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Uncertainty and global sensitivity analysis for the optimal design of distributed energy systems

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  1. Chuat, Arthur & Terrier, Cédric & Schnidrig, Jonas & Maréchal, François, 2024. "Identification of typical district configurations: A two-step global sensitivity analysis framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
  2. Thomas T. D. Tran & Amanda D. Smith, 2019. "Stochastic Optimization for Integration of Renewable Energy Technologies in District Energy Systems for Cost-Effective Use," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-26, February.
  3. Walker, Shalika & Katic, Katarina & Maassen, Wim & Zeiler, Wim, 2019. "Multi-criteria feasibility assessment of cost-optimized alternatives to comply with heating demand of existing office buildings – A case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
  4. Mauree, Dasaraden & Naboni, Emanuele & Coccolo, Silvia & Perera, A.T.D. & Nik, Vahid M. & Scartezzini, Jean-Louis, 2019. "A review of assessment methods for the urban environment and its energy sustainability to guarantee climate adaptation of future cities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 733-746.
  5. Walker, Shalika & Labeodan, Timilehin & Boxem, Gert & Maassen, Wim & Zeiler, Wim, 2018. "An assessment methodology of sustainable energy transition scenarios for realizing energy neutral neighborhoods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 2346-2360.
  6. Liu, Liuchen & Cui, Guomin & Chen, Jiaxing & Huang, Xiaohuang & Li, Di, 2022. "Two-stage superstructure model for optimization of distributed energy systems (DES) part I: Model development and verification," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
  7. Brodnicke, Linda & Gabrielli, Paolo & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2023. "Impact of policies on residential multi-energy systems for consumers and prosumers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 344(C).
  8. Lin, Haiyang & Fu, Kun & Wang, Yu & Sun, Qie & Li, Hailong & Hu, Yukun & Sun, Bo & Wennersten, Ronald, 2019. "Characteristics of electric vehicle charging demand at multiple types of location - Application of an agent-based trip chain model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
  9. Jonathan Dumas & Antoine Dubois & Paolo Thiran & Pierre Jacques & Francesco Contino & Bertrand Cornélusse & Gauthier Limpens, 2022. "The Energy Return on Investment of Whole-Energy Systems: Application to Belgium," Biophysical Economics and Resource Quality, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 1-34, December.
  10. Jing, Rui & Wang, Meng & Liang, Hao & Wang, Xiaonan & Li, Ning & Shah, Nilay & Zhao, Yingru, 2018. "Multi-objective optimization of a neighborhood-level urban energy network: Considering Game-theory inspired multi-benefit allocation constraints," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 534-548.
  11. Zhang, Jiyuan & Tang, Hailong & Chen, Min, 2019. "Linear substitute model-based uncertainty analysis of complicated non-linear energy system performance (case study of an adaptive cycle engine)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 87-108.
  12. Waibel, Christoph & Evins, Ralph & Carmeliet, Jan, 2019. "Co-simulation and optimization of building geometry and multi-energy systems: Interdependencies in energy supply, energy demand and solar potentials," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 1661-1682.
  13. Charani Shandiz, Saeid & Rismanchi, Behzad & Foliente, Greg, 2021. "Energy master planning for net-zero emission communities: State of the art and research challenges," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  14. Jordan, Matthias & Millinger, Markus & Thrän, Daniela, 2020. "Robust bioenergy technologies for the German heat transition: A novel approach combining optimization modeling with Sobol’ sensitivity analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
  15. Zhang, Chong & Xue, Xue & Du, Qianzhou & Luo, Yimo & Gang, Wenjie, 2019. "Study on the performance of distributed energy systems based on historical loads considering parameter uncertainties for decision making," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 778-791.
  16. Pickering, B. & Choudhary, R., 2019. "District energy system optimisation under uncertain demand: Handling data-driven stochastic profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 1138-1157.
  17. Abokersh, Mohamed Hany & Gangwar, Sachin & Spiekman, Marleen & Vallès, Manel & Jiménez, Laureano & Boer, Dieter, 2021. "Sustainability insights on emerging solar district heating technologies to boost the nearly zero energy building concept," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 893-913.
  18. Wang, Jing & Kang, Lixia & Huang, Xiankun & Liu, Yongzhong, 2021. "An analysis framework for quantitative evaluation of parametric uncertainty in a cooperated energy storage system with multiple energy carriers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
  19. Zhang, Sheng & Cheng, Yong & Liu, Jian & Lin, Zhang, 2019. "Subzone control optimization of air distribution for thermal comfort and energy efficiency under cooling load uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
  20. Xin-Cheng Meng & Yeon-Ho Seong & Min-Kyu Lee, 2021. "Research Characteristics and Development Trend of Global Low-Carbon Power—Based on Bibliometric Analysis of 1983–2021," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-20, August.
  21. Foumani, Mehdi & Smith-Miles, Kate, 2019. "The impact of various carbon reduction policies on green flowshop scheduling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 300-315.
  22. Su, Ziyi & Li, Xiaofeng, 2022. "Extraction of key parameters and simplification of sub-system energy models using sensitivity analysis in subway stations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
  23. Le, Tay Son & Nguyen, Tuan Ngoc & Bui, Dac-Khuong & Ngo, Tuan Duc, 2023. "Optimal sizing of renewable energy storage: A techno-economic analysis of hydrogen, battery and hybrid systems considering degradation and seasonal storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
  24. Heggarty, Thomas & Bourmaud, Jean-Yves & Girard, Robin & Kariniotakis, Georges, 2019. "Multi-temporal assessment of power system flexibility requirement," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1327-1336.
  25. Niu, Jide & Li, Xiaoyuan & Tian, Zhe & Yang, Hongxing, 2023. "A framework for quantifying the value of information to mitigate risk in the optimal design of distributed energy systems under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
  26. Urbano, Eva M. & Martinez-Viol, Victor & Kampouropoulos, Konstantinos & Romeral, Luis, 2022. "Risk assessment of energy investment in the industrial framework – Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis for energy design and operation optimisation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
  27. Mavromatidis, Georgios & Petkov, Ivalin, 2021. "MANGO: A novel optimization model for the long-term, multi-stage planning of decentralized multi-energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
  28. Xiao, Sinan & Praditia, Timothy & Oladyshkin, Sergey & Nowak, Wolfgang, 2021. "Global sensitivity analysis of a CaO/Ca(OH)2 thermochemical energy storage model for parametric effect analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  29. Wang, Meng & Yu, Hang & Yang, Yikun & Lin, Xiaoyu & Guo, Haijin & Li, Chaoen & Zhou, Yue & Jing, Rui, 2021. "Unlocking emerging impacts of carbon tax on integrated energy systems through supply and demand co-optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
  30. Àlex Alonso & Jordi de la Hoz & Helena Martín & Sergio Coronas & Pep Salas & José Matas, 2020. "A Comprehensive Model for the Design of a Microgrid under Regulatory Constraints Using Synthetical Data Generation and Stochastic Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-26, October.
  31. Gabrielli, Paolo & Fürer, Florian & Mavromatidis, Georgios & Mazzotti, Marco, 2019. "Robust and optimal design of multi-energy systems with seasonal storage through uncertainty analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1192-1210.
  32. Mavromatidis, Georgios & Orehounig, Kristina & Carmeliet, Jan, 2018. "Design of distributed energy systems under uncertainty: A two-stage stochastic programming approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 932-950.
  33. Wang, Meng & Yu, Hang & Lin, Xiaoyu & Jing, Rui & He, Fangjun & Li, Chaoen, 2020. "Comparing stochastic programming with posteriori approach for multi-objective optimization of distributed energy systems under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
  34. Jing, Rui & Kuriyan, Kamal & Kong, Qingyuan & Zhang, Zhihui & Shah, Nilay & Li, Ning & Zhao, Yingru, 2019. "Exploring the impact space of different technologies using a portfolio constraint based approach for multi-objective optimization of integrated urban energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
  35. Li, Hao & Zhong, Shengyuan & Wang, Yongzhen & Zhao, Jun & Li, Minxia & Wang, Fu & Zhu, Jiebei, 2020. "New understanding on information’s role in the matching of supply and demand of distributed energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
  36. Radet, Hugo & Roboam, Xavier & Sareni, Bruno & Rigo-Mariani, Rémy, 2021. "Dynamic aware aging design of a simple distributed energy system: A comparative approach with single stage design strategies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  37. Pilpola, Sannamari & Lund, Peter D., 2020. "Analyzing the effects of uncertainties on the modelling of low-carbon energy system pathways," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
  38. Jing, Rui & Wang, Meng & Zhang, Zhihui & Wang, Xiaonan & Li, Ning & Shah, Nilay & Zhao, Yingru, 2019. "Distributed or centralized? Designing district-level urban energy systems by a hierarchical approach considering demand uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 1-1.
  39. Petkov, Ivalin & Gabrielli, Paolo & Spokaite, Marija, 2021. "The impact of urban district composition on storage technology reliance: trade-offs between thermal storage, batteries, and power-to-hydrogen," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
  40. Ma, Yinjie & Yang, Dong & Xie, Deyi & E, Jiaqiang, 2024. "Investigating the effect of fuel properties and environmental parameters on low-octane gasoline-like fuel spray combustion and emissions using machine learning-global sensitivity analysis method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
  41. Karmellos, M. & Georgiou, P.N. & Mavrotas, G., 2019. "A comparison of methods for the optimal design of Distributed Energy Systems under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 318-333.
  42. Ren, Fukang & Wei, Ziqing & Zhai, Xiaoqiang, 2021. "Multi-objective optimization and evaluation of hybrid CCHP systems for different building types," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PA).
  43. João R. B. Paiva & Alana S. Magalhães & Pedro H. F. Moraes & Júnio S. Bulhões & Wesley P. Calixto, 2021. "Stability Metric Based on Sensitivity Analysis Applied to Electrical Repowering System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-21, November.
  44. Petkov, Ivalin & Mavromatidis, Georgios & Knoeri, Christof & Allan, James & Hoffmann, Volker H., 2022. "MANGOret: An optimization framework for the long-term investment planning of building multi-energy system and envelope retrofits," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
  45. Jing, Rui & He, Yang & He, Jijiang & Liu, Yang & Yang, Shoubing, 2022. "Global sensitivity based prioritizing the parametric uncertainties in economic analysis when co-locating photovoltaic with agriculture and aquaculture in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 1048-1059.
  46. Jann Michael Weinand, 2020. "Reviewing Municipal Energy System Planning in a Bibliometric Analysis: Evolution of the Research Field between 1991 and 2019," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-18, March.
  47. Qyyum, Muhammad Abdul & Duong, Pham Luu Trung & Minh, Le Quang & Lee, Sanggyu & Lee, Moonyong, 2019. "Dual mixed refrigerant LNG process: Uncertainty quantification and dimensional reduction sensitivity analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 1446-1456.
  48. Zhong, Shengyuan & Zhao, Jun & Li, Wenjia & Li, Hao & Deng, Shuai & Li, Yang & Hussain, Sajjad & Wang, Xiaoyuan & Zhu, Jiebei, 2021. "Quantitative analysis of information interaction in building energy systems based on mutual information," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
  49. Schyska, Bruno U. & Kies, Alexander, 2020. "How regional differences in cost of capital influence the optimal design of power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
  50. Bohlayer, Markus & Bürger, Adrian & Fleschutz, Markus & Braun, Marco & Zöttl, Gregor, 2021. "Multi-period investment pathways - Modeling approaches to design distributed energy systems under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  51. Pang, Zhihong & O'Neill, Zheng, 2018. "Uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis of the domestic hot water usage in hotels," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C), pages 424-442.
  52. Àlex Alonso-Travesset & Diederik Coppitters & Helena Martín & Jordi de la Hoz, 2023. "Economic and Regulatory Uncertainty in Renewable Energy System Design: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-30, January.
  53. Lerbinger, Alicia & Petkov, Ivalin & Mavromatidis, Georgios & Knoeri, Christof, 2023. "Optimal decarbonization strategies for existing districts considering energy systems and retrofits," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
  54. Perera, A.T.D. & Khayatian, F. & Eggimann, S. & Orehounig, K. & Halgamuge, Saman, 2022. "Quantifying the climate and human-system-driven uncertainties in energy planning by using GANs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
  55. Ghaemi, Zahra & Tran, Thomas T.D. & Smith, Amanda D., 2022. "Comparing classical and metaheuristic methods to optimize multi-objective operation planning of district energy systems considering uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
  56. Jåstad, Eirik Ogner & Trotter, Ian M. & Bolkesjø, Torjus Folsland, 2022. "Long term power prices and renewable energy market values in Norway – A probabilistic approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  57. Eva M. Urbano & Victor Martinez-Viol & Konstantinos Kampouropoulos & Luis Romeral, 2021. "Energy-Investment Decision-Making for Industry: Quantitative and Qualitative Risks Integrated Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-30, June.
  58. Li, Ke & Yang, Fan & Wang, Lupan & Yan, Yi & Wang, Haiyang & Zhang, Chenghui, 2022. "A scenario-based two-stage stochastic optimization approach for multi-energy microgrids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
  59. Luerssen, Christoph & Verbois, Hadrien & Gandhi, Oktoviano & Reindl, Thomas & Sekhar, Chandra & Cheong, David, 2021. "Global sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of the levelised cost of storage (LCOS) for solar-PV-powered cooling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
  60. Niu, Jide & Tian, Zhe & Lu, Yakai & Zhao, Hongfang & Lan, Bo, 2019. "A robust optimization model for designing the building cooling source under cooling load uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C), pages 390-403.
  61. Xavier Rixhon & Gauthier Limpens & Diederik Coppitters & Hervé Jeanmart & Francesco Contino, 2021. "The Role of Electrofuels under Uncertainties for the Belgian Energy Transition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-23, July.
  62. Àlex Alonso-Travesset & Helena Martín & Sergio Coronas & Jordi de la Hoz, 2022. "Optimization Models under Uncertainty in Distributed Generation Systems: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-40, March.
  63. Guo, Jiacheng & Liu, Zhijian & Wu, Xuan & Wu, Di & Zhang, Shicong & Yang, Xinyan & Ge, Hua & Zhang, Peiwen, 2022. "Two-layer co-optimization method for a distributed energy system combining multiple energy storages," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
  64. Abokersh, Mohamed Hany & Vallès, Manel & Cabeza, Luisa F. & Boer, Dieter, 2020. "A framework for the optimal integration of solar assisted district heating in different urban sized communities: A robust machine learning approach incorporating global sensitivity analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
  65. Bartolini, Andrea & Mazzoni, Stefano & Comodi, Gabriele & Romagnoli, Alessandro, 2021. "Impact of carbon pricing on distributed energy systems planning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
  66. Noorollahi, Younes & Golshanfard, Aminabbas & Hashemi-Dezaki, Hamed, 2022. "A scenario-based approach for optimal operation of energy hub under different schemes and structures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
  67. Petkov, Ivalin & Gabrielli, Paolo, 2020. "Power-to-hydrogen as seasonal energy storage: an uncertainty analysis for optimal design of low-carbon multi-energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
  68. Carta, José A. & Díaz, Santiago & Castañeda, Alberto, 2020. "A global sensitivity analysis method applied to wind farm power output estimation models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
  69. Wei, Shangshang & Gao, Xianhua & Zhang, Yi & Li, Yiguo & Shen, Jiong & Li, Zuyi, 2021. "An improved stochastic model predictive control operation strategy of integrated energy system based on a single-layer multi-timescale framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
  70. Kun Mo LEE & Min Hyeok LEE, 2021. "Uncertainty of the Electricity Emission Factor Incorporating the Uncertainty of the Fuel Emission Factors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-14, September.
  71. Pickering, Bryn & Choudhary, Ruchi, 2021. "Quantifying resilience in energy systems with out-of-sample testing," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  72. David Huckebrink & Valentin Bertsch, 2021. "Integrating Behavioural Aspects in Energy System Modelling—A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-26, July.
  73. Mansour Alramlawi & Pu Li, 2024. "Chance-Constrained Optimal Design of PV-Based Microgrids under Grid Blackout Uncertainties," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(8), pages 1-15, April.
  74. Urbano, Eva M. & Martinez-Viol, Victor & Kampouropoulos, Konstantinos & Romeral, Luis, 2021. "Energy equipment sizing and operation optimisation for prosumer industrial SMEs – A lifetime approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
  75. Wu, Raphael & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2020. "Integrating reliability and resilience to support the transition from passive distribution grids to islanding microgrids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
  76. Kiani-Moghaddam, Mohammad & Soltani, Mohsen N. & Kalogirou, Soteris A. & Mahian, Omid & Arabkoohsar, Ahmad, 2023. "A review of neighborhood level multi-carrier energy hubs—uncertainty and problem-solving process," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
  77. Li, Chengzhou & Wang, Ningling & Wang, Zhuo & Dou, Xiaoxiao & Zhang, Yumeng & Yang, Zhiping & Maréchal, François & Wang, Ligang & Yang, Yongping, 2022. "Energy hub-based optimal planning framework for user-level integrated energy systems: Considering synergistic effects under multiple uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
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