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Short-term residential load forecasting: Impact of calendar effects and forecast granularity

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  1. Fan, Guo-Feng & Peng, Li-Ling & Hong, Wei-Chiang, 2018. "Short term load forecasting based on phase space reconstruction algorithm and bi-square kernel regression model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 13-33.
  2. Fang Xu & Meng Tian & Jie Yang & Guohu Xu, 2020. "Does Environmental Inspection Led by the Central Government Improve the Air Quality in China? The Moderating Role of Public Engagement," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-27, April.
  3. Fermín Rodríguez & Fernando Martín & Luis Fontán & Ainhoa Galarza, 2020. "Very Short-Term Load Forecaster Based on a Neural Network Technique for Smart Grid Control," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-19, October.
  4. Barman, Mayur & Dev Choudhury, Nalin Behari, 2019. "Season specific approach for short-term load forecasting based on hybrid FA-SVM and similarity concept," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 886-896.
  5. Luca Massidda & Marino Marrocu, 2018. "Smart Meter Forecasting from One Minute to One Year Horizons," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-16, December.
  6. Shepero, Mahmoud & van der Meer, Dennis & Munkhammar, Joakim & Widén, Joakim, 2018. "Residential probabilistic load forecasting: A method using Gaussian process designed for electric load data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 159-172.
  7. Filipe Rodrigues & Carlos Cardeira & João M. F. Calado & Rui Melicio, 2023. "Short-Term Load Forecasting of Electricity Demand for the Residential Sector Based on Modelling Techniques: A Systematic Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-26, May.
  8. Burleyson, Casey D. & Rahman, Aowabin & Rice, Jennie S. & Smith, Amanda D. & Voisin, Nathalie, 2021. "Multiscale effects masked the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on electricity demand in the United States," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
  9. Gang Chen & Qingchang Hu & Jin Wang & Xu Wang & Yuyu Zhu, 2023. "Machine-Learning-Based Electric Power Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-21, July.
  10. Wenhao Chen & Guangjie Han & Hongbo Zhu & Lyuchao Liao, 2022. "Short-Term Load Forecasting with an Ensemble Model Using Densely Residual Block and Bi-LSTM Based on the Attention Mechanism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-16, December.
  11. Pan, Keda & Chen, Zhaohua & Lai, Chun Sing & Xie, Changhong & Wang, Dongxiao & Li, Xuecong & Zhao, Zhuoli & Tong, Ning & Lai, Loi Lei, 2022. "An unsupervised data-driven approach for behind-the-meter photovoltaic power generation disaggregation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
  12. Hu, Jiaxiang & Hu, Weihao & Cao, Di & Sun, Xinwu & Chen, Jianjun & Huang, Yuehui & Chen, Zhe & Blaabjerg, Frede, 2024. "Probabilistic net load forecasting based on transformer network and Gaussian process-enabled residual modeling learning method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
  13. Zhong, Hai & Wang, Jiajun & Jia, Hongjie & Mu, Yunfei & Lv, Shilei, 2019. "Vector field-based support vector regression for building energy consumption prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 403-414.
  14. Kamal Chapagain & Somsak Kittipiyakul, 2018. "Performance Analysis of Short-Term Electricity Demand with Atmospheric Variables," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-34, April.
  15. Khoshrou, Abdolrahman & Pauwels, Eric J., 2019. "Short-term scenario-based probabilistic load forecasting: A data-driven approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1258-1268.
  16. Fan, Cheng & Wang, Jiayuan & Gang, Wenjie & Li, Shenghan, 2019. "Assessment of deep recurrent neural network-based strategies for short-term building energy predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 700-710.
  17. Sekhar, Charan & Dahiya, Ratna, 2023. "Robust framework based on hybrid deep learning approach for short term load forecasting of building electricity demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
  18. Ping Ma & Shuhui Cui & Mingshuai Chen & Shengzhe Zhou & Kai Wang, 2023. "Review of Family-Level Short-Term Load Forecasting and Its Application in Household Energy Management System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-17, August.
  19. Zang, Haixiang & Xu, Ruiqi & Cheng, Lilin & Ding, Tao & Liu, Ling & Wei, Zhinong & Sun, Guoqiang, 2021. "Residential load forecasting based on LSTM fusing self-attention mechanism with pooling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  20. Pesantez, Jorge E. & Li, Binbin & Lee, Christopher & Zhao, Zhizhen & Butala, Mark & Stillwell, Ashlynn S., 2023. "A Comparison Study of Predictive Models for Electricity Demand in a Diverse Urban Environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
  21. Singh, Priyanka & Dwivedi, Pragya, 2018. "Integration of new evolutionary approach with artificial neural network for solving short term load forecast problem," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 537-549.
  22. Hasan Erteza Gelani & Faizan Dastgeer & Mashood Nasir & Sidra Khan & Josep M. Guerrero, 2021. "AC vs. DC Distribution Efficiency: Are We on the Right Path?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-26, July.
  23. Wang, Qiang & Song, Xiaoxing & Li, Rongrong, 2018. "A novel hybridization of nonlinear grey model and linear ARIMA residual correction for forecasting U.S. shale oil production," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 1320-1331.
  24. Gde Dharma Nugraha & Ardiansyah Musa & Jaiyoung Cho & Kishik Park & Deokjai Choi, 2018. "Lambda-Based Data Processing Architecture for Two-Level Load Forecasting in Residential Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-20, March.
  25. Zhang, Jinliang & Wei, Yi-Ming & Li, Dezhi & Tan, Zhongfu & Zhou, Jianhua, 2018. "Short term electricity load forecasting using a hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 774-781.
  26. Mehdi Seyedmahmoudian & Elmira Jamei & Gokul Sidarth Thirunavukkarasu & Tey Kok Soon & Michael Mortimer & Ben Horan & Alex Stojcevski & Saad Mekhilef, 2018. "Short-Term Forecasting of the Output Power of a Building-Integrated Photovoltaic System Using a Metaheuristic Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-23, May.
  27. Zhang, Liang & Wen, Jin & Li, Yanfei & Chen, Jianli & Ye, Yunyang & Fu, Yangyang & Livingood, William, 2021. "A review of machine learning in building load prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  28. Zheng, Zhuang & Sun, Zhankun & Pan, Jia & Luo, Xiaowei, 2021. "An integrated smart home energy management model based on a pyramid taxonomy for residential houses with photovoltaic-battery systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
  29. Jihoon Moon & Junhong Kim & Pilsung Kang & Eenjun Hwang, 2020. "Solving the Cold-Start Problem in Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Tree-Based Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-37, February.
  30. Ivana Kiprijanovska & Simon Stankoski & Igor Ilievski & Slobodan Jovanovski & Matjaž Gams & Hristijan Gjoreski, 2020. "HousEEC: Day-Ahead Household Electrical Energy Consumption Forecasting Using Deep Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-29, May.
  31. Bhattacharjee, Vikram & Khan, Irfan, 2018. "A non-linear convex cost model for economic dispatch in microgrids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 637-648.
  32. Ahajjam, Mohamed Aymane & Bonilla Licea, Daniel & Ghogho, Mounir & Kobbane, Abdellatif, 2022. "Experimental investigation of variational mode decomposition and deep learning for short-term multi-horizon residential electric load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
  33. Wang, Jianzhou & Gao, Jialu & Wei, Danxiang, 2022. "Electric load prediction based on a novel combined interval forecasting system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
  34. Michael Wood & Emanuele Ogliari & Alfredo Nespoli & Travis Simpkins & Sonia Leva, 2023. "Day Ahead Electric Load Forecast: A Comprehensive LSTM-EMD Methodology and Several Diverse Case Studies," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-18, March.
  35. Wenhui Zhao & Tong Li & Danyang Xu & Zhaohua Wang, 2024. "A global forecasting method of heterogeneous household short-term load based on pre-trained autoencoder and deep-LSTM model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 339(1), pages 227-259, August.
  36. Zheng, Peijun & Zhou, Heng & Liu, Jiang & Nakanishi, Yosuke, 2023. "Interpretable building energy consumption forecasting using spectral clustering algorithm and temporal fusion transformers architecture," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 349(C).
  37. Alipour, Panteha & Mukherjee, Sayanti & Nateghi, Roshanak, 2019. "Assessing climate sensitivity of peak electricity load for resilient power systems planning and operation: A study applied to the Texas region," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1143-1153.
  38. Iuri C. Figueiró & Alzenira R. Abaide & Nelson K. Neto & Leonardo N. F. Silva & Laura L. C. Santos, 2023. "Bottom-Up Short-Term Load Forecasting Considering Macro-Region and Weighting by Meteorological Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-21, September.
  39. Zhang, Jinliang & Siya, Wang & Zhongfu, Tan & Anli, Sun, 2023. "An improved hybrid model for short term power load prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
  40. Dadkhah, Mojtaba & Jahangoshai Rezaee, Mustafa & Zare Chavoshi, Ahmad, 2018. "Short-term power output forecasting of hourly operation in power plant based on climate factors and effects of wind direction and wind speed," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 775-788.
  41. Francesco Mancini & Gianluigi Lo Basso & Livio de Santoli, 2019. "Energy Use in Residential Buildings: Impact of Building Automation Control Systems on Energy Performance and Flexibility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-21, July.
  42. Seyedeh Narjes Fallah & Mehdi Ganjkhani & Shahaboddin Shamshirband & Kwok-wing Chau, 2019. "Computational Intelligence on Short-Term Load Forecasting: A Methodological Overview," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-21, January.
  43. Czarina Copiaco & Mutasim Nour, 2024. "Optimizing the Operation of Grid-Interactive Efficient Buildings (GEBs) Using Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-18, October.
  44. Laib, Oussama & Khadir, Mohamed Tarek & Mihaylova, Lyudmila, 2019. "Toward efficient energy systems based on natural gas consumption prediction with LSTM Recurrent Neural Networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 530-542.
  45. Yukseltan, E. & Kok, A. & Yucekaya, A. & Bilge, A. & Aktunc, E. Agca & Hekimoglu, M., 2022. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and behavioral restrictions on electricity consumption and the daily demand curve in Turkey," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  46. Ali K k & Erg n Y kseltan & Mustafa Hekimo lu & Esra Agca Aktunc & Ahmet Y cekaya & Ay e Bilge, 2022. "Forecasting Hourly Electricity Demand Under COVID-19 Restrictions," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 73-85.
  47. Fazlipour, Zahra & Mashhour, Elaheh & Joorabian, Mahmood, 2022. "A deep model for short-term load forecasting applying a stacked autoencoder based on LSTM supported by a multi-stage attention mechanism," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  48. Richter, Lucas & Lehna, Malte & Marchand, Sophie & Scholz, Christoph & Dreher, Alexander & Klaiber, Stefan & Lenk, Steve, 2022. "Artificial Intelligence for Electricity Supply Chain automation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
  49. Lee, Eunjung & Lee, Kyungeun & Lee, Hyoseop & Kim, Euncheol & Rhee, Wonjong, 2019. "Defining virtual control group to improve customer baseline load calculation of residential demand response," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 946-958.
  50. Park, June Young & Yang, Xiya & Miller, Clayton & Arjunan, Pandarasamy & Nagy, Zoltan, 2019. "Apples or oranges? Identification of fundamental load shape profiles for benchmarking buildings using a large and diverse dataset," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 1280-1295.
  51. Hussain, I. & Ali, S.M. & Khan, B. & Ullah, Z. & Mehmood, C.A. & Jawad, M. & Farid, U. & Haider, A., 2019. "Stochastic Wind Energy Management Model within smart grid framework: A joint Bi-directional Service Level Agreement (SLA) between smart grid and Wind Energy District Prosumers," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 1017-1033.
  52. Li, Kun & Cursio, Joseph D. & Jiang, Mengfei & Liang, Xi, 2019. "The significance of calendar effects in the electricity market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 487-494.
  53. Haoda Ye & Qiuyu Zhu & Xuefan Zhang, 2024. "Short-Term Load Forecasting for Residential Buildings Based on Multivariate Variational Mode Decomposition and Temporal Fusion Transformer," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-22, June.
  54. Kamal Chapagain & Somsak Kittipiyakul & Pisut Kulthanavit, 2020. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting: Impact Analysis of Temperature for Thailand," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-29, May.
  55. Guefano, Serge & Tamba, Jean Gaston & Azong, Tchitile Emmanuel Wilfried & Monkam, Louis, 2021. "Forecast of electricity consumption in the Cameroonian residential sector by Grey and vector autoregressive models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
  56. Tulin Guzel & Hakan Cinar & Mehmet Nabi Cenet & Kamil Doruk Oguz & Ahmet Yucekaya & Mustafa Hekimoglu, 2023. "A Framework to Forecast Electricity Consumption of Meters using Automated Ranking and Data Preprocessing," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 179-193, September.
  57. Khan, Waqas & Liao, Juo Yu & Walker, Shalika & Zeiler, Wim, 2022. "Impact assessment of varied data granularities from commercial buildings on exploration and learning mechanism," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 319(C).
  58. Hyojoo Son & Changwan Kim, 2020. "A Deep Learning Approach to Forecasting Monthly Demand for Residential–Sector Electricity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-16, April.
  59. Pekka Koponen & Jussi Ikäheimo & Juha Koskela & Christina Brester & Harri Niska, 2020. "Assessing and Comparing Short Term Load Forecasting Performance," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-17, April.
  60. Guo, Yabin & Wang, Jiangyu & Chen, Huanxin & Li, Guannan & Liu, Jiangyan & Xu, Chengliang & Huang, Ronggeng & Huang, Yao, 2018. "Machine learning-based thermal response time ahead energy demand prediction for building heating systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 16-27.
  61. Liu, Xin & Zhang, Zijun & Song, Zhe, 2020. "A comparative study of the data-driven day-ahead hourly provincial load forecasting methods: From classical data mining to deep learning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  62. Diogo M. F. Izidio & Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto & Luciano Barbosa & João F. L. de Oliveira & Manoel Henrique da Nóbrega Marinho & Guilherme Ferretti Rissi, 2021. "Evolutionary Hybrid System for Energy Consumption Forecasting for Smart Meters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
  63. Wang, Yi & Gan, Dahua & Sun, Mingyang & Zhang, Ning & Lu, Zongxiang & Kang, Chongqing, 2019. "Probabilistic individual load forecasting using pinball loss guided LSTM," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 10-20.
  64. Javier, Prince Joseph Erneszer A. & Liponhay, Marissa P. & Dajac, Carlo Vincienzo G. & Monterola, Christopher P., 2022. "Causal network inference in a dam system and its implications on feature selection for machine learning forecasting," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
  65. Marta Moure-Garrido & Celeste Campo & Carlos Garcia-Rubio, 2022. "Entropy-Based Anomaly Detection in Household Electricity Consumption," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-21, March.
  66. Alfredo Nespoli & Emanuele Ogliari & Silvia Pretto & Michele Gavazzeni & Sonia Vigani & Franco Paccanelli, 2021. "Electrical Load Forecast by Means of LSTM: The Impact of Data Quality," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-11, February.
  67. Fernández, Joaquín Delgado & Menci, Sergio Potenciano & Lee, Chul Min & Rieger, Alexander & Fridgen, Gilbert, 2022. "Privacy-preserving federated learning for residential short-term load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
  68. Haben, Stephen & Arora, Siddharth & Giasemidis, Georgios & Voss, Marcus & Vukadinović Greetham, Danica, 2021. "Review of low voltage load forecasting: Methods, applications, and recommendations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
  69. Zheng, Zhuang & Chen, Hainan & Luo, Xiaowei, 2019. "A Kalman filter-based bottom-up approach for household short-term load forecast," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 882-894.
  70. Sarah Hadri & Mehdi Najib & Mohamed Bakhouya & Youssef Fakhri & Mohamed El Arroussi, 2021. "Performance Evaluation of Forecasting Strategies for Electricity Consumption in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-17, September.
  71. Thomas Steens & Jan-Simon Telle & Benedikt Hanke & Karsten von Maydell & Carsten Agert & Gian-Luca Di Modica & Bernd Engel & Matthias Grottke, 2021. "A Forecast-Based Load Management Approach for Commercial Buildings Demonstrated on an Integration of BEV," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-25, June.
  72. Li, Lechen & Meinrenken, Christoph J. & Modi, Vijay & Culligan, Patricia J., 2021. "Short-term apartment-level load forecasting using a modified neural network with selected auto-regressive features," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
  73. Minseok Jang & Hyun Cheol Jeong & Taegon Kim & Dong Hee Suh & Sung-Kwan Joo, 2021. "Empirical Analysis of the Impact of COVID-19 Social Distancing on Residential Electricity Consumption Based on Demographic Characteristics and Load Shape," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-15, November.
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