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On the harm that ignoring pretesting can cause
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Cited by:
- Matei Demetrescu & Uwe Hassler & Vladimir Kuzin, 2011. "Pitfalls of post-model-selection testing: experimental quantification," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 359-372, April.
- Einmahl, J.H.J. & Magnus, J.R. & Kumar, K., 2011.
"On the Choice of Prior in Bayesian Model Averaging,"
Discussion Paper
2011-003, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Einmahl, J.H.J. & Magnus, J.R. & Kumar, K., 2011. "On the Choice of Prior in Bayesian Model Averaging," Other publications TiSEM 3ca603c9-5336-4ecb-9521-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Clarke, Judith A., 2008.
"On weighted estimation in linear regression in the presence of parameter uncertainty,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 1-3, July.
- Judith A. Clarke, 2007. "On Weighted Estimation in Linear Regression in th Presence of Parameter Uncertainty," Econometrics Working Papers 0701, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
- Wan, Alan T.K. & Zhang, Xinyu & Wang, Shouyang, 2014. "Frequentist model averaging for multinomial and ordered logit models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 118-128.
- Jan R. Magnus & Wendun Wang & Xinyu Zhang, 2016. "Weighted-Average Least Squares Prediction," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 1040-1074, June.
- Leeb, Hannes & Pötscher, Benedikt M., 2008.
"Can One Estimate The Unconditional Distribution Of Post-Model-Selection Estimators?,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(2), pages 338-376, April.
- Hannes Leeb & Benedikt M. Potscher, 2003. "Can One Estimate the Conditional Distribution of Post-Model-Selection Estimators?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1444, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Leeb, Hannes & Pötscher, Benedikt M., 2005. "Can One Estimate the Unconditional Distribution of Post-Model-Selection Estimators ?," MPRA Paper 72, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jan R. Magnus & Dmitry Danilov, 2004.
"Forecast accuracy after pretesting with an application to the stock market,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 251-274.
- Danilov, D.L. & Magnus, J.R., 2002. "Forecast Accuracy after Pretesting with an Application to the Stock Market," Discussion Paper 2002-76, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Danilov, D.L. & Magnus, J.R., 2002. "Forecast Accuracy after Pretesting with an Application to the Stock Market," Other publications TiSEM cb9b9b63-40a9-4035-924e-d, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Reif, Jiri, 2007. "Asymptotic behaviour of regression pre-test estimators with minimal Bayes risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 413-424, October.
- Blommestein, Hans & Eijffinger, Sylvester & Qian, Zongxin, 2016. "Regime-dependent determinants of Euro area sovereign CDS spreads," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 10-21.
- Karen Poghosyan & Jan R. Magnus, 2012.
"WALS Estimation and Forecasting in Factor-based Dynamic Models with an Application to Armenia,"
International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 4(1), pages 40-58, April.
- Poghosyan, K. & Magnus, J.R., 2011. "WALS estimation and forecasting in factor-based dynamic models with an application to Armenia," Discussion Paper 2011-054, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Poghosyan, K. & Magnus, J.R., 2011. "WALS estimation and forecasting in factor-based dynamic models with an application to Armenia," Other publications TiSEM 419d588e-7827-4cdd-b989-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Magnus, Jan & Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2010. "The price of Moscow apartments," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 17(1), pages 89-105.
- Phillips, Peter C.B., 2005.
"Automated Discovery In Econometrics,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 3-20, February.
- Peter C.B. Phillips, 2004. "Automated Discovery in Econometrics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1469, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Srdelic, Leonarda & Davila-Fernandez, Marwil J., 2022. "Demographic transition and economic growth in 6-EU member states," MPRA Paper 112188, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chen, Le-Yu & Lee, Sokbae, 2018.
"Best subset binary prediction,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(1), pages 39-56.
- Le-Yu Chen & Sokbae Lee, 2016. "Best Subset Binary Prediction," Papers 1610.02738, arXiv.org, revised May 2018.
- Le-Yu Chen & Sokbae (Simon) Lee, 2017. "Best subset binary prediction," CeMMAP working papers CWP50/17, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Le-Yu Chen & Sokbae (Simon) Lee, 2017. "Best subset binary prediction," CeMMAP working papers 50/17, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Momferatou, Daphne & Onorante, Luca, 2014.
"Short-term inflation projections: A Bayesian vector autoregressive approach,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 635-644.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Onorante, Luca & Momferatou, Daphne, 2010. "Short-Term Inflation Projections: a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Daphné Momferatu & Luca Onorante, 2010. "Short-term inflation projections: a Bayesian vector autoregressive approach," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-011, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Jan R. Magnus & Wendun Wang, 2014.
"Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(6), pages 874-897, December.
- Magnus, J.R. & Wang, W., 2012. "Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics," Discussion Paper 2012-017, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Magnus, J.R. & Wang, W., 2012. "Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics," Other publications TiSEM 889f1e52-6cc4-470e-87ce-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- David Slichter, 2023.
"The employment effects of the minimum wage: A selection ratio approach to measuring treatment effects,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 334-357, April.
- David Pence Slichter, 2015. "The Employment Effects of the Minimum Wage: A Selection Ratio Approach to Measuring Treatment Effects," 2015 Papers psl76, Job Market Papers.
- Srdelić, Leonarda & Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J., 2024.
"International trade and economic growth in Croatia,"
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 240-258.
- Leonarda Srdelić & Marwil Jhonatan Dávila-Fernández, 2022. "International trade and economic growth in Croatia," Working Papers 64, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Ordeñana, Xavier & Vera-Gilces, Paúl & Zambrano-Vera, Jack & Jiménez, Alfredo, 2024. "The effect of high-growth and innovative entrepreneurship on economic growth," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
- Claeskens, Gerda & Magnus, Jan R. & Vasnev, Andrey L. & Wang, Wendun, 2016.
"The forecast combination puzzle: A simple theoretical explanation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 754-762.
- Gerda Claeskens & Jan Magnus & Andrey Vasnev & Wendun Wang, 2014. "The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-127/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Gerda Claeskens & Jan Magnus & Andrey Vasnev & Wendun Wang, 2016. "The forecast combination puzzle: a simple theoretical explanation," Working Papers of Department of Decision Sciences and Information Management, Leuven 532152, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Decision Sciences and Information Management, Leuven.
- Magnus, Jan R. & Powell, Owen & Prüfer, Patricia, 2010. "A comparison of two model averaging techniques with an application to growth empirics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 139-153, February.
- Hirschauer Norbert & Grüner Sven & Mußhoff Oliver & Becker Claudia, 2019. "Twenty Steps Towards an Adequate Inferential Interpretation of p-Values in Econometrics," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(4), pages 703-721, August.
- Nibbering, D. & Paap, R., 2019. "Panel Forecasting with Asymmetric Grouping," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI-2019-30, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- De Luca, Giuseppe & Magnus, Jan R. & Peracchi, Franco, 2018.
"Weighted-average least squares estimation of generalized linear models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 1-17.
- Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2017. "Weighted-average least squares estimation of generalized linear models," EIEF Working Papers Series 1711, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Aug 2017.
- Giuseppe de Luca & Jan Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2017. "Weighted-Average Least Squares Estimation of Generalized Linear Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-029/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Mur, Jesús & Angulo, Ana, 2009. "Model selection strategies in a spatial setting: Some additional results," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 200-213, March.
- Dardanoni, Valentino & Modica, Salvatore & Peracchi, Franco, 2011.
"Regression with imputed covariates: A generalized missing-indicator approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 362-368, June.
- Valentino Dardanoni & Salvatore Modica & Franco Peracchi, 2009. "Regression with Imputed Covariates:a Generalized Missing Indicator Approach," CEIS Research Paper 150, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Oct 2009.
- Valentino Dardanoni & Salvatore Modica & Franco Peracchi, 2011. "Regression with imputed covariates: A generalized missing-indicator approach," Post-Print hal-00815561, HAL.
- Andrea C. Garcia‐Angulo & Gerda Claeskens, 2023. "Exact uniformly most powerful postselection confidence distributions," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 50(1), pages 358-382, March.
- Berger, Michael & Pock, Markus & Reiss, Miriam & Röhrling, Gerald & Czypionka, Thomas, 2023. "Exploring the effectiveness of demand-side retail pharmaceutical expenditure reforms: cross-country evidence from weighted-average least squares estimation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116928, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ali Charkhi & Gerda Claeskens, 2018. "Asymptotic post-selection inference for the Akaike information criterion," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 105(3), pages 645-664.
- Nicolas End, 2020.
"Rousseau's social contract or Machiavelli's virtue? A measure of fiscal credibility,"
Working Papers
halshs-03078704, HAL.
- Nicolas End, 2020. "Rousseau's social contract or Machiavelli's virtue? A measure of fiscal credibility," AMSE Working Papers 2042, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Hai Wang & Xinjie Chen & Nancy Flournoy, 2016. "The focused information criterion for varying-coefficient partially linear measurement error models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 99-113, March.
- Vera-Gilces, Paul & Camino-Mogro, Segundo & Ordeñana-Rodríguez, Xavier & Cornejo-Marcos, Gino, 2020. "A look inside banking profitability: Evidence from a dollarized emerging country," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 147-166.
- Didier Nibbering & Richard Paap, 2024. "Forecasting carbon emissions using asymmetric grouping," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2228-2256, September.
- Mullally, Conner & Chakravarty, Shourish, 2018.
"Are matching funds for smallholder irrigation money well spent?,"
Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 70-80.
- Mullally, Conner & Chakravarty, Shourish, 2018. "Are Matching Funds for Smallholder Irrigation Money Well Spent?," SocArXiv x5vmz, Center for Open Science.
- Qingfeng Liu & Andrey L. Vasnev, 2019. "A Combination Method for Averaging OLS and GLS Estimators," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-12, September.
- Aedın Doris & Donal O’Neill & Olive Sweetman, 2011. "GMM estimation of the covariance structure of longitudinal data on earnings," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 11(3), pages 439-459, September.
- Ali Mehrabani & Aman Ullah, 2022. "Weighted Average Estimation in Panel Data," Working Papers 202209, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2022.
- Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus, 2011.
"Bayesian model averaging and weighted-average least squares: Equivariance, stability, and numerical issues,"
Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 11(4), pages 518-544, December.
- De Luca, G. & Magnus, J.R., 2011. "Bayesian Model Averaging and Weighted Average Least Squares : Equivariance, Stability, and Numerical Issues," Discussion Paper 2011-082, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- De Luca, G. & Magnus, J.R., 2011. "Bayesian Model Averaging and Weighted Average Least Squares : Equivariance, Stability, and Numerical Issues," Other publications TiSEM 3aa66f2e-55c5-4ddb-8acf-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Magnus, J.R. & Powell, O.R. & Prüfer, P., 2008.
"A Comparison of Two Averaging Techniques with an Application to Growth Empirics,"
Discussion Paper
2008-39, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Magnus, J.R. & Powell, O.R. & Prüfer, P., 2008. "A Comparison of Two Averaging Techniques with an Application to Growth Empirics," Other publications TiSEM 0392dffa-51e0-4bc9-9644-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Poghosyan, K., 2012. "Structural and reduced-form modeling and forecasting with application to Armenia," Other publications TiSEM ad1a24c3-15e6-4f04-b338-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- End, Nicolas, 2023. "Big Brother is also being watched: Measuring fiscal credibility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Tumala, Mohammed M & Olubusoye, Olusanya E & Yaaba, Baba N & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Akanbi, Olawale B, 2017. "Investigating Predictors of Inflation in Nigeria: BMA and WALS Techniques," MPRA Paper 88773, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Feb 2018.
- Angulo, Ana M. & Mur, Jesús, 2011. "The Likelihood Ratio Test of Common Factors under Non-Ideal Conditions," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 21, pages 37-52.
- Xinyu Zhang & Alan T. K. Wan & Sherry Z. Zhou, 2011. "Focused Information Criteria, Model Selection, and Model Averaging in a Tobit Model With a Nonzero Threshold," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 132-142, June.
- Zhang, Xinyu & Wan, Alan T.K. & Zou, Guohua, 2013. "Model averaging by jackknife criterion in models with dependent data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 174(2), pages 82-94.
- William E. Griffiths & Duangkamon Chotikapanich & D. S. Prasada Rao, 2005.
"Averaging Income Distributions,"
Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 347-367, October.
- Chotikapanich, D. & Griffiths, W.E. & Rao, D.S.P., 2001. "Averaging Income Distributions," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 798, The University of Melbourne.
- Valentino Dardanoni & Giuseppe De Luca & Salvatore Modica & Franco Peracchi, 2013. "Bayesian Model Averaging for Generalized Linear Models with Missing Covariates," EIEF Working Papers Series 1311, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised May 2013.
- Ghosh, D. & Yuan, Z., 2009. "An improved model averaging scheme for logistic regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(8), pages 1670-1681, September.
- Aiyar, Shekhar & Duval, Romain & Puy, Damien & Wu, Yiqun & Zhang, Longmei, 2018.
"Growth slowdowns and the middle-income trap,"
Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 22-37.
- Mr. Shekhar Aiyar & Mr. Romain A Duval & Mr. Damien Puy & Mr. Yiqun Wu & Ms. Longmei Zhang, 2013. "Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap," IMF Working Papers 2013/071, International Monetary Fund.
- Michael Berger & Markus Pock & Miriam Reiss & Gerald Röhrling & Thomas Czypionka, 2023. "Exploring the effectiveness of demand-side retail pharmaceutical expenditure reforms," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 149-172, March.
- Magnus, Jan R. & Wan, Alan T.K. & Zhang, Xinyu, 2011. "Weighted average least squares estimation with nonspherical disturbances and an application to the Hong Kong housing market," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 1331-1341, March.
- repec:hal:journl:peer-00815561 is not listed on IDEAS
- Čížek, Pavel, 2004. "(Non) Linear Regression Modeling," Papers 2004,11, Humboldt University of Berlin, Center for Applied Statistics and Economics (CASE).
- Becker William & Paruolo Paolo & Saltelli Andrea, 2021. "Variable Selection in Regression Models Using Global Sensitivity Analysis," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(2), pages 187-233, July.
- Zhang, Xinyu & Yu, Jihai, 2018. "Spatial weights matrix selection and model averaging for spatial autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 1-18.
- Sivarajah Arumairajan & Pushpakanthie Wijekoon, 2017. "The generalized preliminary test estimator when different sets of stochastic restrictions are available," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 729-747, September.
- Rigdon, Edward E., 2023. "How improper dichotomization and the misrepresentation of uncertainty undermine social science research," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
- Dardanoni, Valentino & De Luca, Giuseppe & Modica, Salvatore & Peracchi, Franco, 2015. "Model averaging estimation of generalized linear models with imputed covariates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 452-463.
- Judith Anne Clarke, 2017. "Model Averaging OLS and 2SLS: An Application of the WALS Procedure," Econometrics Working Papers 1701, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
- Pirenne, Sarah & Claeskens, Gerda, 2024. "Exact post-selection inference for adjusted R squared selection," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
- Zou, Guohua & Wan, Alan T.K. & Wu, Xiaoyong & Chen, Ti, 2007. "Estimation of regression coefficients of interest when other regression coefficients are of no interest: The case of non-normal errors," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(8), pages 803-810, April.