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Bayesian estimation of agent-based models

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Balint, T. & Lamperti, F. & Mandel, A. & Napoletano, M. & Roventini, A. & Sapio, A., 2017. "Complexity and the Economics of Climate Change: A Survey and a Look Forward," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 252-265.
  2. Seri, Raffaello & Martinoli, Mario & Secchi, Davide & Centorrino, Samuele, 2021. "Model calibration and validation via confidence sets," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 62-86.
  3. Lamperti, Francesco & Roventini, Andrea & Sani, Amir, 2018. "Agent-based model calibration using machine learning surrogates," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 366-389.
  4. Valerio Scalone, 2018. "Estimating Non-Linear DSGEs with the Approximate Bayesian Computation: an application to the Zero Lower Bound," Working papers 688, Banque de France.
  5. Bence Mérõ, 2019. "Novel Modelling of the Operation of the Financial Intermediary System – Agent-based Macro Models," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 18(3), pages 83-113.
  6. Priscilla Avegliano & Jaime Simão Sichman, 2023. "Equation-Based Versus Agent-Based Models: Why Not Embrace Both for an Efficient Parameter Calibration?," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 26(4), pages 1-3.
  7. Mario Martinoli & Alessio Moneta & Gianluca Pallante, 2022. "Calibration and Validation of Macroeconomic Simulation Models by Statistical Causal Search," LEM Papers Series 2022/33, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  8. Kukacka, Jiri & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2018. "On the estimation of behavioral macroeconomic models via simulated maximum likelihood," Economics Working Papers 2018-11, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  9. Delli Gatti, Domenico & Grazzini, Jakob, 2020. "Rising to the challenge: Bayesian estimation and forecasting techniques for macroeconomic Agent Based Models," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 875-902.
  10. Flavio Calvino & Daniele Giachini & Mattia Guerini, 2022. "The age distribution of business firms," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 205-245, January.
  11. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/dcditnq6282sbu1u151qe5p7f is not listed on IDEAS
  12. Mohammad Ghaderi, 2020. "Public Health Interventions in the Face of Pandemics: Network Structure, Social Distancing, and Heterogeneity," Working Papers 1193, Barcelona School of Economics.
  13. Lucas Fievet & Didier Sornette, 2018. "Calibrating emergent phenomena in stock markets with agent based models," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(3), pages 1-17, March.
  14. Kukacka, Jiri & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2021. "Does parameterization affect the complexity of agent-based models?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 324-356.
  15. Giorgio Fagiolo & Andrea Roventini, 2017. "Macroeconomic Policy in DSGE and Agent-Based Models Redux: New Developments and Challenges Ahead," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 20(1), pages 1-1.
  16. Vandin, Andrea & Giachini, Daniele & Lamperti, Francesco & Chiaromonte, Francesca, 2022. "Automated and distributed statistical analysis of economic agent-based models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  17. Ivonne Schwartz & Mark Kirstein, 2022. "Time is limited on the road to asymptopia," Papers 2208.08169, arXiv.org.
  18. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/46k9rkvut99i7qnn4vqm25t53b is not listed on IDEAS
  19. Yi Zhang & Zhe Li & Yongchao Zhang, 2020. "Validation and Calibration of an Agent-Based Model: A Surrogate Approach," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-9, January.
  20. Giovanni Dosi & Andrea Roventini, 2019. "More is different ... and complex! the case for agent-based macroeconomics," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 1-37, March.
  21. Severin Reissl, 2021. "Heterogeneous expectations, forecasting behaviour and policy experiments in a hybrid Agent-based Stock-flow-consistent model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 251-299, January.
  22. Tilfani, Oussama & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Ferreira, Paulo & El Boukfaoui, My Youssef, 2022. "Heterogeneity in economic relationships: Scale dependence through the multivariate fractal regression," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 588(C).
  23. Aldo Glielmo & Marco Favorito & Debmallya Chanda & Domenico Delli Gatti, 2023. "Reinforcement Learning for Combining Search Methods in the Calibration of Economic ABMs," Papers 2302.11835, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
  24. Platt, Donovan, 2020. "A comparison of economic agent-based model calibration methods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  25. Barde, Sylvain, 2020. "Macroeconomic simulation comparison with a multivariate extension of the Markov information criterion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  26. Lux, Thomas, 2020. "Bayesian estimation of agent-based models via adaptive particle Markov chain Monte Carlo," Economics Working Papers 2020-01, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  27. Farmer, J. Doyne & Dyer, Joel & Cannon, Patrick & Schmon, Sebastian, 2022. "Black-box Bayesian inference for economic agent-based models," INET Oxford Working Papers 2022-05, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
  28. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/1nlv566svi86iqtetenms15tc4 is not listed on IDEAS
  29. Andrea Vandin & Daniele Giachini & Francesco Lamperti & Francesca Chiaromonte, 2021. "Automated and Distributed Statistical Analysis of Economic Agent-Based Models," Papers 2102.05405, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
  30. Blake LeBaron, 2021. "Microconsistency in Simple Empirical Agent-Based Financial Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(1), pages 83-101, June.
  31. Lux, Thomas, 2018. "Estimation of agent-based models using sequential Monte Carlo methods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 391-408.
  32. Giorgio Fagiolo & Mattia Guerini & Francesco Lamperti & Alessio Moneta & Andrea Roventini, 2017. "Validation of Agent-Based Models in Economics and Finance," LEM Papers Series 2017/23, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  33. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/46k9rkvut99i7qnn4vqm25t53b is not listed on IDEAS
  34. Dyer, Joel & Cannon, Patrick & Farmer, J. Doyne & Schmon, Sebastian M., 2024. "Black-box Bayesian inference for agent-based models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
  35. Siyan Chen & Saul Desiderio, 2022. "Calibration of Agent-Based Models by Means of Meta-Modeling and Nonparametric Regression," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(4), pages 1457-1478, December.
  36. Tae-Seok Jang & Stephen Sacht, 2022. "Macroeconomic dynamics under bounded rationality: on the impact of consumers’ forecast heuristics," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(3), pages 849-873, July.
  37. Donovan Platt & Tim Gebbie, 2016. "The Problem of Calibrating an Agent-Based Model of High-Frequency Trading," Papers 1606.01495, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2017.
  38. Svitlana Vyetrenko & David Byrd & Nick Petosa & Mahmoud Mahfouz & Danial Dervovic & Manuela Veloso & Tucker Hybinette Balch, 2019. "Get Real: Realism Metrics for Robust Limit Order Book Market Simulations," Papers 1912.04941, arXiv.org.
  39. Andrea Vandin & Daniele Giachini & Francesco Lamperti & Francesca Chiaromonte, 2020. "Automated and Distributed Statistical Analysis of Economic Agent-Based Models," LEM Papers Series 2020/31, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  40. Zila, Eric & Kukacka, Jiri, 2023. "Moment set selection for the SMM using simple machine learning," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 366-391.
  41. Lamperti, Francesco, 2018. "An information theoretic criterion for empirical validation of simulation models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 83-106.
  42. Dosi, Giovanni & Roventini, Andrea & Russo, Emanuele, 2019. "Endogenous growth and global divergence in a multi-country agent-based model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 101-129.
  43. Kukacka, Jiri & Barunik, Jozef, 2017. "Estimation of financial agent-based models with simulated maximum likelihood," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 21-45.
  44. Donovan Platt, 2022. "Bayesian Estimation of Economic Simulation Models Using Neural Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(2), pages 599-650, February.
  45. Ghaderi, Mohammad, 2022. "Public health interventions in the face of pandemics: Network structure, social distancing, and heterogeneity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(3), pages 1016-1031.
  46. Troost, Christian & Huber, Robert & Bell, Andrew R. & van Delden, Hedwig & Filatova, Tatiana & Le, Quang Bao & Lippe, Melvin & Niamir, Leila & Polhill, J. Gareth & Sun, Zhanli & Berger, Thomas, 2023. "How to keep it adequate: A protocol for ensuring validity in agent-based simulation," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 159, pages 1-21.
  47. Emanuele Ciola & Edoardo Gaffeo & Mauro Gallegati, 2021. "Search for Profits and Business Fluctuations: How Banks' Behaviour Explain Cycles?," Working Papers 450, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
  48. Mohammad Ghaderi, 2020. "Public health interventions in the face of pandemics: network structure, social distancing, and heterogeneity," Economics Working Papers 1732, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  49. Gao, Rui & Li, Yaqiong & Lin, Lisha, 2019. "Bayesian statistical inference for European options with stock liquidity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 518(C), pages 312-322.
  50. Barde, Sylvain, 2024. "Bayesian estimation of large-scale simulation models with Gaussian process regression surrogates," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  51. Zhang, Jinyu & Zhang, Qiaosen & Li, Yong & Wang, Qianchao, 2023. "Sequential Bayesian inference for agent-based models with application to the Chinese business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  52. Lamperti, Francesco & Roventini, Andrea & Sani, Amir, 2018. "Agent-based model calibration using machine learning surrogates," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 366-389.
  53. Gianluca Capone & Franco Malerba & Richard R. Nelson & Luigi Orsenigo & Sidney G. Winter, 2019. "History friendly models: retrospective and future perspectives," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, March.
  54. Lux, Thomas, 2017. "Estimation of agent-based models using sequential Monte Carlo methods," Economics Working Papers 2017-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  55. Shiono, Takashi, 2021. "Estimation of agent-based models using Bayesian deep learning approach of BayesFlow," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  56. Francesco Lamperti, 2016. "Empirical Validation of Simulated Models through the GSL-div: an Illustrative Application," LEM Papers Series 2016/18, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  57. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/dcditnq6282sbu1u151qe5p7f is not listed on IDEAS
  58. Mitja Steinbacher & Matthias Raddant & Fariba Karimi & Eva Camacho Cuena & Simone Alfarano & Giulia Iori & Thomas Lux, 2021. "Advances in the agent-based modeling of economic and social behavior," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(7), pages 1-24, July.
  59. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/13thfd12aa8rmplfudlgvgahff is not listed on IDEAS
  60. Chenkai Wang & Junji Ren & Peng Yang, 2024. "Alleviating Non-identifiability: a High-fidelity Calibration Objective for Financial Market Simulation with Multivariate Time Series Data," Papers 2407.16566, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
  61. Herbert Dawid & Philipp Harting & Sander van der Hoog, 2019. "Manager remuneration, share buybacks, and firm performance," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 28(3), pages 681-706.
  62. Kukacka, Jiri & Sacht, Stephen, 2023. "Estimation of heuristic switching in behavioral macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  63. Catullo, Ermanno & Gallegati, Mauro & Russo, Alberto, 2022. "Forecasting in a complex environment: Machine learning sales expectations in a stock flow consistent agent-based simulation model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  64. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/20hflp7eqn97boh50no50tv67n is not listed on IDEAS
  65. Donovan Platt, 2019. "A Comparison of Economic Agent-Based Model Calibration Methods," Papers 1902.05938, arXiv.org.
  66. Platt, Donovan & Gebbie, Tim, 2018. "Can agent-based models probe market microstructure?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 1092-1106.
  67. Gene Yu & Ce Guo & Wayne Luk, 2024. "Robust Time Series Causal Discovery for Agent-Based Model Validation," Papers 2410.19412, arXiv.org.
  68. Lux, Thomas, 2024. "Lack of identification of parameters in a simple behavioral macroeconomic model," Economics Working Papers 2024-02, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  69. Nils Bertschinger & Iurii Mozzhorin, 2021. "Bayesian estimation and likelihood-based comparison of agent-based volatility models," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 16(1), pages 173-210, January.
  70. Elizabeth Jane Casabianca & Alessia Lo Turco & Daniela Maggioni, 2021. "Migration And The Structure Of Manufacturing Production. A View From Italian Provinces," Working Papers 448, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
  71. Francesco Lamperti, 2018. "Empirical validation of simulated models through the GSL-div: an illustrative application," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(1), pages 143-171, April.
  72. Ernesto Carrella, 2021. "No Free Lunch when Estimating Simulation Parameters," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 24(2), pages 1-7.
  73. Tubbenhauer, Tobias & Fieberg, Christian & Poddig, Thorsten, 2021. "Multi-agent-based VaR forecasting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  74. Ernesto Carrella & Richard Bailey & Jens Koed Madsen, 2020. "Calibrating Agent-Based Models with Linear Regressions," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 23(1), pages 1-7.
  75. Ciola, Emanuele & Gaffeo, Edoardo & Gallegati, Mauro, 2022. "Search for profits and business fluctuations: How does banks’ behaviour explain cycles?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  76. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1nlv566svi86iqtetenms15tc4 is not listed on IDEAS
  77. Tuong Manh Vu & Charlotte Probst & Alexandra Nielsen & Hao Bai & Petra S. Meier & Charlotte Buckley & Mark Strong & Alan Brennan & Robin Purhouse, 2020. "A Software Architecture for Mechanism-Based Social Systems Modelling in Agent-Based Simulation Models," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 23(3), pages 1-1.
  78. Thomas Lux, 2022. "Bayesian Estimation of Agent-Based Models via Adaptive Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(2), pages 451-477, August.
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