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Do asymmetric and nonlinear adjustments explain the forward premium anomaly?
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Cited by:
- Hillebrand, Eric & Schnabl, Gunther & Ulu, Yasemin, 2009.
"Japanese foreign exchange intervention and the yen-to-dollar exchange rate: A simultaneous equations approach using realized volatility,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 490-505, July.
- Eric Hillebrand & Gunther Schnabl & Yasemin Ulu, 2006. "Japanese Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: A Simultaneous Equations Approach Using Realized Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 1766, CESifo.
- repec:wsr:wpaper:y:2015:i:140 is not listed on IDEAS
- Nelson R. Ramírez-Rondán & Marco E. Terrones, 2024.
"Uncertainty and the uncovered interest parity condition: How are they related?,"
Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 160(4), pages 1505-1542, November.
- N.R. Ramírez-Rondán & Marco E. Terrones, 2019. "Uncertainty and the Uncovered Interest Parity Condition: How Are They Related?," Working Papers 156, Peruvian Economic Association.
- Ramirez-Rondan, N.R. & Terrones, Marco E., 2019. "Uncertainty and the Uncovered Interest Parity Condition: How Are They Related?," MPRA Paper 97524, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lothian, James R., 2016. "Uncovered interest parity: The long and the short of it," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-7.
- Baillie, Richard T. & Diebold, Francis X. & Kapetanios, George & Kim, Kun Ho, 2023.
"A new test for market efficiency and uncovered interest parity,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- Richard T. Baillie & Francis X. Diebold & George Kapetanios & Kun Ho Kim, 2022. "A New Test for Market Efficiency and Uncovered Interest Parity," NBER Working Papers 30638, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Richard T. Baillie & Francis X. Diebold & George Kapetanios & Kun Ho Kim, 2022. "A New Test forMarket Efficiency and Uncovered Interest Parity," PIER Working Paper Archive 22-029, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Richard T. Baillie & Francis X. Diebold & George Kapetanios & Kun Ho Kim, 2022. "A New Test for Market Efficiency and Uncovered Interest Parity," Papers 2211.01344, arXiv.org.
- Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2019. "Currency carry trades and the conditional factor model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 198-208.
- Baillie, Richard T. & Cho, Dooyeon, 2014. "Time variation in the standard forward premium regression: Some new models and tests," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 52-63.
- repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:143:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
- Michael Jetter & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy & Olena Ogrokhina, 2019. "Can policy shifts explain the forward discount puzzle?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1891-1909, December.
- Kerstin Bernoth & Jürgen Von Hagen & Casper De Vries, 2022.
"The Term Structure of Currency Futures' Risk Premia,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(1), pages 5-38, February.
- Bernoth, Kerstin & von Hagen, Jürgen & de Vries, Caspar, 2022. "The Term Structure of Currency Futures' Risk Premia," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 5-38.
- Cho, Dooyeon, 2015. "The role of covered interest parity in explaining the forward premium anomaly within a nonlinear panel framework," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 229-238.
- Shehadeh, Ali A. & Li, Youwei & Vigne, Samuel A. & Almaharmeh, Mohammad I. & Wang, Yizhi, 2021. "The existence and severity of the forward premium puzzle during tranquil and turbulent periods: Developed versus developing country currencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Muhammad Omer & Jakob de Haan & Bert Scholtens, 2019.
"Does Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Hold After All?,"
Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 24(2), pages 49-72, July-Dec.
- Muhammad Omer & Jakob de Haan & Bert Scholtens, 2013. "Does Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Hold After All?," SBP Working Paper Series 57, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
- Omer, Muhammad & de Haan, Jakob & Scholtens, Bert, 2013. "Does Uncovered Interest rate Parity Hold After All?," MPRA Paper 47572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kumar, Vikram, 2020. "Liquidity shocks: A new solution to the forward premium puzzle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 445-454.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Belke, Ansgar & Dreger, Christian, 2017.
"The relevance of international spillovers and asymmetric effects in the Taylor rule,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 162-170.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Belke, Ansgar & Dreger, Christian, 2014. "The relevance of international spillovers and asymmetric effects in the Taylor rule," Discussion Papers 359, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Belke, Ansgar & Dreger, Christian, 2015. "The Relevance of International Spillovers and Asymmetric Effects in the Taylor Rule," CEPS Papers 10029, Centre for European Policy Studies.
- Joscha Beckmann & Ansgar Belke & Christian Dreger, 2014. "The Relevance of International Spillovers and Asymmetric Effects in the Taylor Rule," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1416, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Joscha Beckmann & Ansgar Belke & Christian Dreger, 2014. "The Relevance of International Spillovers and Asymmetric Effects in the Taylor Rule," ROME Working Papers 201410, ROME Network.
- Li, Dandan & Ghoshray, Atanu & Morley, Bruce, 2013. "An empirical study of nonlinear adjustment in the UIP model using a smooth transition regression model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 109-120.
- Zigraiova, Diana & Havranek, Tomas & Irsova, Zuzana & Novak, Jiri, 2021.
"How puzzling is the forward premium puzzle? A meta-analysis,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Zigraiova, Diana & Havranek, Tomas & Novak, Jiri, 2020. "How Puzzling Is the Forward Premium Puzzle? A Meta-Analysis," EconStor Preprints 213578, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Diana Zigraiova & Tomas Havranek & Jiri Novak, 2020. "How puzzling is the forward premium puzzle? A meta-analysis," Working Papers 46, European Stability Mechanism.
- Diana Zigraiova & Tomas Havranek & Jiri Novak, 2020. "How Puzzling Is the Forward Premium Puzzle? A Meta-Analysis," Working Papers IES 2020/6, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Feb 2020.
- Havranek, Tomas & Novak, Jiri & Zigraiova, Diana, 2020. "How puzzling is the forward premium puzzle? A meta-analysis," MetaArXiv 348kc, Center for Open Science.
- Havranek, Tomas & Novak, Jiri & Zigraiova, Diana, 2020. "How puzzling is the forward premium puzzle? A meta-analysis," MetaArXiv 348kc_v1, Center for Open Science.
- Havranek, Tomas & Zigraiova, Diana & Irsova, Zuzana & Novak, Jiri, 2021. "How Puzzling Is the Forward Premium Puzzle? A Meta-Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 15817, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mahalia Jackman & Roland Craigwell & Michelle Doyle-Lowe, 2013. "Nonlinearity in the reaction of the foreign exchange market to interest rate differentials: evidence from a small open economy with a long-term peg," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 287-296, February.
- Kerstin Bernoth & Jürgen von Hagen & Casper G. de Vries, 2018. "Estimating a Latent Risk Premium in Exchange Rate Futures," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1733, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Cho, Dooyeon, 2018. "On the persistence of the forward premium in the joint presence of nonlinearity, asymmetry, and structural changes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 310-319.
- Richard T., Baillie, 2011. "Possible solutions to the forward bias paradox," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 617-622, October.
- Elias, Nikolaos & Smyrnakis, Dimitris & Tzavalis, Elias, 2024. "The forward premium anomaly and the currency carry trade hypothesis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 203-218.
- Joscha Beckmann, 2011. "Nonlinear Adjustment, Purchasing Power Parity and the Role of Nominal Exchange Rates and Prices," Ruhr Economic Papers 0272, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
- McMillan, David G., 2009. "Forward interest rate premium and asymmetric adjustment: Evidence from 16 countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 258-273, April.
- Richard T. Baillie & Dooyeon Cho, 2014. "When Carry Trades in Currency Markets are not Profitable," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(4), pages 794-803, November.
- Jaya Krishnakumar & David Neto, 2012. "Testing Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and Term Structure Using a Three‐regime Threshold Unit Root VECM: An Application to the Swiss ‘Isle’ of Interest Rates," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(2), pages 180-202, April.
- Rehim Kılıç, 2023. "Uncovered interest rate, overshooting, and predictability reversal puzzles in an emerging economy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-074, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Daniel L. Thornton, 2019.
"Resolving the unbiasedness and forward premium puzzles,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(1), pages 5-27, February.
- Daniel L. Thornton, 2007. "Resolving the unbiasedness and forward premium puzzles," Working Papers 2007-014, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Öge Güney Pelin, 2018. "Uncovered Interest Rate Parity: The Turkish Evidence," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-11, August.
- Baillie, Richard T. & Cho, Dooyeon, 2016.
"Assessing Euro crises from a time varying international CAPM approach,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 197-208.
- Richard T. Baillie & Dooyeon Cho, 2016. "Assessing Euro Crises from a Time Varying International CAPM Approach," Working Paper series 16-03, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Richard T. Baillie & George Kapetanios, 2006.
"Nonlinear Models with Strongly Dependent Processes and Applications to Forward Premia and Real Exchange Rates,"
Working Papers
570, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Richard T. Baillie & George Kapetanios, 2006. "Nonlinear Models with Strongly Dependent Processes and Applications to Forward Premia and Real Exchange Rates," Working Papers 570, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Ueli Mettler & Markus Thöny & Hansjörg Schmidt, 2010. "Carry and trend strategies in FX markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(5), pages 321-331, December.
- Cappiello, Lorenzo & Mehl, Arnaud, 2007. "Uncovered interest parity at distant horizons: evidence on emerging economies & nonlinearities," Working Paper Series 801, European Central Bank.
- Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Zhuo Qiao & Wing-keung Wong, 2010.
"Linearity and stationarity of G7 government bond returns,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(4), pages 2642-2655.
- Liew, Venus Khim-Sen & Qiao, Zhuo & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2008. "Linearity and stationarity of G7 government bond returns," MPRA Paper 24836, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Sep 2010.
- Beckmann, Joscha, 2013.
"Nonlinear adjustment, purchasing power parity and the role of nominal exchange rates and prices,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 176-190.
- Beckmann, Joscha, 2011. "Nonlinear Adjustment, Purchasing Power Parity and the Role of Nominal Exchange Rates and Prices," Ruhr Economic Papers 272, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Derek Bond & Michael Harrison & Niall Hession & Edward O'Brien, 2010.
"Nonlinearity as an explanation of the forward exchange rate anomaly,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(13), pages 1237-1239.
- D. (Derek) Bond & Niall Hession & Michael J. Harrison & Edward J. (Edward Joseph) O'Brien, 2008. "Nonlinearity as an explanation of the forward exchange rate anomaly," Working Papers 200801, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Baillie, Richard T. & Kim, Kun Ho, 2015. "Was it risk? Or was it fundamentals? Explaining excess currency returns with kernel smoothed regressions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 99-111.
- Ayşegül Çorakcı & Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Tolga Omay, 2017. "Re-examining the real interest rate parity hypothesis (RIPH) using panel unit root tests with asymmetry and cross-section dependence," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 91-120, February.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Belke, Ansgar & Czudaj, Robert, 2014. "Regime-dependent adjustment in energy spot and futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 400-409.
- Daniel L. Thornton, 2009. "Resolving the unbiasedness puzzle in the foreign exchange market," Working Papers 2009-002, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Laurent Ferrara & Joseph Yapi, 2022.
"Measuring exchange rate risks during periods of uncertainty,"
International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 170, pages 202-212.
- Ferrara, Laurent & Yapi, Joseph, 2022. "Measuring exchange rate risks during periods of uncertainty," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 202-212.
- Laurent Ferrara & Joseph Yapi, 2020. "Measuring exchange rate risks during periods of uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2020-60, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Grossmann, Axel & Lee, Allissa A. & Simpson, Marc W., 2014. "Forward premium anomaly of the British pound and the euro," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 140-156.
- Shehadeh, Ali & Li, Youwei & Moore, Michael, 2016. "The Forward Premium Bias, Carry Trade Return and the Risks of Volatility and Liquidity," MPRA Paper 71709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chang, Sanders S., 2013. "Can cross-country portfolio rebalancing give rise to forward bias in FX markets?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1079-1096.
- Nath, Golaka, 2013. "The Spot Forward Exchange Rate Relation in Indian Foreign Exchange Market - An Analysis," MPRA Paper 51591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Baillie, Richard T. & Chang, Sanders S., 2011. "Carry trades, momentum trading and the forward premium anomaly," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 441-464, August.
- Matthieu Bussière & Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Jonas Heipertz, 2022.
"The New Fama Puzzle,"
IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(3), pages 451-486, September.
- Matthieu Bussiere & Menzie D. Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Jonas Heipertz, 2018. "The New Fama Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 24342, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Matthieu Bussière & Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Jonas Heipertz, 2022. "The New Fama Puzzle," Post-Print hal-04459560, HAL.
- Niango Ange Joseph Yapi, 2020. "Exchange rate predictive densities and currency risks: A quantile regression approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-16, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- repec:zbw:rwirep:0272 is not listed on IDEAS
- Cheung, Yin-Wong & Wang, Wenhao, 2022.
"Uncovered interest rate parity redux: Non-uniform effects,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 133-151.
- Yin-Wong Cheung & Wenhao Wang, 2020. "Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Redux: Non- Uniform Effects," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2020_004, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Katarzyna Czech, 2020. "Speculative trading and its effect on the forward premium puzzle: new evidence from Japanese yen market," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 51(2), pages 167-188.
- Hall Stephen G. & Kenjegaliev Amangeldi & Swamy P. A. V. B. & Tavlas George S., 2013. "The forward rate premium puzzle: a case of misspecification?1)," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(3), pages 265-279, May.
- Li, Jing & Miller, Norman C., 2015. "Foreign exchange market inefficiency and exchange rate anomalies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 311-320.
- Richard T. Baillie & Kun Ho Kim, 2016. "Is Robust Inference with OLS Sensible in Time Series Regressions? Investigating Bias and MSE Trade-offs with Feasible GLS and VAR Approaches," Working Paper series 16-04, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- David Alan Peel & Pantelis Promponas, 2016. "Forecasting the nominal exchange rate movements in a changing world. The case of the U.S. and the U.K," Working Papers 144439514, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Charfeddine, Lanouar & Khediri, Karim Ben & Mrabet, Zouhair, 2019. "The forward premium anomaly in the energy futures markets: A time-varying approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 600-615.
- Carmen Gloria Silva, 2010. "Forward premium puzzle and term structure of interest rates: the case of New Zealand," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 570, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pippenger, John, 2011. "A Complete Solution To The Forward-Bias Puzzle," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt5gq9z4j0, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
- Norman C. Miller, 2014. "Exchange Rate Economics," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14981.
- Christian Wagner, 2008. "Risk-Premia, Carry-Trade Dynamics, and Speculative Efficiency of Currency Markets," Working Papers 143, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
- Baillie, Richard T. & Kapetanios, George, 2008. "Nonlinear models for strongly dependent processes with financial applications," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 60-71, November.
- Sakoulis, Georgios & Zivot, Eric & Choi, Kyongwook, 2010. "Structural change in the forward discount: Implications for the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 957-966, December.
- Jorge Andrés Muñoz Mendoza & Carmen Lissette Veloso Ramos & Sandra María Sepúlveda Yelpo & Carlos Leandro Delgado Fuentealba & Edinson Edgardo Cornejo Saavedra, 2022. "Exchange Markets and Stock Markets Integration in Latin-America," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 17(3), pages 1-24, Julio - S.
- Craighead, William D. & Davis, George K. & Miller, Norman C., 2010. "Interest differentials and extreme support for uncovered interest rate parity," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 723-732, October.
- Joscha Beckmann, 2013. "Nonlinear Exchange Rate Adjustment and the Monetary Model," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 654-670, September.
- Ruoyang Li & Alva Svoboda & Shmuel Oren, 2015. "Efficiency impact of convergence bidding in the california electricity market," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 245-284, December.
- Miah, Fazlul & Altiti, Omar, 2020. "Risk premium or irrational expectations? An investigation into the causes of forward discount bias across 27 developed and developing economies forward rates," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Pippenger, John, 2012. "What Covered Interest Parity Implies about the Theory of Uncovered Interest Parity," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt0zk6t2hj, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
- Pippenger, John, 2011. "The solution to the forward-bias puzzle," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 296-304, April.
- Kumar, Satish & Trück, Stefan, 2014. "Unbiasedness and risk premiums in the Indian currency futures market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 13-32.
- Cho, Dooyeon & Han, Heejoon, 2021. "The tail behavior of safe haven currencies: A cross-quantilogram analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Amit K. Sinha & Philip A. Horvath & Robert C. Scott, 2017. "The real miss-specification in the forward rate premium puzzle," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(3), pages 463-473, July.
- Kerstin Bernoth & Jürgen von Hagen & Casper G. de Vries, 2020. "Currency Futures' Risk Premia and Risk Factors," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1866, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Snaith, Stuart & Coakley, Jerry & Kellard, Neil, 2013. "Does the forward premium puzzle disappear over the horizon?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 3681-3693.
- Belke, Ansgar & Beckmann, Joscha & Dreger, Christian, 2014. "Does the foreign interest rate matter for monetary policy? Evidence from nonlinear Taylor rules," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100450, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Musa, Abdullahi & Salisu, Afees A. & Aliyu, Victoria O. & Mevweroso, Chioma R., 2021. "Analysis of asymmetric response of exchange rate to interest rate differentials: The case of African Big 4," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
- Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Ogebe, Joseph O., 2019. "The validity of uncovered interest parity: Evidence from african members and non-member of the organisation of petroleum exporting countries (OPEC)," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 229-249.
- Junttila, Juha & Korhonen, Marko, 2011. "Nonlinearity and time-variation in the monetary model of exchange rates," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 288-302, June.