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Prospects for Inflation in a High Pressure Economy: Is the Phillips Curve Dead or is It Just Hibernating?
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- Barnichon, Regis & Mesters, Geert, 2021.
"The Phillips multiplier,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 689-705.
- Barnichon, Regis & Mesters, Geert, 2019. "The Phillips Multiplier," CEPR Discussion Papers 13480, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2019. "The Phillips Multiplier," Working Papers 1070, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2019. "The Phillips multiplier," Economics Working Papers 1632, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Elisa Rubbo, 2023. "Networks, Phillips Curves, and Monetary Policy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1417-1455, July.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020.
"What's Up with the Phillips Curve?,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(1 (Spring), pages 301-373.
- Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," Working Paper Series 2435, European Central Bank.
- William Chen & Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s Up with the Phillips Curve?," Liberty Street Economics 20200918a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Primiceri, Giorgio & Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What's up with the Phillips Curve?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers 27003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Boris Hofmann & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Benoit Mojon & Athanasios Orphanides, 2021.
"Fiscal and monetary policy interactions in a low interest rate world,"
BIS Working Papers
954, Bank for International Settlements.
- Orphanides, Athanasios & Hofmann, Boris & Lombardi, Marco & Mojon, Benoit, 2021. "Fiscal and monetary policy interactions in a low interest rate world," CEPR Discussion Papers 16411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2020.
"Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34(1), pages 199-255.
- Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2019. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2019, volume 34, pages 199-255, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- McLeay, Michael & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2018. "Optimal inflation and the identification of the Phillips Curve," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90373, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2018. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," Discussion Papers 1815, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Tenreyro, Silvana & McLeay, Michael, 2018. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 12981, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2019. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 25892, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- McLeay, Michael & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2020. "Optimal inflation and the identification of the Phillips curve," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 103080, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Sitikantha Pattanaik & Silu Muduli & Soumyajit Ray, 2020.
"Inflation expectations of households: do they influence wage-price dynamics in India?,"
Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 244-263, September.
- Pattanaik, Sitikantha & Muduli, Silu & Ray, Soumyajit, 2019. "Inflation Expectations of Households: Do They Influence Wage-Price Dynamics in India?," EconStor Preprints 193462, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Pattanaik, Sitikantha & Muduli, Silu & Ray, Soumyajit, 2020. "Inflation expectations of households: do they influence wage-price dynamics in India?," MPRA Paper 103685, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- El-Shagi, Makram & Tochkov, Kiril, 2024.
"Regional heterogeneity and the provincial Phillips curve in China,"
Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1036-1044.
- Makram El-Shagi & Kiril Tochkov, 2023. "Regional Heterogeneity and the Provinicial Phillips Curve in China," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2023/3, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
- Ferri, Piero & Cristini, Annalisa & Tramontana, Fabio, 2023. "Meta-models of the Phillips curve and income distribution," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 215-232.
- Richard K. Crump & Christopher J. Nekarda & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2020. "Unemployment Rate Benchmarks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-072, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Bobeica, Elena & Koester, Gerrit & Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane & Porqueddu, Mario, 2019. "Understanding low wage growth in the euro area and European countries," Occasional Paper Series 232, European Central Bank.
- Mayer, Thomas & Schnabl, Gunther, 2021. "Covid-19 and the euthanasia of interest rates: A critical assessment of central bank policy in our times," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 1241-1258.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2023.
"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 364-390.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," Working Paper Series 2471, European Central Bank.
- Lucio Gobbi & Ronny Mazzocchi & Roberto Tamborini, 2024. "When Should Central Banks Fear Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 10966, CESifo.
- Roberto Tamborini, 2023. "Inflation surprises in a New Keynesian economy with a true consumption function. The Eurozone as an inflation target zone," DEM Working Papers 2023/1, Department of Economics and Management.
- Lasha Arevadze & Tamta Sopromadze & Giorgi Tsutskiridze & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2020. "Identifying the Phillips Curve in Georgia," NBG Working Papers 01/2020, National Bank of Georgia.
- Faryna, Oleksandr & Pham, Tho & Talavera, Oleksandr & Tsapin, Andriy, 2022. "Wage and unemployment: Evidence from online job vacancy data," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 52-70.
- Faryna, Oleksandr & Pham, Tho & Talavera, Oleksandr & Tsapin, Andriy, 2020.
"Wage Setting and Unemployment: Evidence from Online Job Vacancy Data,"
GLO Discussion Paper Series
503, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
- Oleksandr Faryna & Tho Pham & Oleksandr Talavera & Andriy Tsapin, 2020. "Wage Setting and Unemployment: Evidence from Online Job Vacancy Data," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2020-02, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
- Oleksandr Faryna & Tho Pham & Oleksandr Talavera & Andriy Tsapin, 2020. "Wage Setting and Unemployment: Evidence from Online Job Vacancy Data," Discussion Papers 20-03, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Kristin J. Forbes, 2019.
"Inflation Dynamics: Dead, Dormant, or Determined Abroad?,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 50(2 (Fall)), pages 257-338.
- Forbes, Kristin, 2019. "Inflation Dynamics: Dead, Dormant, or Determined Abroad?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14195, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kristin Forbes, 2019. "Inflation Dynamics: Dead, Dormant, or Determined Abroad?," NBER Working Papers 26496, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mary C. Daly, 2019. "The Bumpy Road to 2 Percent: Managing Inflation in the Current Economy," Speech 193, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Tamborini Roberto, 2022. "Beware of Pitfalls in the European Central Bank’s Review of Monetary Policy Strategy," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 15-23, June.
- Clements, Michael P., 2024. "Do professional forecasters believe in the Phillips curve?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1238-1254.
- Rose Cunningham & Vikram Rai & Kristina Hess, 2019. "Exploring Wage Phillips Curves in Advanced Economies," Discussion Papers 2019-8, Bank of Canada.
- Lasha Arevadze & Tamta Sopromadze & Giorgi Tsutskiridze & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2020. "Identifying the Phillips Curve in Georgia," NBG Working Papers 01/2020, National Bank of Georgia.
- Giuliana Passamani & Alessandro Sardone & Roberto Tamborini, 2020. "Phillips Curve and output expectations: New perspectives from the Euro Zone," DEM Working Papers 2020/6, Department of Economics and Management.
- Solikin M. Juhro, 2023. "Future Central Banking In Emerging Market Economies," Working Papers WP/01/2023, Bank Indonesia.
- John Komlos, 2019. "The Real U.S. Unemployment Rate Is Twice the Official Rate, and the Phillips Curve," CESifo Working Paper Series 7859, CESifo.
- Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024.
"Central Banking Post Crises,"
NBER Working Papers
32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael T. Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-035, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Carl E. Walsh, 2022.
"Inflation Surges and Monetary Policy,"
Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 40, pages 39-66, November.
- Carl E. Walsh, 2022. "Inflation Surges and Monetary Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 22-E-12, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Roberto Tamborini, 2024.
"Inflation surprises in a New Keynesian economy with a “true” consumption function,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(3), pages 1192-1215, July.
- Roberto Tamborini, 2022. "Inflation Surprises in a New Keynesian Economy with a True Consumption Function," CESifo Working Paper Series 10194, CESifo.
- Thibault Lemaire, 2020.
"Phillips in A Revolution: Unemployment and Prices in Early 21st Century Egypt,"
Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers)
hal-03948605, HAL.
- Thibault Lemaire, 2020. "Phillips in A Revolution: Unemployment and Prices in Early 21st Century Egypt," Working Papers 1453, Economic Research Forum, revised 20 Dec 2020.
- Thibault Lemaire, 2020. "Phillips in A Revolution: Unemployment and Prices in Early 21st Century Egypt," Working Papers hal-03948605, HAL.
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P., 2024.
"How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 160-183.
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P., 2021. "How Local is the Local Inflation Factor? Evidence from Emerging European Countries," Working Papers 8-2021, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
- Saeed Zaman, 2019. "Cyclical versus Acyclical Inflation: A Deeper Dive," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue September.
- Luigi Bonatti & Andrea Fracasso & Roberto Tamborini, 2020. "COVID-19 and the Future of Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Three Scenarios with a Trilemma," DEM Working Papers 2020/11, Department of Economics and Management.
- Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Samer Shousha, 2020. "Scarcity of Safe Assets and Global Neutral Interest Rates," International Finance Discussion Papers 1293, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Peter D. Williams & Mr. Yasser Abdih & Emanuel Kopp, 2020. "Reading the Stars," IMF Working Papers 2020/136, International Monetary Fund.
- Caglayan, Mustafa & Talavera, Oleksandr & Xiong, Lin, 2022.
"Female small business owners in China: Discouraged, not discriminated,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Mustafa Caglayan & Oleksandr Talavera & Lin Xiong, 2020. "Female Small Business Owners in China: Discouraged, not Discriminated," Discussion Papers 20-04, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Narayan, Seema & Cirikisuva, Salote & Naivutu, Revoni, 2023. "A hybrid NKPC inflation model for the small Island state of Fiji," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 873-886.
- Luigi Bonatti Roberto Tamborini & Roberto Tamborini, 2021. "Is High Inflation the New Challenge for Central Banks?," DEM Working Papers 2021/14, Department of Economics and Management.
- Terry Fitzgerald & Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2024.
"Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation?,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(4), pages 114-142, October.
- Terry J. Fitzgerald & Callum J. Jones & Mariano Kulish & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2020. "Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation?," Staff Report 614, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Terry Fitzgerald & Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2022. "Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation?," Working Papers 159, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2019. "Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation," NBER Working Papers 25987, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Patrik Kupkovic, 2020. "R-star in Transition Economies: Evidence from Slovakia," Working and Discussion Papers WP 3/2020, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
- Lawrence Mishel & Josh Bivens, 2021. "The Productivity-Median Compensation Gap in the United States: The Contribution of Increased Wage Inequality and the Role of Policy Choices," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 41, pages 61-97, Fall.
- Feldkircher, Martin & Siklos, Pierre L., 2019.
"Global inflation dynamics and inflation expectations,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 217-241.
- Martin Feldkircher & Pierre L. Siklos, 2018. "Global inflation dynamics and inflation expectations," CAMA Working Papers 2018-60, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ricardo Summa & Julia Braga, 2020. "The (conflict-augmented) Phillips Curve is alive and well," Working Papers 0055, ASTRIL - Associazione Studi e Ricerche Interdisciplinari sul Lavoro.
- Narayana R Kocherlakota, 2022. "The Unavoidability of Low Inflation–Low Output Traps," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(6), pages 3410-3435.
- Jean-Marie Le Page, 2024. "Pure Theories of Policy Mix: Nordhaus's Destructive Game and the Case of High Inflation," Post-Print hal-04634043, HAL.
- Fontanari, Claudia & Palumbo, Antonella & Salvatori, Chiara, 2022. "The updated Okun method for estimation of potential output with alternative measures of labor underutilization," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 158-178.
- Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Samer Shousha, 2021. "Supply of Sovereign Safe Assets and Global Interest Rates," International Finance Discussion Papers 1315, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Thomas Mayer & Gunther Schnabl, 2019. "Reasons for the Demise of Interest: Savings Glut and Secular Stagnation or Central Bank Policy?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7954, CESifo.
- Ricardo Summa & Julia Braga, 2020. "Two routes back to the old Phillips curve: the amended mainstream model and the conflict augmented alternative," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 14(1), pages 81-115, June.
- Lael Brainard, 2019. "Navigating Cautiously : a speech at the Julis-Rabinowitz Center for Public Policy and Finance and the Bendheim Center for Finance, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton ," Speech 1043, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Marc P. Giannoni, 2019. "Comment on "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2019, volume 34, pages 256-266, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael Morris & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2020. "How Aggregation Matters for Measured Wage Growth," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2020(19), pages 1-9, July.
- Solikin M. Juhro & Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2019. "Forecasting Indonesian Inflation Within An Inflation-Targeting Framework: Do Large-Scale Models Pay Off?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 423-436, December.
- James Bishop & Emma Greenland, 2021. "Is the Phillips Curve Still a Curve? Evidence from the Regions," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2021-09, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2020. "Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 393-428, December.
- DiGabriele, Jim & Ojo, Marianne, 2019. "The wage growth puzzle and the Philips Curve explained: recent developments," MPRA Paper 95110, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Philipp F. M. Baumann & Enzo Rossi & Alexander Volkmann, 2020.
"What Drives Inflation and How: Evidence from Additive Mixed Models Selected by cAIC,"
Papers
2006.06274, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
- Philipp F. M. Baumann & Dr. Enzo Rossi & Alexander Volkmann, 2021. "What drives inflation and how? Evidence from additive mixed models selected by cAIC," Working Papers 2021-12, Swiss National Bank.