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Stock market crashes are outliers
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Cited by:
- Lux, Thomas & Marchesi, Michele, 2002. "Journal of economic behavior and organization: special issue on heterogeneous interacting agents in financial markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 143-147, October.
- Hans-Christian Graf v. Bothmer, 2003. "Significance of log-periodic signatures in cumulative noise," Papers cond-mat/0302507, arXiv.org, revised May 2003.
- Anders Johansen & Didier Sornette & Olivier Ledoit, 1999. "Empirical and Theoretical Status of Discrete Scale Invariance in Financial Crashes," Finance 9903006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Zhou, Wei-Xing & Sornette, Didier, 2009.
"A case study of speculative financial bubbles in the South African stock market 2003–2006,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(6), pages 869-880.
- Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2007. "A case study of speculative financial bubbles in the South African stock market 2003-2006," Papers physics/0701171, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2008.
- Y. Malevergne & D. Sornette, 2003. "VaR-Efficient Portfolios for a Class of Super- and Sub-Exponentially Decaying Assets Return Distributions," Papers physics/0301009, arXiv.org.
- D. Sornette, 2014. "Physics and Financial Economics (1776-2014): Puzzles, Ising and Agent-Based models," Papers 1404.0243, arXiv.org.
- Charles, Amelie & Darne, Olivier, 2006. "Large shocks and the September 11th terrorist attacks on international stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 683-698, July.
- Zhaoyan Liu & Min Shu & Wei Zhu, 2024. "Contrastive Learning Framework for Bitcoin Crash Prediction," Stats, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-32, May.
- Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2003.
"Nonparametric Analyses Of Log-Periodic Precursors To Financial Crashes,"
International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(08), pages 1107-1125.
- Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2002. "Non-Parametric Analyses of Log-Periodic Precursors to Financial Crashes," Papers cond-mat/0205531, arXiv.org.
- Harras, Georges & Sornette, Didier, 2011.
"How to grow a bubble: A model of myopic adapting agents,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 137-152.
- Georges Harras & Didier Sornette, 2008. "How to grow a bubble: A model of myopic adapting agents," Papers 0806.2989, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2010.
- Fruehwirt, Wolfgang & Hochfilzer, Leonhard & Weydemann, Leonard & Roberts, Stephen, 2021. "Cumulation, crash, coherency: A cryptocurrency bubble wavelet analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
- Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Rama Cont, 1998. "A Langevin approach to stock market fluctuations and crashes," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500027, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
- Leonidas Sandoval Junior & Italo De Paula Franca, 2011. "Shocks in financial markets, price expectation, and damped harmonic oscillators," Papers 1103.1992, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2011.
- A. Johansen & D. Sornette, 2002. "Endogenous versus Exogenous Crashes in Financial Markets," Papers cond-mat/0210509, arXiv.org.
- Stavroyiannis, S. & Makris, I. & Nikolaidis, V., 2010. "Non-extensive properties, multifractality, and inefficiency degree of the Athens Stock Exchange General Index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 19-24, January.
- Anders Johansen & Didier Sornette, 2000. "The Nasdaq crash of April 2000: Yet another example of log-periodicity in a speculative bubble ending in a crash," Papers cond-mat/0004263, arXiv.org, revised May 2000.
- Gu, Gao-Feng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2007.
"Statistical properties of daily ensemble variables in the Chinese stock markets,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(2), pages 497-506.
- Gao-Feng Gu & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2006. "Statistical properties of daily ensemble variables in the Chinese stock markets," Papers physics/0603147, arXiv.org.
- Qian, Xi-Yuan & Song, Fu-Tie & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008.
"Nonlinear behaviour of the Chinese SSEC index with a unit root: Evidence from threshold unit root tests,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(2), pages 503-510.
- Xi-Yuan Qian & Fu-Tie Song & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2007. "Nonlinear behavior of the Chinese SSEC index with a unit root: Evidence from threshold unit root tests," Papers 0707.2284, arXiv.org.
- Gee Kwang Randolph Tan & Xiao Qin, 2005. "Bubbles, Can We Spot Them? Crashes, Can We Predict Them?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 206, Society for Computational Economics.
- Zhang, Qunzhi & Sornette, Didier & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2016.
"LPPLS bubble indicators over two centuries of the S&P 500 index,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 458(C), pages 126-139.
- Qunzhi Zhang & Didier Sornette & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zeynel A. Ozdemir & Hakan Yetkiner, 2016. "LPPLS Bubble Indicators over Two Centuries of the S&P 500 Index," Working Papers 201606, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Johansen, Anders, 2003. "Characterization of large price variations in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 324(1), pages 157-166.
- Mu, Guo-Hua & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008.
"Relaxation dynamics of aftershocks after large volatility shocks in the SSEC index,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(21), pages 5211-5218.
- Guo-Hua Mu & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2007. "Relaxation dynamics of aftershocks after large volatility shocks in the SSEC index," Papers 0709.1219, arXiv.org.
- Sornette, Didier & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2006.
"Predictability of large future changes in major financial indices,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 153-168.
- D. Sornette & W. -X. Zhou, 2003. "Predictability of large future changes in major financial indices," Papers cond-mat/0304601, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2004.
- Kapopoulos, Panayotis & Siokis, Fotios, 2005. "Stock market crashes and dynamics of aftershocks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 89(1), pages 48-54, October.
- Takumi Sueshige & Didier Sornette & Hideki Takayasu & Misako Takayasu, 2019. "Classification of position management strategies at the order-book level and their influences on future market-price formation," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(8), pages 1-19, August.
- Santos, Moises S. & Szezech, José D. & Batista, Antonio M. & Iarosz, Kelly C. & Caldas, Iberê L. & Viana, Ricardo L., 2019. "Dragon-kings death in nonlinear wave interactions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
- Zhou, Wei-Xing & Sornette, Didier, 2003.
"Evidence of a worldwide stock market log-periodic anti-bubble since mid-2000,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 330(3), pages 543-583.
- W. -X. Zhou & D. Sornette, 2002. "Evidence of a Worldwide Stock Market Log-Periodic Anti-Bubble Since Mid-2000," Papers cond-mat/0212010, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2003.
- Struzik, Zbigniew R. & Siebes, Arno P.J.M., 2002. "Wavelet transform based multifractal formalism in outlier detection and localisation for financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 309(3), pages 388-402.
- D. Sornette & A. Johansen, 2001. "Significance of log-periodic precursors to financial crashes," Papers cond-mat/0106520, arXiv.org.
- J. V. Andersen & S. Gluzman & D. Sornette, 1999. "Fundamental Framework for Technical Analysis," Papers cond-mat/9910047, arXiv.org.
- B. M. Roehner & D. Sornette, 2000. ""Thermometers" of Speculative Frenzy," Papers cond-mat/0001353, arXiv.org.
- Focardi, Sergio & Cincotti, Silvano & Marchesi, Michele, 2002. "Self-organization and market crashes," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 241-267, October.
- Wergen, Gregor, 2014. "Modeling record-breaking stock prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 396(C), pages 114-133.
- Cornelis A. Los & Rossitsa M. Yalamova, 2004. "Multi-Fractal Spectral Analysis of the 1987 Stock Market Crash," Finance 0409050, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Vakhtina, Elena & Wosnitza, Jan Henrik, 2015. "Capital market based warning indicators of bank runs," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 417(C), pages 304-320.
- Didier SORNETTE, 2014. "Physics and Financial Economics (1776-2014): Puzzles, Ising and Agent-Based Models," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 14-25, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Didier Sornette & Ryan Woodard, 2009. "Financial Bubbles, Real Estate bubbles, Derivative Bubbles, and the Financial and Economic Crisis," Papers 0905.0220, arXiv.org.
- Filimonov, Vladimir & Sornette, Didier, 2015. "Power law scaling and “Dragon-Kings” in distributions of intraday financial drawdowns," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 27-45.
- Junqing Tang & Hans R. Heinimann, 2019. "Quantitative evaluation of consecutive resilience cycles in stock market performance: A systems-oriented approach," Papers 1903.03201, arXiv.org.
- Negrea, Bogdan, 2014. "A statistical measure of financial crises magnitude," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 397(C), pages 54-75.
- Ingve Simonsen & Mogens H. Jensen & Anders Johansen, 2002. "Optimal Investment Horizons," Papers cond-mat/0202352, arXiv.org.
- Struzik, Zbigniew R., 2003. "Econonatology: the physics of the economy in labour," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 324(1), pages 344-351.
- Sornette, Didier, 2000. "Stock market speculation: Spontaneous symmetry breaking of economic valuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 284(1), pages 355-375.
- D. Sornette & R. Woodard, "undated". "Financial Bubbles, Real Estate bubbles, Derivative Bubbles, and the Financial and Economic Crisis," Working Papers CCSS-09-003, ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design.
- Damian Smug & Peter Ashwin & Didier Sornette, 2018. "Predicting financial market crashes using ghost singularities," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, March.