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The degree-day method to estimate the residential heating natural gas consumption in Turkey: a case study

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  1. Yukseltan, Ergun & Yucekaya, Ahmet & Bilge, Ayse Humeyra & Agca Aktunc, Esra, 2021. "Forecasting models for daily natural gas consumption considering periodic variations and demand segregation," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  2. Li, Junchen & Dong, Xiucheng & Shangguan, Jianxin & Hook, Mikael, 2011. "Forecasting the growth of China’s natural gas consumption," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1380-1385.
  3. Jebaraj, S. & Iniyan, S., 2006. "A review of energy models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 281-311, August.
  4. Szoplik, Jolanta, 2015. "Forecasting of natural gas consumption with artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 208-220.
  5. Liu, Long & Zhao, Jing & Liu, Xin & Wang, Zhaoxia, 2014. "Energy consumption comparison analysis of high energy efficiency office buildings in typical climate zones of China and U.S. based on correction model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 221-232.
  6. Jean Gaston Tamba & Salom Ndjakomo Essiane & Emmanuel Flavian Sapnken & Francis Djanna Koffi & Jean Luc Nsouand l & Bozidar Soldo & Donatien Njomo, 2018. "Forecasting Natural Gas: A Literature Survey," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 216-249.
  7. Dombaycı, Ö. Altan, 2009. "Degree-days maps of Turkey for various base temperatures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 1807-1812.
  8. Sommer, Wijbrand & Valstar, Johan & Leusbrock, Ingo & Grotenhuis, Tim & Rijnaarts, Huub, 2015. "Optimization and spatial pattern of large-scale aquifer thermal energy storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 322-337.
  9. Amin Nazarahari & Nader Ghotbi & Koji Tokimatsu, 2021. "Energy Poverty among College Students in Japan in a Survey of Students’ Knowledge, Attitude and Practices towards Energy Use," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-17, July.
  10. Kenisarin, Murat & Kenisarina, Kamola, 2007. "Energy saving potential in the residential sector of Uzbekistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1319-1325.
  11. Soldo, Božidar, 2012. "Forecasting natural gas consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 26-37.
  12. Serli Kiremitciyan & Ahmet Goncu & Tolga Umut Kuzubas, 2014. "A Comparison of Stochastic Models of Natural Gas Consumption," Working Papers 2014/10, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.
  13. Zhu, Dan & Tao, Shu & Wang, Rong & Shen, Huizhong & Huang, Ye & Shen, Guofeng & Wang, Bin & Li, Wei & Zhang, Yanyan & Chen, Han & Chen, Yuanchen & Liu, Junfeng & Li, Bengang & Wang, Xilong & Liu, Wenx, 2013. "Temporal and spatial trends of residential energy consumption and air pollutant emissions in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 17-24.
  14. Mourshed, Monjur, 2011. "The impact of the projected changes in temperature on heating and cooling requirements in buildings in Dhaka, Bangladesh," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(11), pages 3737-3746.
  15. Kuru Merve & Calis Gulben, 2020. "Application of time series models for heating degree day forecasting," Organization, Technology and Management in Construction, Sciendo, vol. 12(1), pages 2137-2146, January.
  16. Fazeli, Reza & Davidsdottir, Brynhildur & Hallgrimsson, Jonas Hlynur, 2016. "Residential energy demand for space heating in the Nordic countries: Accounting for interfuel substitution," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 1210-1226.
  17. Szoplik, Jolanta, 2016. "Improving the natural gas transporting based on the steady state simulation results," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 105-116.
  18. Gutiérrez, R. & Nafidi, A. & Gutiérrez Sánchez, R., 2005. "Forecasting total natural-gas consumption in Spain by using the stochastic Gompertz innovation diffusion model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 115-124, February.
  19. David Kaftan & George F. Corliss & Richard J. Povinelli & Ronald H. Brown, 2021. "A Surrogate Weather Generator for Estimating Natural Gas Design Day Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-19, November.
  20. He, Hongming & Jim, C.Y., 2012. "Coupling model of energy consumption with changes in environmental utility," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 235-243.
  21. Palacios-Garcia, E.J. & Moreno-Munoz, A. & Santiago, I. & Flores-Arias, J.M. & Bellido-Outeirino, F.J. & Moreno-Garcia, I.M., 2018. "A stochastic modelling and simulation approach to heating and cooling electricity consumption in the residential sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 1080-1091.
  22. Potočnik, Primož & Soldo, Božidar & Šimunović, Goran & Šarić, Tomislav & Jeromen, Andrej & Govekar, Edvard, 2014. "Comparison of static and adaptive models for short-term residential natural gas forecasting in Croatia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 94-103.
  23. Weibin Lin & Bin Chen & Shichao Luo & Li Liang, 2014. "Factor Analysis of Residential Energy Consumption at the Provincial Level in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(11), pages 1-15, November.
  24. Tomasz Cieślik & Piotr Narloch & Adam Szurlej & Krzysztof Kogut, 2022. "Indirect Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Natural Gas Consumption by Commercial Consumers in a Selected City in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-18, February.
  25. Ahmet Goncu & Mehmet Oguz Karahan & Tolga Umut Kuzubas, 2019. "Forecasting Daily Residential Natural Gas Consumption: A Dynamic Temperature Modelling Approach," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 33(1), pages 1-22.
  26. Guo, Jing & Lin, Penghui & Zhang, Limao & Pan, Yue & Xiao, Zhonghua, 2023. "Dynamic adaptive encoder-decoder deep learning networks for multivariate time series forecasting of building energy consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
  27. Huang, Lizhen & Bohne, Rolf André & Lohne, Jardar, 2015. "Shelter and residential building energy consumption within the 450 ppm CO2eq constraints in different climate zones," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P1), pages 965-979.
  28. Zhang, L.Y. & Jin, L.W. & Wang, Z.N. & Zhang, J.Y. & Liu, X. & Zhang, L.H., 2017. "Effects of wall configuration on building energy performance subject to different climatic zones of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P2), pages 1565-1573.
  29. Yang, Liu & Lam, Joseph C. & Tsang, C.L., 2008. "Energy performance of building envelopes in different climate zones in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(9), pages 800-817, September.
  30. Wang, Yinsu & Zhou, Kui & Wang, Xinyu & Yang, Tingting & Chen, Huiting, 2024. "Can carbon tax revenue recycling coordinate climate mitigation and energy poverty alleviation?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
  31. Kaynakli, O., 2008. "A study on residential heating energy requirement and optimum insulation thickness," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1164-1172.
  32. Zhao, Jing & Duan, Yaoqi & Liu, Xiaojuan, 2019. "Study on the policy of replacing coal-fired boilers with gas-fired boilers for central heating based on the 3E system and the TOPSIS method: A case in Tianjin, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  33. Melikoglu, Mehmet, 2013. "Vision 2023: Forecasting Turkey's natural gas demand between 2013 and 2030," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 393-400.
  34. Forouzanfar, Mehdi & Doustmohammadi, Ali & Menhaj, M. Bagher & Hasanzadeh, Samira, 2010. "Modeling and estimation of the natural gas consumption for residential and commercial sectors in Iran," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 268-274, January.
  35. Payne, James E. & Loomis, David G. & Wilson, Renardo, 2011. "Residential Natural Gas Demand in Illinois: Evidence from the ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 41(2), pages 1-10.
  36. Reza Fazeli & Brynhildur Davidsdottir & Jonas Hlynur Hallgrimsson, 2016. "Climate Impact On Energy Demand For Space Heating In Iceland," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(02), pages 1-23, May.
  37. Ozalp, C. & Saydam, D.B. & Çerçi, K.N. & Hürdoğan, E. & Moran, H., 2019. "Evaluation of a sample building with different type building elements in an energetic and environmental perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  38. Fabien Rouault & Felipe Ossio & Paulina González-Levín & Francisco Meza, 2019. "Impact of Climate Change on the Energy Needs of Houses in Chile," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-13, December.
  39. Ergun Yukseltan & Ahmet Yucekaya & Ayse Humeyra Bilge & Esra Agca Aktunc, 2020. "Forecasting Models for Daily Natural Gas Consumption Considering Periodic Variations and Demand Segregation," Papers 2003.13385, arXiv.org.
  40. Ediger, Volkan S. & Akar, Sertac, 2007. "ARIMA forecasting of primary energy demand by fuel in Turkey," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1701-1708, March.
  41. Ayşe Özmen, 2023. "Sparse regression modeling for short- and long‐term natural gas demand prediction," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 322(2), pages 921-946, March.
  42. Askari, S. & Montazerin, N. & Zarandi, M.H. Fazel, 2015. "Forecasting semi-dynamic response of natural gas networks to nodal gas consumptions using genetic fuzzy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 252-266.
  43. Zhu, L. & Li, M.S. & Wu, Q.H. & Jiang, L., 2015. "Short-term natural gas demand prediction based on support vector regression with false neighbours filtered," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 428-436.
  44. Fung, W.Y. & Lam, K.S. & Hung, W.T. & Pang, S.W. & Lee, Y.L., 2006. "Impact of urban temperature on energy consumption of Hong Kong," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(14), pages 2623-2637.
  45. Karadede, Yusuf & Ozdemir, Gultekin & Aydemir, Erdal, 2017. "Breeder hybrid algorithm approach for natural gas demand forecasting model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 1269-1284.
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