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A survey of stochastic modelling approaches for liberalised electricity markets

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Cited by:

  1. Joachim Geske & Richard Green, 2020. "Optimal Storage, Investment and Management under Uncertainty: It is Costly to Avoid Outages!," The Energy Journal, , vol. 41(2), pages 1-28, March.
  2. Muche, Thomas, 2014. "Optimal operation and forecasting policy for pump storage plants in day-ahead markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1089-1099.
  3. Keles, Dogan & Genoese, Massimo & Möst, Dominik & Fichtner, Wolf, 2012. "Comparison of extended mean-reversion and time series models for electricity spot price simulation considering negative prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1012-1032.
  4. Iegor Riepin & Thomas Mobius & Felix Musgens, 2020. "Modelling uncertainty in coupled electricity and gas systems -- is it worth the effort?," Papers 2008.07221, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
  5. Raviv, Eran & Bouwman, Kees E. & van Dijk, Dick, 2015. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Utilizing hourly prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 227-239.
  6. Alexander J. M. Kell & Matthew Forshaw & A. Stephen McGough, 2019. "ElecSim: Monte-Carlo Open-Source Agent-Based Model to Inform Policy for Long-Term Electricity Planning," Papers 1911.01203, arXiv.org.
  7. Ambrosius, M. & Egerer, J. & Grimm, V. & Weijde, A.H. van der, 2020. "Uncertain bidding zone configurations: The role of expectations for transmission and generation capacity expansion," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 285(1), pages 343-359.
  8. Keles, Dogan & Genoese, Massimo & Möst, Dominik & Ortlieb, Sebastian & Fichtner, Wolf, 2013. "A combined modeling approach for wind power feed-in and electricity spot prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 213-225.
  9. Daniel Hach & Stefan Spinler, 2018. "Robustness of capacity markets: a stochastic dynamic capacity investment model," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 40(2), pages 517-540, March.
  10. Niels Haldrup & Oskar Knapik & Tommaso Proietti, 2016. "A generalized exponential time series regression model for electricity prices," CREATES Research Papers 2016-08, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  11. Schwarz, Hannes & Bertsch, Valentin & Fichtner, Wolf, 2015. "Two-stage stochastic, large-scale optimization of a decentralized energy system - a residential quarter as case study," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 10, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
  12. Farrokhifar, Meisam & Nie, Yinghui & Pozo, David, 2020. "Energy systems planning: A survey on models for integrated power and natural gas networks coordination," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
  13. Moreno, Manuel & Serrano, Pedro & Stute, Winfried, 2011. "Statistical properties and economic implications of jump-diffusion processes with shot-noise effects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 214(3), pages 656-664, November.
  14. Riepin, Iegor & Schmidt, Matthew & Baringo, Luis & Müsgens, Felix, 2022. "Adaptive robust optimization for European strategic gas infrastructure planning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
  15. Savvidis, Georgios & Siala, Kais & Weissbart, Christoph & Schmidt, Lukas & Borggrefe, Frieder & Kumar, Subhash & Pittel, Karen & Madlener, Reinhard & Hufendiek, Kai, 2019. "The gap between energy policy challenges and model capabilities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 503-520.
  16. Govorukha, Kristina & Mayer, Philip & Rübbelke, Dirk & Vögele, Stefan, 2020. "Economic disruptions in long-term energy scenarios – Implications for designing energy policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
  17. Kraft, Emil & Russo, Marianna & Keles, Dogan & Bertsch, Valentin, 2023. "Stochastic optimization of trading strategies in sequential electricity markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(1), pages 400-421.
  18. Keles, Dogan & Dehler-Holland, Joris, 2022. "Evaluation of photovoltaic storage systems on energy markets under uncertainty using stochastic dynamic programming," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  19. Finke, Jonas & Bertsch, Valentin, 2022. "Implementing a highly adaptable method for the multi-objective optimisation of energy systems," MPRA Paper 115504, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  20. Blanco, Herib & Leaver, Jonathan & Dodds, Paul E. & Dickinson, Robert & García-Gusano, Diego & Iribarren, Diego & Lind, Arne & Wang, Changlong & Danebergs, Janis & Baumann, Martin, 2022. "A taxonomy of models for investigating hydrogen energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  21. Kovacevic, Raimund M. & Pflug, Georg Ch., 2014. "Electricity swing option pricing by stochastic bilevel optimization: A survey and new approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(2), pages 389-403.
  22. Jochen Gönsch & Michael Hassler, 2016. "Sell or store? An ADP approach to marketing renewable energy," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 38(3), pages 633-660, July.
  23. Jan Abrell & Hannes Weigt, 2016. "Investments in a Combined Energy Network Model: Substitution between Natural Gas and Electricity?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 37(4), pages 63-86, October.
  24. Scarcioffolo, Alexandre Ribeiro & Perobelli, Fernanda Finotti Cordeiro & Chimeli, Ariaster Baumgratz, 2018. "Counterfactual comparisons of investment options for wind power and agricultural production in the United States: Lessons from Northern Ohio," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 299-309.
  25. Francesco Caravelli & James Requeima & Cozmin Ududec & Ali Ashtari & Tiziana Di Matteo & Tomaso Aste, 2015. "Multi-scaling of wholesale electricity prices," Papers 1507.06219, arXiv.org.
  26. Jan Abrell & Friedrich Kunz, 2015. "Integrating Intermittent Renewable Wind Generation - A Stochastic Multi-Market Electricity Model for the European Electricity Market," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 117-147, March.
  27. Pineau, Pierre-Olivier & Rasata, Hasina & Zaccour, Georges, 2011. "Impact of some parameters on investments in oligopolistic electricity markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 180-195, August.
  28. Barry Anderson & Emanuele Borgonovo & Marzio Galeotti & Roberto Roson, 2014. "Uncertainty in Climate Change Modeling: Can Global Sensitivity Analysis Be of Help?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(2), pages 271-293, February.
  29. Luis M. Abadie & José M. Chamorro, 2014. "Valuation of Wind Energy Projects: A Real Options Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(5), pages 1-38, May.
  30. Stephan Nagl, Michaela Fursch, and Dietmar Lindenberger, 2013. "The Costs of Electricity Systems with a High Share of Fluctuating Renewables: A Stochastic Investment and Dispatch Optimization Model for Europe," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4).
  31. Olga Y. Uritskaya & Vadim M. Uritsky, 2015. "Predictability of price movements in deregulated electricity markets," Papers 1505.08117, arXiv.org.
  32. Segnon Mawuli & Lau Chi Keung & Wilfling Bernd & Gupta Rangan, 2022. "Are multifractal processes suited to forecasting electricity price volatility? Evidence from Australian intraday data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 73-98, February.
  33. Alexander Franz & Julia Rieck & Jürgen Zimmermann, 2019. "Fix-and-optimize procedures for solving the long-term unit commitment problem with pumped storages," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 274(1), pages 241-265, March.
  34. Finke, Jonas & Bertsch, Valentin, 2023. "Implementing a highly adaptable method for the multi-objective optimisation of energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 332(C).
  35. Uritskaya, Olga Y. & Uritsky, Vadim M., 2015. "Predictability of price movements in deregulated electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 72-81.
  36. Haugen, Mari & Blaisdell-Pijuan, Paris L. & Botterud, Audun & Levin, Todd & Zhou, Zhi & Belsnes, Michael & Korpås, Magnus & Somani, Abhishek, 2024. "Power market models for the clean energy transition: State of the art and future research needs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
  37. Schulte Beerbühl, S. & Fröhling, M. & Schultmann, F., 2015. "Combined scheduling and capacity planning of electricity-based ammonia production to integrate renewable energies," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 241(3), pages 851-862.
  38. Stephan Nagl & Michaela Fürsch & Dietmar Lindenberger, 2013. "The Costs of Electricity Systems with a High Share of Fluctuating Renewables: A Stochastic Investment and Dispatch Optimization Model for Europe," The Energy Journal, , vol. 34(4), pages 151-180, October.
  39. Dillig, Marius & Jung, Manuel & Karl, Jürgen, 2016. "The impact of renewables on electricity prices in Germany – An estimation based on historic spot prices in the years 2011–2013," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 7-15.
  40. Santos, Maria João & Ferreira, Paula & Araújo, Madalena, 2016. "A methodology to incorporate risk and uncertainty in electricity power planning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P2), pages 1400-1411.
  41. Spodniak, Petr & Bertsch, Valentin, 2017. "Determinants of power spreads in electricity futures markets: A multinational analysis," Papers WP580, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  42. Thomas Mobius & Mira Watermeyer & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "Enhancing Energy System Models Using Better Load Forecasts," Papers 2302.11017, arXiv.org.
  43. Kueppers, Martin & Paredes Pineda, Stephany Nicole & Metzger, Michael & Huber, Matthias & Paulus, Simon & Heger, Hans Joerg & Niessen, Stefan, 2021. "Decarbonization pathways of worldwide energy systems – Definition and modeling of archetypes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  44. Ringler, Philipp & Keles, Dogan & Fichtner, Wolf, 2017. "How to benefit from a common European electricity market design," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 629-643.
  45. Md. Nasimul Islam Maruf, 2019. "Sector Coupling in the North Sea Region—A Review on the Energy System Modelling Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-35, November.
  46. Hannes Schwarz & Valentin Bertsch & Wolf Fichtner, 2018. "Two-stage stochastic, large-scale optimization of a decentralized energy system: a case study focusing on solar PV, heat pumps and storage in a residential quarter," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 40(1), pages 265-310, January.
  47. Bazmi, Aqeel Ahmed & Zahedi, Gholamreza, 2011. "Sustainable energy systems: Role of optimization modeling techniques in power generation and supply—A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(8), pages 3480-3500.
  48. Fileccia, Gaetano & Sgarra, Carlo, 2018. "A particle filtering approach to oil futures price calibration and forecasting," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 21-34.
  49. Riepin, Iegor & Möbius, Thomas & Müsgens, Felix, 2021. "Modelling uncertainty in coupled electricity and gas systems—Is it worth the effort?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  50. Islyaev, Suren & Date, Paresh, 2015. "Electricity futures price models: Calibration and forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 247(1), pages 144-154.
  51. Mirakyan, Atom & De Guio, Roland, 2015. "Modelling and uncertainties in integrated energy planning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 62-69.
  52. Fichtner, Stephan & Meyr, Herbert, 2019. "Biogas plant optimization by increasing its exibility considering uncertain revenues," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 07-2019, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
  53. Nagl, Stephan & Fürsch, Michaela & Lindenberger, Dietmar, 2012. "The costs of electricity systems with a high share of fluctuating renewables - a stochastic investment and dispatch optimization model for Europe," EWI Working Papers 2012-1, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
  54. Kuttner, Leopold, 2022. "Integrated scheduling and bidding of power and reserve of energy resource aggregators with storage plants," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
  55. Didier Nibbering & Coos van Buuren & Wei Wei, 2021. "Real Options Valuation of Wind Energy Based on the Empirical Production Uncertainty," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 19/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  56. Spodniak, Petr & Bertsch, Valentin, 2020. "Is flexible and dispatchable generation capacity rewarded in electricity futures markets? A multinational impact analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
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