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A combined modeling approach for wind power feed-in and electricity spot prices

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  • Keles, Dogan
  • Genoese, Massimo
  • Möst, Dominik
  • Ortlieb, Sebastian
  • Fichtner, Wolf

Abstract

Wind power generation and its impacts on electricity prices has strongly increased in the EU. Therefore, appropriate mark-to-market evaluation of new investments in wind power and energy storage plants should consider the fluctuant generation of wind power and uncertain electricity prices, which are affected by wind power feed-in (WPF). To gain the input data for WPF and electricity prices, simulation models, such as econometric models, can serve as a data basis.

Suggested Citation

  • Keles, Dogan & Genoese, Massimo & Möst, Dominik & Ortlieb, Sebastian & Fichtner, Wolf, 2013. "A combined modeling approach for wind power feed-in and electricity spot prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 213-225.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:59:y:2013:i:c:p:213-225
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.03.028
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    7. Ciara O'Dwyer & L. (Lisa B.) Ryan & Damian Flynn, 2017. "Efficient large-scale energy storage dispatch: challenges in future high renewables systems," Open Access publications 10197/9103, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
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    9. Luňáčková, Petra & Průša, Jan & Janda, Karel, 2017. "The merit order effect of Czech photovoltaic plants," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 138-147.
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    11. Christian Pape & Arne Vogler & Oliver Woll & Christoph Weber, 2017. "Forecasting the distributions of hourly electricity spot prices," EWL Working Papers 1705, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised May 2017.
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    13. Hain, Martin & Schermeyer, Hans & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese & Fichtner, Wolf, 2017. "An Electricity Price Modeling Framework for Renewable-Dominant Markets," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 23, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
    14. Panos, Evangelos & Densing, Martin, 2019. "The future developments of the electricity prices in view of the implementation of the Paris Agreements: Will the current trends prevail, or a reversal is ahead?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    15. Dillig, Marius & Jung, Manuel & Karl, Jürgen, 2016. "The impact of renewables on electricity prices in Germany – An estimation based on historic spot prices in the years 2011–2013," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 7-15.
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    18. Russo, Marianna & Bertsch, Valentin, 2020. "A looming revolution: Implications of self-generation for the risk exposure of retailers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    19. Ziel, Florian & Steinert, Rick & Husmann, Sven, 2015. "Efficient modeling and forecasting of electricity spot prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 98-111.
    20. Michele Fiorelli & Dogan Keles & Francesco Montana & Giovanni Lorenzo Restifo & Eleonora Riva Sanseverino & Gaetano Zizzo, 2020. "Evaluation of the Administrative Phase-Out of Coal Power Plants on the Italian Electricity Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-24, September.
    21. Ziel, Florian & Steinert, Rick & Husmann, Sven, 2015. "Forecasting day ahead electricity spot prices: The impact of the EXAA to other European electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 430-444.
    22. Hain, Martin & Kargus, Tobias & Schermeyer, Hans & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese & Fichtner, Wolf, 2022. "An electricity price modeling framework for renewable-dominant markets," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 66, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
    23. Gao, Cuixia & Sun, Mei & Geng, Yong & Wu, Rui & Chen, Wei, 2016. "A bibliometric analysis based review on wind power price," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 602-612.

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