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The Performance of Periodic Autoregressive Models in Forecasting Seasonal U. K. Consumption
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Cited by:
- Yorghos Tripodis & Jeremy Penzer, 2009. "Modelling time series with season-dependent autocorrelation structure," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 559-574.
- Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 1999. "Forecasting with periodic autoregressive time series models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 9927-/A, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Albertson, Kevin & Aylen, Jonathan, 1996. "Modelling the Great Lakes freeze: forecasting and seasonality in the market for ferrous scrap," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 345-359, September.
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Zhijie Xiao, 1998.
"A Primer on Unit Root Testing,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(5), pages 423-470, December.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Zhijie Xiao, 1998. "A Primer on Unit Root Testing," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1189, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Koopman, Siem Jan & Ooms, Marius, 2006.
"Forecasting daily time series using periodic unobserved components time series models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 885-903, November.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2004. "Forecasting Daily Time Series using Periodic Unobserved Components Time Series Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-135/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Pedro M.D.C.B. Gouveia, 2004. "An Application of PAR Models for Tourism Forecasting," Tourism Economics, , vol. 10(3), pages 281-303, September.
- Christian Francq & Roch Roy & Abdessamad Saidi, 2011.
"Asymptotic Properties of Weighted Least Squares Estimation in Weak PARMA Models,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(6), pages 699-723, November.
- Francq, Christian & Roy, Roch & Saidi, Abdessamad, 2011. "Asymptotic properties of weighted least squares estimation in weak parma models," MPRA Paper 28721, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Clements, Michael & Smith, Jeremy, 1997.
"Forecasting Seasonal Uk Consumption Components,"
Economic Research Papers
268761, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, M.P. & Smith, J., 1997. "Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 487, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Smith, Jeremy, 1997. "Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components," Economic Research Papers 268769, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael & Smith, Jeremy, 1997. "Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 479, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Herwartz, Helmut, 1997. "Performance of periodic error correction models in forecasting consumption data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 421-431, September.
- Tim Bollerslev & Eric Ghysels, 1994. "On Periodic Autogressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity," CIRANO Working Papers 94s-03, CIRANO.
- Philip Hans Franses & Richard Paap, 2011.
"Random‐coefficient periodic autoregressions,"
Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 65(1), pages 101-115, February.
- Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 2005. "Random-Coefficient periodic autoregression," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2005-34, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Franses, Philip Hans, 1995. "The effects of seasonally adjusting a periodic autoregressive process," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 683-704, June.
- Jeffrey A. Miron, 1996.
"The Economics of Seasonal Cycles,"
MIT Press Books,
The MIT Press,
edition 1, volume 1, number 0262133237, April.
- Jeffrey A. Miron, 1990. "The Economics of Seasonal Cycles," NBER Working Papers 3522, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Daniel Dzikowski & Carsten Jentsch, 2024. "Structural Periodic Vector Autoregressions," Papers 2401.14545, arXiv.org.
- Lenart, Łukasz, 2013. "Non-parametric frequency identification and estimation in mean function for almost periodically correlated time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 252-269.
- Marc Lavoie & Gabriel RodrÃguez, 2005. "The Economic Impact of Professional Teams on Monthly Hotel Occupancy Rates of Canadian Cities," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 6(3), pages 314-324, August.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Ghysels, Eric, 1996.
"Periodic Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(2), pages 139-151, April.
- Bollerslev, T. & Ghysels, E., 1994. "Periodic Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Cahiers de recherche 9408, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Bollerslev, T. & Ghysels, E., 1994. "Periodic Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Cahiers de recherche 9408, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- A.S.M. Arroyo & A. de Juan Fern¨¢ndez, 2014. "Split-then-Combine Method for out-of-sample Combinations of Forecasts," Journal of Business Administration Research, Journal of Business Administration Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 3(1), pages 19-37, April.
- Breitung, Jorg & Franses, Philip Hans, 1997.
"Impulse response functions for periodic integration,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 35-40, August.
- Breitung, J. & Franses, P., 1995. "Impulse Response Functions for Periodic Integration," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1995,43, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
- Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2008.
"Tourism in the Canary Islands: forecasting using several seasonal time series models,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(7), pages 621-636.
- Juncal Cuñado & Luis A. Gil-Alaña, 2007. "Tourism in the Canary Islands: Forecasting Using Several Seasonal Time Series Models," Faculty Working Papers 02/07, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Ghysels, Eric, 1994.
"On the Periodic Structure of the Business Cycle,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 12(3), pages 289-298, July.
- Eric Ghysels, 1992. "On the Periodic Structure of the Business Cycle," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1028, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Evans, Mark, 2006. "A study of the relationship between regional ferrous scrap prices in the USA, 1958-2004," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 65-77, June.
- Łukasz Lenart, 2017. "Examination of Seasonal Volatility in HICP for Baltic Region Countries: Non-Parametric Test versus Forecasting Experiment," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 9(1), pages 29-67, March.
- T. Manouchehri & A. R. Nematollahi, 2019. "Periodic autoregressive models with closed skew-normal innovations," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 1183-1213, September.
- Jeremy Penzer & Yorghos Tripodis, 2007. "Single-season heteroscedasticity in time series," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 189-202.
- Eugen Ursu & Pierre Duchesne, 2009. "Estimation and model adequacy checking for multivariate seasonal autoregressive time series models with periodically varying parameters," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 63(2), pages 183-212, May.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2009.
"Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(5), pages 683-713, October.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-101/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Richard M. Todd, 1989. "Periodic linear-quadratic methods for modeling seasonality," Staff Report 127, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Lutkepohl, Helmut & Herwartz, Helmut, 1996. "Specification of varying coefficient time series models via generalized flexible least squares," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 261-290, January.
- Łukasz Lenart & Mateusz Pipień, 2015. "Empirical Properties of the Credit and Equity Cycle within Almost Periodically Correlated Stochastic Processes - the Case of Poland, UK and USA," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 7(3), pages 169-186, September.
- Zou, Nan & Politis, Dimitris N., 2021. "Bootstrap seasonal unit root test under periodic variation," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-21.
- Łukasz Lenart & Błażej Mazur, 2016. "On Bayesian Inference for Almost Periodic in Mean Autoregressive Models," FindEcon Chapters: Forecasting Financial Markets and Economic Decision-Making, in: Magdalena Osińska (ed.), Statistical Review, vol. 63, 2016, 3, edition 1, volume 63, chapter 1, pages 255-272, University of Lodz.
- Novales, Alfonso & de Fruto, Rafael Flores, 1997. "Forecasting with periodic models A comparison with time invariant coefficient models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 393-405, September.
- Eric Ghysels, 1993.
"A time series model with periodic stochastic regime switching,"
Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics
84, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Ghysels, E., 1993. "A Time Series Model with Periodic Stochastic Regime Switching," Cahiers de recherche 9314, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Hylleberg, S. & Pagan, A. R., 1997.
"Seasonal integration and the evolving seasonals model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 329-340, September.
- Hylleberg, S. & Pagan, A.R., 1995. "Seasonal Integration and the Evolving Seasonals Model," Papers 281, Australian National University - Department of Economics.
- Franses, Philip Hans & van Dijk, Dick, 2005.
"The forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity for quarterly industrial production,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 87-102.
- Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & van Dijk, D.J.C., 2001. "The forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity for quarterly industrial production," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2001-14, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Alexander Vosseler & Enzo Weber, 2018. "Forecasting seasonal time series data: a Bayesian model averaging approach," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 1733-1765, December.
- Eiji Kurozumi, 2002. "Testing For Periodic Stationarity," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 243-270.
- Elena Barton & Basad Al-Sarray & Stéphane Chrétien & Kavya Jagan, 2018. "Decomposition of Dynamical Signals into Jumps, Oscillatory Patterns, and Possible Outliers," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 6(7), pages 1-13, July.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & Ooms, Marius, 2010. "Exact maximum likelihood estimation for non-stationary periodic time series models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2641-2654, November.
- Albertson, Kevin & Aylen, Jonathan, 2003. "Forecasting the behaviour of manufacturing inventory," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 299-311.
- Albertson, Kevin & Aylen, Jonathan, 1999. "Forecasting using a periodic transfer function: with an application to the UK price of ferrous scrap," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 409-419, October.