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Reading the Smile: The Message Conveyed by Methods which Infer Risk Neutral Densities
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Cited by:
- Andreou, Panayiotis C. & Charalambous, Chris & Martzoukos, Spiros H., 2010. "Generalized parameter functions for option pricing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 633-646, March.
- Liu, Xiaoquan & Shackleton, Mark B. & Taylor, Stephen J. & Xu, Xinzhong, 2007. "Closed-form transformations from risk-neutral to real-world distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1501-1520, May.
- Roy Stein & Yoel Hecht, 2003. "Distribution of the Exchange Rate Implicit in Option Prices: Application to TASE," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2003.05b, Bank of Israel.
- Halil Ibrahim Aydin & Ahmet Degerli & Pinar Ozlu, 2010. "Recovering Risk-Neutral Densities from Exchange Rate Options: Evidence in Turkey (Kur Opsiyonlarindan Riske Duyarsiz Yogunluk Fonksiyonu Cikarimi: Turkiye Ornegi)," Working Papers 1003, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Chen, Ren-Raw & Hsieh, Pei-lin & Huang, Jeffrey, 2018. "Crash risk and risk neutral densities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 162-189.
- Irving Fisher Committee, 2003. "Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Challenges to Central Bank Statistical Activities", Basel, August 2002," IFC Bulletins, Bank for International Settlements, number 14.
- Vahamaa, Sami, 2005.
"Option-implied asymmetries in bond market expectations around monetary policy actions of the ECB,"
Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 23-38.
- Vähämaa, Sami, 2004. "Option-implied asymmetries in bond market expectations around monetary policy actions of the ECB," Working Paper Series 315, European Central Bank.
- Jurczenko, Emmanuel & Maillet, Bertrand & Negrea, Bogdan, 2002. "Revisited multi-moment approximate option pricing models: a general comparison (Part 1)," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24950, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Morel, Christophe & Teïletche, Jérôme, 2008. "Do interventions in foreign exchange markets modify investors' expectations? The experience of Japan between 1992 and 2004," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 211-231, March.
- repec:dau:papers:123456789/12956 is not listed on IDEAS
- Ben R. Craig & Ernst Glatzer & Joachim G. Keller & Martin Scheicher, 2003.
"The forecasting performance of German stock option densities,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
0312, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Keller, Joachim & Glatzer, Ernst & Craig, Ben R. & Scheicher, Martin, 2003. "The Forecasting Performance of German Stock Option Densities," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2003,17, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Pedro Serrano & Antoni Vaello‐Sebastià & M. Magdalena Vich Llompart, 2024. "International evidence of the forecasting ability of option‐implied distributions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1447-1464, August.
- Coutant, Sophie & Jondeau, Eric & Rockinger, Michael, 2001. "Reading PIBOR futures options smiles: The 1997 snap election," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(11), pages 1957-1987, November.
- Datta, Deepa Dhume & Londono, Juan M. & Ross, Landon J., 2017.
"Generating options-implied probability densities to understand oil market events,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 440-457.
- Deepa Dhume Datta & Juan M. Londono & Landon J. Ross, 2014. "Generating Options-Implied Probability Densities to Understand Oil Market Events," International Finance Discussion Papers 1122, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ruijun Bu & Kaddour Hadri, 2005. "Estimating the Risk Neutral Probability Density Functions Natural Spline versus Hypergeometric Approach Using European Style Options," Working Papers 200510, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
- Kabir K. Dutta & David F. Babbel, 2005.
"Extracting Probabilistic Information from the Prices of Interest Rate Options: Tests of Distributional Assumptions,"
The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(3), pages 841-870, May.
- Kabir K. Dutta & David F. Babbel, 2002. "Extracting Probabilistic Information from the Prices of Interest Rate Options: Tests of Distributional Assumptions," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 02-26, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
- Bernardo Guimaraes, 2008.
"Vulnerability of Currency Pegs: Evidence from Brazil,"
CEP Discussion Papers
dp0871, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2008. "Vulnerability of currency pegs: evidence from Brazil," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 4909, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Alexandre Ziegler, 2007. "Why Does Implied Risk Aversion Smile?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(3), pages 859-904.
- Äijö, Janne, 2008. "Impact of US and UK macroeconomic news announcements on the return distribution implied by FTSE-100 index options," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 242-258.
- Grith, Maria & Krätschmer, Volker, 2010. "Parametric estimation of risk neutral density functions," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-045, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Fleming, Euan & Villano, Renato & Williamson, Brendon, 2013. "Structuring Exotic Options Contracts on Water to Improve the Efficiency of Resource Allocation in the Australian Water Market," Papers 234295, University of Melbourne, Melbourne School of Land and Environment.
- Nikkinen, Jussi, 2003. "Normality tests of option-implied risk-neutral densities: evidence from the small Finnish market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 99-116.
- Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013.
"Forecasting with Option-Implied Information,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656,
Elsevier.
- Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Bo Young Chang, 2011. "Forecasting with Option Implied Information," CREATES Research Papers 2011-46, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Salazar Celis, Oliver & Liang, Lingzhi & Lemmens, Damiaan & Tempère, Jacques & Cuyt, Annie, 2015. "Determining and benchmarking risk neutral distributions implied from option prices," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 258(C), pages 372-387.
- Bernardo Guimaraes, 2005. "Market Expectations and Currency Crises: Theory and Empirics," 2005 Meeting Papers 174, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Marian Micu, 2005. "Extracting expectations from currency option prices: a comparison of methods," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 226, Society for Computational Economics.
- Maxim Ulrich & Simon Walther, 2020. "Option-implied information: What’s the vol surface got to do with it?," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 323-355, October.
- repec:zbw:bofitp:2017_015 is not listed on IDEAS
- Marie Briere, 2006. "Market Reactions to Central Bank Communication Policies :Reading Interest Rate Options Smiles," Working Papers CEB 38, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Funke, Michael & Loermann, Julius & Tsang, Andrew, 2017.
"The information content in the offshore Renminbi foreign-exchange option market: Analytics and implied USD/CNH densities,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
15/2017, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Funke, Michael & Loermann, Julius & Tsang, Andrew, 2017. "The information content in the offshore Renminbi foreign-exchange option market : Analytics and implied USD/CNH densities," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2017, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
- Lina M. Cortés & Javier Perote & Andrés Mora-Valencia, 2017. "Implicit probability distribution for WTI options: The Black Scholes vs. the semi-nonparametric approach," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 15923, Universidad EAFIT.
- Rihab Bedoui & Haykel Hamdi, 2010. "Implied Risk-Neutral probability Density functions from options prices : A comparison of estimation methods," EconomiX Working Papers 2010-16, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Henri Bertholon & Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro, 2006.
"Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes,"
Working Papers
2006-28, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Bertholon, H. & Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F., 2007. "Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes," Working papers 188, Banque de France.
- Martin Mandler, 2002. "Extracting Market Expectations from Option Prices: Two Case Studies in Market Perceptions of the ECB's Monetary Policy 1999/2000," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 138(II), pages 165-189, June.
- Jondeau, E. & Rockinger, M., 1999. "Estimating Gram-Charlier Expansions with Positivity Constraints," Working papers 56, Banque de France.
- Xixuan Han & Boyu Wei & Hailiang Yang, 2018. "Index Options And Volatility Derivatives In A Gaussian Random Field Risk-Neutral Density Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(04), pages 1-41, June.
- Williamson, Brendon & Villano, Renato A. & Fleming, Euan M., 2008. "Structuring Exotic Options Contracts on Water to Improve the Efficiency of Resource Allocation in the Water Spot Market," 2008 Conference (52nd), February 5-8, 2008, Canberra, Australia 5992, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
- Nessim Souissi, 2017. "The Implied Risk Neutral Density Dynamics: Evidence from the S&P TSX 60 Index," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-10, June.
- Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2007. "Currency Crisis Triggers: Sunspots or Thresholds?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6487, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Garcia, Rene & Gencay, Ramazan, 2000.
"Pricing and hedging derivative securities with neural networks and a homogeneity hint,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1-2), pages 93-115.
- René Garcia & Ramazan Gençay, 1998. "Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities with Neural Networks and a Homogeneity Hint," CIRANO Working Papers 98s-35, CIRANO.
- José Da Fonseca & Edem Dawui, 2021. "Semivariance and semiskew risk premiums in currency markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 290-324, March.
- Rihab Bedoui & Haykel Hamdi, 2010. "Implied Risk-Neutral probability Density functions from options prices: A comparison of estimation methods," Working Papers hal-04140913, HAL.
- Cortés, Lina M. & Mora-Valencia, Andrés & Perote, Javier, 2020. "Retrieving the implicit risk neutral density of WTI options with a semi-nonparametric approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Arturo Leccadito & Pietro Toscano & Radu S. Tunaru, 2012. "Hermite Binomial Trees: A Novel Technique For Derivatives Pricing," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(08), pages 1-36.
- Luis Ceballos, 2010. "Implied Probability Distribution in Financial Options," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 596, Central Bank of Chile.
- Alexandre Ziegler, 2002. "Why does Implied Risk Aversion Smile?," FAME Research Paper Series rp47, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
- Glatzer, Ernst & Scheicher, Martin, 2003. "Modelling the implied probability of stock market movements," Working Paper Series 212, European Central Bank.
- J. C. Arismendi & Marcel Prokopczuk, 2016. "A moment-based analytic approximation of the risk-neutral density of American options," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(6), pages 409-444, November.
- Xiaoquan Liu, 2007. "Bid-ask spread, strike prices and risk-neutral densities," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(11), pages 887-900.
- Marie Brière & Kamal Chancari, 2004. "Perception des risques sur les marchés, construction d'un indice élaboré à partir des smiles d'options et test de stratégies," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 114(4), pages 527-555.
- Maxim Ulrich & Lukas Zimmer & Constantin Merbecks, 2023. "Implied volatility surfaces: a comprehensive analysis using half a billion option prices," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 135-169, October.
- repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2010-045 is not listed on IDEAS