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A Multivariate Model of Strategic Asset Allocation with Longevity Risk

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  • Emilio Bisetti
  • Carlo A. Favero
  • Giacomo Nocera

    (Audencia Business School)

  • Claudio Tebaldi

Abstract

Population-wide increase in life expectancy is a source of aggregate risk. Longevity-linked securities are a natural instrument to reallocate that risk. This paper extends the standard Campbell–Viceira (2005) strategic asset allocation model by including a longevity-linked investment possibility. Model estimation, based on prices for standardized annuities publicly offered by U.S. insurance companies, shows that aggregate shocks to survival probabilities are predictors for long-term returns of the longevity-linked securities, and reveals an unexpected predictability pattern. Valuation of longevity risk premium confirms that longevity-linked securities offer inexpensive funding opportunities to asset managers.

Suggested Citation

  • Emilio Bisetti & Carlo A. Favero & Giacomo Nocera & Claudio Tebaldi, 2017. "A Multivariate Model of Strategic Asset Allocation with Longevity Risk," Post-Print hal-01633544, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01633544
    DOI: 10.1017/S0022109017000692
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://audencia.hal.science/hal-01633544
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    Cited by:

    1. Amariei, Cosmina, 2020. "Asset Allocation in Europe: Reality vs. Expectations," ECMI Papers 27304, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    2. Rachel WINGENBACH & Jong-Min KIM & Hojin JUNG, 2020. "Living Longer in High Longevity Risk," JODE - Journal of Demographic Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 86(1), pages 47-86, March.
    3. Yajing Xu & Michael Sherris & Jonathan Ziveyi, 2020. "Market Price of Longevity Risk for a Multi‐Cohort Mortality Model With Application to Longevity Bond Option Pricing," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 87(3), pages 571-595, September.
    4. Carlo A. Favero & Ruben Fernandez-Fuertes, 2023. "Monetary Policy in the COVID Era and Beyond: the Fed vs the ECB," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23209, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    5. Chen, Zhanhui & Yang, Bowen, 2019. "In search of preference shock risks: Evidence from longevity risks and momentum profits," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 225-249.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies

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