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Content
April 2015, Volume 50, Issue 2
- 49-50 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 51-56 Thoughts about Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Postinflation World
by Alice M Rivlin - 57-60 The Decline in the Natural Rate of Interest
by John C Williams - 61-66 Progress and Challenges for International Financial Reform
by Nathan Sheets & Michael Pisa - 67-74 Central Banks: Confronting the Hard Truths Discovered and Tough Choices Ahead
by Philipp Hildebrand - 75-79 Transfer Pricing for the Rest of Us
by Constance L Hunter & Thomas Herr & Marcus Heyland - 80-90 Time-Series Momentum Trading Strategies in the Global Stock Market
by Gagari Chakrabarti - 91-95 Opportunities and Challenges Facing the Bureau of Labor Statistics
by Erica L Groshen - 96-100 International Economics in the Automotive Industry
by David P Teolis - 101-108 The Home Improvement, Maintenance, and Repair Industry
by Emil B Berendt - 109-110 Open Secret: The Global Banking Conspiracy That Swindled Investors Out of Billions
by William C Dunkelberg - 110-112 Trillion Dollar Economists: How Economists and Their Ideas Have Transformed Business
by Douglas J Lamdin
January 2015, Volume 50, Issue 1
- 1-2 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 3-11 An Interview With Ben S. Bernanke
by Ben S Bernanke & Kai Ryssdal - 12-19 An Ordered Probit Approach to Predicting the Probability of Inflation/Deflation
by John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal - 20-24 How to Curb Short-Termism in Corporate America
by Robert C Pozen - 25-33 The Impact of a Rising Dollar on the U.S. Economy
by Joel L Prakken & Chris P Varvares - 34-38 Banking and the Real Economy
by Ed Clark - 39-44 Estimating the Impact of NABE Member Characteristics on Compensation
by Christopher Swann & Anessa Custovic - 45-46 House of Debt: How They (and You) Caused the Great Recession, and How We can Prevent It from Happening Again
by Derk A Wilcox - 47-48 Bootleggers and Baptists: How Economic Forces and Moral Persuasion Interact to Shape Regulatory Politics
by Gerald L Musgrave
October 2014, Volume 49, Issue 4
- 205-206 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 207-210 Strategies for NABE’s Long Term
by Jack Kleinhenz - 211-226 An Econometric Study of Quits Rate Trends in the United States since the Great Recession: Cyclical Movement or Structural Change?
by Didier Bruneel & Stephen Juneau & Simiao Wang - 227-243 The Risk of Future Labor Shortages in Different Occupations and Industries in the United States
by Gad Levanon & Ben Cheng & Michael Paterra - 244-252 Is Fiscal Stimulus a Good Idea?
by Ray C Fair - 253-262 Is the Fed Funds Rate Still Effective?
by John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal - 263-270 Confronting the Gray Market Problem
by Peggy E Chaudhry - 271-281 An Overview of the U.S. Regulated Fund Industry
by Brian Reid & Emily Gallagher - 282-283 Tyler Cowen, Average Is Over: Powering America beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation
by John C Goodman - 284-286 Thomas Piketty, Capital in the Twenty-First Century
by Devon M Herrick
July 2014, Volume 49, Issue 3
- 141-141 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 142-148 CBO’s Outlook for the Economy in February 2014
by Douglas W Elmendorf - 149-155 The Labor Market in the Aftermath of the Great Recession
by Mary C Daly & Elliot M Marks - 156-175 The Economics of Japan’s Stagnation
by Tanweer Akram - 176-190 State Income Taxes and Interstate Migration
by Roger Cohen & Andrew Lai & Charles Steindel - 191-193 Economics at Work in an Economic Development Organization
by Patrick Jankowski - 194-200 The Coatings Industry—Beautifying, Protecting, and Preserving the Nation’s Assets
by H Allen Irish - 201-202 Stress Test: Reflections on the Financial Crisis
by Diane C Swonk - 203-204 Mass Flourishing: How Grassroots Innovation Created Jobs, Challenge, and Change
by Derk A Wilcox
April 2014, Volume 49, Issue 2
- 63-64 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 65-73 U.S. Economic Prospects: Secular Stagnation, Hysteresis, and the Zero Lower Bound
by Lawrence H Summers - 74-84 Central Banking in the Crisis: Conceptual Convergence and Open Questions on Unconventional Monetary Policy
by Jean-Claude Trichet - 85-91 Time to Close the Opportunity Gap
by Kevin Brady - 92-98 Central Banks and Macroeconomic Ambidexterity
by Andrew G Haldane - 99-103 Remarks on Banking Reform
by Thomas M Hoenig - 104-113 Another Look at the Case for International Diversification
by Mark J Purdy & Kuangyi Wei - 114-121 Economics at the American Chemistry Council
by Thomas Kevin Swift - 122-126 Business Economics and the Printing Industry
by Ronnie H Davis - 127-135 Initial Results of the 2012 Economic Census
by Robert P Parker - 136-137 The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America
by Devon M Herrick - 137-139 The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality
by W Steven Barnett
January 2014, Volume 49, Issue 1
- 1-1 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 2-20 Persistent Unemployment and Policy Uncertainty: Numerical Evidence from a New Approach
by Patrick L Anderson - 21-26 The Economic Recovery Five Years after the Financial Crisis
by James H Stock - 27-31 Beyond Big Data
by Hal R Varian - 32-45 Financial Performance in Manufacturing Firms: A Comparison Between Parametric and Non-Parametric Approaches
by Eleonora Bartoloni & Maurizio Baussola - 46-58 The Evolving Global Wine Market
by Barbara Insel - 59-60 The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting
by Diane C Swonk - 61-62 Firm Commitment: Why the Corporation is Failing Us and How to Restore Trust in It
by Thomas A Hemphill
October 2013, Volume 48, Issue 4
- 207-207 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 208-213 Financial Services and the Trust Deficit: Why the Industry Should Make Better Governance a Top Priority
by Roger W. Ferguson Jr. - 214-223 Small Business Borrowing and the Bifurcated Economy: Why Quantitative Easing Has Been Ineffective for Small Business
by Michael J. Chow & William C. Dunkelberg - 224-230 Bubbles Tomorrow and Bubbles Yesterday, but Never Bubbles Today?
by John C Williams - 231-245 Commodity Markets and Commodity Mutual Funds
by L Christopher Plantier - 246-259 Professional Occupations, Knowledge-Driven Firms, and Entrepreneurship: A National and Regional Analysis
by Andrew C Gross & Mark Holtzblatt & Raj Javalgi & Jozsef Poor & Emeric Solymossy - 260-262 Economics in a Major Bank
by John E. Silvia - 263-264 Balance: The Economics of Great Powers from Ancient Rome to Modern America
by John C Goodman - 264-265 Red Ink: Inside the High-Stakes Politics of the Federal Budget
by Devon M Herrick
July 2013, Volume 48, Issue 3
- 147-148 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 149-154 Commentary and Dialog with Paul Volcker
by Paul Volcker & Steve Liesman & Kenneth D Simonson - 155-162 The Effectiveness of Central Bank Independence vs. Policy Rules
by John B Taylor - 163-165 Financial Crises and Central Bank Independence
by Alan S Blinder - 167-173 A Credible Path for Ending Too Big to Fail
by Richard Fisher & Harvey Rosenblum - 175-181 Crises and the Great Recession
by John A Tatom - 183-193 The Effect of State Corporate Income Tax Rate Cuts on Job Creation
by Xiaobing Shuai & Christine Chmura - 195-201 The Trucking Industry: The Lynchpin of the U.S. Economy
by Bob Costello - 203-204 James Owen Weatherall, The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable
by Gerald L Musgrave - 205-206 Tomas Sedlacek, Economics of Good and Evil: The Quest for Economic Meaning from Gilgamesh to Wall Street
by Jan Kmenta
April 2013, Volume 48, Issue 2
- 87-88 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 89-95 A Dialog with George Soros
by George Soros & Anatole Kaletsky - 96-103 What's Wrong With the Federal Reserve: What Would Restore Independence?
by Allan H Meltzer - 104-107 Federal Reserve Independence in the Aftermath of the Financial Crisis: Should We Be Worried?
by Donald Kohn - 108-112 The Road Ahead: The Graying of America and its Implications for Finance and the Economy
by Roger W Ferguson Jr - 113-120 Forecasting the Downturn of the Great Recession
by Herman O Stekler & Raj M Talwar - 121-133 Looking Ahead: Opportunities and Challenges for U.S. Manufacturers
by Chad Moutray & Kevin Swift - 134-139 The Transition from a Major Commercial Bank to a Privately Held Financial Services Firm
by Diane Swonk - 140-142 Evidence on the Growing Profit Disconnect between the Public's Views of Corporate America
by Charles F Beauchamp & William F Ford & Douglas M Tatum - 143-144 June E. O’Neill and Dave M. O’Neill, The Declining Importance of Race and Gender in the Labor Market
by John C Goodman - 144-146 Robert Sirico, Defending the Free Market: The Moral Case for a Free Economy
by Merrill Matthews
February 2013, Volume 48, Issue 1
- 1-1 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 2-7 In Search of System Understanding and Control
by Gene Huang - 8-28 Real-Time Forecasting Revisited: Letting the Data Decide
by Jackson Kitchen & John Kitchen - 29-41 Is Productivity Growth Too Strong For Our Own Good?
by Mark Vitner & Azhar Iqbal - 42-57 Connecting U.S. Health Expenditures with the Health Sector Workforce
by Ani Turner & Paul Hughes-Cromwick - 58-66 Using Event Studies to Assess the Impact of Unexpected Events
by James V Koch & Robert N Fenili - 67-76 Relative Intragenerational Economic Mobility: A Cross-Period Analysis from 1968 to 2009
by John E Silvia & Tim Quinlan & Joseph Seydl - 77-80 Finance Contributing to the Good Society
by Robert J Shiller - 81-82 John C. Goodman, Priceless: Curing the Healthcare Crisis
by Linda Gorman - 82-84 Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don’t
by Ken Simonson
November 2012, Volume 47, Issue 4
- 233-233 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 234-249 The Myths and Facts of Patent Troll and Excessive Payment: Have Nonpracticing Entities (NPEs) Been Overcompensated?
by Jiaqing “Jack” Lu - 250-261 A Comparison of Consensus and BVAR Macroeconomic Forecasts
by John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal - 262-272 Predictability of Financial Crises: Lessons from Sweden for Other Countries
by Hubert Fromlet - 273-284 Keynesian Fiscal Stimulus: What Have We Learned from the Great Recession?
by Laurence S Seidman - 285-296 The Global Engineering Consultancy Market
by Andrew C Gross - 297-301 The Biases that Limit Our Thinking about the Economic Outlook and Policy☆
by John E Silvia - 302-303 Michael S. Hyatt, Platform: Get Noticed in a Noisy World
by W Steven Barnett & Jen Fitzgerald - 303-305 John B. Taylor, First Principles: Five Keys to Restoring America's Prosperity
by Jesse S Hixson
July 2012, Volume 47, Issue 3
- 159-160 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 161-164 Choices for Federal Spending and Taxes
by Douglas W Elmendorf - 165-176 Perpetuating Puffery: An Analysis of the Composition of OMB's Reported Benefits of Regulation
by Susan E Dudley - 177-189 Tough Love: The True Nature of the Eurozone Crisis
by Holger Schmieding - 190-192 Economic Sanctions Against Iran: Is the Third Decade a Charm?
by Jeffrey J Schott - 193-196 Musings on the Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Price Increases
by Chris Varvares - 197-201 Impact of a Middle East Oil Export Disruption
by Philip K Verleger Jr - 202-213 Medical Malpractice Liability and Physician Migration
by John J Perry & Christopher Clark - 214-227 Toward a More Comprehensive Measure of Labor Underutilization: The Alabama Case
by Samuel N Addy & Michaël Bonnal & Cristina Lira - 228-229 Michael Grabell, Money Well Spent? The Truth Behind the Trillion-Dollar Stimulus, the Biggest Economic Recovery Plan in History
by Ken Simonson - 230-231 Eamonn Butler, Milton Friedman: A Concise Guide to the Ideas and Influence of the Free-Market Economist
by John C Goodman
April 2012, Volume 47, Issue 2
- 89-89 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 90-96 On the Importance of Education
by Richard L Wobbekind - 97-103 What Small Countries Can Teach the World
by Jeffrey Frankel - 104-118 Disentangling Beta and Value Premium Using Macroeconomic Risk Factors
by William Espe & Pradosh Simlai - 119-125 The Long Wave Revisited
by Thomas W Synnott - 126-147 A U.S. Manufacturing Strategy for the 21st Century: What Policies Yield National Sector Competitiveness?
by Thomas A Hemphill & Mark J Perry - 148-154 Interpreting the Performance of Business Economists During the Great Recession
by Kathryn Lundquist & Herman O Stekler - 155-156 Paula Szuchman and Jenny Anderson, Spousonomics: Using Economics to Master Love, Marriage and Dirty Dishes
by Gerald Musgrave - 156-158 John E. Silvia, Dynamic Economic Decision Making
by George A Fulton & Daniil Manaenkov
January 2012, Volume 47, Issue 1
- 1-1 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 2-13 What Can the Developed World Learn from the Latin American Debt and Mexican Peso Crisis?
by Guillermo Ortiz - 14-26 “Real-Feel” Inflation: Quantitative Estimation of Inflation Perceptions
by Michael J Ashton - 27-56 How Does the FOMC Learn About Economic Revolutions? Evidence from the New Economy Era, 1994–2001
by Richard G Anderson & Kevin L Kliesen - 57-67 State Minimum Wage Differences: Economic Factors or Political Inclinations?
by William F Ford & Travis Minor & Mark F Owens - 68-81 Constructing Global Production Activity Indices: The Chemical Industry
by Saswati Mahapatra & Thomas K Swift - 82-83 Economists in a World of Shaky Recovery
by Richard Koss - 84-85 Jeffrey G. Williamson, Trade and Poverty: When the Third World Fell Behind
by Jan Kmenta - 86-87 William J. Holstein, The Next American Economy: Blueprint for a Real Recovery
by Thomas A Hemphill
October 2011, Volume 46, Issue 4
- 189-190 From the Editor
by Robert Crow - 191-194 Nightmare on Kaiserstrasse
by Kenneth Rogoff - 195-213 U.S. Workers Delaying Retirement: Who and Why and Implications for Businesses
by Gad Levanon & Ben Cheng - 214-228 The Small Business Sector in Recent Recoveries
by Michael J Chow & William C Dunkelberg - 229-238 An Economic Perspective on Patent Licensing Structure and Provisions
by Thomas R Varner - 239-248 Rising Crude Oil Prices: The Link to Environmental Regulations
by Philip K Verleger - 249-259 Electric Power Transmission and Distribution Equipment
by David A Petina & Michael Murphy & Andrew C Gross - 260-261 Kajal Lahiri, Transportation Indicators and Business Cycles
by John E Silvia - 261-263 Timothy J. Bartik, Investing in Kids: Early Childhood Programs and Local Economic Development
by W Steven Barnett
September 2011, Volume 46, Issue 3
- 131-132 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 133-138 The Prospects for the U.S. Economy and Its Major Issues: A View from the Council of Economic Advisers
by Austan Goolsbee - 139-143 Four Observations about the Federal Budget
by Douglas W Elmendorf - 144-153 World War II to 2011: Changes and Challenges in the Global Economy
by Robert Hormats & Ariel M Ratner - 154-158 Can the United States Transform Itself Into an Exporting Juggernaut?
by C Fred Bergsten - 159-162 Will the Health Care Cost Curve be Bent? Where We Stand at the Start of 2011
by Charles S Roehrig - 163-166 Bending and Stretching the Health Care Cost Curve
by Gail R Wilensky - 167-170 Ford Motor Company's Global Electrification Strategy
by Ellen Hughes-Cromwick - 171-184 Economic Challenges in the Clean Energy Supply Chain: The Market for Rare Earth Minerals and Other Critical Inputs
by Nayantara D Hensel - 185-186 Edward Glaeser, Triumph of the City: How Our Greatest Invention Makes Us Richer, Smarter, Greener, Healthier, and Happier
by John C Goodman - 186-188 Tim Harford, Adapt: Why Success Always Starts with Failure
by Gerald L Musgrave
April 2011, Volume 46, Issue 2
- 61-61 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 62-70 Will It Take a Crisis to Fix Fiscal Policy?
by Rudolph G Penner - 71-82 The Margin, Currency, and the Price of Oil
by Philip K Verleger - 83-87 The Economy Today and a Policy Framework for Today and Tomorrow
by Dennis P Lockhart - 88-98 New Orders of Durable Goods Don't Forecast Shipments
by Daniel Bachman - 99-110 Forecasting Recession and Slow-Down Probabilities with Markov Switching Probabilities as Right-Hand-Side Variables
by Gad Levanon - 111-124 Regional Competitiveness: Labor-Management Relations, Workplace Practices, and Workforce Quality
by Jack Kleinhenz & Russ Smith - 125-127 Glenn Hubbard and Peter Navarro, Seeds of Destruction: Why the Path to Economic Ruin Runs through Washington, and How to Reclaim American Prosperity
by Douglas J Lamdin - 127-129 Charles Wheelan, Naked Economics: Undressing the Dismal Science
by Gerald L Musgrave
January 2011, Volume 46, Issue 1
- 1-2 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 3-12 Macroprudential Supervision and Monetary Policy in the Post-crisis World
by Janet L Yellen - 13-16 The Federal Reserve's Mandate: Long Run
by Thomas M Hoenig - 17-21 The “New Economic Reality”: How New and How Real?
by Lynn Reaser - 22-31 The Deeper the Recession, the Stronger the Recovery: Is It Really That Simple?
by Azhar Iqbal & Mark Vitner - 32-42 The Consumer-Driven Economy at a Crossroads
by Robert P Yerex - 43-50 Start-Ups and External Equity: The Role of Entrepreneurial Experience
by Peter A Zaleski - 51-55 Mesirow Financial
by Adolfo Laurenti - 56-57 Laurence Kotlikoff, Jimmy Stewart is Dead: Ending the World's Ongoing Financial Plague with Limited Purpose Banking
by John C Goodman - 57-59 Chip Heath and Dan Heath, Switch
by Gerald L Musgrave
October 2010, Volume 45, Issue 4
- 231-232 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 233-243 Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation
by Ray C Fair - 244-252 A Temporary Federal Discount Program to Stimulate Consumer Spending
by Kenneth Lewis & Laurence Seidman - 253-265 Will the U.S. Auto Market Come Back?
by Ted H Chu & Yingzi Su - 266-276 Fueling the Credit Crisis: Who Uses Consumer Credit and What Drives Debt Burden?
by Diane K Schooley & Debra Drecnik Worden - 277-287 How Biased are Current Measures of Asian Output Growth and Price Change?
by Brooks B Robinson - 288-295 Refractory Materials: The Global Market, The Global Industry
by Michael A Deneen & Andrew C Gross - 296-297 Stephen Roach, Stephen Roach on the Next Asia: Opportunities and Challenges for a New Globalization
by Cliff Tan - 297-299 Gary L. Reback, Free the Market! Why Only Government Can Keep the Marketplace Competitive
by Thomas A Hemphill - 299-300 Henry M. Paulson, On the Brink: Inside the Race to Stop the Collapse of the Global Financial System
by Cliff Tan
July 2010, Volume 45, Issue 3
- 145-146 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 147-151 Is the Global Economy Headed for a Lost Decade? A European Perspective
by Jürgen Stark - 152-157 Labor Markets and Monetary Policy
by Charles L Evans - 158-163 Preparing for a Smooth (Eventual) Exit
by Brian P Sack - 164-173 E-coli, Repo Madness, and the Financial Crisis
by Gary Gorton - 174-186 Inflation and Default Dynamics
by Parul Jain & Leo Kamp - 187-203 Can Industry Consolidation Lead to Greater Efficiencies? Evidence from the U.S. Defense Industry
by Nayantara Hensel - 204-209 Compensation of Economists—Measuring the Market Value of NABE Member Characteristics
by Elizabeth Bernstein & Christopher Swann - 210-223 Do Immigrant Nurses in Canada See a Wage Penalty? An Empirical Study
by Karen J Buhr - 224-225 Nariman Behravesh, Spin-Free Economics—A No-Nonsense, Nonpartisan Guide to Today's Global Economic Debates
by Anthony Clark - 225-227 Scott Patterson, The Quants: How a New Breed of Math Whizzes Conquered Wall Street and Nearly Destroyed It
by Jesse S Hixson