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Valuation of Variance Forecast with Simulated Option Markets

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Cited by:

  1. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 74-96.
  2. West, Kenneth D. & Cho, Dongchul, 1995. "The predictive ability of several models of exchange rate volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 367-391, October.
  3. Xekalaki, Evdokia & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2005. "Evaluating volatility forecasts in option pricing in the context of a simulated options market," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 611-629, April.
  4. John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy, 2002. "Nonlinear Features of Realized FX Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(4), pages 668-681, November.
  5. Stavros Degiannakis & Evdokia Xekalaki, 2007. "Assessing the performance of a prediction error criterion model selection algorithm in the context of ARCH models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 149-171.
  6. Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1995. "Measuring Volatility Dynamics," NBER Technical Working Papers 0173, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Hassani, Hossein, 2015. "Forecasting implied volatility indices worldwide: A new approach," MPRA Paper 72084, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. Daglish, Toby & Maheu, John & McCurdy, Tom, 2008. "A Financial Metric for Comparing Volatility Models: Do Better Models Make Money?," Working Paper Series 4009, Victoria University of Wellington, The New Zealand Institute for the Study of Competition and Regulation.
  9. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1997. "Answering the Critics: Yes, ARCH Models Do Provide Good Volatility Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 6023, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  10. Vasilios Sogiakas, 2017. "Option trading for optimizing volatility forecasting," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 6(3), pages 1-3.
  11. Francis X. Diebold, 2004. "The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 106(2), pages 165-185, June.
  12. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2000. "How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 12-22, February.
  13. Stavros Degiannakis & Alexandra Livada, 2016. "Evaluation of realized volatility predictions from models with leptokurtically and asymmetrically distributed forecast errors," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(5), pages 871-892, April.
  14. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521779654, January.
  15. Stavros Degiannakis & Evdokia Xekalaki, 2005. "Predictability and model selection in the context of ARCH models," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(1), pages 55-82, January.
  16. Bauwens, Luc & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2010. "General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: A forecast evaluation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 885-907, October.
  17. Stavros Degiannakis & Alexandra Livada & Epaminondas Panas, 2008. "Rolling-sampled parameters of ARCH and Levy-stable models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(23), pages 3051-3067.
  18. Tim Bollerslev & Ray Y. Chou & Narayanan Jayaraman & Kenneth F. Kroner - L, 1991. "es modéles ARCH en finance : un point sur la théorie et les résultats empiriques," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 24, pages 1-59.
  19. West, Kenneth D. & Edison, Hali J. & Cho, Dongchul, 1993. "A utility-based comparison of some models of exchange rate volatility," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1-2), pages 23-45, August.
  20. Angelidis, Timotheos & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2008. "Volatility forecasting: intra-day vs. inter-day models," MPRA Paper 80434, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  21. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2004. "Which GARCH Model for Option Valuation?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1204-1221, September.
  22. Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1995. "Forecast evaluation and combination," Research Paper 9525, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  23. Franco Parisi, 1997. "Medición y Test del Impacto de Innovaciones en la Volatilidad de Índices Accionarios," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 34(101), pages 27-47.
  24. Selma Chaker & Nour Meddahi, 2013. "A Distributional Approach to Realized Volatility," Staff Working Papers 13-49, Bank of Canada.
  25. West, Kenneth D., 2001. "Encompassing tests when no model is encompassing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 287-308, November.
  26. Brock Johnson & Jonathan Batten, 2003. "Forecasting Credit Spread Volatility: Evidence from the Japanese Eurobond Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 10(4), pages 335-357, December.
  27. Elsayed Elsiefy & Moustafa Ahmed AbdElaal, 2017. "Analyzing Foreign Investors Behavior in the Emerging Stock Market: Evidence from Qatar Stock Market," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(4), pages 197-197, Novebmer.
  28. Lopez, Jose A, 2001. "Evaluating the Predictive Accuracy of Volatility Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 87-109, March.
  29. Bandi, Federico M. & Russell, Jeffrey R. & Yang, Chen, 2008. "Realized volatility forecasting and option pricing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 34-46, November.
  30. Brian H. Boyer & Michael S. Gibson, 1997. "Evaluating forecasts of correlation using option pricing," International Finance Discussion Papers 600, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  31. Andrada-Félix, Julián & Fernández-Rodríguez, Fernando & Fuertes, Ana-Maria, 2016. "Combining nearest neighbor predictions and model-based predictions of realized variance: Does it pay?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 695-715.
  32. I‐Ming Jiang & Jui‐Cheng Hung & Chuan‐San Wang, 2014. "Volatility Forecasts: Do Volatility Estimators and Evaluation Methods Matter?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(11), pages 1077-1094, November.
  33. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2016. "Forecasting oil price realized volatility: A new approach," MPRA Paper 69105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  34. Schmitt, Christian & Kaehler, Jürgen, 1996. "Delta-neutral volatility trading with intra-day prices: an application to options on the DAX," ZEW Discussion Papers 96-25, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  35. Chen, Shiyi & Jeong, Kiho & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2008. "Support vector regression based GARCH model with application to forecasting volatility of financial returns," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2008-014, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  36. Gregory Connor & Lisa R. Goldberg & Robert A. Korajczyk, 2010. "Portfolio Risk Analysis," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9224.
  37. Patton, Andrew J., 2011. "Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 246-256, January.
  38. Jose A. Lopez & Christian Walter, 2000. "Evaluating covariance matrix forecasts in a value-at-risk framework," Working Paper Series 2000-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  39. Chen Liu & Chao Wang & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Robert Kohn, 2023. "Deep Learning Enhanced Realized GARCH," Papers 2302.08002, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
  40. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2008-014 is not listed on IDEAS
  41. Radovan Parrák, 2013. "The Economic Valuation of Variance Forecasts: An Artificial Option Market Approach," Working Papers IES 2013/09, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Aug 2013.
  42. Hans Bystrom, 2004. "Orthogonal GARCH and covariance matrix forecasting: The Nordic stock markets during the Asian financial crisis 1997-1998," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 44-67.
  43. James Chong, 2004. "Options trading profits from correlation forecasts," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(15), pages 1075-1085.
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