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Modelling Longevity Dynamics for Pensions and Annuity Business

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  1. Ahcan, Ales & Medved, Darko & Olivieri, Annamaria & Pitacco, Ermanno, 2014. "Forecasting mortality for small populations by mixing mortality data," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 12-27.
  2. Han Lin Shang & Steven Haberman, 2020. "Retiree Mortality Forecasting: A Partial Age-Range or a Full Age-Range Model?," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-11, July.
  3. David Blake & Marco Morales & Enrico Biffis & Yijia Lin & Andreas Milidonis, 2017. "Special Edition: Longevity 10 – The Tenth International Longevity Risk and Capital Markets Solutions Conference," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 84(S1), pages 515-532, April.
  4. Zhang, Xuanming & Huang, Fei & Hui, Francis K.C. & Haberman, Steven, 2023. "Cause-of-death mortality forecasting using adaptive penalized tensor decompositions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 193-213.
  5. Alai, Daniel H. & Landsman, Zinoviy & Sherris, Michael, 2016. "Modelling lifetime dependence for older ages using a multivariate Pareto distribution," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 272-285.
  6. Raimond Maurer & Olivia S. Mitchell & Ralph Rogalla & Vasily Kartashov, 2013. "Lifecycle Portfolio Choice With Systematic Longevity Risk and Variable Investment—Linked Deferred Annuities," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 80(3), pages 649-676, September.
  7. Bisetti, Emilio & Favero, Carlo A. & Nocera, Giacomo & Tebaldi, Claudio, 2017. "A Multivariate Model of Strategic Asset Allocation with Longevity Risk," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(5), pages 2251-2275, October.
  8. Berdin, Elia, 2016. "Interest rate risk, longevity risk and the solvency of life insurers," ICIR Working Paper Series 23/16, Goethe University Frankfurt, International Center for Insurance Regulation (ICIR).
  9. Kallestrup-Lamb, Malene & Søgaard Laursen, Nicolai, 2024. "Longevity hedge effectiveness using socioeconomic indices," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 242-251.
  10. Chen, Ze & Feng, Runhuan & Li, Hong & Yang, Tianyu, 2024. "Coping with longevity via hedging: Fair dynamic valuation of variable annuities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 154-169.
  11. Enrico Biffis & David Blake & Lorenzo Pitotti & Ariel Sun, 2016. "The Cost of Counterparty Risk and Collateralization in Longevity Swaps," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 83(2), pages 387-419, June.
  12. Jonas Hirz & Uwe Schmock & Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2017. "Actuarial Applications and Estimation of Extended CreditRisk+," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-29, March.
  13. Chen, An & Guillen, Montserrat & Rach, Manuel, 2021. "Fees in tontines," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 89-106.
  14. Milevsky, Moshe A. & Salisbury, Thomas S., 2015. "Optimal retirement income tontines," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 91-105.
  15. David Landriault & Bin Li & Hong Li & Yuanyuan Zhang, 2024. "Contract Structure and Risk Aversion in Longevity Risk Transfers," Papers 2409.08914, arXiv.org.
  16. Frank van Berkum & Katrien Antonio & Michel Vellekoop, 2021. "Quantifying longevity gaps using micro‐level lifetime data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(2), pages 548-570, April.
  17. Rabitti, Giovanni & Borgonovo, Emanuele, 2020. "Is mortality or interest rate the most important risk in annuity models? A comparison of sensitivity analysis methods," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 48-58.
  18. Khouzeima Moutanabbir & Hassan Abdelrahman, 2022. "Bivariate Sarmanov Phase-Type Distributions for Joint Lifetimes Modeling," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 1093-1118, June.
  19. Moshe A. Milevsky & Thomas S. Salisbury & Alexander Chigodaev, 2018. "The implied longevity curve: How long does the market think you are going to live?," Papers 1811.09932, arXiv.org.
  20. Neves, César & Fernandes, Cristiano & Hoeltgebaum, Henrique, 2017. "Five different distributions for the Lee–Carter model of mortality forecasting: A comparison using GAS models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 48-57.
  21. Man Chung Fung & Gareth W. Peters & Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2015. "A State-Space Estimation of the Lee-Carter Mortality Model and Implications for Annuity Pricing," Papers 1508.00322, arXiv.org.
  22. Jevtić, Petar & Regis, Luca, 2015. "Assessing the solvency of insurance portfolios via a continuous-time cohort model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 36-47.
  23. D’Amato, Valeria & Haberman, Steven & Piscopo, Gabriella & Russolillo, Maria, 2012. "Modelling dependent data for longevity projections," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 694-701.
  24. Berdin, Elia & Pancaro, Cosimo & Kok Sørensen, Christoffer, 2016. "A stochastic forward-looking model to assess the profitability and solvency of European insurers," ICIR Working Paper Series 21/16, Goethe University Frankfurt, International Center for Insurance Regulation (ICIR).
  25. Annamaria Olivieri & Ermanno Pitacco, 2012. "Life tables in actuarial models: from the deterministic setting to a Bayesian approach," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 96(2), pages 127-153, June.
  26. Filipe Costa Souza & Wilton Bernardino & Silvio C. Patricio, 2024. "How life-table right-censoring affected the Brazilian social security factor: an application of the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 1-38, September.
  27. Cadena, Meitner & Denuit, Michel, 2016. "Semi-parametric accelerated hazard relational models with applications to mortality projections," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-16.
  28. Benedetta Frassi & Fabio Pammolli & Luca Regis, 2017. "The potential costs of Longevity Risk on Public Pensions. Evidence from Italian data," Working Papers 01/2017, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, revised Jan 2017.
  29. Kogure Atsuyuki & Fushimi Takahiro, 2018. "A Bayesian Pricing of Longevity Derivatives with Interest Rate Risks," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-30, January.
  30. Petar Jevtić & Luca Regis, 2021. "A Square-Root Factor-Based Multi-Population Extension of the Mortality Laws," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(19), pages 1-17, September.
  31. Niu, G., 2014. "Essays on subjective expectations and mortality trends," Other publications TiSEM b9f72836-d8ad-478b-adca-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  32. Hong Li & Johnny Siu-Hang Li, 2017. "Optimizing the Lee-Carter Approach in the Presence of Structural Changes in Time and Age Patterns of Mortality Improvements," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(3), pages 1073-1095, June.
  33. David Blake & Andrew Cairns & Guy Coughlan & Kevin Dowd & Richard MacMinn, 2013. "The New Life Market," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 80(3), pages 501-558, September.
  34. Jens Robben & Katrien Antonio & Sander Devriendt, 2022. "Assessing the Impact of the COVID-19 Shock on a Stochastic Multi-Population Mortality Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-33, January.
  35. Hatzopoulos, P. & Haberman, S., 2009. "A parameterized approach to modeling and forecasting mortality," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 103-123, February.
  36. Marcus Christiansen, 2012. "Multistate models in health insurance," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 96(2), pages 155-186, June.
  37. Carlo Maccheroni & Samuel Nocito, 2017. "Backtesting the Lee–Carter and the Cairns–Blake–Dowd Stochastic Mortality Models on Italian Death Rates," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-23, July.
  38. Alonso, Pablo J., 2015. "Hierarchical Lee-Carter model estimation through data cloning applied to demographically linked countries," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1510, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  39. Karim Barigou & Stéphane Loisel & Yahia Salhi, 2020. "Parsimonious Predictive Mortality Modeling by Regularization and Cross-Validation with and without Covid-Type Effect," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, December.
  40. Katrien Antonio & Anastasios Bardoutsos & Wilbert Ouburg, 2015. "Bayesian Poisson log-bilinear models for mortality projections with multiple populations," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1505, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  41. Darko Medved & Aleš Ahcan & Jože Sambt, 2012. "Testing the sustainability of the Slovenian (PAYG) pension system using the Lee–Carter method," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1), pages 17-34.
  42. Maria Carannante & Valeria D’amato & Steven Haberman & Massimiliano Menzietti, 2024. "Frailty-based mortality models and reserving for longevity risk," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 49(2), pages 320-339, April.
  43. Susanna Levantesi & Massimiliano Menzietti, 2017. "Maximum Market Price of Longevity Risk under Solvency Regimes: The Case of Solvency II," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-21, May.
  44. Lydia Dutton & Athanasios A. Pantelous & Malgorzata Seklecka, 2020. "The impact of economic growth in mortality modelling for selected OECD countries," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 533-550, April.
  45. Anja De Waegenaere & Bertrand Melenberg & Ralph Stevens, 2010. "Longevity Risk," De Economist, Springer, vol. 158(2), pages 151-192, June.
  46. Haberman, Steven & Khalaf-Allah, Marwa & Verrall, Richard, 2011. "Entropy, longevity and the cost of annuities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 197-204, March.
  47. Cannon, Edmund & Tonks, Ian, 2016. "Cohort mortality risk or adverse selection in annuity markets?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 68-81.
  48. Teresa H. Bednarczyk & Ilona Skibińska-Fabrowska & Anna Szymańska, 2021. "An Empirical Study on the Financial Preparation for Retirement of the Independent Workers for Profit in Poland," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-21, September.
  49. van Gulick, Gerwald & De Waegenaere, Anja & Norde, Henk, 2012. "Excess based allocation of risk capital," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 26-42.
  50. Pavel V. Shevchenko & Xiaolin Luo, 2016. "A Unified Pricing of Variable Annuity Guarantees under the Optimal Stochastic Control Framework," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-31, July.
  51. Fabio Ortiz & Mauricio Villegas & Armando Zarruck, 2012. "Tablas de mortalidad," Documentos de Matemática y Estadística 11472, Universidad Externado de Colombia.
  52. Ahmadi, Seyed Saeed & Gaillardetz, Patrice, 2015. "Modeling mortality and pricing life annuities with Lévy processes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 337-350.
  53. Salvatore Tedesco & Martina Andrulli & Markus Åkerlund Larsson & Daniel Kelly & Antti Alamäki & Suzanne Timmons & John Barton & Joan Condell & Brendan O’Flynn & Anna Nordström, 2021. "Comparison of Machine Learning Techniques for Mortality Prediction in a Prospective Cohort of Older Adults," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(23), pages 1-18, December.
  54. Bacinello, Anna Rita & Millossovich, Pietro & Olivieri, Annamaria & Pitacco, Ermanno, 2011. "Variable annuities: A unifying valuation approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 285-297.
  55. Jaap Spreeuw & Iqbal Owadally & Muhammad Kashif, 2022. "Projecting Mortality Rates Using a Markov Chain," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-18, April.
  56. Annamaria Olivieri & Ermanno Pitacco, 2016. "Frailty and Risk Classification for Life Annuity Portfolios," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-23, October.
  57. Haberman, Steven & Renshaw, Arthur, 2012. "Parametric mortality improvement rate modelling and projecting," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 309-333.
  58. Hainaut, Donatien & Denuit, Michel, 2019. "Wavelet-based feature-engineering for mortality projection," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2019026, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
  59. Jonas Šiaulys & Rokas Puišys, 2022. "Survival with Random Effect," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-17, March.
  60. Hanbali, Hamza & Denuit, Michel & Dhaene, Jan & Trufin, Julien, 2019. "A dynamic equivalence principle for systematic longevity risk management," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 158-167.
  61. Boonen, Tim J. & De Waegenaere, Anja & Norde, Henk, 2017. "Redistribution of longevity risk: The effect of heterogeneous mortality beliefs," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 175-188.
  62. Li, Hong & De Waegenaere, Anja & Melenberg, Bertrand, 2015. "The choice of sample size for mortality forecasting: A Bayesian learning approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 153-168.
  63. Geng Niu & Bertrand Melenberg, 2014. "Trends in Mortality Decrease and Economic Growth," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 51(5), pages 1755-1773, October.
  64. Boonen, T.J. & De Waegenaere, A.M.B. & Norde, H.W., 2012. "Bargaining for Over-The Counter Risk Redistributions : The Case of Longevity Risk," Discussion Paper 2012-090, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  65. Wan, Cheng & Bertschi, Ljudmila, 2015. "Swiss coherent mortality model as a basis for developing longevity de-risking solutions for Swiss pension funds: A practical approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 66-75.
  66. Ornelas, Arelly & Guillén, Montserrat, 2013. "A Comparison between General Population Mortality and Life Tables for Insurance in Mexico under Gender Proportion Inequality || Una comparación entre la mortalidad de la población general y las tablas," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 16(1), pages 47-67, December.
  67. Chen, An & Rach, Manuel, 2019. "Options on tontines: An innovative way of combining tontines and annuities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 182-192.
  68. F. Peters & J. P. Mackenbach & W. J. Nusselder, 2016. "Does the Impact of the Tobacco Epidemic Explain Structural Changes in the Decline of Mortality?," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 32(5), pages 687-702, December.
  69. Jeon, Yongho & Kim, Joseph H.T., 2013. "A gamma kernel density estimation for insurance loss data," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 569-579.
  70. Hatzopoulos, P. & Haberman, S., 2011. "A dynamic parameterization modeling for the age-period-cohort mortality," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 155-174, September.
  71. Ana Debón & Steven Haberman & Francisco Montes & Edoardo Otranto, 2021. "Do Different Models Induce Changes in Mortality Indicators? That Is a Key Question for Extending the Lee-Carter Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-16, February.
  72. Christiansen, Marcus C. & Niemeyer, Andreas & Teigiszerová, Lucia, 2015. "Modeling and forecasting duration-dependent mortality rates," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 65-81.
  73. Danesi, Ivan Luciano & Haberman, Steven & Millossovich, Pietro, 2015. "Forecasting mortality in subpopulations using Lee–Carter type models: A comparison," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 151-161.
  74. Alexandros E. Milionis & Nikolaos G. Galanopoulos & Peter Hatzopoulos & Aliki Sagianou, 2022. "Forecasting actuarial time series: a practical study of the effect of statistical pre-adjustments," Working Papers 297, Bank of Greece.
  75. Homa Magdalena, 2020. "Mathematical Reserves vs Longevity Risk in Life Insurances," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 24(1), pages 23-38, March.
  76. Li, Hong & Tan, Ken Seng & Tuljapurkar, Shripad & Zhu, Wenjun, 2021. "Gompertz law revisited: Forecasting mortality with a multi-factor exponential model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 268-281.
  77. Man Chung Fung & Gareth W. Peters & Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2016. "A unified approach to mortality modelling using state-space framework: characterisation, identification, estimation and forecasting," Papers 1605.09484, arXiv.org.
  78. Hanbali, Hamza & Dhaene, Jan & Linders, Daniël, 2022. "Dependence bounds for the difference of stop-loss payoffs on the difference of two random variables," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 22-37.
  79. Pieter van Baal & Frederik Peters & Johan Mackenbach & Wilma Nusselder, 2016. "Forecasting differences in life expectancy by education," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 70(2), pages 201-216, May.
  80. Hainaut, Donatien & Denuit, Michel, 2020. "Wavelet-based feature-engineering for mortality projection," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2020001, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
  81. Tomas, Julien & Planchet, Frédéric, 2015. "Prospective mortality tables: Taking heterogeneity into account," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 169-190.
  82. Haberman, Steven & Renshaw, Arthur, 2011. "A comparative study of parametric mortality projection models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 35-55, January.
  83. Cupido, Kyran & Jevtić, Petar & Paez, Antonio, 2020. "Spatial patterns of mortality in the United States: A spatial filtering approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 28-38.
  84. Péter Vékás, 2020. "Rotation of the age pattern of mortality improvements in the European Union," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 28(3), pages 1031-1048, September.
  85. Alexandre Boumezoued & Marc Hoffmann & Paulien Jeunesse, 2018. "A new inference strategy for general population mortality tables," Working Papers hal-01773665, HAL.
  86. Lledó, Josep & Pavía, Jose M. & Morillas-Jurado, Francisco G., 2019. "Incorporating big microdata in life table construction: A hypothesis-free estimator," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 138-150.
  87. Anca-Stefania Jijiie & Jennifer Alonso Garcia & Séverine Arnold (-Gaille), 2019. "Mortality by socio-economic class and its impact on the retirement schemes: How to render the systems fairer?," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/300032, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  88. Chen, An & Li, Hong & Schultze, Mark, 2022. "Collective longevity swap: A novel longevity risk transfer solution and its economic pricing," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 201(C), pages 227-249.
  89. Carlo Giovanni Camarda, 2019. "Smooth constrained mortality forecasting," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(38), pages 1091-1130.
  90. D. Tabakova & E. Pitacco, 2021. "Heterogeneity and uncertainty in a multistate framework," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(1), pages 117-139, June.
  91. Boonen, T.J. & De Waegenaere, A.M.B. & Norde, H.W., 2012. "Bargaining for Over-The Counter Risk Redistributions : The Case of Longevity Risk," Other publications TiSEM 666aa6f1-2d07-413c-90da-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  92. Valeria D’Amato & Steven Haberman & Maria Russolillo, 2012. "The Stratified Sampling Bootstrap for Measuring the Uncertainty in Mortality Forecasts," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 135-148, March.
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