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Valuing Oil Properties: Integrating Option Pricing and Decision Analysis Approaches

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Cited by:

  1. Celine de Quatrebarbes & Bertrand Laporte, 2015. "What do we know about the mineral resource rent sharing in Africa?," CERDI Working papers halshs-01146279, HAL.
  2. Duku-Kaakyire, Armstrong & Nanang, David M., 2004. "Application of real options theory to forestry investment analysis," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(6), pages 539-552, October.
  3. Jiao Wang & Lima Zhao & Arnd Huchzermeier, 2021. "Operations‐Finance Interface in Risk Management: Research Evolution and Opportunities," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(2), pages 355-389, February.
  4. Eduardo Schwartz & James E. Smith, 2000. "Short-Term Variations and Long-Term Dynamics in Commodity Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(7), pages 893-911, July.
  5. Chen, Shan & Insley, Margaret, 2012. "Regime switching in stochastic models of commodity prices: An application to an optimal tree harvesting problem," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 201-219.
  6. Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose & Alvarez, Jesus & Solis, Ricardo, 2010. "Crude oil market efficiency and modeling: Insights from the multiscaling autocorrelation pattern," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 993-1000, September.
  7. Luke T. Miller, 2010. "PMA license valuation: A Bayesian learning real options approach," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(1), pages 28-37, January.
  8. James S. Dyer & James E. Smith, 2021. "Innovations in the Science and Practice of Decision Analysis: The Role of Management Science," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(9), pages 5364-5378, September.
  9. Kitzing, Lena & Juul, Nina & Drud, Michael & Boomsma, Trine Krogh, 2017. "A real options approach to analyse wind energy investments under different support schemes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 83-96.
  10. Kyungwon Kim & Jae Wook Song, 2018. "Managing Bubbles in the Korean Real Estate Market: A Real Options Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-25, August.
  11. Bertrand Laporte & Celine de Quatrebarbes & Yannick Bouterige, 2022. "Tax design and rent sharing in mining sector: Evidence from African gold‐producing countries," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 1176-1196, August.
  12. Heydari, Somayeh & Siddiqui, Afzal, 2010. "Valuing a gas-fired power plant: A comparison of ordinary linear models, regime-switching approaches, and models with stochastic volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 709-725, May.
  13. Driouchi, Tarik & Leseure, Michel & Bennett, David, 2009. "A robustness framework for monitoring real options under uncertainty," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 698-710, June.
  14. Chris Kenyon & Stathis Tompaidis, 2001. "Real Options in Leasing: The Effect of Idle Time," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 49(5), pages 675-689, October.
  15. Mahan Tahvildari, 2021. "Forward indifference valuation and hedging of basis risk under partial information," Papers 2101.00251, arXiv.org.
  16. Nasakkala, Erkka & Fleten, Stein-Erik, 2005. "Flexibility and technology choice in gas fired power plant investments," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3-4), pages 371-393.
  17. Jenny Jing Wang & Jianfu Shen & Frederik Pretorius, 2023. "Valuing options to renew at future market value: the case of commercial property leases," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-35, December.
  18. Mehrdoust, Farshid & Noorani, Idin & Kanniainen, Juho, 2024. "Valuation of option price in commodity markets described by a Markov-switching model: A case study of WTI crude oil market," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 228-269.
  19. Anna Maria Gambaro & Nicola Secomandi, 2021. "A Discussion of Non‐Gaussian Price Processes for Energy and Commodity Operations," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(1), pages 47-67, January.
  20. Secomandi, Nicola, 2022. "Quadratic hedging of risk neutral values," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  21. Luiz E. Brandão & James S. Dyer & Warren J. Hahn, 2005. "Using Binomial Decision Trees to Solve Real-Option Valuation Problems," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 2(2), pages 69-88, June.
  22. Miller, Luke T., 2010. "PMA license valuation: A Bayesian learning real options approach," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 28-37, January.
  23. Janne Kettunen, Derek W. Bunn and William Blyth & Derek W. Bunn & William Blyth, 2011. "Investment Propensities under Carbon Policy Uncertainty," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1), pages 77-118.
  24. Lander, Diane M. & Pinches, George E., 1998. "Challenges to the Practical Implementation of Modeling and Valuing Real Options," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(3, Part 2), pages 537-567.
  25. Bardia Kamrad & Keith Ord, 2006. "Market risk and process uncertainty in production operations," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(7), pages 627-640, October.
  26. Balázs FazekasBalázs Fazekas, 2016. "Value-Creating Uncertainty – A Real Options Approach in Venture Capital," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 15(4), pages 151-166.
  27. Secomandi, Nicola & Seppi, Duane J., 2014. "Real Options and Merchant Operations of Energy and Other Commodities," Foundations and Trends(R) in Technology, Information and Operations Management, now publishers, vol. 6(3-4), pages 161-331, July.
  28. J. Eric Bickel & James E. Smith, 2006. "Optimal Sequential Exploration: A Binary Learning Model," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 3(1), pages 16-32, March.
  29. Nadarajah, Selvaprabu & Margot, François & Secomandi, Nicola, 2017. "Comparison of least squares Monte Carlo methods with applications to energy real options," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(1), pages 196-204.
  30. Nadarajah, Selvaprabu & Secomandi, Nicola, 2023. "A review of the operations literature on real options in energy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(2), pages 469-487.
  31. Kaufmann, Robert K., 2023. "Energy price volatility affects decisions to purchase energy using capital: Motor vehicles," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  32. Alessandro Cologni & Matteo Manera, 2011. "Exogenous Oil Shocks, Fiscal Policy and Sector Reallocations in Oil Producing Countries," Working Papers 2011.55, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  33. Arnd Huchzermeier & Christoph H. Loch, 2001. "Project Management Under Risk: Using the Real Options Approach to Evaluate Flexibility in R...D," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(1), pages 85-101, January.
  34. Lin Zhao & Sweder van Wijnbergen, 2017. "Decision-making in incomplete markets with ambiguity—a case study of a gas field acquisition," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(11), pages 1759-1782, November.
  35. Vicky Henderson & David Hobson, 2013. "Risk Aversion, Indivisible Timing Options, and Gambling," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(1), pages 126-137, February.
  36. Sheng-Hau Lin & Chia-Tsong Chen, 2020. "Pricing Rent for Social Housing Under Uncertainty," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(4), pages 1-4.
  37. Reus, Lorenzo & Pagnoncelli, Bernardo & Armstrong, Margaret, 2019. "Better management of production incidents in mining using multistage stochastic optimization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
  38. Hui-Ling Zhou & Bao-Jun Tang & Hong Cao, 2020. "Abandonment Decision-Making of Overseas Oilfield Project Coping with Low Oil Price," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 1171-1184, April.
  39. Whalley, A. Elizabeth, 2011. "Optimal R&D investment for a risk-averse entrepreneur," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 413-429, April.
  40. Lin, Tyrone T. & Huang, Shio-Ling, 2010. "An entry and exit model on the energy-saving investment strategy with real options," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 794-802, February.
  41. Carol Alexander & Xi Chen, 2021. "Model risk in real option valuation," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 1025-1056, April.
  42. Carlos Andrés Zapata Quimbayo, 2020. "OPCIONES REALES Una guía teórico-práctica para la valoración de inversiones bajo incertidumbre mediante modelos en tiempo discreto y simulación de Monte Carlo," Books, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Facultad de Finanzas, Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionales, number 138.
  43. Atul Chandra & Peter R. Hartley & Gopalan Nair, 2022. "Multiple Volatility Real Options Approach to Investment Decisions Under Uncertainty," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 79-98, June.
  44. Pendharkar, Parag C., 2010. "Valuing interdependent multi-stage IT investments: A real options approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 847-859, March.
  45. Lin Zhao & Sweder van Wijnbergen, 2013. "A Real Option Perspective on Valuing Gas Fields," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-126/VI/DSF60, Tinbergen Institute.
  46. Nyambane, Gerald G. & Black, J. Roy, 2004. "The Real Options Puzzle For Michigan Tart Cherry Producers," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20011, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  47. Salvador Cruz Rambaud & Joaquín López Pascual & Juan Carlos Meléndez Rodríguez, 2021. "Sustainability in the Aerospace Sector, a Transition to Clean Energy: The E 2 -EVM Valuation Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, June.
  48. Michel Benaroch, 2018. "Real Options Models for Proactive Uncertainty-Reducing Mitigations and Applications in Cybersecurity Investment Decision Making," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 29(2), pages 315-340, June.
  49. Hahn, Warren J. & DiLellio, James A. & Dyer, James S., 2018. "Risk premia in commodity price forecasts and their impact on valuation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 393-403.
  50. Lin, Tyrone T. & Huang, Shio-Ling, 2011. "Application of the modified Tobin's q to an uncertain energy-saving project with the real options concept," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 408-420, January.
  51. Chorn, L.G. & Shokhor, S., 2006. "Real options for risk management in petroleum development investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 489-505, July.
  52. Won, Chaehwan, 2009. "Valuation of investments in natural resources using contingent-claim framework with application to bituminous coal developments in Korea," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(9), pages 1215-1224.
  53. Omar Besbes & Sergei Savin, 2009. "Going Bunkers: The Joint Route Selection and Refueling Problem," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 11(4), pages 694-711, February.
  54. Delphine Lautier & Yves Simon, 2004. "La volatilité des prix des matières premières," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 74(1), pages 45-84.
  55. Elena Katok & William Tarantino & Terry P. Harrison, 2003. "Investment in production resource flexibility: An empirical investigation of methods for planning under uncertainty," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(2), pages 105-129, March.
  56. Anastasios Michailidis & Konstadinos Mattas, 2007. "Using Real Options Theory to Irrigation Dam Investment Analysis: An Application of Binomial Option Pricing Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(10), pages 1717-1733, October.
  57. Carol Alexander & Xi Chen, 2012. "A General Approach to Real Option Valuation with Applications to Real Estate Investments," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2012-04, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
  58. Pedro Godinho & João Paulo Costa, 2004. "The Use of Cost and Time in Project Decision Trees: A model and an application," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 20, pages 145-161, December.
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