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The science of monetary policy: an imperfect knowledge perspective
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- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1fsnu13sl59jsautsd9gpjrj59 is not listed on IDEAS
- Poledna, Sebastian & Miess, Michael Gregor & Hommes, Cars & Rabitsch, Katrin, 2023. "Economic forecasting with an agent-based model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Calvert Jump, Robert & Hommes, Cars & Levine, Paul, 2019.
"Learning, heterogeneity, and complexity in the New Keynesian model,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 446-470.
- Robert Calvert Jump & Cars Hommes & Paul Levine, 2018. "Learning, Heterogeneity, and Complexity in the New Keynesian Model," Working Papers 20181807, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
- Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga, 2021. "Inflation Expectations and Central Bank Communication with Unknown Prior," IMES Discussion Paper Series 21-E-07, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Arifovic, Jasmina & Petersen, Luba, 2017. "Stabilizing expectations at the zero lower bound: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 21-43.
- Ascari, Guido & Florio, Anna & Gobbi, Alessandro, 2017.
"Transparency, expectations anchoring and inflation target,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 261-273.
- Guido Ascari & Anna Florio, 2012. "Transparency, Expectations Anchoring and the Inflation Target," DEM Working Papers Series 022, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
- Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Sanjay R Singh & Donghoon Yoo, 2024.
"Incorporating Diagnostic Expectations into the New Keynesian Framework,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(5), pages 3013-3046.
- Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Sanjay R. Singh & Donghoon Yoo, 2021. "Incorporating Diagnostic Expectations into the New Keynesian Framework," Working Papers 339, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
- Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Sanjay R. Singh & Donghoon Yoo, 2023. "Incorporating Diagnostic Expectations into the New Keynesian Framework," Working Paper Series 2023-19, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Sanjay R. Singh & Donghoon Yoo, 2023. "Incorporating Diagnostic Expectations into the New Keynesian Framework," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 23-A004, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
- Cars Hommes & Robert Calvert Jump & Paul Levine, 2017. "Internal rationalityuyuyuy, heterogeneity and complexity in the New Keynesian model," Working Papers 20171706, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
- Christian P Pinshi, 2022. "Ciblage des prévisions d'inflation : Un nouveau cadre pour la politique monétaire ?," Working Papers hal-03548273, HAL.
- Eusepi, Stefano & Giannoni, Marc P. & Preston, Bruce, 2018.
"Some implications of learning for price stability,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-20.
- Stefano Eusepi & Marc P. Giannoni & Bruce Preston, 2017. "Some implications of learning for price stability," CAMA Working Papers 2017-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joeri Schasfoort & Antoine Godin & Dirk Bezemer & Alessandro Caiani & Stephen Kinsella, 2017.
"Monetary Policy Transmission In A Macroeconomic Agent-Based Model,"
Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(08), pages 1-35, December.
- Schasfoort, Joeri & Godin, Antoine & Bezemer, Dirk & Caiani, Alessandro & Kinsella, Stephen, 2017. "Monetary Policy Transmission in a Macroeconomic Agent-Based Model," Research Report 17010-GEM, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
- Karras, Georgios, 2019.
"Are “twin deficits” asymmetric? Evidence on government budget and current account balances, 1870–2013,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 12-24.
- Georgios Karras, 2019. "Are “twin deficits” asymmetric? Evidence on government budget and current account balances, 1870–2013," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 158, pages 12-24.
- Donato Masciandaro & Oana Peia & Davide Romelli, 2024.
"Central bank communication and social media: From silence to Twitter,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 365-388, April.
- Donato Masciandaro & Oana Peia & Davide Romelli, 2022. "Central Bank Communication and Social Media: From Silence to Twitter," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 22187, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Iliopulos, Eleni & Perego, Erica & Sopraseuth, Thepthida, 2021.
"International business cycles: Information matters,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 19-34.
- Eleni Iliopulos & Erica Perego & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2018. "International business cycles: Information matters," THEMA Working Papers 2018-13, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Eleni Iliopulos & Erica Perego & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2019. "International Business Cycles: Information Matters," Working Papers 2019-03, CEPII research center.
- Eleni Iliopulos & Erica Perego & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2021. "International business cycles: Information matters," Post-Print hal-03679001, HAL.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & McClung, Nigel, 2021.
"On Robustness of Average Inflation Targeting,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16001, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & McClung, Nigel, 2021. "On robustness of average inflation targeting," Research Discussion Papers 6/2021, Bank of Finland.
- Ricardo Reis, 2020. "Comment on "Imperfect Expectations: Theory and Evidence"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2020, volume 35, pages 99-111, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2023.
"Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2018. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Globalization Institute Working Papers 336, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2018. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2021. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Dynare Working Papers 67, CEPREMAP.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy under Bounded Rationality," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2019.07, Bank of Israel.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2023. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Post-Print emse-04624979, HAL.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," IMF Working Papers 2019/166, International Monetary Fund.
- Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Röttger, Joost, 2023. "Make-Up Strategies with Incomplete Markets and Bounded Rationality," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277697, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019.
"What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers,"
Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2018. "What do we know about the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy? A brief survey of the literature on fiscal multipliers," CAMA Working Papers 2018-59, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay C. Lim, 2018. "What Do We Know about the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," CESifo Working Paper Series 7366, CESifo.
- Hannes Draack, 2018. "Monetary Policy with Imperfect Signals: The Target Problem in a New Monetarist Approach," ECON - Working Papers 296, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
- Caines, Colin & Winkler, Fabian, 2021.
"Asset price beliefs and optimal monetary policy,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 53-67.
- Colin Caines & Fabian Winkler, 2019. "Asset Price Beliefs and Optimal Monetary Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 713, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Röttger, Joost, 2023. "Make-up strategies with incomplete markets and bounded rationality," Discussion Papers 01/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Gasteiger, Emanuel, 2021.
"Optimal constrained interest-rate rules under heterogeneous expectations,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 287-325.
- Gasteiger, Emanuel, 2021. "Optimal Constrained Interest-Rate Rules under Heterogeneous Expectations," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 04/2021, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
- Andrew Filardo & Paul Hubert & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019.
"The reaction function channel of monetary policy and the financial cycle,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03403260, HAL.
- Andrew Filardo & Paul Hubert & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "The reaction function channel of monetary policy and the financial cycle," Working Papers hal-03403260, HAL.
- Andrew Filardo & Paul Hubert & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul Author-X-Name_First: Phurichai, 2019. "The reaction function channel of monetary policy and the financial cycle," BIS Working Papers 816, Bank for International Settlements.
- Andrew Filardo & Paul Hubert & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "The reaction function channel of monetary policy and the financial cycle," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-16, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Frédérique Bec & Patrick Kanda, 2019. "Is inflation driven by survey-based, VAR-based or myopic expectations?," Working Papers hal-02175836, HAL.
- Assenza, T. & Heemeijer, P. & Hommes, C.H. & Massaro, D., 2021.
"Managing self-organization of expectations through monetary policy: A macro experiment,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 170-186.
- Assenza, T. & Heemeijer, P. & Hommes, C.H. & Massaro, D., 2014. "Managing Self-organization of Expectations through Monetary Policy: a Macro Experiment," CeNDEF Working Papers 14-07, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Assenza, Tiziana & Heemeijer, P. & Hommes, C.H. & Massaro, D., 2018. "Managing Self-organization of Expectations through Monetary Policy: a Macro Experiment," TSE Working Papers 18-963, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Tiziana Assenza & P. Heemeijer & C.H. Hommes & D. Massaro, 2021. "Managing Self-organization of Expectations through Monetary Policy: a Macro Experiment," Post-Print hal-03176273, HAL.
- Warne, Anders, 2023. "DSGE model forecasting: rational expectations vs. adaptive learning," Working Paper Series 2768, European Central Bank.
- Andrea Civelli & Cary Deck & Antonella Tutino, 2019.
"Rationally Inattentive Savers and Monetary Policy Changes: A Laboratory Experiment,"
Working Papers
1915, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Andrea Civelli & Cary Deck & Antonella Tutino, 2020. "Rationally Inattentive savers and Monetary Policy Changes: A Laboratory Experiment," Working Papers 20-02, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Elton Beqiraj & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Marco Di Pietro & Carolina Serpieri, 2020. "Bounded rationality and heterogeneous expectations: Euler versus anticipated-utility approach," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 130(3), pages 249-273, August.
- Özge Dilaver & Robert Calvert Jump & Paul Levine, 2018.
"Agent‐Based Macroeconomics And Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models: Where Do We Go From Here?,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 1134-1159, September.
- Özge Dilaver & Robert Jump & Paul Levine, 2016. "Agent-based Macroeconomics and Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models: Where do we go from here?," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0116, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Greta Meggiorini & Fabio Milani, 2021.
"Behavioral New Keynesian Models: Learning vs. Cognitive Discounting,"
Working Papers
202103, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
- Greta Meggiorini & Fabio Milani, 2021. "Behavioral New Keynesian Models: Learning vs. Cognitive Discounting," CESifo Working Paper Series 9039, CESifo.
- Mele, Antonio & Molnár, Krisztina & Santoro, Sergio, 2020.
"On the perils of stabilizing prices when agents are learning,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 339-353.
- Mele, Antonio & Molnar, Krisztina & Santoro, Sergio, 2014. "On the perils of stabilizing prices when agents are learning," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 1/2015, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
- Antonio Mele & Krisztina Molnar & Sergio Santoro, 2015. "On the perils of stabilizing prices when agents are learning," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0215, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Mele, Antonio & Molnar, Krisztina & Santoro, Sergio, 2018. "On the perils of stabilizing prices when agents are learning," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 22/2018, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
- Antonio Mele & Krisztina Molnár & Sergio Santoro, 2015. "On the Perils of Stabilizing Prices when Agents are Learning," CESifo Working Paper Series 5173, CESifo.
- Mingli Chen & Andreas Joseph & Michael Kumhof & Xinlei Pan & Xuan Zhou, 2021. "Deep Reinforcement Learning in a Monetary Model," Papers 2104.09368, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
- Ilhan Kilic & Faruk Balli, 2024. "Measuring economic country-specific uncertainty in Türkiye," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1649-1689, October.
- Goy, Gavin & Hommes, Cars & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2022. "Forward guidance and the role of central bank credibility under heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 1240-1274.
- Georgios KARRAS, 2019. "“Twins” Or Just “Siblings”?Budget And Current Account Deficits In Europe, 1870-2013," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 19(1), pages 33-42.
- Jump, Robert Calvert & Levine, Paul, 2019.
"Behavioural New Keynesian models,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 59-77.
- Robert Calvert Jump & Paul Levine, 2019. "Behavioural New Keynesian Models," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0219, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Gáti, Laura, 2023.
"Monetary policy & anchored expectations—An endogenous gain learning model,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 37-47.
- Gáti, Laura, 2022. "Monetary policy & anchored expectations: an endogenous gain learning model," Working Paper Series 2685, European Central Bank.
- Bec, Frédérique & Kanda, Patrick, 2020. "Is inflation driven by survey-based, VAR-based or myopic expectations? An empirical assessment from US real-time data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Anufriev, Mikhail & Duffy, John & Panchenko, Valentyn, 2022. "Learning in two-dimensional beauty contest games: Theory and experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
- García-Cicco, Javier, 2022.
"Alternative monetary-policy instruments and limited credibility: An exploration,"
Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(1).
- Javier García-Cicco, 2021. "Alternative Monetary-Policy Instruments and Limited Credibility: An Exploration," BCRA Working Paper Series 202191, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
- Javier García-Cicco, 2022. "Alternative Monetary-Policy Instruments and Limited Credibility: An Exploration," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 822, Universidad del CEMA.
- Javier Garcia-Cicco, 2022. "Alternative monetary-policy instruments and limited credibility: an exploration," BIS Working Papers 1020, Bank for International Settlements.
- Javier García-Cicco, 2022. "Alternative Monetary-Policy Instruments and Limited Credibility: An Exploration," Working Papers 115, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/mqe122bu9lprrh0g2eloopgd is not listed on IDEAS
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2020.
"Price level targeting with evolving credibility,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 88-103.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Kaushik, Mitra, 2018. "Price level targeting with evolving credibility," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2018. "Price Level Targeting with Evolving Credibility," CEPR Discussion Papers 12739, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Colin C. Caines & Fabian Winkler, 2018. "Asset Price Learning and Optimal Monetary Policy," International Finance Discussion Papers 1236, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Esady, Vania, 2022. "Real and nominal effects of monetary shocks under time-varying disagreement," Bank of England working papers 1007, Bank of England.
- Robert G. King & Yang K. Lu, 2020. "Managing Expectations in the New Keynesian Model," HKUST CEP Working Papers Series 202007, HKUST Center for Economic Policy.
- Ina Hajdini, 2022. "Mis-specified Forecasts and Myopia in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," Working Papers 22-03R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 06 Mar 2023.
- Grimaud, Alex, 2021.
"Precautionary saving and un-anchored expectations,"
MPRA Paper
110651, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Grimaud, Alex, 2021. "Precautionary saving and un-anchored expectations," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 08/2021, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
- Marine Charlotte André & Meixing Dai, 2018.
"The limits to robust monetary policy in a small open economy with learning agents,"
Working Papers of BETA
2018-45, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- André Marine Charlotte & Dai Meixing, 2020. "The limits to robust monetary policy in a small open economy with learning agents," Working Papers 2020-12, Banco de México.
- Duffy, John & Shin, Michael, 2024. "Heterogeneous experience and constant-gain learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
- Tsz H. Hung & Yum K. Kwan, 2022. "Hong Kong's New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Sticky information or sticky price?," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 42-55, February.
- Cole, Stephen J., 2020. "The influence of learning and price-level targeting on central bank forward guidance," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Grimaud, Alex, 2021. "Precautionary saving and un-anchored expectations," MPRA Paper 108931, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert, 2019.
"Thoughts on a review of the ECB's monetary policy strategy,"
Working Papers
hal-03403251, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert, 2019. "Thoughts on a review of the ECB's monetary policy strategy," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403251, HAL.
- Vagliasindi,Maria & Gorgulu,Nisan, 2021. "What Have We Learned about the Effectiveness of Infrastructure Investment as a FiscalStimulus ? A Literature Review," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9796, The World Bank.
- Branch, William A. & Gasteiger, Emanuel, 2019. "Endogenously (non-)Ricardian beliefs," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 03/2019, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/1fsnu13sl59jsautsd9gpjrj59 is not listed on IDEAS
- Evans, George W. & McGough, Bruce, 2020. "Stable near-rational sunspot equilibria," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
- Martin Eichenbaum, 2023. "On the limits of rational expectations for policy analysis," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(4), pages 1221-1237, November.
- Alistair Macaulay, 2022. "Heterogeneous Information, Subjective Model Beliefs, and the Time-Varying Transmission of Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 9733, CESifo.
- Andres Blanco & Pablo Ottonello & Tereza Ranošová, 2024. "The Dynamics of Large Inflation Surges," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2024-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2021_006 is not listed on IDEAS
- Fudenberg, Drew & Lanzani, Giacomo & Strack, Philipp, 2023. "Pathwise concentration bounds for Bayesian beliefs," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 18(4), November.
- Bodenstein, Martin & Hebden, James & Winkler, Fabian, 2022. "Learning and misperception of makeup strategies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Charemza, Wojciech & Díaz, Carlos & Makarova, Svetlana, 2019. "Quasi ex-ante inflation forecast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 994-1007.
- Martin Bodenstein & James Hebden & Fabian Winkler, 2019. "Learning and Misperception: Implications for Price-Level Targeting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-078, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Gavin Goy & Cars Homme & Kostas Mavromatis, 2018. "Forward Guidance and the Role of Central Bank Credibility," DNB Working Papers 614, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Meggiorini, Greta, 2023. "Behavioral New Keynesian Models: An empirical assessment," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/mqe122bu9lprrh0g2eloopgd is not listed on IDEAS