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Volatility forecasting: evidence from a fractional integrated asymmetric power ARCH skewed-t model
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Cited by:
- Nico Katzke & Chris Garbers, 2015. "Do Long Memory and Asymmetries Matter When Assessing Downside Return Risk?," Working Papers 06/2015, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- CHIA-LIN CHANG & MICHAEL McALEER & ROENGCHAI TANSUCHAT, 2012.
"Modelling Long Memory Volatility In Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns,"
Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(02), pages 1-27.
- Roengchai Tansuchat & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-680, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Michael McAleer & Chia-Lin Chang & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2012. "Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Return," KIER Working Papers 817, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Roengchai Tansuchat & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns," CARF F-Series CARF-F-183, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J. & Tansuchat, R., 2012. "Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2012-15, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2012. "Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns," Working Papers in Economics 12/09, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Tansuchat, R. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2009. "Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2009-35, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2012. "Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2012-10, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised May 2012.
- Perry Sadorsky & Michael D. McKenzie, 2008. "Power transformation models and volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(7), pages 587-606.
- Halkos, George & Tzirivis, Apostolos, 2018. "Effective energy commodities’ risk management: Econometric modeling of price volatility," MPRA Paper 90781, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos & Dent, Pamela, 2013.
"Forecasting value-at-risk and expected shortfall using fractionally integrated models of conditional volatility: International evidence,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 21-33.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos & Dent, Pamela, 2013. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall using Fractionally Integrated Models of Conditional Volatility: International Evidence," MPRA Paper 80433, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Youssef, Manel & Belkacem, Lotfi & Mokni, Khaled, 2015. "Value-at-Risk estimation of energy commodities: A long-memory GARCH–EVT approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 99-110.
- repec:awi:wpaper:0472 is not listed on IDEAS
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Hassani, Hossein, 2015. "Forecasting implied volatility indices worldwide: A new approach," MPRA Paper 72084, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2017.
"Forecasting oil price realized volatility using information channels from other asset classes,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 28-49.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2017. "Forecasting oil price realized volatility using information channels from other asset classes," MPRA Paper 96276, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Nieto, Maria Rosa & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "Frontiers in VaR forecasting and backtesting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 475-501.
- Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Mungo, Julius, 2008. "Value-at-risk and expected shortfall when there is long range dependence," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2008-006, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Potamia, Artemis, 2017.
"Multiple-days-ahead value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasting for stock indices, commodities and exchange rates: Inter-day versus intra-day data,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 176-190.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Potamia, Artemis, 2016. "Multiple-days-ahead value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasting for stock indices, commodities and exchange rates: inter-day versus intra-day data," MPRA Paper 74670, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Hassani, Hossein, 2018. "Forecasting global stock market implied volatility indices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 111-129.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2016. "Forecasting oil price realized volatility: A new approach," MPRA Paper 69105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Aloui, Chaker & Mabrouk, Samir, 2010. "Value-at-risk estimations of energy commodities via long-memory, asymmetry and fat-tailed GARCH models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 2326-2339, May.
- Sebastian Letmathe & Yuanhua Feng & André Uhde, 2021. "Semiparametric GARCH models with long memory applied to Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall," Working Papers CIE 141, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
- Angelidis, Timotheos & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2007.
"Backtesting VaR Models: A Τwo-Stage Procedure,"
MPRA Paper
80418, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Angelidis, Timotheos & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2007. "Backtesting VaR Models: A Τwo-Stage Procedure," MPRA Paper 96327, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Cunado & L. A. Gil-Alana & F. Perez de Gracia, 2007. "Testing for stock market bubbles using nonlinear models and fractional integration," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(16), pages 1313-1321.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018.
"Multiple days ahead realized volatility forecasting: Single, combined and average forecasts,"
Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 41-61.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018. "Multiple Days Ahead Realized Volatility Forecasting: Single, Combined and Average Forecasts," MPRA Paper 96272, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wei, Yu & Wang, Yudong & Huang, Dengshi, 2010. "Forecasting crude oil market volatility: Further evidence using GARCH-class models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1477-1484, November.
- Conrad, Christian & Karanasos, Menelaos & Zeng, Ning, 2011. "Multivariate fractionally integrated APARCH modeling of stock market volatility: A multi-country study," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 147-159, January.
- Thierry Ane, 2006. "Short and long term components of volatility in Hong Kong stock returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 439-460.
- Brooks, Robert, 2007. "Power arch modelling of the volatility of emerging equity markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 124-133, May.
- Timotheos Angelidis & Stavros Degiannakis, 2007. "Backtesting VaR Models: An Expected Shortfall Approach," Working Papers 0701, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
- Stavros Degiannakis & Evdokia Xekalaki, 2007.
"Assessing the performance of a prediction error criterion model selection algorithm in the context of ARCH models,"
Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 149-171.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Xekalaki, Evdokia, 2007. "Assessing the Performance of a Prediction Error Criterion Model Selection Algorithm in the Context of ARCH Models," MPRA Paper 96324, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chaker Aloui, 2015. "Volatility forecasting and risk management in some MENA stock markets: a nonlinear framework," Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(2), pages 160-192.
- I.-Yuan Chuang & Jin-Ray Lu & Pei-Hsuan Lee, 2007. "Forecasting volatility in the financial markets: a comparison of alternative distributional assumptions," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(13), pages 1051-1060.
- Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2014. "Structural breaks and long memory in modeling and forecasting volatility of foreign exchange markets of oil exporters: The importance of scheduled and unscheduled news announcements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 101-119.
- Stavros Degiannakis & Alexandra Livada & Epaminondas Panas, 2008.
"Rolling-sampled parameters of ARCH and Levy-stable models,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(23), pages 3051-3067.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Livada, Alexandra & Panas, Epaminondas, 2008. "Rolling-sampled parameters of ARCH and Levy-stable models," MPRA Paper 80464, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Timotheos Angelidis & Alexandros Benos & Stavros Degiannakis, 2007.
"A robust VaR model under different time periods and weighting schemes,"
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 187-201, February.
- Angelidis, Timotheos & Benos, Alexandros & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2007. "A Robust VaR Model under Different Time Periods and Weighting Schemes," MPRA Paper 80466, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Angelidis, Timotheos & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2008.
"Volatility forecasting: Intra-day versus inter-day models,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 449-465, December.
- Angelidis, Timotheos & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2008. "Volatility forecasting: Intra-day versus inter-day models," MPRA Paper 96322, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Halkos, George & Tsirivis, Apostolos, 2019. "Using Value-at-Risk for effective energy portfolio risk management," MPRA Paper 91674, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chaker Aloui & Hela BEN HAMIDA, 2015. "Estimation and Performance Assessment of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Based on Long-Memory GARCH-Class Models," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(1), pages 30-54, January.
- Sang Hoon Kang & Seong-Min Yoon, 2010. "Sudden Changes and Persistence in Volatility of Korean Equity Sector Returns," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 26, pages 431-451.
- A. M. M. Shahiduzzaman Quoreshi & Reaz Uddin & Viroj Jienwatcharamongkhol, 2019. "Equity Market Contagion in Return Volatility during Euro Zone and Global Financial Crises: Evidence from FIMACH Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-18, June.
- Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Yang, Lin, 2020. "Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 684-694.
- Samir MABROUK, 2017. "Volatility Modelling and Parametric Value-At-Risk Forecast Accuracy: Evidence from Metal Products," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(1), pages 63-80, January.
- Timotheos Angelidis & Alexandros Benos, 2006. "Liquidity adjusted value-at-risk based on the components of the bid-ask spread," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(11), pages 835-851.
- Onder Buberkoku, 2018. "Examining the Value-at-risk Performance of Fractionally Integrated GARCH Models: Evidence from Energy Commodities," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 36-50.
- Manel Youssef & Lotfi Belkacem & Khaled Mokni, 2015. "Extreme Value Theory and long-memory-GARCH Framework: Application to Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 3(8), pages 371-388, August.
- repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2008-006 is not listed on IDEAS
- Emilio Cardona & Andrés Mora-Valencia & Daniel Velásquez-Gaviria, 2019. "Testing expected shortfall: an application to emerging market stock indices," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(3), pages 153-182, September.
- Chkili, Walid & Aloui, Chaker & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2012. "Asymmetric effects and long memory in dynamic volatility relationships between stock returns and exchange rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 738-757.
- Aloui, Chaker & Hamida, Hela ben, 2014. "Modelling and forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall for GCC stock markets: Do long memory, structural breaks, asymmetry, and fat-tails matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 349-380.
- Liu, Jing & Chen, Zhonglu, 2023. "How do stock prices respond to the leading economic indicators? Analysis of large and small shocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Angelidis, Timotheos & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2008. "Volatility forecasting: intra-day vs. inter-day models," MPRA Paper 80434, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Moussa Wajdi, 2019. "The dynamic relationship between stock index and exchange rate: Evidence for Tunis," Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(1), pages 1-4.
- C. James Hueng, 2006. "Short-sales constraints and stock return asymmetry: evidence from the Chinese stock markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(10), pages 707-716.