida, 2023. "Pass-through of exchange rate shocks in Brazil as a small open economy," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
- Westerlund, Joakim, 2015. "The effect of recursive detrending on panel unit root tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 453-467.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008.
"Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition,"
Discussion Papers
08/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 188-195.
Cited by:
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017.
"Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity,"
Discussion Papers
17/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J. & Whitehouse Emily J., 2018. "Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-29, February.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2016.
"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
0097, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2018. "On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Milda Norkute, 2015. "Can the sectoral New Keynesian Phillips curve explain inflation dynamics in the Euro Area?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1191-1216, December.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012.
"Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 188-195.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 08/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Stephan Smeekes, 2013.
"Detrending Bootstrap Unit Root Tests,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 869-891, November.
- Smeekes, S., 2009. "Detrending bootstrap unit root tests," Research Memorandum 056, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Saeid Mahdavi & Joakim Westerlund, 2017. "Are state–local government expenditures converging? New evidence based on sequential unit root tests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 373-403, September.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2013.
"Unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks,"
Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 4, pages 61-94,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2012. "Unit roots, nonlinearities and structural breaks," CREATES Research Papers 2012-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Smeekes, Stephan & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012.
"Bootstrap Union Tests For Unit Roots In The Presence Of Nonstationary Volatility,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(2), pages 422-456, April.
- Stephan Smeekes & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Bootstrap union tests for unit roots in the presence of nonstationary volatility," Discussion Papers 10/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Smeekes, S. & Taylor, A.M.R., 2010. "Bootstrap union tests for unit roots in the presence of nonstationary volatility," Research Memorandum 015, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Ghoshray, Atanu, 2021. "Are coffee farmers worse off in the long run?," 95th Annual Conference, March 29-30, 2021, Warwick, UK (Hybrid) 311084, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
- Marques, André M. & Lima, Gilberto Tadeu, 2022. "Testing for Granger causality in quantiles between the wage share in income and productive capacity utilization," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 290-312.
- Sandberg, Rickard, 2016. "Trends, unit roots, structural changes, and time-varying asymmetries in U.S. macroeconomic data: the Stock and Watson data re-examined," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 699-713.
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"Discerning trends in international metal prices in the presence of nonstationary volatility,"
Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Tony Addison & Atanu Ghoshray, 2020. "Discerning trends in international metal prices in the presence of non-stationary volatility," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-104, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
- Andre M. Marques & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2021. "Testing for Granger Causality in Quantiles Between the Wage Share and Capacity Utilization," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2021_03, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & Dimitris N. Politis & Anders Rahbek & Stephan Smeekes, 2015. "Recent developments in bootstrap methods for dependent data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 398-415, May.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2015.
"Trend and Initial Condition in Stationarity Tests: The Asymptotic Analysis,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(2), pages 254-273, April.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2012. "Trend and initial condition in stationarity tests: the asymptotic analysis," Working Papers 0048, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Ghoshray, Atanu, 2022. "Trends and persistence of farm-gate coffee prices around the world," 96th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2022, K U Leuven, Belgium 321166, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
- Smeekes, S., 2011. "Bootstrap sequential tests to determine the stationary units in a panel," Research Memorandum 003, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Xu, Deyi & Sheraz, Muhammad & Hassan, Arshad & Sinha, Avik & Ullah, Saif, 2022. "Financial development, renewable energy and CO2 emission in G7 countries: New evidence from non-linear and asymmetric analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Jeremy Nguyen & Jen-je Su, 2015. "Combining linear and nonlinear unit root tests with an application to PPP," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(4), pages 2796-2801.
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- David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Nikoloas D. Sakkas, 2008.
"Local asymptotic power of the Im-Pesaran-Shin panel unit root test and the impact of initial observations,"
Discussion Papers
08/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sakkas, Nikolaos D., 2010. "Local Asymptotic Power Of The Im-Pesaran-Shin Panel Unit Root Test And The Impact Of Initial Observations," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 311-324, February.
Cited by:
- Becheri, I.G. & Drost, Feike C. & van den Akker, R., 2013. "Asymptotically UMP Panel Unit Root Tests," Discussion Paper 2013-017, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Becheri, I.G. & Drost, Feike C. & van den Akker, R., 2013. "Asymptotically UMP Panel Unit Root Tests," Other publications TiSEM e34b7d23-8e53-4cea-ba69-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Pedroni, Peter L. & Vogelsang, Timothy J. & Wagner, Martin & Westerlund, Joakim, 2015.
"Nonparametric rank tests for non-stationary panels,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 378-391.
- Pedroni, Peter & Vogelsang, Timothy J. & Wagner, Martin & Westerlund, Joakim, 2011. "Nonparametric Rank Tests for Non-stationary Panels," Economics Series 270, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Kajal Lahiri & Zhongwen Liang & Huaming Peng, 2017. "The Local Power of the IPS Test with Both Initial Conditions and Incidental Trends," CESifo Working Paper Series 6313, CESifo.
- Yiannis Karavias & Elias Tzavalis, 2013.
"The power performance of fixed-T panel unit root tests allowing for structural breaks,"
Discussion Papers
13/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Karavias, Yiannis & Tzavalis, Elias, 2013. "The Power Performance of Fixed-T Panel Unit Root Tests allowing for Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 46012, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Valerija Botric, 2013. "Output Convergence between Western Balkans and EU-15," Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology, vol. 5(1).
- M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith & Takashi Yamagata, 2008.
"Panel Unit Root Tests in the Presence of a Multifactor Error Structure,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
2193, CESifo.
- Pesaran, M.H. & Smit, L.V. & Yamagata, T., 2007. "Panel Unit Root Tests in the Presence of a Multifactor Error Structure," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0775, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Pesaran, M. Hashem & Vanessa Smith, L. & Yamagata, Takashi, 2013. "Panel unit root tests in the presence of a multifactor error structure," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(2), pages 94-115.
- Pesaran, M. Hashem & Smith, L. Vanessa & Yamagata, Takashi, 2007. "Panel Unit Root Tests in the Presence of a Multifactor Error Structure," IZA Discussion Papers 3254, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith & Takashi Yamagata, 2008. "Panel Unit Root Tests in the Presence of a Multifactor Error Structure," Discussion Papers 08/03, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Chingnun Lee & Jyh-Lin Wu & Lixiong Yang, 2016. "A Simple Panel Unit-Root Test with Smooth Breaks in the Presence of a Multifactor Error Structure," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(3), pages 365-393, June.
- Yiannis Karavias & Elias Tzavalis, 2012. "The local power of fixed-T panel unit root tests allowing for serially correlated errors," Discussion Papers 12/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Stauskas, Ovidijus, 2019. "On the Limit Theory of Mixed to Unity VARs: Panel Setting With Weakly Dependent Errors," Working Papers 2019:2, Lund University, Department of Economics.
- Yiannis Karavias & Elias Tzavalis, 2016. "Local Power of Fixed-T Panel Unit Root Tests With Serially Correlated Errors and Incidental Trends," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 222-239, March.
- Joakim Westerlund & Jörg Breitung, 2013. "Lessons from a Decade of IPS and LLC," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(5-6), pages 547-591, August.
- Westerlund, Joakim, 2015. "The power of PANIC," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 495-509.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон) & Turuntseva, Marina (Турунцева, Марина), 2017. "Testing the Hypothesis of a Unit Root for Independent Panels [Тестирование Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня Для Независимых Панелей]," Working Papers 021707, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Westerlund, Joakim & Larsson, Rolf, 2012.
"Testing for a unit root in a random coefficient panel data model,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 254-273.
- Westerlund, Joakim & Larsson, Rolf, 2009. "Testing for a Unit Root in a Random Coefficient Panel Data Model," Working Papers in Economics 383, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
- David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007.
"Testing for a unit root in the presence of a possible break in trend,"
Discussion Papers
07/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Testing For A Unit Root In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(6), pages 1545-1588, December.
Cited by:
- Terence C. Mills, 2013. "Trends, cycles and structural breaks," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 3, pages 45-60, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2013. "Local Structural Trend Break in Stationarity Testing," Working Papers 0074, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Balcombe, Kelvin & Fraser, Iain, 2017. "Do bubbles have an explosive signature in markov switching models?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 81-100.
- Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2011.
"Oil prices, exchange rates and emerging stock markets,"
MPRA Paper
30140, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Syed Abul Basher & Alfred Haug & Perry Sadorsky, 2010. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Emerging Stock Markets," Working Papers 1014, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2010.
- Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2012. "Oil prices, exchange rates and emerging stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 227-240.
- Ghoshray Atanu & Kejriwal Mohitosh & Wohar Mark, 2014. "Breaks, trends and unit roots in commodity prices: a robust investigation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 23-40, February.
- Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2011.
"Testing For Unit Roots In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend And Nonstationary Volatility,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(5), pages 957-991, October.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for Unit Roots in the Presence of a Possible Break in Trend and Non-Stationary Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-62, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of a possible break in trend and non-stationary volatility," Discussion Papers 09/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Francesca Iorio & Stefano Fachin, 2014.
"Savings and investments in the OECD: a panel cointegration study with a new bootstrap test,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1271-1300, June.
- Francesca Di Iorio & Stefano Fachin, 2012. "Savings and Investments in the OECD: a panel cointegration study with a new bootstrap test," DSS Empirical Economics and Econometrics Working Papers Series 2012/2, Centre for Empirical Economics and Econometrics, Department of Statistics, "Sapienza" University of Rome.
- Vitaly Pershin & Juan Carlos Molero & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2015.
"Exploring the oil prices and exchange rates nexus in some African economies,"
Faculty Working Papers
01/15, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Pershin, Vitaly & Molero, Juan Carlos & de Gracia, Fernando Perez, 2016. "Exploring the oil prices and exchange rates nexus in some African economies," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 166-180.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010.
"Unit root testing under a local break in trend,"
Discussion Papers
10/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 140-167.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 11/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Sebastian Fossati, 2013.
"Unit root testing with stationary covariates and a structural break in the trend function,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 368-384, May.
- Fossati, Sebastian, 2011. "Unit Root Testing with Stationary Covariates and a Structural Break in the Trend Function," Working Papers 2011-10, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009.
"Unit Root Testing In Practice: Dealing With Uncertainty Over The Trend And Initial Condition,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 587-636, June.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Unit root testing in practice: dealing with uncertainty over the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 07/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2013.
"Unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks,"
Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 4, pages 61-94,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2012. "Unit roots, nonlinearities and structural breaks," CREATES Research Papers 2012-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2013. "Testing for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey–Fuller statistics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 265-284.
- Russo, Emanuele & Foster-McGregor, Neil & Verspagen, Bart, 2019.
"Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in long run time series,"
MERIT Working Papers
2019-026, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
- Emanuele Russo & Neil Foster-McGregor & Bart Verpagen, 2019. "Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in long run time series," LEM Papers Series 2019/29, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre & Dukpa Kim & Pierre Perron, 2007. "GLS-based unit root tests with multiple structural breaks both under the null and the alternative hypotheses," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2008-019, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Apergis, Nicholas & Bowden, Nicholas & Payne, James E., 2015. "Downstream integration of natural gas prices across U.S. states: Evidence from deregulation regime shifts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 82-92.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Nuno Sobreira, 2013.
"Characterizing economic growth paths based on new structural change tests,"
Working Papers
w201313, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Nuno Sobreira & Luis C. Nunes & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2014. "Characterizing Economic Growth Paths Based On New Structural Change Tests," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 845-861, April.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2014. "Unit Root Testing under a Local Break in Trend using Partial Information on the Break Date," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(1), pages 93-111, February.
- Richard S. J. Tol & Francisco Estrada & Carlos Gay-García, 2012. "The persistence of shocks in GDP and the estimation of the potential economic costs of climate change," Working Paper Series 4312, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2013.
"Unit Roots, Level Shifts, and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 892-927, November.
- Kejriwal , M. & Lopez, C., 2011. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Working papers 334, Banque de France.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in PerCapita Output: A Robust Evaluation," University of Cincinnati, Economics Working Papers Series 2010-02, University of Cincinnati, Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2009. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1227, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Kejriwal, Mohitosh & Lopez, Claude, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," MPRA Paper 25204, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Colin O’hare & Youwei Li, 2017.
"Modelling mortality: are we heading in the right direction?,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(2), pages 170-187, January.
- O'Hare, Colin & Li, Youwei, 2016. "Modelling mortality: Are we heading in the right direction?," MPRA Paper 71392, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2013.
"Break date estimation for models with deterministic structural change,"
Discussion Papers
13/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2014. "Break Date Estimation for Models with Deterministic Structural Change," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 623-642, October.
- Harris, David & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2016.
"Tests of the co-integration rank in VAR models in the presence of a possible break in trend at an unknown point,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 451-467.
- Harris, D & Leybourne, SJ & Taylor, AMR, 2016. "Tests of the Co-integration Rank in VAR Models in the Presence of a Possible Break in Trend at an Unknown Point," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 15847, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- David Harris & Hsein Kew & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2020.
"Level Shift Estimation in the Presence of Non-stationary Volatility with an Application to the Unit Root Testing Problem,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
8/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Harris, David & Kew, Hsein & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2020. "Level shift estimation in the presence of non-stationary volatility with an application to the unit root testing problem," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 354-388.
- Husein, Jamal, 2020. "Current account sustainability for 21 African economies: Evidence based on nonlinear flexible Fourier stationarity and unit-root tests," MPRA Paper 100410, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ghoshray, Atanu & Kejriwal, Mohitosh & Wohar, Mark E., 2011. "Breaking Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: A Further Investigation," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 120387, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Börger, Matthias & Schupp, Johannes, 2018. "Modeling trend processes in parametric mortality models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 369-380.
- David I. Harvey, & Stephen J. Leybourne, & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Testing for a unit root when uncertain about the trend [Revised to become 07/03 above]," Discussion Papers 06/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2014. "A joint test for structural stability and a unit root in autoregressions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 577-587.
- Sun, Jingwei & Shi, Wendong, 2015. "Breaks, trends, and unit roots in spot prices for crude oil and petroleum products," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 169-177.
- Sobreira, Nuno & Nunesz, Luis C. & Rodriguesz, Paulo M. M., 2012. "Neoclassical, semi-endogenous or endogenous growth theory? Evidence based on new structural change tests," Insper Working Papers wpe_291, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
- Emanuele Russo & Neil Foster-McGregor, 2022. "Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in countries’ long run trajectories," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 713-756, April.
- Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2011. "Joint Detection of Structural Change and Nonstationarity in Autoregressions," MPRA Paper 29189, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Terence Mills, 2013. "Breaks and unit roots in global and hemispheric temperatures: an updated analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 745-755, June.
- Atanu Ghoshray & Ashira Perera, 2016. "An Empirical Study of Commodity Prices after Sir Arthur Lewis," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 84(4), pages 551-571, July.
- O'Hare, Colin & Li, Youwei, 2014. "Identifying structural breaks in stochastic mortality models," MPRA Paper 62994, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015. "Testing for Unit Roots Under Multiple Possible Trend Breaks and Non-Stationary Volatility Using Bootstrap Minimum Dickey–Fuller Statistics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 603-629, September.
- Wang, Shaoping & Li, Yanglin & Wen, Kuangyu, 2021. "Recursive adjusted unit root tests under non-stationary volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Bin Xiao, 2007.
"A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown,"
Discussion Papers
07/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Xiao Bin, 2008. "A Powerful Test for Linearity When the Order of Integration is Unknown," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(3), pages 1-24, September.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Bin Xiao, 2007. "A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 07/06, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
Cited by:
- Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2019. "Sustainable economic development in China: Modelling the role of hydroelectricity consumption in a multivariate framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 516-531.
- Burak GÜRIŞ & İpek M. YURTTAGÜLER & Muhammed TIRAŞOĞLU, 2017. "Unemployment convergence analysis for Nordic countries: Evidence from linear and nonlinear unit root tests," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 45-56, Spring.
- Juan Carlos Cuestas & Paulo José Regis, 2010.
"Purchasing power parity in OECD countries: nonlinear unit root tests revisited,"
NBS Discussion Papers in Economics
2010/3, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
- Cuestas, Juan Carlos & Regis, Paulo José, 2013. "Purchasing power parity in OECD countries: Nonlinear unit root tests revisited," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 343-346.
- Wahab, Bashir A. & Adewuyi, Adeolu O., 2021. "Analysis of major properties of metal prices using new methods: Structural breaks, non-linearity, stationarity and bubbles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Yavuz, Nilgün Çil & Yilanci, Veli, 2012. "Testing For Nonlinearity In G7 Macroeconomic Time Series," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 69-79, September.
- Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2016. "Are fluctuations in oil consumption permanent or transitory? Evidence from linear and nonlinear unit root tests," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 262-270.
- Burak Güriş & Burcu Yavuz Tiftikçigil & Muhammed Tıraşoğlu, 2017. "Testing for unemployment hysteresis in Turkey: evidence from nonlinear unit root tests," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(1), pages 35-46, January.
- Juan Carlos Cuestas & Dean Garratt, 2008.
"Is real GDP per capita a stationary process? Smooth transitions, nonlinear trends and unit root testing,"
NBS Discussion Papers in Economics
2008/12, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
- Juan Cuestas & Dean Garratt, 2011. "Is real GDP per capita a stationary process? Smooth transitions, nonlinear trends and unit root testing," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 555-563, December.
- Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2016. "Renewable-to-total electricity consumption ratio: Estimating the permanent or transitory fluctuations based on flexible Fourier stationarity and unit root tests," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 1409-1427.
- Feyyaz Zeren & Filiz Konuk, 2013. "Testing The Random Walk Hypothesis For Emerging Markets: Evidence From Linear And Non-Linear Unit Root Tests," Romanian Economic Business Review, Romanian-American University, vol. 8(4), pages 61-71, december.
- neifar, malika, 2020. "Efficiency-Market Hypothesis: case of Tunisian and 6 Asian stock markets ," MPRA Paper 103232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mücahit Aydın, 2019. "Investigation of the Validity of Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis with Fourier Unit Root Tests: The Case of Turkey," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 30(0), pages 35-48, June.
- Malika Neifar & Leila Gharbi, 2022. "Weak EMH and Canadian stock markets: evidence from linear and nonlinear unit root tests," Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(4), pages 629-651, December.
- Erdas Mehmet Levent, 2019. "Validity of Weak-Form Market Efficiency in Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs): Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Unit Root Tests," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 19(4), pages 399-428, December.
- Yifei Cai & Cosimo Magazzino, 2019. "Are shocks to natural gas consumption transitory or permanent? A more powerful panel unit root test on the G7 countries," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(2), pages 111-120, May.
- Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Karl Taylor, 2012.
"Inflation Convergence in Central and Eastern Europe with a View to Adopting the Euro,"
Working Papers
2012005, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
- Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Karl Taylor, 2012. "Inflation convergence in Central and Eastern Europe with a view to adopting the euro," Working Papers 12-01, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
- Zhang, Yue-Jun & Zhang, Han, 2023. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures market: Which structural change-based HAR models have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Mehmet Altuntaş & Emre Kılıç & Şevket Pazarcı & Alican Umut, 2022. "Borsa İstanbul Alt Endekslerinde Etkin Piyasa Hipotezinin Test Edilmesi: Fourier Kırılmalı ve Doğrusal Olmayan Birim Kök Testlerinden Kanıtlar," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 7(1), pages 169-185.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "The Flexible Fourier Form and Local GLS De-trended Unit Root Tests," Working Papers w200919, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Ayca Doganer, 2022. "Determining Unemployment Hysteresis in European Countries Using Linear and Nonlinear Unit Root Tests: The 1991-2020 Period," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 72(72-2), pages 753-785, December.
- Yoon, Gawon, 2009. "It's all the miners' fault: On the nonlinearity in U.S. unemployment rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1449-1454, November.
- Chen, Shyh-Wei & Hsu, Chi-Sheng, 2016. "Threshold, smooth transition and mean reversion in inflation: New evidence from European countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 23-36.
- Mehmet Hanefi Topal, 2020. "The Middle Income Trap: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 34(1), pages 51-75.
- Selahattin GÜRİŞ & Burak GÜRİŞ & Muhammed TIRAŞOĞLU, 2017. "Do military expenditures converge in NATO countries? Linear and nonlinear unit root test evidence," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(611), S), pages 237-248, Summer.
- Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil, 2022. "The quantile dependence of the stock returns of “clean” and “dirty” firms on oil demand and supply shocks," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
- Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khraief, Naceur & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Zaman, Khair Uz, 2014. "Are fluctuations in natural gas consumption per capita transitory? Evidence from time series and panel unit root tests," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 183-195.
- Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Wahab, Bashir A. & Adeboye, Olusegun S., 2020. "Stationarity of prices of precious and industrial metals using recent unit root methods: Implications for markets’ efficiency," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Chen, Shyh-Wei, 2014. "Smooth transition, non-linearity and current account sustainability: Evidence from the European countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 541-554.
- Artur Silva Lopes & Gabriel Florin Zsurkis, 2019.
"Are linear models really unuseful to describe business cycle data?,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(22), pages 2355-2376, May.
- Silva Lopes, Artur C. & Florin Zsurkis, Gabriel, 2017. "Are linear models really unuseful to describe business cycle data?," MPRA Paper 79413, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Aslan, Alper & Kum, Hakan, 2011. "The stationary of energy consumption for Turkish disaggregate data by employing linear and nonlinear unit root tests," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 4256-4258.
- Lee, Chien-Chiang & Ranjbar, Omid & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2021. "Testing the persistence of shocks on renewable energy consumption: Evidence from a quantile unit-root test with smooth breaks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PB).
- Yi‐Ting Peng & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2022. "Analyzing the degree of persistence of economic policy uncertainty using linear and non‐linear fourier quantile unit root tests," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(4), pages 453-471, July.
- Esra ALP & Ünal SEVEN, 2019. "Türkiye Konut Piyasasında Etkinlik Analizi," Istanbul Business Research, Istanbul University Business School, vol. 48(1), pages 84-112, May.
- Neifar, Malika, 2020. "Multivariate GARCH Approaches: case of major sectorial Tunisian stock markets," MPRA Paper 99658, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Murat Eren & Selim Basar & Bengu Tosun, 2022. "Dollarization and Risk Premium in a Risky Country: An Investigation on Turkiye," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 72(72-2), pages 625-651, December.
- Yusuf TUNA & Ayca DOGANER & Guldenur CETIN, 2022. "Determining the Relationships Between Domestic Credits, Economic Growth and Inflation in Turkiye by Nonlinear Cointegration Analysis," Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, vol. 16(2), pages 173-187.
- neifar, malika, 2020. "Efficient Markets Hypothesis in Canada: a comparative study between Islamic and Conventional stock markets ," MPRA Paper 103175, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Khraief, Naceur & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Heshmati, Almas & Azam, Muhammad, 2020.
"Are unemployment rates in OECD countries stationary? Evidence from univariate and panel unit root tests,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Khraief, Naceur & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Heshmati, Almas & Azam, Muhammad, 2015. "Are Unemployment Rates in OECD Countries Stationary? Evidence from Univariate and Panel Unit Root Tests," IZA Discussion Papers 9571, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Khraief, Naceur & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Heshmati, Almas & Azam, Muhammad, 2016. "Are Unemployment Rates in OECD Countries Stationary? Evidence from Univariate and Panel Unit Root Tests," Working Paper Series in Economics and Institutions of Innovation 435, Royal Institute of Technology, CESIS - Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies.
- Ghoshray, A., 2018. "The Dynamic Properties of Natural Resource Prices," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277210, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Aslan, Alper, 2011. "Does natural gas consumption follow a nonlinear path over time? Evidence from 50 US States," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 4466-4469.
- Golpe, Antonio A. & Carmona, Monica & Congregado, Emilio, 2012. "Persistence in natural gas consumption in the US: An unobserved component model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 594-600.
- Yunus Kilic & Mehmet Fatih Bugan, 2016. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis: Evidence from Turkey," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 6(10), pages 262-272, October.
- SAHIN, Emrah & GUNGOR, Selim & KARACA, Suleyman Serdar, 2020. "Empirical Analysis Of The Relationship Between Purchasing Managers Index And Bist Industrial Index Under Structural Breaks," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 24(3), pages 6-22, September.
- Gozbasi, Onur & Kucukkaplan, Ilhan & Nazlioglu, Saban, 2014. "Re-examining the Turkish stock market efficiency: Evidence from nonlinear unit root tests," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 381-384.
- Silva Lopes, Artur C. & Florin Zsurkis, Gabriel, 2015. "Revisiting non-linearities in business cycles around the world," MPRA Paper 65668, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- De Vita, Glauco & Trachanas, Emmanouil & Luo, Yun, 2018. "Revisiting the bi-directional causality between debt and growth: Evidence from linear and nonlinear tests," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 55-74.
- Gawon Yoon, 2010. "Nonlinearity in real exchange rates: an approach with disaggregated data and a new linearity test," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(11), pages 1125-1132.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Phouphet Kyophilavong, 2021. "Nonlinearities and Chaos: A New Analysis of CEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-13, March.
- De Vita, Glauco & Trachanas, Emmanouil, 2016. "‘Nonlinear causality between crude oil price and exchange rate: A comparative study of China and India’ — A failed replication (negative Type 1 and Type 2)," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 150-160.
- Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Karl Taylor, 2016. "Inflation convergence in Central and Eastern Europe vs. the Eurozone: Non-linearities and long memory," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 63(5), pages 519-538, November.
- Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khraief, Naceur & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2019. "How Do Carbon Emissions Respond to Economic Shocks? Evidence from Low-, Middle- and High-Income Countries," MPRA Paper 93976, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 May 2019.
- Saša Obradoviæ & Lela Ristiæ & Nemanja Lojanica, 2018. "Are unemployment rates stationary for SEE10 countries? Evidence from linear and nonlinear dynamics," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 36(2), pages 559-583.
- Kassouri, Yacouba, 2022. "Boom-bust cycles in oil consumption: The role of explosive bubbles and asymmetric adjustments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Moosa, Imad A. & Ma, Ming, 2018. "Linear and Nonlinear Attractors in Purchasing Power Parity," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 71(2), pages 149-172.
- Liu, Donghui & Meng, Lingjie & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "The asymmetric effects of oil price changes on China’s exports: New evidence from a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Durmuş Çağrı Yıldırım & Seda Yıldırım & Seyfettin Erdoğan & Işıl Demirtaş & Gualter Couto & Rui Alexandre Castanho, 2021. "Time-Varying Convergences of Environmental Footprint Levels between European Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-15, March.
- Burhan Biçer & Almila Burgac Cil, 2023. "Symmetric and Asymmetric Dynamics of Output Gap and Inflation Relation for Turkish Economy," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(5), pages 520-549.
- Lopes, Artur Silva & Zsurkis, Gabriel Florin, 2017. "Are linear models really unuseful to describe business cycle data?," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Stéphane Goutte & David Guerreiro & Bilel Sanhaji & Sophie Saglio & Julien Chevallier, 2019. "International Financial Markets," Post-Print halshs-02183053, HAL.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007.
"Unit root testing in practice: dealing with uncertainty over the trend and initial condition,"
Discussion Papers
07/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Unit Root Testing In Practice: Dealing With Uncertainty Over The Trend And Initial Condition," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 587-636, June.
Cited by:
- Michael Jansson & Morten Ø. Nielsen, 2009.
"Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests For Seasonal Unit Roots,"
Working Paper
1224, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Jansson Michael & Nielsen Morten Ørregaard, 2011. "Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests for Seasonal Unit Roots," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-21, February.
- Michael Jansson & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009. "Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests for Seasonal Unit Roots," CREATES Research Papers 2009-55, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017.
"Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity,"
Discussion Papers
17/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J. & Whitehouse Emily J., 2018. "Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-29, February.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009.
"The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend,"
Discussion Papers
09/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 292-302, July.
- Matei Demetrescu & Helmut Lütkepohl & Pentti Saikkonen, 2009.
"Testing for the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process with uncertain deterministic trend term,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(3), pages 414-435, November.
- Matei Demetrescu & Helmut Luetkepohl & Pentti Saikkonen, 2008. "Testing for the Cointegrating Rank of a Vector Autoregressive Process with Uncertain Deterministic Trend Term," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/24, European University Institute.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2016.
"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
0097, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2018. "On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Patrick Marsh, 2019. "Properties of the power envelope for tests against both stationary and explosive alternatives: the effect of trends," Discussion Papers 19/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Michael Jansson & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2012.
"Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests of the Unit Root Hypothesis,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(5), pages 2321-2332, September.
- Michael Jansson & Morten Ø. Nielsen, 2009. "Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests Of The Unit Root Hypothesis," Working Paper 1213, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Michael Jansson & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009. "Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests of the Unit Root Hypothesis," CREATES Research Papers 2009-37, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Testing for Unit Roots and the Impact of Quadratic Trends, with an Application to Relative Primary Commodity Prices,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 514-547, October.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots and the impact of quadratic trends, with an application to relative primary commodity prices," Discussion Papers 08/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012.
"Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 188-195.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 08/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010.
"Unit root testing under a local break in trend,"
Discussion Papers
10/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 140-167.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 11/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Adel Bosch & Franz Ruch, 2012.
"An Alternative Business Cycle Dating Procedure for South Africa,"
Working Papers
5210, South African Reserve Bank.
- Adél Bosch & Franz Ruch, 2013. "An Alternative Business Cycle Dating Procedure for South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(4), pages 491-516, December.
- Adél Bosch & Franz Ruch, 2012. "An alternative business cycle dating procedure for South Africa," Working Papers 267, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Stephan Smeekes, 2013.
"Detrending Bootstrap Unit Root Tests,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 869-891, November.
- Smeekes, S., 2009. "Detrending bootstrap unit root tests," Research Memorandum 056, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Kajal Lahiri & Zhongwen Liang & Huaming Peng, 2017. "The Local Power of the IPS Test with Both Initial Conditions and Incidental Trends," CESifo Working Paper Series 6313, CESifo.
- Born Benjamin & Demetrescu Matei, 2015. "Recursive Adjustment for General Deterministic Components and Improved Cointegration Rank Tests," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(2), pages 143-179, July.
- Silva Lopes, Artur, 2021. "Non-convergent incomes with a new DF-Fourier test: most likely you go your way (and I'll go mine)," MPRA Paper 120171, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Oct 2023.
- Qiankun Zhou & Jun Yu, 2010.
"Asymptotic Distributions of the Least Squares Estimator for Diffusion Processes,"
Working Papers
20-2010, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Qiankun Zhou & Jun Yu, 2012. "Asymptotic Distributions of the Least Squares Estimator for Diffusion Processes," Working Papers 11-2012, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Anna Bykhovskaya & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2017.
"Point Optimal Testing with Roots That Are Functionally Local to Unity,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
2107, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Bykhovskaya, Anna & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2020. "Point optimal testing with roots that are functionally local to unity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 231-259.
- Natalia Bailey & Liudas Giraitis, 2015.
"Spectral Approach to Parameter-Free Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
746, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Bailey, Natalia & Giraitis, Liudas, 2016. "Spectral approach to parameter-free unit root testing," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 4-16.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series,"
Discussion Papers
11/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Discussion Papers 10/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 342-358, August.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2013.
"Unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks,"
Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 4, pages 61-94,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2012. "Unit roots, nonlinearities and structural breaks," CREATES Research Papers 2012-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Silva Lopes, Artur, 2016. "A simple proposal to improve the power of income convergence tests," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 92-95.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2019.
"Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1131-1151, November.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2018. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility," Discussion Papers 18/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Phillips, Peter C.B. & Magdalinos, Tassos, 2009.
"Unit Root And Cointegrating Limit Theory When Initialization Is In The Infinite Past,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(6), pages 1682-1715, December.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Tassos Magdalinos, 2008. "Unit Root and Cointegrating Limit Theory When Initialization Is in the Infinite Past," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1655, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Smeekes, Stephan & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012.
"Bootstrap Union Tests For Unit Roots In The Presence Of Nonstationary Volatility,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(2), pages 422-456, April.
- Stephan Smeekes & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Bootstrap union tests for unit roots in the presence of nonstationary volatility," Discussion Papers 10/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Smeekes, S. & Taylor, A.M.R., 2010. "Bootstrap union tests for unit roots in the presence of nonstationary volatility," Research Memorandum 015, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Shelef, Amit, 2016. "A Gini-based unit root test," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 763-772.
- Maican, Florin G. & Sweeney, Richard J., 2013. "Rejection Probabilities for a Battery of Unit-Root Tests," Working Papers in Economics 568, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
- Razvan Pascalau & Junsoo Lee & Saban Nazlioglu & Yan (Olivia) Lu, 2022. "Johansen‐type cointegration tests with a Fourier function," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(5), pages 828-852, September.
- Franz Ruch & Stan du Plessis, 2015. "SecondRound Effects from Food and Energy Prices an SBVAR approach," Working Papers 7008, South African Reserve Bank.
- Chevillon, Guillaume, 2013.
"Robust Cointegration Testing in the Presence of Weak Trends, with an Application to the Human Origin of Global Warming,"
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The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 70(2), pages 258-274, June.
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Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
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"Residuals-based Tests for Cointegration with GLS Detrended Data,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
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"Trend and Initial Condition in Stationarity Tests: The Asymptotic Analysis,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(2), pages 254-273, April.
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"Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Comment,"
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"Combination of “combinations of p values”,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 329-350, August.
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"The impact of the initial condition on covariate augmented unit root tests,"
Discussion Papers
16/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Aristidou Chrystalleni & Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J., 2017. "The Impact of the Initial Condition on Covariate Augmented Unit Root Tests," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
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"Combining non-cointegration tests,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 83-95, January.
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"Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
774, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
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Cited by:
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"Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents'forecasts,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
870, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
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"How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 160-183.
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- David G. McMillan & Mark E. Wohar, 2010. "Stock return predictability and dividend-price ratio: a nonlinear approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(4), pages 351-365.
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"Testing the Value of Probability Forecasts for Calibrated Combining,"
Discussion Papers
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- Michael P. Clements, 2014.
"Long-Run Restrictions and Survey Forecasts of Output, Consumption and Investment,"
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance
icma-dp2014-02, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
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"Forecast Combinations,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 135-196,
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"Encompassing Tests for Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Multi-Step Forecasts based on Inference on the Boundary,"
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"An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Rounding on the SPF Probabilities of Decline and Output Growth Histograms,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(1), pages 207-220, February.
- Michael P. Clements, 2011. "An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Rounding on the SPF Probabilities of Decline and Output Growth Histograms," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(1), pages 207-220, February.
- Michał Rubaszek & Paweł Skrzypczyński & Grzegorz Koloch, 2010.
"Forecasting the Polish Zloty with Non-Linear Models,"
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 2(2), pages 151-167, March.
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- Dimitriadis, Timo & Schnaitmann, Julie, 2021. "Forecast encompassing tests for the expected shortfall," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 604-621.
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"A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis,"
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"The Long-Run Behaviour of the Terms of Trade between Primary Commodities and Manufactures: A Panel Data Approach,"
WIDER Working Paper Series
wp-2011-071, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
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"Has the Pricing of Stocks Become More Global?,"
Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series
15-48, Swiss Finance Institute, revised Apr 2016.
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- Ivan Petzev & Andreas Schrimpf & Alexander F. Wagner, 2016. "Has the pricing of stocks become more global?," BIS Working Papers 560, Bank for International Settlements.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009.
"The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend,"
Discussion Papers
09/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 292-302, July.
- Ghoshray, Atanu, 2011. "A reexamination of trends in primary commodity prices," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(2), pages 242-251, July.
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"On the non-convergence of energy intensities: evidence from a pair-wise econometric approach,"
Cahiers du CREDEN (CREDEN Working Papers)
08.12.79, CREDEN (Centre de Recherche en Economie et Droit de l'Energie), Faculty of Economics, University of Montpellier 1.
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- Xu, Ke-Li, 2016. "Multivariate trend function testing with mixed stationary and integrated disturbances," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 38-57.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Testing for Unit Roots and the Impact of Quadratic Trends, with an Application to Relative Primary Commodity Prices,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 514-547, October.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots and the impact of quadratic trends, with an application to relative primary commodity prices," Discussion Papers 08/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012.
"Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 188-195.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 08/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Xu, Ke-Li, 2012. "Robustifying multivariate trend tests to nonstationary volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 147-154.
- Pierre Perron & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2007.
"Estimating Deterministic Trend with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2007-020, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Perron, Pierre & Yabu, Tomoyoshi, 2009. "Estimating deterministic trends with an integrated or stationary noise component," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(1), pages 56-69, July.
- Pierre Perron & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2005. "Estimating Deterministric Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-037, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Pierre Perron & Tomoyoshi Yabu, "undated". "Estimating Deterministic Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2006-012, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Feb 2006.
- Jiawen Xu & Pierre Perron, 2013. "Robust testing of time trend and mean with unknown integration order errors Frequency (and Other) Contaminations," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-006, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Elliott, Graham, 2020.
"Testing for a trend with persistent errors,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
qt8qb0j5s7, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Elliott, Graham, 2020. "Testing for a trend with persistent errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 314-328.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009.
"Unit Root Testing In Practice: Dealing With Uncertainty Over The Trend And Initial Condition,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 587-636, June.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Unit root testing in practice: dealing with uncertainty over the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 07/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015.
"Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- McCulloch, J. Huston, 2016. "Moment Ratio estimation of autoregressive/unit root parameters and autocorrelation-consistent standard errors," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 712-733.
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018.
"Structural Breaks in Time Series,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2019-02, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Structural Breaks in Time Series," Papers 1805.03807, arXiv.org.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2013.
"Unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks,"
Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 4, pages 61-94,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2012. "Unit roots, nonlinearities and structural breaks," CREATES Research Papers 2012-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Yeonwoo Rho & Xiaofeng Shao, 2015. "Inference for Time Series Regression Models With Weakly Dependent and Heteroscedastic Errors," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 444-457, July.
- Arezki, Rabah & Hadri, Kaddour & Loungani, Prakash & Rao, Yao, 2014.
"Testing the Prebisch–Singer hypothesis since 1650: Evidence from panel techniques that allow for multiple breaks,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 208-223.
- Mr. Rabah Arezki & Mr. Kaddour Hadri & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Yao Rao, 2013. "Testing the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis since 1650: Evidence from Panel Techniques that Allow for Multiple Breaks," IMF Working Papers 2013/180, International Monetary Fund.
- Rabah Arezki & Kaddour Hadri & Prakash Loungani & Yao Rao, 2013. "Testing the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis Since 1650: Evidence from panel techniques that allow for multiple breaks," OxCarre Working Papers 124, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
- Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Tsangyao Chang & Zahra (Mila) Elmi & Omid Ranjbar, 2018. "Re-testing Prebisch–Singer hypothesis: new evidence using Fourier quantile unit root test," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(4), pages 441-454, January.
- Tristan Jourde, 2022. "The Rising Interconnectedness of the Insurance Sector," Working papers 857, Banque de France.
- Sungju Chun & Pierre Perron, 2013.
"Comparisons of robust tests for shifts in trend with an application to trend deviations of real exchange rates in the long run,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(24), pages 3512-3528, August.
- Pierre Perron & Sungju Chun, 2011. "Comparisons of Robust Tests for Shifts in Trend with an Application to Trend Deviations of Real Exchange Rates in the Long Run," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2011-056, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Xiao Bin, 2008.
"A Powerful Test for Linearity When the Order of Integration is Unknown,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(3), pages 1-24, September.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Bin Xiao, 2007. "A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 07/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Bin Xiao, 2007. "A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 07/06, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2013.
"Unit Roots, Level Shifts, and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 892-927, November.
- Kejriwal , M. & Lopez, C., 2011. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Working papers 334, Banque de France.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in PerCapita Output: A Robust Evaluation," University of Cincinnati, Economics Working Papers Series 2010-02, University of Cincinnati, Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2009. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1227, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Kejriwal, Mohitosh & Lopez, Claude, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," MPRA Paper 25204, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Rabah Arezki & Kaddour Hadri & Prakash Loungani & Yao Rao, 2013. "Breaking the Dynamic of Relative Primary Commodity Prices in Levels and Volatilities since 1650," Economics Working Papers 13-02, Queen's Management School, Queen's University Belfast.
- Pötscher, Benedikt M. & Preinerstorfer, David, 2017. "Further Results on Size and Power of Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Robust Tests, with an Application to Trend Testing," MPRA Paper 81053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Addison, Tony & Ghoshray, Atanu, 2023.
"Discerning trends in international metal prices in the presence of nonstationary volatility,"
Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Tony Addison & Atanu Ghoshray, 2020. "Discerning trends in international metal prices in the presence of non-stationary volatility," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-104, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
- Kaddour Hadri, 2010. "What Can We Learn From Primary Commodity Prices Series Which Is Useful To Policymakers In Resource-Rich Countries?," Economics Working Papers 10-07, Queen's Management School, Queen's University Belfast.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Astill, Sam & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2014. "Robust tests for a linear trend with an application to equity indices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 168-185.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2015.
"Trend and Initial Condition in Stationarity Tests: The Asymptotic Analysis,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(2), pages 254-273, April.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2012. "Trend and initial condition in stationarity tests: the asymptotic analysis," Working Papers 0048, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Ke-Li Xu & Jui-Chung Yang, 2015. "Towards Uniformly Efficient Trend Estimation Under Weak/Strong Correlation and Non-stationary Volatility," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 42(1), pages 63-86, March.
- Harvey, David I. & Kellard, Neil M. & Madsen, Jakob B. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Long-Run Commodity Prices, Economic Growth, and Interest Rates: 17th Century to the Present Day," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 57-70.
- Chevillon, Guillaume, 2012. "Local-Explosive Approximations to Null Distributions of the Johansen Cointegration Test, with an Application to Cyclical Concordance in the Euro Area," ESSEC Working Papers WP1210, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School.
- George Kapetanios & Zacharias Psaradakis, 2016. "Semiparametric Sieve-Type Generalized Least Squares Inference," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 951-985, June.
- Ghoshray, Atanu & Kejriwal, Mohitosh & Wohar, Mark E., 2011. "Breaking Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: A Further Investigation," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 120387, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- David I. Harvey, & Stephen J. Leybourne, & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Testing for a unit root when uncertain about the trend [Revised to become 07/03 above]," Discussion Papers 06/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Liu, Guannan & Yao, Shuang, 2020. "A robust test for predictability with unknown persistence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2022. "On robust testing for trend," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
- David Harvey & Neil Kellard & Jakob Madsen & Mark Wohar, 2012. "Trends and Cycles in Real Commodity Prices: 1650-2010," CEH Discussion Papers 010, Centre for Economic History, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
- Rapach, David E. & Ringgenberg, Matthew C. & Zhou, Guofu, 2016. "Short interest and aggregate stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 46-65.
- Yang, Yang & Wang, Shaoping, 2017. "Two simple tests of the trend hypothesis under time-varying variance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 123-128.
- Fernandez, Viviana, 2012. "Trends in real commodity prices: How real is real?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 30-47.
- Tristan Jourde, 2022. "The rising interconnectedness of the insurance sector," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 89(2), pages 397-425, June.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2006.
"Simple, Robust and Powerful Tests of the Breaking Trend Hypothesis,"
Discussion Papers
06/11, University of Nottingham, School of Economics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Simple, Robust, And Powerful Tests Of The Breaking Trend Hypothesis," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(4), pages 995-1029, August.
Cited by:
- Jesús Otero & Ana María Iregui, 2011.
"The Long-Run Behaviour of the Terms of Trade between Primary Commodities and Manufactures: A Panel Data Approach,"
WIDER Working Paper Series
wp-2011-071, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
- Iregui, Ana María & Otero, Jesús, 2013. "The long-run behaviour of the terms of trade between primary commodities and manufactures: A panel data approach," 87th Annual Conference, April 8-10, 2013, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 158682, Agricultural Economics Society.
- Ana Iregui & Jesús Otero, 2013. "The long-run behaviour of the terms of trade between primary commodities and manufactures: a panel data approach," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 12(1), pages 35-56, April.
- Matteo Mogliani, 2010.
"Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple deterministic structural breaks: A Monte Carlo study,"
PSE Working Papers
halshs-00564897, HAL.
- Matteo Mogliani, 2010. "Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple deterministic structural breaks: A Monte Carlo study," Working Papers halshs-00564897, HAL.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2013. "Local Structural Trend Break in Stationarity Testing," Working Papers 0074, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Marcos Sanso-Navarro, 2011.
"Broken trend stationarity of hours worked,"
Post-Print
hal-00712742, HAL.
- Marcos Sanso-Navarro, 2012. "Broken trend stationarity of hours worked," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(30), pages 3955-3964, October.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2016.
"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
0097, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2018. "On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Ghoshray Atanu & Kejriwal Mohitosh & Wohar Mark, 2014. "Breaks, trends and unit roots in commodity prices: a robust investigation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 23-40, February.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Pierre Perron, 2009.
"A Sequential Procedure to Determine the Number of Breaks in Trend with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component,"
Purdue University Economics Working Papers
1217, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Pierre Perron, 2009. "A Sequential Procedure to Determine the Number of Breaks in Trend with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2009-005, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Pierre Perron, 2010. "A sequential procedure to determine the number of breaks in trend with an integrated or stationary noise component," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 305-328, September.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu & Pierre Perron, 2020.
"Bootstrap Procedures for Detecting Multiple Persistence Shifts in Heteroskedastic Time Series,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2020-009, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu & Pierre Perron, 2020. "Bootstrap procedures for detecting multiple persistence shifts in heteroskedastic time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5), pages 676-690, September.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu, 2018. "Bootstrap Procedures for Detecting Multiple Persistance4 Shifts in a heteroskedastic Time Series," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1308, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Xu, Ke-Li, 2016. "Multivariate trend function testing with mixed stationary and integrated disturbances," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 38-57.
- Fabien Candau & Michaël Goujon & Jean-François Hoarau & Serge Rey, 2013.
"Real exchange rate and competitiveness of an EU’s ultra-peripheral region: La Reunion Island,"
Working papers of CATT
hal-01847942, HAL.
- Fabien Candau & Michaël Goujon & Jean-François Hoarau & Serge Rey, 2014. "Real exchange rate and competitiveness of an EU's ultra-peripheral region: La Reunion Island," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 137, pages 1-21.
- Fabien Candau & Michaël Goujon & Jean-François Hoarau & Serge Rey, 2013. "Real exchange rate and competitiveness of an EU’s ultra-peripheral region: La Reunion Island," Working Papers hal-01847942, HAL.
- Fabien Candau & Michaël Goujon & Jean-François Hoarau & Serge Rey, 2013. "Real exchange rate and competitiveness of an EU's ultra-peripheral region: La Reunion Island," Post-Print halshs-00933602, HAL.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010.
"Unit root testing under a local break in trend,"
Discussion Papers
10/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 140-167.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 11/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Vogelsang, Timothy & Nawaz, Nasreen, 2015.
"Estimation and Inference of Linear Trend Slope Ratios with an Application to Global Temperature Data,"
MPRA Paper
117435, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pierre Perron & Eduardo Zorita & Timothy J. Vogelsang & Nasreen Nawaz, 2017. "Estimation and Inference of Linear Trend Slope Ratios With an Application to Global Temperature Data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 640-667, September.
- Paraskevi Salamaliki, 2015. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Focus on Infrequent Structural Shifts," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2015-08, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Eiji Kurozumi, 2012.
"Testing for Multiple Structural Changes with Non-Homogeneous Regressors,"
Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series
gd11-227, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Kurozumi Eiji, 2015. "Testing for Multiple Structural Changes with Non-Homogeneous Regressors," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 1-35, January.
- Seong Yeon Chang & Pierre Perron, 2016.
"Inference on a Structural Break in Trend with Fractionally Integrated Errors,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(4), pages 555-574, July.
- Seongyeon Chang & Pierre Perron, 2013. "Inference on a Structural Break in Trend with Fractionally Integrated Errors," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-020, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Seong Yeon Chang & Pierre Perron, 2014. "Inference on a Structural Break in Trend with Fractionally Integrated Errors," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2015-011, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised 20 Sep 2015.
- Mario Gómez Aguirre & José Carlos A. RodrÃguez Chávez, 2012. "Análisis de la paridad del poder de compra: evidencia empÃrica entre México y Estados Unidos," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 27(1), pages 169-207.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015.
"Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series,"
Discussion Papers
11/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Discussion Papers 10/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 342-358, August.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2014. "A simple modification of the Busetti-Harvey stationarity tests with structural breaks at unknown time," Working Papers 0102, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2014.
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018.
"Structural Breaks in Time Series,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2019-02, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Structural Breaks in Time Series," Papers 1805.03807, arXiv.org.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2013. "Testing for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey–Fuller statistics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 265-284.
- Noguera, José, 2013. "Oil prices: Breaks and trends," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 60-67.
- Arezki, Rabah & Hadri, Kaddour & Loungani, Prakash & Rao, Yao, 2014.
"Testing the Prebisch–Singer hypothesis since 1650: Evidence from panel techniques that allow for multiple breaks,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 208-223.
- Mr. Rabah Arezki & Mr. Kaddour Hadri & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Yao Rao, 2013. "Testing the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis since 1650: Evidence from Panel Techniques that Allow for Multiple Breaks," IMF Working Papers 2013/180, International Monetary Fund.
- Rabah Arezki & Kaddour Hadri & Prakash Loungani & Yao Rao, 2013. "Testing the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis Since 1650: Evidence from panel techniques that allow for multiple breaks," OxCarre Working Papers 124, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Nuno Sobreira, 2013.
"Characterizing economic growth paths based on new structural change tests,"
Working Papers
w201313, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Nuno Sobreira & Luis C. Nunes & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2014. "Characterizing Economic Growth Paths Based On New Structural Change Tests," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 845-861, April.
- David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007.
"Testing for a unit root in the presence of a possible break in trend,"
Discussion Papers
07/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Testing For A Unit Root In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(6), pages 1545-1588, December.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2013.
"Unit Roots, Level Shifts, and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 892-927, November.
- Kejriwal , M. & Lopez, C., 2011. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Working papers 334, Banque de France.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in PerCapita Output: A Robust Evaluation," University of Cincinnati, Economics Working Papers Series 2010-02, University of Cincinnati, Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Claude Lopez, 2009. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1227, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Kejriwal, Mohitosh & Lopez, Claude, 2010. "Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust Evaluation," MPRA Paper 25204, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series [Revised to become No. 10/01 above]," Discussion Papers 09/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Rabah Arezki & Kaddour Hadri & Prakash Loungani & Yao Rao, 2013. "Breaking the Dynamic of Relative Primary Commodity Prices in Levels and Volatilities since 1650," Economics Working Papers 13-02, Queen's Management School, Queen's University Belfast.
- Ioanna Konstantakopoulou, 2017. "The aggregate exports-GDP relation under the prism of infrequent trend breaks and multi-horizon causality," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 661-689, October.
- F. Peters & J. P. Mackenbach & W. J. Nusselder, 2016. "Does the Impact of the Tobacco Epidemic Explain Structural Changes in the Decline of Mortality?," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 32(5), pages 687-702, December.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2013.
"Break date estimation for models with deterministic structural change,"
Discussion Papers
13/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2014. "Break Date Estimation for Models with Deterministic Structural Change," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 623-642, October.
- Kaddour Hadri, 2010. "What Can We Learn From Primary Commodity Prices Series Which Is Useful To Policymakers In Resource-Rich Countries?," Economics Working Papers 10-07, Queen's Management School, Queen's University Belfast.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Sobreira, Nuno & Nunes, Luis C., 2012.
"Tests for Multiple Breaks in the Trend with Stationary or Integrated Shocks,"
Insper Working Papers
wpe_290, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
- Nuno Sobreira & Luis C. Nunes, 2016. "Tests for Multiple Breaks in the Trend with Stationary or Integrated Shocks," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(3), pages 394-411, June.
- David Harris & Hsein Kew & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2020.
"Level Shift Estimation in the Presence of Non-stationary Volatility with an Application to the Unit Root Testing Problem,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
8/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Harris, David & Kew, Hsein & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2020. "Level shift estimation in the presence of non-stationary volatility with an application to the unit root testing problem," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 354-388.
- Harvey, David I. & Kellard, Neil M. & Madsen, Jakob B. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Long-Run Commodity Prices, Economic Growth, and Interest Rates: 17th Century to the Present Day," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 57-70.
- Christensen, Bent Jesper & Kruse, Robinson & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2013.
"A unified framework for testing in the linear regression model under unknown order of fractional integration,"
Hannover Economic Papers (HEP)
dp-519, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Bent Jesper Christensen & Robinson Kruse & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2013. "A unified framework for testing in the linear regression model under unknown order of fractional integration," CREATES Research Papers 2013-35, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Iacone, Fabrizio & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Robert Taylor, A.M., 2013. "Testing for a break in trend when the order of integration is unknown," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(1), pages 30-45.
- Jingjing Yang, 2017. "Consistency of Trend Break Point Estimator with Underspecified Break Number," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-19, January.
- Ghoshray, Atanu & Kejriwal, Mohitosh & Wohar, Mark E., 2011. "Breaking Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: A Further Investigation," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 120387, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Börger, Matthias & Schupp, Johannes, 2018. "Modeling trend processes in parametric mortality models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 369-380.
- Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2013. "Recursive adjustment, unit root tests and structural breaks," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 62-82, January.
- Sobreira, Nuno & Nunesz, Luis C. & Rodriguesz, Paulo M. M., 2012. "Neoclassical, semi-endogenous or endogenous growth theory? Evidence based on new structural change tests," Insper Working Papers wpe_291, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
- Emanuele Russo & Neil Foster-McGregor, 2022. "Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in countries’ long run trajectories," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 713-756, April.
- Wei, Wei & Zhang, Wan-Li & Wen, Jun & Wang, Jun-Sheng, 2020. "TFP growth in Chinese cities: The role of factor-intensity and industrial agglomeration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 534-549.
- David Harvey & Neil Kellard & Jakob Madsen & Mark Wohar, 2012. "Trends and Cycles in Real Commodity Prices: 1650-2010," CEH Discussion Papers 010, Centre for Economic History, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
- Rapach, David E. & Ringgenberg, Matthew C. & Zhou, Guofu, 2016. "Short interest and aggregate stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 46-65.
- Atanu Ghoshray & Ashira Perera, 2016. "An Empirical Study of Commodity Prices after Sir Arthur Lewis," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 84(4), pages 551-571, July.
- Yang, Yang & Wang, Shaoping, 2017. "Two simple tests of the trend hypothesis under time-varying variance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 123-128.
- Atanu Ghoshray & Issam Malki & Javier Ordóñez, 2022. "On the long-run dynamics of income and wealth inequality," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 375-408, February.
- Fernandez, Viviana, 2012. "Trends in real commodity prices: How real is real?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 30-47.
- Tristan Jourde, 2022. "The rising interconnectedness of the insurance sector," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 89(2), pages 397-425, June.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & A M Robert Taylor, 2005.
"On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing,"
Discussion Papers
05-07, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Taylor A.M. Robert, 2006. "On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-27, March.
Cited by:
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Lisa Xiao, 2009. "Testing for nonlinear trends when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 09/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Robert Taylor & Stephen Leybourne & David Harvey, 2004.
"Modified Tests for a Change in Persistence,"
Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings
64, Econometric Society.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2006. "Modified tests for a change in persistence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 441-469, October.
Cited by:
- Pang, Tianxiao & Tai-Leung Chong, Terence & Zhang, Danna & Liang, Yanling, 2018.
"Structural Change In Nonstationary Ar(1) Models,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(5), pages 985-1017, October.
- Chong, Terence Tai Leung & Pang, Tianxiao & Zhang, Danna & Liang, Yanling, 2017. "Structural change in non-stationary AR(1) models," MPRA Paper 80510, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Eiji Kurozumi, 2005. "Detection of Structural Change in the Long‐run Persistence in a Univariate Time Series," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(2), pages 181-206, April.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal, 2020.
"A Robust Sequential Procedure for Estimating the Number of Structural Changes in Persistence,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(3), pages 669-685, June.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal, 2017. "A Robust Sequential Procedure for Estimating the Number of Structural Changes in Persistence," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1303, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Otavio Ribeiro de Medeiros and Vitor Leone, 2012. "Multiple Changes in Persistence vs. Explosive Behaviour: The Dotcom Bubble," NBS Discussion Papers in Economics 2012/02, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
- Roy Cerqueti & Mauro Costantini & Luciano Gutierrez, 2009. "New panel tests to assess inflation persistence," Working Papers 54-2009, Macerata University, Department of Finance and Economic Sciences, revised Oct 2009.
- Cerqueti, Roy & Costantini, Mauro & Gutierrez, Luciano, 2007. "Change in persistence tests for panels," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp07040, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
- Zsolt Darvas & Balázs Varga, 2013.
"Inflation Persistence in Central and Eastern European Countries,"
Working Papers
1302, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest, revised Jul 2013.
- Zsolt Darvas & Balazs Varga, 2013. "Inflation persistence in central and eastern European countries," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 1327, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
- Zsolt Darvas & Balẳ Varga, 2014. "Inflation persistence in central and eastern European countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(13), pages 1437-1448, May.
- Zsolt Darvas & Balázs Varga, 2013. "Inflation persistence in Central and Eastern European countries," Working Papers 787, Bruegel.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu & Pierre Perron, 2020.
"Bootstrap Procedures for Detecting Multiple Persistence Shifts in Heteroskedastic Time Series,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2020-009, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu & Pierre Perron, 2020. "Bootstrap procedures for detecting multiple persistence shifts in heteroskedastic time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5), pages 676-690, September.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu, 2018. "Bootstrap Procedures for Detecting Multiple Persistance4 Shifts in a heteroskedastic Time Series," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1308, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Cerqueti, Roy & Costantini, Mauro & Gutierrez, Luciano, 2008. "Change in persistence tests for panels: An update and some new results," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp08043, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
- Chen, Wei & Huang, Zhuo & Yi, Yanping, 2015. "Is there a structural change in the persistence of WTI–Brent oil price spreads in the post-2010 period?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 64-71.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Gabriel Zsurkis, 2019.
"A reexamination of inflation persistence dynamics in OECD countries: A new approach,"
Working Papers
w201909, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Gabriel Zsurkis & JoÃo Nicolau & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2021. "A Re‐Examination of Inflation Persistence Dynamics in OECD Countries: A New Approach," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(4), pages 935-959, August.
- A. M. Robert Taylor, 2005. "Fluctuation Tests for a Change in Persistence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(2), pages 207-230, April.
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Articles
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2021.
"Real‐time detection of regimes of predictability in the US equity premium,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 45-70, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, AM Robert, 2020. "Real-Time Detection of Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 27775, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2021.
"Simple tests for stock return predictability with good size and power properties,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 198-214.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Taylor, AM Robert, 2021. "Simple Tests for Stock Return Predictability with Good Size and Power Properties," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29814, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2020.
"Date-stamping multiple bubble regimes,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 226-246.
Cited by:
- Yang, Bingduo & Long, Wei & Yang, Zihui, 2022. "Testing predictability of stock returns under possible bubbles," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 246-260.
- Lajos Horváth & Hemei Li & Zhenya Liu, 2021.
"How to identify the different phases of stock market bubbles statistically?,"
Post-Print
hal-03511435, HAL.
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- Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
- Eiji Kurozumi & Anton Skrobotov, 2021. "On the asymptotic behavior of bubble date estimators," Papers 2110.04500, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Zu, Yang, 2020.
"Sign-Based Unit Root Tests For Explosive Financial Bubbles In The Presence Of Deterministically Time-Varying Volatility,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(1), pages 122-169, February.
Cited by:
- Jean-Louis Bago & Koffi Akakpo & Imad Rherrad & Ernest Ouédraogo, 2021.
"Volatility Spillover and International Contagion of Housing Bubbles,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-14, June.
- Bago, Jean-Louis & Akakpo, Koffi & Rherrad, Imad & Ouédraogo, Ernest, 2020. "Volatility Spillover and International Contagion of Housing Bubbles," MPRA Paper 100098, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Verena Monschang & Bernd Wilfling, 2019.
"Sup-ADF-style bubble-detection methods under test,"
CQE Working Papers
7819, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Verena Monschang & Bernd Wilfling, 2021. "Sup-ADF-style bubble-detection methods under test," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 145-172, July.
- Monschang, Verena & Wilfling, Bernd, 2019. "Sup-ADF-style bubble detection methods under test," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203568, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Eiji Kurozumi & Anton Skrobotov & Alexey Tsarev, 2020. "Time-Transformed Test for the Explosive Bubbles under Non-stationary Volatility," Papers 2012.13937, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
- Eiji Kurozumi & Anton Skrobotov, 2023. "Improving the accuracy of bubble date estimators under time-varying volatility," Papers 2306.02977, arXiv.org.
- Vicente Esteve & María A. Prats, 2022. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: The case of the Spanish public debt, 1850?2021," Working Papers 2205, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
- Sam Astill & David I Harvey & Stephen J Leybourne & A M Robert Taylor & Yang Zu, 2023. "CUSUM-Based Monitoring for Explosive Episodes in Financial Data in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 187-227.
- Xuanling Yang & Dong Li & Ting Zhang, 2024. "A simple stochastic nonlinear AR model with application to bubble," Papers 2401.07038, arXiv.org.
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- Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Can news-based economic sentiment predict bubbles in precious metal markets?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-29, December.
- Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: The case of Spanish public debt," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: the case of Spanish public debt," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116980, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Jean-Louis Bago & Koffi Akakpo & Imad Rherrad & Ernest Ouédraogo, 2021.
"Volatility Spillover and International Contagion of Housing Bubbles,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-14, June.
- Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2019.
"A Bootstrap Stationarity Test for Predictive Regression Invalidity,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 528-541, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017. "A bootstrap stationarity test for predictive regression invalidity," Discussion Papers 17/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2019.
"Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1131-1151, November.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2018. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility," Discussion Papers 18/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2018.
"Real‐Time Monitoring for Explosive Financial Bubbles,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 863-891, November.
Cited by:
- Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Dettoni, Robinson & Costamagna, Rodrigo & Valenzuela, Mario, 2019. "Rational bubbles in the real housing stock market: Empirical evidence from Santiago de Chile," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 269-281.
- Judith Eidenberger & Vanessa Redak & Eva Ubl, 2019. "Who puts our financial system at risk? A methodological approach to identify banks with potential significant negative effects on financial stability," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 37, pages 57-72.
- Eiji Kurozumi, 2021. "Asymptotic Behavior of Delay Times of Bubble Monitoring Tests," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 314-337, May.
- Tomás Caravello & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martín Sola, 2021.
"Rational Bubbles: Too Many to be True?,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
2021_06, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
- Caravello, Tomas E. & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 2023. "Rational bubbles: Too many to be true?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Martin Sola, 2023. "Rational Bubbles: Too Many to be True?," Working Papers 240, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Sam Astill & David I Harvey & Stephen J Leybourne & A M Robert Taylor & Yang Zu, 2023. "CUSUM-Based Monitoring for Explosive Episodes in Financial Data in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 187-227.
- Shobande Olatunji Abdul & Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa, 2020.
"Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics,"
Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 34(1), pages 104-125, February.
- Shobande Olatunji Abdul & Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa, 2020. "Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 34(1), pages 104-125, February.
- Georgiev, Iliyan & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2018.
"Testing for parameter instability in predictive regression models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 101-118.
- Georgiev, I & Harvey, DI & Leybourne, SJ & Taylor, AM, 2018. "Testing for Parameter Instability in Predictive Regression Models," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 21162, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
Cited by:
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Structural Break Detection in Quantile Predictive Regression Models with Persistent Covariates," Papers 2302.05193, arXiv.org.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu & Pierre Perron, 2020.
"Bootstrap Procedures for Detecting Multiple Persistence Shifts in Heteroskedastic Time Series,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2020-009, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu & Pierre Perron, 2020. "Bootstrap procedures for detecting multiple persistence shifts in heteroskedastic time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5), pages 676-690, September.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu, 2018. "Bootstrap Procedures for Detecting Multiple Persistance4 Shifts in a heteroskedastic Time Series," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1308, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
- Torben G. Andersen & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2021.
"Testing for Parameter Instability and Structural Change in Persistent Predictive Regressions,"
NBER Working Papers
28570, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Varneskov, Rasmus T., 2022. "Testing for parameter instability and structural change in persistent predictive regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 361-386.
- Cai, Zongwu & Juhl, Ted, 2023. "The distribution of rolling regression estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1447-1463.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Matei Demetrescu, 2019.
"Testing for Episodic Predictability in Stock Returns,"
Working Papers
w201906, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Georgiev, Iliyan & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2022. "Testing for episodic predictability in stock returns," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 85-113.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Georgiev, Iliyan & Rodrigues, Paulo MM & Taylor, AM Robert, 2019. "Testing for Episodic Predictability in Stock Returns," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 24137, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Otilia Boldea & Adriana Cornea-Madeira & Alastair R. Hall, 2018.
"Bootstrapping Structural Change Tests,"
Papers
1811.04125, arXiv.org.
- Boldea, Otilia & Cornea-Madeira, Adriana & Hall, Alastair R., 2019. "Bootstrapping structural change tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(2), pages 359-397.
- Otilia Boldea & Adriana Cornea-Madeira & Alastair R. Hall, 2017. "Bootstrapping Structural Change Tests," Economics Discussion Paper Series 1704, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Yanbo Liu & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2021.
"Robust Inference with Stochastic Local Unit Root Regressors in Predictive Regressions,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
2305, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Liu, Yanbo & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2023. "Robust inference with stochastic local unit root regressors in predictive regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 563-591.
- Fukang Zhu & Mengya Liu & Shiqing Ling & Zongwu Cai, 2020. "Testing for Structural Change of Predictive Regression Model to Threshold Predictive Regression Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202021, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2020.
- Xiaohui Liu & Yuzi Liu & Yao Rao & Fucai Lu, 2021. "A Unified test for the Intercept of a Predictive Regression Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 571-588, April.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Limit Theory under Network Dependence and Nonstationarity," Papers 2308.01418, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
- Anibal Emiliano Da Silva Neto & Jesús Gonzalo & Jean‐Yves Pitarakis, 2021.
"Uncovering Regimes in Out of Sample Forecast Errors from Predictive Regressions,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(3), pages 713-741, June.
- Da Silva Neto, Anibal Emiliano & Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2020. "Uncovering regimes in out of sample forecast errors from predictive regressions," UC3M Working papers. Economics 31555, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Tu, Yundong & Xie, Xinling, 2023. "Penetrating sporadic return predictability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(1).
- Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2019. "Predictive Regressions," UC3M Working papers. Economics 28554, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Zongwu Cai & Ted Juhl, 2020. "The Distribution Of Rolling Regression Estimators," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202218, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2022.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Bootstrapping Nonstationary Autoregressive Processes with Predictive Regression Models," Papers 2307.14463, arXiv.org.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Predictability Tests Robust against Parameter Instability," Papers 2307.15151, arXiv.org.
- Mikihito Nishi, 2023. "Testing for Stationary or Persistent Coefficient Randomness in Predictive Regressions," Papers 2309.04926, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Harvey, David I. & Kellard, Neil M. & Madsen, Jakob B. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017.
"Long-Run Commodity Prices, Economic Growth, and Interest Rates: 17th Century to the Present Day,"
World Development, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 57-70.
Cited by:
- Abbas, Syed Kanwar & Lan, Hao, 2020. "Commodity price pass-through and inflation regimes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Winkelried, Diego, 2021.
"Unit roots in real primary commodity prices? A meta-analysis of the Grilli and Yang data set,"
Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
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"The Interdependence Between Commodity-Price and GDP Cycles: A Frequency-Domain Approach,"
Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 47(3), pages 275-292, September.
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"Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 833-847.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017. "Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples," Discussion Papers 17/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Aristidou Chrystalleni & Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J., 2017.
"The Impact of the Initial Condition on Covariate Augmented Unit Root Tests,"
Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
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- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sollis, Robert, 2017.
"Improving the accuracy of asset price bubble start and end date estimators,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 121-138.
Cited by:
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"Structural Change In Nonstationary Ar(1) Models,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(5), pages 985-1017, October.
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- Eiji Kurozumi & Anton Skrobotov, 2023. "Improving the accuracy of bubble date estimators under time-varying volatility," Papers 2306.02977, arXiv.org.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017.
"Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 651-666, October.
- Sam Astill & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Robert Taylor, 2016. "Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series," Discussion Papers 16/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2019.
"Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1131-1151, November.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2018. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility," Discussion Papers 18/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2018. "Real‐Time Monitoring for Explosive Financial Bubbles," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 863-891, November.
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"How to identify the different phases of stock market bubbles statistically?,"
Post-Print
hal-03511435, HAL.
- Horváth, Lajos & Li, Hemei & Liu, Zhenya, 2022. "How to identify the different phases of stock market bubbles statistically?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
- Pang, Tianxiao & Du, Lingjie & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2021.
"Estimating multiple breaks in nonstationary autoregressive models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 277-311.
- Pang, Tianxiao & Du, Lingjie & Chong, Terence Tai Leung, 2018. "Estimating Multiple Breaks in Nonstationary Autoregressive Models," MPRA Paper 92074, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Moreira, Afonso M. & Martins, Luis F., 2020. "A new mechanism for anticipating price exuberance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 199-221.
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- Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
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"Real-time monitoring of bubbles and crashes,"
Working Papers
2022007, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
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"Structural Change In Nonstationary Ar(1) Models,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(5), pages 985-1017, October.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017.
"Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 651-666, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Sam Astill & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Robert Taylor, 2016. "Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series," Discussion Papers 16/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
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"Tests for explosive financial bubbles in the presence of non-stationary volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 548-574.
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"Volatility Spillover and International Contagion of Housing Bubbles,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-14, June.
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"Sup-ADF-style bubble-detection methods under test,"
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"Gold as a Financial Instrument,"
MPRA Paper
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"Multiple bubbles in the European Union Emission Trading Scheme,"
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"Diagnosing Housing Fever with an Econometric Thermometer,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
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- Shuping Shi & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2023. "Diagnosing housing fever with an econometric thermometer," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 159-186, February.
- Shuping Shi & Peter C B Phillips, 2020. "Diagnosing housing fever with an econometric thermometer," CAMA Working Papers 2020-43, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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- Zeren Feyyaz & Yilanci Veli, 2019. "Are there Multiple Bubbles in the Stock Markets? Further Evidence from Selected Countries," Ekonomika (Economics), Sciendo, vol. 98(1), pages 81-95, June.
- Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan & Hanwen Kang, 2023. "Price bubbles of agricultural commodities: evidence from China’s futures market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 195-222, January.
- Li, Yanglin & Wang, Shaoping & Zhao, Qing, 2021. "When does the stock market recover from a crisis?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017.
"Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 651-666, October.
- Sam Astill & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Robert Taylor, 2016. "Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series," Discussion Papers 16/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2019.
"Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1131-1151, November.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2018. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility," Discussion Papers 18/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- H. Peter Boswijk & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Anders Rahbek & Iliyan Georgiev, 2021.
"Bootstrapping Non-Stationary Stochastic Volatility,"
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- Peter Boswijk & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Iliyan Georgiev & Anders Rahbek, 2019. "Bootstrapping Non-Stationary Stochastic Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-083/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Boswijk, H. Peter & Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Georgiev, Iliyan & Rahbek, Anders, 2021. "Bootstrapping non-stationary stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 161-180.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2018. "Real‐Time Monitoring for Explosive Financial Bubbles," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 863-891, November.
- Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2018. "Mapping algorithms, agricultural futures, and the relationship between commodity investment flows and crude oil futures prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 486-504.
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"Identifying bubbles in Latin American equity markets: Phillips-Perron-based tests and linkages,"
Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 90-101.
- Escobari, Diego & Garcia, Sergio & Mellado, Cristhian, 2017. "Identifying Bubbles in Latin American Equity Markets: Phillips-Perron-based Tests and Linkages," MPRA Paper 81453, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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- Lajos Horváth & Hemei Li & Zhenya Liu, 2021.
"How to identify the different phases of stock market bubbles statistically?,"
Post-Print
hal-03511435, HAL.
- Horváth, Lajos & Li, Hemei & Liu, Zhenya, 2022. "How to identify the different phases of stock market bubbles statistically?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
- Oladosu, Gbadebo, 2022. "Bubbles in US gasoline prices: Assessing the role of hurricanes and anti–price gouging laws," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2019.
"Detecting Financial Collapse and Ballooning Sovereign Risk,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(6), pages 1336-1361, December.
- Peter C. B. Phillips, 2017. "Detecting Financial Collapse and Ballooning Sovereign Risk," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2110, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
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"Estimating multiple breaks in nonstationary autoregressive models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 277-311.
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"Explosiveness in G11 currencies,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 388-408.
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"Bubble contagion: Evidence from Japan’s asset price bubble of the 1980-90s,"
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 89-95.
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Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 276-292, August.
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- Whitehouse, E. J. & Harvey, D. I. & Leybourne, S. J., 2022.
"Real-time monitoring of bubbles and crashes,"
Working Papers
2022007, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
- Emily J. Whitehouse & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2023. "Real‐Time Monitoring of Bubbles and Crashes," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 482-513, June.
- Canepa Alessandra, 2022.
"Small Sample Adjustment for Hypotheses Testing on Cointegrating Vectors,"
Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 51-85, January.
- Canepa, Alessandra, 2021. "Small Sample Adjustment for Hypotheses Testing on Cointegrating Vectors," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202108, University of Turin.
- Wang, Xichen & Yan, Ji (Karena) & Yan, Cheng & Gozgor, Giray, 2021. "Emerging stock market exuberance and international short-term flows," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Lajos Horvath & Lorenzo Trapani, 2021. "Changepoint detection in random coefficient autoregressive models," Papers 2104.13440, arXiv.org.
- Alexakis, Christos & Bagnarosa, Guillaume & Dowling, Michael, 2017. "Do cointegrated commodities bubble together? the case of hog, corn, and soybean," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 96-102.
- Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2018.
"Do 18th century ‘bubbles’ survive the scrutiny of 21st century time series econometrics?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 131-134.
- Yang Hu & Les Oxley, 2017. "Do 18th Century 'Bubbles' Survive the Scrutiny of 21st Century Time Series Econometrics?," Working Papers in Economics 17/19, University of Waikato.
- Assaf, Ata, 2018. "Testing for bubbles in the art markets: An empirical investigation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 340-355.
- Shuping Shi & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2022. "Econometric Analysis of Asset Price Bubbles," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2331, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
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- Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Can news-based economic sentiment predict bubbles in precious metal markets?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-29, December.
- Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: The case of Spanish public debt," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti & Christopher L. Gilbert & J. Roderick McCrorie, 2015. "Testing for Mild Explosivity and Bubbles in LME Non-Ferrous Metals Prices," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 763-782, September.
- Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Sari, Emre, 2018. "Dynamics of the Turkish paintings market: A comprehensive empirical study," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 180-194.
- Akcora, Begum & Kandemir Kocaaslan, Ozge, 2023. "Price bubbles in the European natural gas market between 2011 and 2020," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: the case of Spanish public debt," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116980, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Jean-Louis Bago & Koffi Akakpo & Imad Rherrad & Ernest Ouédraogo, 2021.
"Volatility Spillover and International Contagion of Housing Bubbles,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-14, June.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015.
"Robust and Powerful Tests for Nonlinear Deterministic Components,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(6), pages 780-799, December.
Cited by:
- Winkelried, Diego, 2015.
"Unit Roots, Flexible Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis,"
Working Papers
2015-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Winkelried, Diego, 2018. "Unit roots, flexible trends, and the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1-17.
- Enders Walter & Jones Paul, 2016. "Grain prices, oil prices, and multiple smooth breaks in a VAR," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 399-419, September.
- Atanu Ghoshray & Madhavi Pundit, 2021. "Economic growth in China and its impact on international commodity prices," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2776-2789, April.
- Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintaniz & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2020. "Trigonometric Trend Regressions of Unknown Frequencies with Stationary or Integrated Noise," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2020-012, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Takamitsu Kurita & Mototsugu Shintani, 2023. "Johansen Test with Fourier-Type Smooth Nonlinear Trends in Cointegrating Relations," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1216, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintani & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2015.
"Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component,"
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers
15-00001, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
- Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintani & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2017. "Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(5), pages 822-850, October.
- Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintani & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2015. "Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2015-018, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Nov 2015.
- Winkelried, Diego, 2015.
"Unit Roots, Flexible Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis,"
Working Papers
2015-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis, 2015.
"Recursive Right-Tailed Unit Root Tests for an Explosive Asset Price Bubble,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 166-187.
Cited by:
- Wang, Shaoping & Feng, Hao & Gao, Da, 2023. "Testing for short explosive bubbles: A case of Brent oil futures price," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Sinelnikova-Muryleva, Elena & Skrobotov, Anton, 2017. "Testing time series for the bubbles (with application to Russian data)," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 46, pages 90-103.
- Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick, 2016. "The shine of precious metals around the global financial crisis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 717-738.
- Zhao, Zhao & Wen, Huwei & Li, Ke, 2021. "Identifying bubbles and the contagion effect between oil and stock markets: New evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 780-788.
- Benjamin Beckers, 2015.
"The Real-Time Predictive Content of Asset Price Bubbles for Macro Forecasts,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
1496, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Beckers, Benjamin, 2015. "The real-time predictive content of asset price bubbles for macro forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112852, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Escobari, Diego & Garcia, Sergio & Mellado, Cristhian, 2017.
"Identifying bubbles in Latin American equity markets: Phillips-Perron-based tests and linkages,"
Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 90-101.
- Escobari, Diego & Garcia, Sergio & Mellado, Cristhian, 2017. "Identifying Bubbles in Latin American Equity Markets: Phillips-Perron-based Tests and Linkages," MPRA Paper 81453, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Akanksha Jalan & Roman Matkovskyy & Valerio Potì, 2022.
"Shall the winning last? A study of recent bubbles and persistence,"
Post-Print
hal-03603161, HAL.
- Jalan, Akanksha & Matkovskyy, Roman & Potì, Valerio, 2022. "Shall the winning last? A study of recent bubbles and persistence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
- Pang, Tianxiao & Du, Lingjie & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2021.
"Estimating multiple breaks in nonstationary autoregressive models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 277-311.
- Pang, Tianxiao & Du, Lingjie & Chong, Terence Tai Leung, 2018. "Estimating Multiple Breaks in Nonstationary Autoregressive Models," MPRA Paper 92074, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Moreira, Afonso M. & Martins, Luis F., 2020. "A new mechanism for anticipating price exuberance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 199-221.
- Eiji Kurozumi, 2021. "Asymptotic Behavior of Delay Times of Bubble Monitoring Tests," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 314-337, May.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
- Sam Astill & David I Harvey & Stephen J Leybourne & A M Robert Taylor & Yang Zu, 2023. "CUSUM-Based Monitoring for Explosive Episodes in Financial Data in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 187-227.
- Alexakis, Christos & Bagnarosa, Guillaume & Dowling, Michael, 2017. "Do cointegrated commodities bubble together? the case of hog, corn, and soybean," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 96-102.
- Marco R. Barassi & Nicola Spagnolo & Yuqian Zhao, 2018. "Fractional Integration Versus Structural Change: Testing the Convergence of $$\hbox {CO}_{2}$$ CO 2 Emissions," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 71(4), pages 923-968, December.
- KIRKPINAR, Aysegul & ERER, Elif & ERER, Deniz, 2019. "Is There A Rational Bubble In Bist 100 And Sector Indices?," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 23(3), pages 21-33, September.
- Christopher Lynch & Benjamin Mestel, 2019. "Change-Point Analysis Of Asset Price Bubbles With Power-Law Hazard Function," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(07), pages 1-24, November.
- Nishi, Mikihito & 西, 幹仁 & Kurozumi, Eiji & 黒住, 英司, 2022. "Stochastic Local and Moderate Departures from a Unit Root and Its Application to Unit Root Testing," Discussion Papers 2022-02, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
- Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015.
"Testing for Unit Roots Under Multiple Possible Trend Breaks and Non-Stationary Volatility Using Bootstrap Minimum Dickey–Fuller Statistics,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 603-629, September.
Cited by:
- Rickard Sandberg, 2018. "Unit Root Testing in Multiple Smooth Break Models with Nonlinear Dynamics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 942-952, November.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Mustafa Akpinar & Nejat Yumusak, 2016. "Year Ahead Demand Forecast of City Natural Gas Using Seasonal Time Series Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-17, September.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015.
"Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2014.
"On infimum Dickey–Fuller unit root tests allowing for a trend break under the null,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 235-242.
Cited by:
- Xue-hua Zhao & Xu Chen, 2015. "Auto Regressive and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition Hybrid Model for Annual Runoff Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2913-2926, June.
- Polbin, Andrey & Fokin, Nikita, 2020. "Modeling the dynamics of import in the Russian Federation using the error correction model," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 59, pages 88-112.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2014.
"Asymptotic behaviour of tests for a unit root against an explosive alternative,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 64-68.
Cited by:
- Patrick Marsh, 2019. "Properties of the power envelope for tests against both stationary and explosive alternatives: the effect of trends," Discussion Papers 19/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Sinelnikova-Muryleva, Elena & Skrobotov, Anton, 2017. "Testing time series for the bubbles (with application to Russian data)," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 46, pages 90-103.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2013. "Double Unit Roots Testing, GLS-detrending and Uncertainty over the Initial Conditions," Working Papers 0083, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Kruse, Robinson & Kaufmann, Hendrik & Wegener, Christoph, 2018. "Bias-corrected estimation for speculative bubbles in stock prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 354-364.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2014.
"Break Date Estimation for Models with Deterministic Structural Change,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 623-642, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2013. "Break date estimation for models with deterministic structural change," Discussion Papers 13/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2014.
"Unit Root Testing under a Local Break in Trend using Partial Information on the Break Date,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(1), pages 93-111, February.
Cited by:
- Anton Skrobotov, 2016.
"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
0097, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2018. "On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- K. Moses Tule & O. Taiwo Ajilore, 2016. "On the stability of the money multiplier in Nigeria: Co-integration analyses with regime shifts in banking system liquidity," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1187780-118, December.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2016.
"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
0097, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2016.
- Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2013.
"A bootstrap test for additive outliers in non-stationary time series,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 454-465, July.
Cited by:
- V. A. Reisen & C. Lévy-Leduc & M. Bourguignon & H. Boistard, 2017. "Robust Dickey–Fuller tests based on ranks for time series with additive outliers," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 80(1), pages 115-131, January.
- Alanya-Beltran, Willy, 2022. "Unit roots in lower-bounded series with outliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2013.
"Testing for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey–Fuller statistics,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 265-284.
Cited by:
- Anton Skrobotov, 2013. "Local Structural Trend Break in Stationarity Testing," Working Papers 0074, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Liddle, Brantley & Messinis, George, 2014.
"Revisiting carbon Kuznets curves with endogenous breaks modeling: Evidence of decoupling and saturation (but few inverted-Us) for individual OECD countries,"
MPRA Paper
59566, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Brantley Liddle & George Messinis, 2018. "Revisiting carbon Kuznets curves with endogenous breaks modeling: evidence of decoupling and saturation (but few inverted-Us) for individual OECD countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 783-798, March.
- Charles Yuji Horioka & Akiko Terada-Hagiwara, 2016.
"The Impact of Pre-marital Sex Ratios on Household Saving in Two Asian Countries: The Competitive Saving Motive Revisited,"
NBER Working Papers
22412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Horioka, Charles Yuji & Terada-Hagiwara, Akiko, 2016. "The Impact of Pre-marital Sex Ratios on Household Saving in Two Asian Countries: The Competitive Saving Motive Revisited," AGI Working Paper Series 2016-14, Asian Growth Research Institute.
- Charles Yuji Horioka & Akiko Terada-Hagiwara, 2016. "The Impact of Pre-marital Sex Ratios on Household Saving in Two Asian Countries: The Competitive Saving Motive Revisited," ISER Discussion Paper 0975, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
- Parewangi, Andi M. Alfian & Iskandar, Azwar, 2020. "The Nexus of Islamic Finance and Poverty," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 61(2), pages 111-139, December.
- Rickard Sandberg, 2018. "Unit Root Testing in Multiple Smooth Break Models with Nonlinear Dynamics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 942-952, November.
- Paraskevi Salamaliki, 2015. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Focus on Infrequent Structural Shifts," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2015-08, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Horioka, Charles Yuji & Terada-Hagiwara, Akiko, 2016.
"The Impact of Sex Ratios before Marriage on Household Saving in Two Asian Countries: The Competitive Saving Motive Revisited,"
ADB Economics Working Paper Series
494, Asian Development Bank.
- Charles Yuji Horioka & Akiko Terada Hagiwara, 2016. "The Impact of Sex Ratios before Marriage on Household Saving in Two Asian Countries: The Competitive Saving Motive Revisited," Working Papers id:11214, eSocialSciences.
- Charles Yuji Horioka & Akiko Terada-Hagiwara, 2017. "The impact of sex ratios before marriage on household saving in two Asian countries: The competitive saving motive revisited," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 739-757, September.
- Esteve García, Vicente & Navarro Ibáñez, Manuel & Prats Albentosa, María Asuncíon, 2017.
"The present value model of U.S. stock prices revisited: Long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2012,"
Economics Discussion Papers
2017-93, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Vicente Esteve & Manuel Navarro-Ibáñez & María A. Prats, 2013. "The present value model of US stock prices revisited: long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2010," Working Papers 04/13, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015.
"Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Vicente Esteve & Cecilio Tamarit, 2018. "Public debt and economic growth in Spain, 1851–2013," Cliometrica, Springer;Cliometric Society (Association Francaise de Cliométrie), vol. 12(2), pages 219-249, May.
- Russo, Emanuele & Foster-McGregor, Neil & Verspagen, Bart, 2019.
"Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in long run time series,"
MERIT Working Papers
2019-026, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
- Emanuele Russo & Neil Foster-McGregor & Bart Verpagen, 2019. "Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in long run time series," LEM Papers Series 2019/29, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Bashir Olayinka Kolawole, 2021. "Fiscal Stability and Macroeconomic Environment in Nigeria: A Further Assessment," Theory Methodology Practice (TMP), Faculty of Economics, University of Miskolc, vol. 17(02), pages 53-66.
- Ioanna Konstantakopoulou, 2017. "The aggregate exports-GDP relation under the prism of infrequent trend breaks and multi-horizon causality," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 661-689, October.
- Manveer Kaur Mangat & Erhard Reschenhofer, 2020. "Frequency-Domain Evidence for Climate Change," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, July.
- Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2021.
"50 Years of Capital Mobility in the Eurozone: Breaking the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 867-905, November.
- Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Munoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2021. "50 years of capital mobility in the Eurozone: breaking the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle," Working Papers 2021.04, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
- Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2021. "50 years of capital mobility in the Eurozone: breaking the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle," Working Papers 2102, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2016. "Improving the length of confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 239-245.
- Marina Faďoš & Mária Bohdalová, 2019. "Unemployment gender inequality: evidence from the 27 European Union countries," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(3), pages 349-371, September.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Esteve, Vicente & Navarro-Ibáñez, Manuel & Prats, María A., 2020. "Stock prices, dividends, and structural changes in the long-term: The case of U.S," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Yannick Hoga, 2022. "Quantifying the data-dredging bias in structural break tests," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 143-155, February.
- Ana Lourdes Morones Carrillo, 2016. "Crecimiento económico en México: restricción por la balanza de pagos," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 39-58, May.
- Martha Ofelia Lobo Rodriguez & Carlos Alberto Flores Sanchez & Duniesky Feito Madrigal & Jorge Quiroz Felix, 2016. "An Econometric Analysis Of The Demand For Tourism In Mexico, Un Analisis Econometrico De La Demanda De Turismo En Mexico," Revista Internacional Administracion & Finanzas, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 9(3), pages 61-70.
- Atanu Ghoshray & Mercedes Monfort & Javier Ordóñez, 2020. "Economic integration and the distribution of income in Europe: A between country analysis," Working Papers 2020/11, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
- Lajos Horváth & Gregory Rice, 2014. "Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 219-255, June.
- Liddle, Brantley & Messinis, George, 2014.
"Revisiting sulfur Kuznets curves with endogenous breaks modeling: Substantial evidence of inverted-Us/Vs for individual OECD countries,"
MPRA Paper
59565, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Liddle, Brantley & Messinis, George, 2015. "Revisiting sulfur Kuznets curves with endogenous breaks modeling: Substantial evidence of inverted-Us/Vs for individual OECD countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 278-285.
- De Vita, Glauco & Trachanas, Emmanouil, 2016. "‘Nonlinear causality between crude oil price and exchange rate: A comparative study of China and India’ — A failed replication (negative Type 1 and Type 2)," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 150-160.
- Emanuele Russo & Neil Foster-McGregor, 2022. "Characterizing growth instability: new evidence on unit roots and structural breaks in countries’ long run trajectories," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 713-756, April.
- Ricardo Quineche & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2017. "Selecting the Lag Length for the M GLS Unit Root Tests with Structural Change: A Warning Note for Practitioners Based on Simulations," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-10, April.
- Martin B. Schmidt, 2021. "On the evolution of athlete anthropometric measurements: racial integration, expansion, and steroids," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3419-3443, December.
- Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015. "Testing for Unit Roots Under Multiple Possible Trend Breaks and Non-Stationary Volatility Using Bootstrap Minimum Dickey–Fuller Statistics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 603-629, September.
- Atanu Ghoshray & Issam Malki & Javier Ordóñez, 2022. "On the long-run dynamics of income and wealth inequality," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 375-408, February.
- Meligkotsidou, Loukia & Tzavalis, Elias & Vrontos, Ioannis, 2017. "On Bayesian analysis and unit root testing for autoregressive models in the presence of multiple structural breaks," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 4(C), pages 70-90.
- Eléazar Zerbo, 2015. "What determines the long-run growth in Sub-Saharan Africa? Exploring the role of energy, trade openness and financial development in six countries," Working Papers hal-01238524, HAL.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012.
"Unit root testing under a local break in trend,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 140-167.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 10/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 11/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012.
"Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 188-195.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 08/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2012.
"An infimum coefficient unit root test allowing for an unknown break in trend,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 298-302.
Cited by:
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2014. "Unit Root Testing under a Local Break in Trend using Partial Information on the Break Date," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(1), pages 93-111, February.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2011.
"Combining probability forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 208-223.
- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2011. "Combining probability forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 208-223, April.
Cited by:
- Shaun P Vahey & Elizabeth C Wakerly, 2013. "Moving towards probability forecasting," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 70, pages 3-8, Bank for International Settlements.
- Pauwels, Laurent & Vasnev, Andrey, 2013.
"Forecast combination for U.S. recessions with real-time data,"
Working Papers
2013-05, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Pauwels, Laurent & Vasnev, Andrey, 2014. "Forecast combination for U.S. recessions with real-time data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 138-148.
- Pauwels, Laurent & Vasnev, Andrey, 2013. "Forecast combination for U.S. recessions with real-time data," Working Papers 02/2013, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Andres Ramirez Hassan, 2020.
"Optimal probabilistic forecasts: When do they work?,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
33/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Martin, Gael M. & Loaiza-Maya, Rubén & Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Frazier, David T. & Ramírez-Hassan, Andrés, 2022. "Optimal probabilistic forecasts: When do they work?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 384-406.
- Gael M. Martin & Rub'en Loaiza-Maya & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Andr'es Ram'irez Hassan, 2020. "Optimal probabilistic forecasts: When do they work?," Papers 2009.09592, arXiv.org.
- Lyon, Aidan & Wintle, Bonnie C. & Burgman, Mark, 2015. "Collective wisdom: Methods of confidence interval aggregation," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1759-1767.
- Bentes, Sonia R. & Menezes, Rui, 2013. "On the predictability of realized volatility using feasible GLS," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 58-66.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012.
"Combination schemes for turning point predictions,"
Working Paper
2012/04, Norges Bank.
- Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 402-412.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-123/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," Working Papers 2012_15, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Qian, Wei & Rolling, Craig A. & Cheng, Gang & Yang, Yuhong, 2022. "Combining forecasts for universally optimal performance," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 193-208.
- Ruben Loaiza‐Maya & Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier, 2021.
"Focused Bayesian prediction,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 517-543, August.
- Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier, 2019. "Focused Bayesian Prediction," Papers 1912.12571, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M Martin & David T. Frazier, 2020. "Focused Bayesian Prediction," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Pablo Pincheira, 2012. "Are Forecast Combinations Efficient?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 661, Central Bank of Chile.
- Cristina Conflitti & Christine De Mol & Domenico Giannone, 2012.
"Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2012-023, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2015. "Optimal combination of survey forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1096-1103.
- Giannone, Domenico & De Mol, Christine & Conflitti, Cristina, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 9096, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stephen Hora & Erim Kardeş, 2015. "Calibration, sharpness and the weighting of experts in a linear opinion pool," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 229(1), pages 429-450, June.
- Fabian Krüger & Ingmar Nolte, 2011. "Disagreement, Uncertainty and the True Predictive Density," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2011-43, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Pirschel, Inske, 2016. "Forecasting euro area recessions in real-time," Kiel Working Papers 2020, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Rodrigues, Bruno Dore & Stevenson, Maxwell J., 2013. "Takeover prediction using forecast combinations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 628-641.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Yongchen Zhao, 2013.
"Testing the Value of Probability Forecasts for Calibrated Combining,"
Discussion Papers
13-02, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Lahiri, Kajal & Peng, Huaming & Zhao, Yongchen, 2015. "Testing the value of probability forecasts for calibrated combining," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 113-129.
- Frederik Kunze, 2020. "Predicting exchange rates in Asia: New insights on the accuracy of survey forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 313-333, March.
- Svetlana Makarova, 2014. "Risk and Uncertainty: Macroeconomic Perspective," UCL SSEES Economics and Business working paper series 129, UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies (SSEES).
- Laurent L. Pauwels & Andrey L. Vasnev, 2017.
"Forecast combination for discrete choice models: predicting FOMC monetary policy decisions,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 229-254, February.
- Pauwels, Laurent & Vasnev, Andrey, 2011. "Forecast combination for discrete choice models: predicting FOMC monetary policy decisions," Working Papers 11/2011, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Pablo Pincheira-Brown & Andrea Bentancor & Nicolás Hardy, 2023. "An Inconvenient Truth about Forecast Combinations," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-24, September.
- Pirschel, Inske, 2015. "Forecasting Euro Area Recessions in real-time with a mixed-frequency Bayesian VAR," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113031, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bermejo Mancera, Miguel Ángel & Peña, Daniel & Sánchez, Ismael, 2011. "Densidad de predicción basada en momentos condicionados y máxima entropía : aplicación a la predicción de potencia eólica," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws111813, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Trapero, Juan R. & Cardós, Manuel & Kourentzes, Nikolaos, 2019. "Quantile forecast optimal combination to enhance safety stock estimation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 239-250.
- Lee, Seohyun, 2017. "Three essays on uncertainty: real and financial effects of uncertainty shocks," MPRA Paper 83617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Michael P. Clements, 2020. "Are Some Forecasters’ Probability Assessments of Macro Variables Better Than Those of Others?," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-16, May.
- Giovanni De Luca & Alfonso Carfora, 2014. "Predicting U.S. recessions through a combination of probability forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 127-144, February.
- Ahmad, A.H. & Harvey, David I. & Pentecost, Eric J., 2011.
"Exchange rate regime verification: An alternative method of testing for regime changes,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(1), pages 96-98, October.
- A H Ahmad & E J Pentecost, 2011. "Exchange Rate Regime Verification: An Alternative Method of Testing for Regime Changes," Department of Economics Working Papers 22748, University of Bath, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Ahmad Hassan Ahmad & Eric J. Pentecost, 2020. "Testing the ‘Fear of Floating’ Hypothesis: A Statistical Analysis for Eight African Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 407-430, April.
- Ahmad, A.H. & Pentecost, Eric J., 2012. "Identifying aggregate supply and demand shocks in small open economies: Empirical evidence from African countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 272-291.
- Muhammad Ali Nasir & Muhammad Shahbaz & Trinh Thi Mai & Moade Shubita, 2021. "Development of Vietnamese stock market: Influence of domestic macroeconomic environment and regional markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1435-1458, January.
- Ahmad Ahmad & Olalekan Aworinde, 2015. "Structural breaks and twin deficits hypothesis in African countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 48(1), pages 1-35, February.
- A H Ahmad & Eric J Pentecost, 2012. "The Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in African Countries," Department of Economics Working Papers 4/12, University of Bath, Department of Economics.
- Ahmad, Ahmad Hassan & Pentecost, Eric J. & Stack, Marie M., 2023. "Foreign aid, debt interest repayments and Dutch disease effects in a real exchange rate model for African countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Mohamed Bouabidi, 2022. "The Tunisian exchange rate regime: Is it really floating?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4684-4704, October.
- Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2011.
"Testing For Unit Roots In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend And Nonstationary Volatility,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(5), pages 957-991, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for Unit Roots in the Presence of a Possible Break in Trend and Non-Stationary Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-62, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of a possible break in trend and non-stationary volatility," Discussion Papers 09/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011.
"Testing for Unit Roots and the Impact of Quadratic Trends, with an Application to Relative Primary Commodity Prices,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 514-547, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots and the impact of quadratic trends, with an application to relative primary commodity prices," Discussion Papers 08/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2010.
"Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 342-358, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Discussion Papers 10/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Discussion Papers 11/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Lisa Xiao, 2010.
"Testing for nonlinear deterministic components when the order of integration is unknown,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 379-391, September.
Cited by:
- Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintaniz & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2020. "Trigonometric Trend Regressions of Unknown Frequencies with Stationary or Integrated Noise," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2020-012, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Christensen, Bent Jesper & Kruse, Robinson & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2013.
"A unified framework for testing in the linear regression model under unknown order of fractional integration,"
Hannover Economic Papers (HEP)
dp-519, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Bent Jesper Christensen & Robinson Kruse & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2013. "A unified framework for testing in the linear regression model under unknown order of fractional integration," CREATES Research Papers 2013-35, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Takamitsu Kurita & Mototsugu Shintani, 2023. "Johansen Test with Fourier-Type Smooth Nonlinear Trends in Cointegrating Relations," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1216, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintani & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2015.
"Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component,"
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers
15-00001, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
- Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintani & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2017. "Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(5), pages 822-850, October.
- Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintani & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2015. "Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2015-018, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Nov 2015.
- Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sakkas, Nikolaos D., 2010.
"Local Asymptotic Power Of The Im-Pesaran-Shin Panel Unit Root Test And The Impact Of Initial Observations,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 311-324, February.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Nikoloas D. Sakkas, 2008. "Local asymptotic power of the Im-Pesaran-Shin panel unit root test and the impact of initial observations," Discussion Papers 08/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010.
"The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 292-302, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend," Discussion Papers 09/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey, 2010.
"Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 1028-1062.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," Economic Research Papers 269744, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P & Harvey, David I, 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 774, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- David I. Harvey & Neil M. Kellard & Jakob B. Madsen & Mark E. Wohar, 2010.
"The Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: Four Centuries of Evidence,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(2), pages 367-377, May.
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"The Long-Run Behaviour of the Terms of Trade between Primary Commodities and Manufactures: A Panel Data Approach,"
WIDER Working Paper Series
wp-2011-071, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
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- Ana Iregui & Jesús Otero, 2013. "The long-run behaviour of the terms of trade between primary commodities and manufactures: a panel data approach," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 12(1), pages 35-56, April.
- Rabah Arezki & Daniel Lederman & Hongyan Zhao, 2011.
"The Relative Volatility of Commodity Prices: A Reappraisal,"
Working Papers
660, Economic Research Forum, revised 12 Jan 2011.
- Rabah Arezki & Daniel Lederman & Hongyan Zhao, 2014. "The Relative Volatility of Commodity Prices: A Reappraisal," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 96(3), pages 939-951.
- Rabah Arezki & Daniel Lederman & Hongyan Zhao, 2011. "The relative volatility of commodity prices: a reappraisal," NCID Working Papers 05/2011, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
- Rabah Arezki & Daniel Lederman & Hongyan Zhao, 2011. "The Relative Volatility of Commodity Prices: A Re-Appraisal," OxCarre Working Papers 070, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
- Rabah Arezki & Daniel Lederman & Hongyan Zhao, 2011. "The Relative Volatility of Commodity Prices: A Reappraisal," CESifo Working Paper Series 3694, CESifo.
- Mr. Rabah Arezki & Mr. Daniel Lederman & Mr. Hongyan Zhao, 2011. "The Relative Volatility of Commodity Prices: A Reappraisal," IMF Working Papers 2011/279, International Monetary Fund.
- Arezki, Rabah & Lederman, Daniel & Zhao, Hongyan, 2011. "The relative volatility of commodity prices : a reappraisal," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5903, The World Bank.
- Enders, Walter & Holt, Matthew T., 2011. "Breaks, bubbles, booms, and busts: the evolution of primary commodity price fundamentals," MPRA Paper 31461, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chiara Casoli & Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti, 2022.
"Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via dynamic factor models, with an application to commodity prices [Commodity-price comovement and global economic activity],"
The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 25(2), pages 494-514.
- Chiara Casoli & Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti, 2021. "Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via Dynamic Factor Models, with an application to commodity prices," Working Papers 2021.19, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Casoli, Chiara & Lucchetti, Riccardo (Jack), 2021. "Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via Dynamic Factor Models, with an application to commodity prices," FEEM Working Papers 312367, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Winkelried, Diego, 2015.
"Unit Roots, Flexible Trends and the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis,"
Working Papers
2015-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Winkelried, Diego, 2018. "Unit roots, flexible trends, and the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1-17.
- József Popp & Judit Oláh & Mária Farkas Fekete & Zoltán Lakner & Domicián Máté, 2018. "The Relationship Between Prices of Various Metals, Oil and Scarcity," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-19, September.
- Caselli, Francesco & Tesei, Andrea, 2016.
"Resource windfalls, political regimes and political stability,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
64587, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Francesco Caselli & Andrea Tesei, 2016. "Resource Windfalls, Political Regimes, and Political Stability," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 98(3), pages 573-590, July.
- Francesco Caselli & Andrea Tesei, 2011. "Resource Windfalls, Political Regimes, and Political Stability," NBER Working Papers 17601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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- Francesco Caselli & Andrea Tesei, 2011. "Resource Windfalls, Political Regimes, and Political Stability," CEP Discussion Papers dp1091, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Trofimov, Ivan D., 2018. "Income terms of trade and economic convergence: Evidence from Latin America," MPRA Paper 87598, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ghoshray Atanu & Kejriwal Mohitosh & Wohar Mark, 2014. "Breaks, trends and unit roots in commodity prices: a robust investigation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 23-40, February.
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"Anything but gold - The golden constant revisited,"
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"Lewis revisited: tropical polities competing on the world market, 1830–1938,"
Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1244-1267, November.
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"Shifting patterns of economic growth and rethinking development,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
6040, The World Bank.
- Justin Lin & David Rosenblatt, 2012. "Shifting patterns of economic growth and rethinking development," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 171-194.
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- Winkelried, Diego, 2016.
"Piecewise linear trends and cycles in primary commodity prices,"
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"Primary commodity prices: co-movements, common factors and fundamentals,"
Working Papers
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"The Policy Implications of Economic Complexity,"
Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG)
2230, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised Nov 2022.
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"Persistence in Trends and Cycles of Gold and Silver Prices: Evidence from Historical Data,"
Working Papers
201816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Cunado, Juncal & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Persistence in trends and cycles of gold and silver prices: Evidence from historical data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 345-354.
- Makhlouf, Yousef & Kellard, Neil M. & Vinogradov, Dmitri, 2017. "Child mortality, commodity price volatility and the resource curse," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 144-156.
- Jean-François Carpantier, 2019.
"Commodity Prices In Empirical Research,"
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Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(3), pages 409-442, November.
See citations under working paper version above.
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Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(3), pages 1-24, September.
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Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1302-1330, December.
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Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 10(1), pages 149-165, March.
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NBS Discussion Papers in Economics
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Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-27, March.
See citations under working paper version above.
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"On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing,"
Working Papers
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DEA Working Papers
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Discussion Papers
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Working Papers
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- Skrobotov Anton, 2018. "On Trend Breaks and Initial Condition in Unit Root Testing," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон), 2015. "About Trend, the Shift and the Initial Value in Testing of the Hypothesis of a Unit Root [О Тренде, Сдвиге И Начальном Значении В Тестировании Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня]," Published Papers mak6, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
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- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009.
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Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 587-636, June.
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- Sven Otto, 2020. "Unit Root Testing with Slowly Varying Trends," Papers 2003.04066, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Kerry Patterson & Michael A. Thornton, 2013. "A review of econometric concepts and methods for empirical macroeconomics," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 2, pages 4-42, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Elliott, Graham & Muller, Ulrich K., 2006. "Minimizing the impact of the initial condition on testing for unit roots," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 285-310.
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"Local asymptotic power of the Im-Pesaran-Shin panel unit root test and the impact of initial observations,"
Discussion Papers
08/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sakkas, Nikolaos D., 2010. "Local Asymptotic Power Of The Im-Pesaran-Shin Panel Unit Root Test And The Impact Of Initial Observations," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 311-324, February.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2013. "Double Unit Roots Testing, GLS-detrending and Uncertainty over the Initial Conditions," Working Papers 0083, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Nikolaos D. Sakkas, 2008. "Panel root tests and the impact of initial observations," Discussion Papers 06/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Ahlgren, Niklas & Juselius, Mikael, 2009.
"Tests for Cointegration Rank and the Initial Condition,"
Working Papers
539, Hanken School of Economics.
- Niklas Ahlgren & Mikael Juselius, 2012. "Tests for cointegration rank and the initial condition," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 667-691, June.
- David I. Harvey, & Stephen J. Leybourne, & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Testing for a unit root when uncertain about the trend [Revised to become 07/03 above]," Discussion Papers 06/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Chrystalleni Aristidou & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2016.
"The impact of the initial condition on covariate augmented unit root tests,"
Discussion Papers
16/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Aristidou Chrystalleni & Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J., 2017. "The Impact of the Initial Condition on Covariate Augmented Unit Root Tests," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
- Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2013. "Recursive adjustment, unit root tests and structural breaks," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 62-82, January.
- Yaya, OlaOluwa Simon & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Carcel, Hector, 2015. "Testing fractional persistence and non-linearities in the natural gas market: An application of non-linear deterministic terms based on Chebyshev polynomials in time," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 240-245.
- Sven Otto, 2021. "Unit root testing with slowly varying trends," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(1), pages 85-106, January.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009.
"The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend,"
Discussion Papers
09/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- David Harvey & Terence Mills, 2005.
"Evidence for common features in G7 macroeconomic time series,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 165-175.
Cited by:
- Zhichao Guo & Yuanhua Feng & Xiangyong Tan, 2011. "Impact of China's accession to WTO and the financial crisis on China's exports to Germany," Working Papers CIE 36, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
- Guo, Zhichao & Feng, Yuanhua, 2013. "Modeling of the impact of the financial crisis and China's accession to WTO on China's exports to Germany," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 474-483.
- Blonigen, Bruce A. & Piger, Jeremy & Sly, Nicholas, 2014.
"Comovement in GDP trends and cycles among trading partners,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 239-247.
- Bruce A. Blonigen & Jeremy Piger & Nicholas Sly, 2012. "Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners," NBER Working Papers 18032, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Guo, Zhichao & Feng, Yuanhua & Tan, Xiangyong, 2011.
"Short- and long-term impact of remarkable economic events on the growth causes of China–Germany trade in agri-food products,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2359-2368.
- Zhichao Guo & Yuanhua Feng & Xiangyong Tan, 2010. "Short- and long-term impact of remarkable economic events on the growth causes of China-Germany trade in agri-food products," Working Papers CIE 32, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
- Zhichao Guo & Yuanhua Feng & Thomas Gries, 2015.
"Changes of China’s agri-food exports to Germany caused by its accession to WTO and the 2008 financial crisis,"
China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(2), pages 262-279, May.
- Zhichao Guo & Yuanhua Feng & Thomas Gries, 2013. "Changes of China's agri-food exports to Germany caused by its accession to WTO and the 2008 financial crisis," Working Papers CIE 72, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
- Willie Lahari, 2011. "Assessing Business Cycle Synchronisation - Prospects for a Pacific Islands Currency Union," Working Papers 1110, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2011.
- Chen, Xiaoshan & Mills, Terence C., 2009. "Evaluating growth cycle synchronisation in the EU," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 342-351, March.
- David Griffiths, 2007. "Forecasting income shares: are mean-reversion assumptions appropriate?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(21), pages 2699-2711.
- Fernandez, Viviana, 2006. "Does domestic cooperation lead to business-cycle convergence and financial linkages?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 369-396, July.
- David I. Harvey & Paul Newbold, 2005.
"Forecast Encompassing and Parameter Estimation,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 815-835, December.
Cited by:
- Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Mise, Emi & Shields, Kalvinder, 2009. "Real time representation of the UK output gap in the presence of model uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 81-102.
- Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Barrow, Devon & Petropoulos, Fotios, 2019. "Another look at forecast selection and combination: Evidence from forecast pooling," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 226-235.
- Bedri Kamil Onur Taş, 2016. "Does the Federal Reserve have Private Information about its Future Actions?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 83(331), pages 498-517, July.
- Huiyu Huang & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2010.
"To Combine Forecasts or to Combine Information?,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(5-6), pages 534-570.
- Huiyu Huang & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2006. "To Combine Forecasts or to Combine Information?," Working Papers 200806, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2009.
- Chrystalleni Aristidou & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2015. "Real-Time Data should be used in Forecasting Output Growth and Recessionary Events in the US," Discussion Papers 2015/13, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
- Vasyl Golosnoy & Yarema Okhrin, 2015. "Using information quality for volatility model combinations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 1055-1073, June.
- Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin, 2010. "Investing under model uncertainty: Decision based evaluation of exchange rate forecasts in the US, UK and Japan," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 403-422, April.
- David I. Harvey & Terence C. Mills, 2004.
"Tests for Stationarity in Series with Endogenously Determined Structural Change,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(5), pages 863-894, December.
Cited by:
- Costantini, Mauro & Sen, Amit, 2016. "A simple testing procedure for unit root and model specification," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 37-54.
- Chun- Yu Ho & Dan Li, 2007.
"Rising Regional Inequality in China:Policy Regimes and Structural Changes,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2007-013, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Chun‐Yu Ho & Dan Li, 2008. "Rising regional inequality in China: Policy regimes and structural changes," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 87(2), pages 245-259, June.
- D., Ivan, 2017. "Stability of the labour shares: evidence from OECD economies," MPRA Paper 79822, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Roger Perman, 2006. "Unit Roots and Structural Breaks: A Survey of the Literature," Working Papers 2006_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Brittle, Shane, 2009. "Ricardian Equivalence and the Efficacy of Fiscal Policy in Australia," Economics Working Papers wp09-10, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
- Landajo, Manuel & Presno, María José, 2010. "Nonparametric pseudo-Lagrange multiplier stationarity testing," MPRA Paper 25659, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ivan D. Trofimov, 2019. "Stability of Labour Shares: Evidence from OECD Economies," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 17(1), pages 57-89.
- María Presno & Manuel Landajo, 2010. "Computation of limiting distributions in stationarity testing with a generic trend," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 71(2), pages 165-183, March.
- Manuel Landajo & María José Presno, 2010. "Stationarity testing under nonlinear models. Some asymptotic results," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 392-405, September.
- Peter Sephton, 2017. "Finite Sample Critical Values of the Generalized KPSS Stationarity Test," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(1), pages 161-172, June.
- Alper Kara & Dilem Yildirim & G. Ipek Tunc, 2023. "Market efficiency in non-renewable resource markets: evidence from stationarity tests with structural changes," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 36(2), pages 279-290, June.
- Alper Kara & Dilem Yıldırım & Gül İpek Tunç, 2021. "Market Efficiency In Non-Renewable Resource Markets: Evidence From Stationarity Tests With Structural Changes," ERC Working Papers 2103, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.
- Noriega Antonio E. & Rodríguez-Pérez Cid Alonso, 2011. "Stationarity, structural breaks, and economic growth in Mexico: 1895-2008," Working Papers 2011-11, Banco de México.
- Harvey, David I. & Newbold, Paul, 2003.
"The non-normality of some macroeconomic forecast errors,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 635-653.
Cited by:
- João Henrique Gonçalves Mazzeu & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2018. "Uncertainty And Density Forecasts Of Arma Models: Comparison Of Asymptotic, Bayesian, And Bootstrap Procedures," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 388-419, April.
- BRATU SIMIONESCU, Mihaela, 2012. "Two Quantitative Forecasting Methods For Macroeconomic Indicators In Czech Republic," Annals of Spiru Haret University, Economic Series, Universitatea Spiru Haret, vol. 3(1), pages 71-87.
- Timur Hulagu & Saygin Sahinoz, 2012. "Is Disagreement a Good Proxy for Inflation Uncertainty? Evidence from Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 12(1), pages 53-62.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2008.
"Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link,"
ifo Working Paper Series
60, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2010. "Measuring forecast uncertainty by disagreement: The missing link," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 514-538.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2009. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," Discussion Papers 09-06, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Pascual, Lorenzo & Romo, Juan & Ruiz, Esther, 2005.
"Bootstrap prediction intervals for power-transformed time series,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 219-235.
- Pascual, Lorenzo & Romo, Juan & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2001. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for power-transformed time series," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws010503, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Krkoska, Libor & Teksoz, Utku, 2009. "How reliable are forecasts of GDP growth and inflation for countries with limited coverage?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 376-388, December.
- Tara Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012.
"A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts,"
Working Papers
2012-2, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012. "A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts," Working Papers 2012-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H. O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012. "A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2332-2342.
- Marian Vavra, 2018.
"Assessing Distributional Properties of Forecast Errors,"
Working and Discussion Papers
WP 3/2018, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
- Marián Vávra, 2020. "Assessing distributional properties of forecast errors for fan-chart modelling," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2841-2858, December.
- Krkoska, Libor & Teksoz, Utku, 2007. "Accuracy of GDP growth forecasts for transition countries: Ten years of forecasting assessed," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 29-45.
- Timur Hulagu & Saygin Sahinoz, 2011. "Enflasyon Belirsizligi ve Beklentilerdeki Uyusmazlik," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1104, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Gonçalves Mazzeu, Joao Henrique & Ruiz Ortega, Esther & Veiga, Helena, 2015. "Model uncertainty and the forecast accuracy of ARMA models: A survey," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1508, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Mwamba, Muteba, 2015. "A multivariate model for the prediction of stock returns in an emerging market: A comparison of parametric and non-parametric models," MPRA Paper 62028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kontogeorgos, Georgios & Lambrias, Kyriacos, 2019. "An analysis of the Eurosystem/ECB projections," Working Paper Series 2291, European Central Bank.
- Víctor López-Pérez, 2017. "Do professional forecasters behave as if they believed in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve for the euro area?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 147-174, February.
- Fresoli, Diego & Ruiz, Esther & Pascual, Lorenzo, 2015. "Bootstrap multi-step forecasts of non-Gaussian VAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 834-848.
- Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho, 2013. "Banks, Asset Management or Consultancies' Inflation Forecasts: is there a better forecaster out there?," Working Papers Series 310, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Terence C. Mills & David I. Harvey, 2003.
"Modelling trends in central England temperatures,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 35-47.
Cited by:
- Changli He & Jian Kang & Timo Teräsvirta & Shuhua Zhang, 2019.
"Long monthly temperature series and the Vector Seasonal Shifting Mean and Covariance Autoregressive model,"
CREATES Research Papers
2019-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- He, Changli & Kang, Jian & Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2024. "Long monthly temperature series and the Vector Seasonal Shifting Mean and Covariance Autoregressive model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(1).
- Gadea Rivas, María Dolores & Gonzalo, Jesús, 2017.
"Trends in distributional characteristics : Existence of global warming,"
UC3M Working papers. Economics
24121, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Gadea Rivas, María Dolores & Gonzalo, Jesús, 2020. "Trends in distributional characteristics: Existence of global warming," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 153-174.
- Jewson Stephen & Penzer Jeremy, 2006. "Estimating Trends in Weather Series: Consequences for Pricing Derivatives," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(3), pages 1-17, September.
- Terence C. Mills, 2012. "Semi-parametric modelling of temperature records," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 361-383, May.
- Tommaso Proietti & Eric Hillebrand, 2017.
"Seasonal changes in central England temperatures,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(3), pages 769-791, June.
- Tommaso Proietti & Eric Hillebrand, 2015. "Seasonal Changes in Central England Temperatures," CEIS Research Paper 347, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 15 Jun 2015.
- Tommaso Proietti & Eric Hillebrand, 2015. "Seasonal Changes in Central England Temperatures," CREATES Research Papers 2015-28, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Changli He & Jian Kang & Timo Teräsvirta & Shuhua Zhang, 2018.
"The Shifting Seasonal Mean Autoregressive Model and Seasonality in the Central England Monthly Temperature Series, 1772-2016,"
CREATES Research Papers
2018-15, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- He, Changli & Kang, Jian & Teräsvirta, Timo & Zhang, Shuhua, 2019. "The shifting seasonal mean autoregressive model and seasonality in the Central England monthly temperature series, 1772–2016," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 1-24.
- Changli He & Jian Kang & Timo Teräsvirta & Shuhua Zhang, 2019.
"Long monthly temperature series and the Vector Seasonal Shifting Mean and Covariance Autoregressive model,"
CREATES Research Papers
2019-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- David I. Harvey & Terence C. Mills, 2003.
"A Note On Busetti–Harvey Tests For Stationarity In Series With Structural Breaks,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 159-164, March.
Cited by:
- Anton Skrobotov, 2013. "Local Structural Trend Break in Stationarity Testing," Working Papers 0074, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2012.
"Bias Correction of KPSS Test with Structural Break for Reducing of Size Distortion,"
Working Papers
0043, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Skrobotov Anton, 2013. "Bias Correction of KPSS Test with Structural Break for Reducing of Size Distortion," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 33-61, December.
- Su, Chi-Wei & Tsangyao, Chang & Chang, Hsu-Ling, 2011. "Purchasing power parity for fifteen Latin American countries: Stationary test with a Fourier function," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 839-845, October.
- Jerome Geyer‐Klingeberg & Andreas W. Rathgeber, 2021. "Determinants of the WTI‐Brent price spread revisited," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 736-757, May.
- Anton Skrobotov, 2012. "Bias Correction of KPSS Test with Structural Break for Reducing of Size Distortion - in Russian," Working Papers 0044, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2012.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2003.
"How great are the great ratios?,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 163-177.
Cited by:
- Cliff L. F. Attfield & Jonathan R. W. Temple, 2006.
"Balanced growth and the great ratios: new evidence for the US and UK,"
Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series
75, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Attfield, Cliff & Temple, Jonathan R.W., 2010. "Balanced growth and the great ratios: New evidence for the US and UK," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 937-956, December.
- Kapetanios, George & Millard, Stephen & Petrova, Katerina & Price, Simon, 2019.
"Time-varying cointegration and the UK great ratios,"
Bank of England working papers
789, Bank of England.
- Kapetanios, George & Millard, Stephen & Price, Simon & Petrova, Katerina, 2018. "Time varying cointegration and the UK Great Ratios," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 23320, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- George Kapetanios & Stephen Millard & Katerina Petrova & Simon Price, 2018. "Time varying cointegration and the UK great ratios," CAMA Working Papers 2018-53, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ivan D. Trofimov, 2017. "Capital Productivity In Industrialised Economies: Evidence From Error-Correction Model And Lagrange Multiplier Tests," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 62(215), pages 53-80, October –.
- Chang, Juin-Jen & Lin, Chang-Ching & Lin, Hsieh-Yu, 2016. "Great ratios and international openness," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 110-121.
- Menyah, Kojo & Wolde-Rufael, Yemane, 2010. "Energy consumption, pollutant emissions and economic growth in South Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1374-1382, November.
- M.S.Rafiq, 2006. "Great Ratios, Balanced Growth and Stochastic Trends: Evidence for the Euro Area," Discussion Paper Series 2006_20, Department of Economics, Loughborough University.
- Hong Li & Vince Daly, 2009. "Testing the balanced growth hypothesis: evidence from China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 185-200, September.
- Herzer, Dierk & Kemper, Niels & Zamparelli, Luca, 2009.
"Balanced growth and structural breaks: Evidence for Germany,"
MPRA Paper
14944, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Niels Kemper & Dierk Herzer & Luca Zamparelli, 2011. "Balanced growth and structural breaks: evidence for Germany," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 409-424, April.
- Don Harding, 2020. "Econometric Foundations of the Great Ratios of Economics," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-300, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
- Ekaterina Ponomareva & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexandr Knobel, 2012. "Factors of Economic Growth," Published Papers 172, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
- Luca Zamparelli, 2011. "Induced Innovation, Endogenous Growth, and Income Distribution: a Model along Classical Lines," Working Papers CELEG 1102, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
- M.S.Rafiq, 2006. "Business Cycle Moderation - Good Policies or Good Luck: Evidence and Explanations for the Euro Area," Discussion Paper Series 2006_21, Department of Economics, Loughborough University.
- Claude Lopez & Javier Reyes, 2009.
"Stationary properties of the real interest rate and the per-capita consumption growth rate: empirical evidence for theoretical arguments,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(13), pages 1643-1651.
- Claude Lopez & Javier Reyes, 2005. "Real Interest Rate Stationarity and Per Capita Consumption Growth Rate," University of Cincinnati, Economics Working Papers Series 2005-02, University of Cincinnati, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2007.
- Kapetanios, George & Millard, Stephen & Petrova, Katerina & Price, Simon, 2020. "Time-varying cointegration with an application to the UK Great Ratios," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
- Diego Romero-Avila, 2008. "A confirmatory analysis of the unit root hypothesis for OECD consumption-income ratios," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(17), pages 2271-2278.
- Camarero, Mariam & Picazo-Tadeo, Andrés J. & Tamarit, Cecilio, 2008. "Is the environmental performance of industrialized countries converging? A 'SURE' approach to testing for convergence," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(4), pages 653-661, July.
- Trofimov, Ivan D., 2017. "Capital productivity in industrialized economies: evidence from error-correction model and Lagrange Multiplier tests," MPRA Paper 81655, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Arjun & Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra, 2024. "Testing the Balanced Growth Hypothesis in the Presence of Structural Breaks: Evidence from Developed and Developing Countries," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2024(1), pages 1-35.
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- Romero-Ávila, Diego, 2009. "Are OECD consumption-income ratios stationary after all?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 107-117, January.
- Mark J. HOLMES & Xin SHEN, 2015. "On Wealth Volatility, Asymmetries And The Average Propensity To Consume In The United States," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 15(1), pages 69-78.
- Cliff L. F. Attfield & Jonathan R. W. Temple, 2006.
"Balanced growth and the great ratios: new evidence for the US and UK,"
Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series
75, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- David Harvey & Terence Mills, 2002.
"Unit roots and double smooth transitions,"
Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(5), pages 675-683.
Cited by:
- He, Changli & Sandberg, Rickard, 2005. "Dickey-Fuller Type of Tests against Nonlinear Dynamic Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 580, Stockholm School of Economics.
- Li, Yushu & Shukur, Ghazi, 2009.
"Testing for Unit Root against LSTAR model – wavelet improvements under GARCH distortion,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Institutions of Innovation
184, Royal Institute of Technology, CESIS - Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies.
- Li, Yushu & Shukur, Ghazi, 2009. "Testing for Unit Root against LSTAR Model: Wavelet Improvement under GARCH Distortion," CAFO Working Papers 2009:6, Linnaeus University, Centre for Labour Market Policy Research (CAFO), School of Business and Economics.
- Rickard Sandberg, 2018. "Unit Root Testing in Multiple Smooth Break Models with Nonlinear Dynamics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 942-952, November.
- Francisco Estrada & Pierre Perron, "undated". "Detection and attribution of climate change through econometric methods," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-015, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Dukpa Kim & Tatsushi Oka & Francisco Estrada & Pierre Perron, 2017.
"Inference Related to Common Breaks in a Multivariate System with Joined Segmented Trends with Applications to Global and Hemispheric Temperatures,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2018-015, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Apr 2018.
- Dukpa Kim & Tatsushi Oka & Francisco Estrada & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Inference Related to Common Breaks in a Multivariate System with Joined Segmented Trends with Applications to Global and Hemispheric Temperatures," Papers 1805.09937, arXiv.org.
- Kim, Dukpa & Oka, Tatsushi & Estrada, Francisco & Perron, Pierre, 2020. "Inference related to common breaks in a multivariate system with joined segmented trends with applications to global and hemispheric temperatures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 130-152.
- Holt, Matthew T. & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2020.
"Global hemispheric temperatures and co-shifting: A vector shifting-mean autoregressive analysis,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 198-215.
- Matthew T. Holt & Timo Teräsvirta, 2017. "Global Hemispheric Temperatures and Co–Shifting: A Vector Shifting–Mean Autoregressive Analysis," CREATES Research Papers 2017-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Richard S. J. Tol & Francisco Estrada & Carlos Gay-García, 2012. "The persistence of shocks in GDP and the estimation of the potential economic costs of climate change," Working Paper Series 4312, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
- Paraskevi Salamaliki & Ioannis Venetis, 2014. "Smooth transition trends and labor force participation rates in the United States," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 629-652, March.
- Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Hsieh, Chun-Kuei, 2021. "Facing up to the polysemy of purchasing power parity: New international evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 247-265.
- Sandberg, Rickard, 2016. "Trends, unit roots, structural changes, and time-varying asymmetries in U.S. macroeconomic data: the Stock and Watson data re-examined," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 699-713.
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- Hepsag, Aycan, 2017. "New unit root tests with two smooth breaks and nonlinear adjustment," MPRA Paper 83353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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- Robert Sollis, 2005. "Evidence on purchasing power parity from univariate models: the case of smooth transition trend‐stationarity," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 79-98, January.
- Robert Sollis, 2005.
"Evidence on purchasing power parity from univariate models: the case of smooth transition trend-stationarity,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 79-98.
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- Terence C. Mills & David I. Harvey, 2003. "Modelling trends in central England temperatures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 35-47.
- Terence C. Mills, 2007. "Time series modelling of two millennia of northern hemisphere temperatures: long memory or shifting trends?," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 170(1), pages 83-94, January.
- Noriega Antonio E. & Rodríguez-Pérez Cid Alonso, 2011. "Stationarity, structural breaks, and economic growth in Mexico: 1895-2008," Working Papers 2011-11, Banco de México.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Newbold, Paul, 2002.
"Seasonal unit root tests with seasonal mean shifts,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 295-302, July.
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"On LM‐type tests for seasonal unit roots in the presence of a break in trend,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 108-134, March.
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"Unit Root Tests In The Presence Of Multiple Breaks In Variance,"
The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(02), pages 345-361, June.
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"Unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks,"
Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 4, pages 61-94,
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- Virtanen, Timo & Tölö, Eero & Virén, Matti & Taipalus, Katja, 2016. "Use of unit root methods in early warning of financial crises," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 27/2016, Bank of Finland.
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"Heteroskedasticity-robust unit root testing for trending panels,"
University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics
314, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
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- Virtanen, Timo & Tölö, Eero & Virén, Matti & Taipalus, Katja, 2017. "Use of unit root methods in early warning of financial crises," ESRB Working Paper Series 45, European Systemic Risk Board.
- D. Ventosa-Santaul a & M. G -Zald & F. H. Wallace, 2015.
"The real exchange rate, regime changes and volatility shifts,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(24), pages 2445-2454, May.
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- Tomás Barrio & Mariam Camarero & Cecilio Tamarit, 2019. "Testing for Periodic Integration with a Changing Mean," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 45-75, June.
- Luis C. Nunes & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2011.
"On LM‐type tests for seasonal unit roots in the presence of a break in trend,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 108-134, March.
- Harvey, David I. & Mills, Terence C., 2002.
"Common features in UK sectoral output,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 91-104, January.
Cited by:
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"Common Trends and Common Cycles in Canadian Sectoral Output,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
214, Society for Computational Economics.
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- Harvey, David I. & Mills, Terence C., 2005. "Corrigendum to ''Common features in UK sectoral output'': [Economic Modelling 19 (2002) 91-104]," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 207-211, January.
- Mills, Terence C. & Crafts, Nicholas F. R., 2004. "Sectoral output trends and cycles in Victorian Britain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 217-232, March.
- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Thuraisamy, Kannan S., 2013. "Common trends and common cycles in stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 472-476.
- Christoph Schleicher & Francisco Barillas, 2005.
"Common Trends and Common Cycles in Canadian Sectoral Output,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
214, Society for Computational Economics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2001.
"Innovational Outlier Unit Root Tests With an Endogenously Determined Break in Level,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 63(5), pages 559-575, December.
Cited by:
- Kojo Menyah & Yemane Wolde-Rufael, 2012. "Wagner'S Law Revisited: A Note From South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 80(2), pages 200-208, June.
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"Minimum LM Unit Root Test with One Structural Break,"
Working Papers
04-17, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
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- Junsoo Lee & Mark C. Strazicich, 2013. "Minimum LM unit root test with one structural break," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(4), pages 2483-2492.
- David I. Harvey & Terence C. Mills, 2004. "Tests for Stationarity in Series with Endogenously Determined Structural Change," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(5), pages 863-894, December.
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"Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series: A reappraisal,"
Post-Print
hal-00956937, HAL.
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"Unit root tests allowing for a break in the trend function at an unknown time under both the null and alternative hypotheses,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 148(1), pages 1-13, January.
- Mohitosh Kejriwal & Pierre Perron, 2006. "Unit Root Tests Allowing for a Break in the Trend Function at an Unknown Time Under Both the Null and Alternative Hypotheses," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2006-052, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
- Popp, Stephan, 2007. "Identification of the true break date in innovational outlier unit root tests," IBES Diskussionsbeiträge 152, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute of Business and Economic Studie (IBES).
- Josep Lluís Carrion‐i‐Silvestre & María Dolores Gadea, 2023. "Testing for multiple level shifts with an integrated or stationary noise component," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 801-819, September.
- Popp, Stephan, 2007. "Modified seasonal unit root test with seasonal level shifts at unknown time," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 111-117, November.
- Mendez Parra, Maximiliano, 2015. "Seasonal Unit Roots and Structural Breaks in agricultural time series: Monthly exports and domestic supply in Argentina," MPRA Paper 63831, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Apr 2015.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Urga, Giovanni, 2005. "Modelling structural breaks, long memory and stock market volatility: an overview," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 129(1-2), pages 1-34.
- Narayan, Paresh & Popp, Stephan, 2009.
"A new unit root test with two structural breaks in level and slope at unknown time,"
Working Papers
eco_2009_11, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
- Paresh Kumar Narayan & Stephan Popp, 2010. "A new unit root test with two structural breaks in level and slope at unknown time," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(9), pages 1425-1438.
- Méndez Parra, Maximiliano, 2015. "Futures prices, trade and domestic supply of agricultural commodities," Economics PhD Theses 0115, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
- Luis C. Nunes, 2004. "LM-Type tests for a Unit Root Allowing for a Break in Trend," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 190, Econometric Society.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Newbold, Paul, 2002. "Seasonal unit root tests with seasonal mean shifts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 295-302, July.
- Michael Princ, 2016. "Structural Distress Index: Structural Break Analysis of the Czech and Polish Stock Markets," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(3), pages 125-137.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2001.
"Analysis of a panel of UK macroeconomic forecasts,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 4(1), pages 37-55.
Cited by:
- Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel, 2014.
"Forecast revisions of Mexican inflation and GDP growth,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 177-191.
- López Moctezuma Gabriel & Capistrán Carlos, 2010. "Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth," Working Papers 2010-11, Banco de México.
- Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2012.
"Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1081-1096, November.
- Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Slacalek, Jiri, 2009. "Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries," Working Paper Series 1082, European Central Bank.
- Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2009. "Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200906, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Jan-Egbert Sturm & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008.
"The Stress of Having a Single Monetary Policy in Europe,"
KOF Working papers
08-190, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Jan-Egbert Sturm & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008. "The Stress of Having a Single Monetary Policy in Europe," CESifo Working Paper Series 2251, CESifo.
- Kajal Lahiri & Gultekin Isiklar, 2010. "Estimating International Transmission of Shocks Using GDP Forecasts: India and Its Trading Partners," Discussion Papers 10-06, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Jordi Pons-Novell, 2004. "Behavioural biases among interest rate forecasters?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(5), pages 319-321.
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"How far ahead can we forecast? Evidence from cross-country surveys,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 167-187.
- Kajal Lahiri & Gultekin Isiklar, 2006. "How Far Ahead Can We Forecast? Evidence From Cross-country Surveys," Discussion Papers 06-04, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Gultekin Isiklar, 2004.
"On aggregation bias in fixed-event forecast efficiency tests,"
Econometrics
0412011, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Dec 2004.
- Isiklar, Gultekin, 2005. "On aggregation bias in fixed-event forecast efficiency tests," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 89(3), pages 312-316, December.
- Masahiro Ashiya, 2006. "Testing the rationality of forecast revisions made by the IMF and the OECD," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 25-36.
- Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Does The Market Anticipate Smoothing In Usda Crop Production Forecasts?," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20145, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Ager, Philipp & Kappler, Marcus & Osterloh, Steffen, 2007.
"The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
07-058, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Ager, P. & Kappler, M. & Osterloh, S., 2009. "The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 167-181.
- Stefan Günnel & Karl-Heinz Tödter, 2009. "Does Benford’s Law hold in economic research and forecasting?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 273-292, August.
- Chen, Qiwei & Costantini, Mauro & Deschamps, Bruno, 2016. "How accurate are professional forecasts in Asia? Evidence from ten countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 154-167.
- Harvey, David I. & Newbold, Paul, 2003. "The non-normality of some macroeconomic forecast errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 635-653.
- Gultekin Isiklar & Kajal Lahiri & Prakash Loungani, 2006.
"How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross‐country surveys,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 703-725, September.
- Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal & Loungani, Prakash, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," MPRA Paper 22065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kajal Lahiri & Gultekin Isiklar & Prakash Loungani, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 703-725.
- Iregui, Ana María & Núñez, Héctor M. & Otero, Jesús, 2021. "Testing the efficiency of inflation and exchange rate forecast revisions in a changing economic environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 290-314.
- Bruno Deschamps & Christos Ioannidis, 2014. "The Efficiency of Multivariate Macroeconomic Forecasts," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 82(5), pages 509-523, September.
- Jonas Dovern & Johannes Weisser, 2009.
"Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7,"
Jena Economics Research Papers
2009-091, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465, April.
- Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465.
- Jordi Pons-Novell, 2003. "Strategic bias, herding behaviour and economic forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 67-77.
- Jordi Pons-Novell, 2006. "An analysis of a panel of Spanish GDP forecasts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(11), pages 1287-1292.
- Deschamps, Bruno & Ioannidis, Christos, 2013. "Can rational stubbornness explain forecast biases?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 141-151.
- Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad, 2014. "Usda And Private Analysts' Forecasts Of Ending Stocks: How Good Are They?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170642, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Lahiri, Kajal & Sheng, Xuguang, 2008. "Evolution of forecast disagreement in a Bayesian learning model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 325-340, June.
- Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel, 2014.
"Forecast revisions of Mexican inflation and GDP growth,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 177-191.
- David Harvey & Paul Newbold, 2000.
"Tests for multiple forecast encompassing,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(5), pages 471-482.
Cited by:
- Christopher Gibbs, 2015.
"Forecast Combination, Non-linear Dynamics, and the Macroeconomy,"
Discussion Papers
2015-05, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Christopher G. Gibbs, 2017. "Forecast combination, non-linear dynamics, and the macroeconomy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 63(3), pages 653-686, March.
- Manfredo, Mark R. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2003. "Minimum Variance Hedging And The Encompassing Principle: Assessing The Effectiveness Of Futures Hedges," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22247, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2008.
"Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets,"
NBER Working Papers
14601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2010. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 574-594.
- Hubrich, Kirstin & West, Kenneth D., 2009. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Working Paper Series 1030, European Central Bank.
- Kannika Duangnate & James W. Mjelde, 2020. "Prequential forecasting in the presence of structure breaks in natural gas spot markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2363-2384, November.
- Bentes, Sonia R. & Menezes, Rui, 2013. "On the predictability of realized volatility using feasible GLS," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 58-66.
- Curto, José Dias & Serrasqueiro, Pedro, 2022. "Averaging financial ratios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
- Khalaf, Lynda & Saunders, Charles J., 2017. "Monte Carlo forecast evaluation with persistent data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 1-10.
- Bessler, David & Kibriya, Shahriar & Chen, Junyi & Price, Ed, 2014.
"On Forecasting Conflict in Sudan: 2009-2012,"
MPRA Paper
60069, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David A. Bessler & Shahriar Kibriya & Junyi Chen & Edwin Price, 2016. "On Forecasting Conflict in the Sudan: 2009–2012," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 179-188, March.
- Roccazzella, Francesco & Candelon, Bertrand, 2022. "Should we care about ECB inflation expectations?," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- El-Shagi, Makram, 2011. "Inflation expectations: Does the market beat econometric forecasts?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 298-319.
- Saša ŽIKOVIÆ & Randall K. FILER, 2013.
"Ranking of VaR and ES Models: Performance in Developed and Emerging Markets,"
Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(4), pages 327-359, August.
- Sasa Zikovic & Randall Filer, 2012. "Ranking of VaR and ES Models: Performance in Developed and Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 3980, CESifo.
- Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E. & White, Scott I., 2006. "On the informational efficiency of S&P500 implied volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 139-153, August.
- Gunter, Ulrich & Önder, Irem, 2016. "Forecasting city arrivals with Google Analytics," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 199-212.
- Siliverstovs, B. & van Dijk, D.J.C., 2003. "Forecasting industrial production with linear, nonlinear, and structural change models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2003-16, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Costantini, Mauro & Gunter, Ulrich & Kunst, Robert M., 2012. "Forecast Combination Based on Multiple Encompassing Tests in a Macroeconomic DSGE-VAR System," Economics Series 292, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Rapach, David E. & Strauss, Jack K., 2012. "Forecasting US state-level employment growth: An amalgamation approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 315-327.
- Bos, Charles S. & Franses, Philip Hans & Ooms, Marius, 2002.
"Inflation, forecast intervals and long memory regression models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 243-264.
- Charles S. Bos & Philip Hans Franses & Marius Ooms, 2001. "Inflation, Forecast Intervals and Long Memory Regression Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-029/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Daniel Andrés Jaimes Cárdenas & jair Ojeda Joya, 2010. "Reglas de Taylor y previsibilidad fuera de muestra de la tasa de cambio en Latinoamérica," Borradores de Economia 7308, Banco de la Republica.
- Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Predictive Ability of Competing Models for South Africa’s Fixed Business Non- Residential Investment Spending," Working Papers 201229, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017.
"Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples,"
Discussion Papers
17/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2017. "Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 833-847.
- Frommel, Michael & MacDonald, Ronald & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2005.
"Markov switching regimes in a monetary exchange rate model,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 485-502, May.
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- Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E. & White, Scott I., 2007. "Does implied volatility provide any information beyond that captured in model-based volatility forecasts?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 2535-2549, August.
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"Model selection for forecast combination,"
Econometric Institute Research Papers
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"Climate Risks and U.S. Stock-Market Tail Risks: A Forecasting Experiment Using over a Century of Data,"
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"Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples,"
Discussion Papers
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"Encompassing Tests for Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Multi-Step Forecasts based on Inference on the Boundary,"
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- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2011.
"Combining probability forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 208-223.
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