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Einige Wirkungen von steuerlichen Umfinanzierungsmaßnahmen in einem makroökonometrischen Ungleichgewichtsmodell für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft

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  • Göggelmann, Klaus
  • Franz, Wolfgang
  • Winker, Peter

Abstract

Gegenstand dieses Beitrags ist eine quantitativ orientierte Diskussion einiger Wirkungen einer Umstrukturierung des Steuersystems anhand der neuesten und wesentlich erweiterten Version des Konstanzer aggregierten Ungleichgewichtsmodells für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft für den Zeitraum von 1960 bis 1994. Nach einem kurzen Überblick über Konzeption und Aufbau des Modells werden die wichtigsten Gleichungen vorgestellt und die Schätzergebnisse diskutiert. Mit Hilfe exemplarischer Simulationen werden die Unterschiede des Modells zu anderen makroökonometrischen Modellen herausgearbeitet. So wird gezeigt, dass ein und dieselbe wirtschaftspolitische Maßnahme je nach herrschendem Regime unterschiedliche Auswirkungen beispielsweise auf die Beschäftigungsentwicklung haben kann.

Suggested Citation

  • Göggelmann, Klaus & Franz, Wolfgang & Winker, Peter, 1997. "Einige Wirkungen von steuerlichen Umfinanzierungsmaßnahmen in einem makroökonometrischen Ungleichgewichtsmodell für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft," ZEW Discussion Papers 97-19, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:5124
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Franz, Wolfgang & Oser, Ursula & Winker, Peter, 1993. "Migratory movements in a disequilibrium macroeconometric model for West Germany," Discussion Papers, Series II 202, University of Konstanz, Collaborative Research Centre (SFB) 178 "Internationalization of the Economy".
    2. Franz, Wolfgang & Oser, Ursula & Winker, Peter, 1994. "A Macroeconometric Disequilibrium Analysis of Current and Future Migration from Eastern Europe into West Germany," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 7(2), pages 217-234.
    3. Smolny, Werner, 1994. "Monopolistic price setting and supply rigidities in a disequilibrium framework," Discussion Papers 12, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
    4. Franz, Wolfgang & Konig, Heinz, 1990. "A disequilibrium approach to unemployment in the Federal Republic of Germany," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(2-3), pages 413-422, May.
    5. Franz, Wolfgang & Heidbrink, Gustav W. & Smolny, Werner, 1993. "The impact of German unification on West Germany's goods and labor market: A macroeconometric disequilibrium model in action," Discussion Papers 7, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
    6. Wolfgang FRANZ & Gustav HEIDBRINK, 1992. "The Importance of Rationing in International Trade : An Econometric Analysis for Germany," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 1992036, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    7. Smolny, Werner, 1992. "Dynamic factor demand in a rationing model," Discussion Papers, Series II 175, University of Konstanz, Collaborative Research Centre (SFB) 178 "Internationalization of the Economy".
    8. Franz, Wolfgang & Göggelmann, Klaus, 1996. "Geldpolitische Wirkungen in einem makroökonometrischen Ungleichgewichtsmodell für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft," Discussion Papers, Series II 307, University of Konstanz, Collaborative Research Centre (SFB) 178 "Internationalization of the Economy".
    9. Schellhorn, Martin & Winker, Peter, 1994. "Stochastic simulations of a macroeconomic disequilibrium model for West Germany," Discussion Papers, Series II 235, University of Konstanz, Collaborative Research Centre (SFB) 178 "Internationalization of the Economy".
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    Cited by:

    1. Wiemers, Jürgen, 2000. "Die Modellierung des Staatssektors in makroökonometrischen Modellen," IWH Discussion Papers 119/2000, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    2. Buscher, Herbert S. & Buslei, Hermann & Goggelmann, Klaus & Koschel, Henrike & Schmidt, Tobias F. N. & Steiner, Viktor & Winker, Peter, 2001. "Empirical macro models under test. A comparative simulation study of the employment effects of a revenue neutral cut in social security contributions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 455-474, August.
    3. Schettkat, Ronald, 1997. "Die Interdependenz von Produkt- und Arbeitsmärkten : die Wirtschafts- und Beschäftigungsentwicklung der Industrieländer aus der Produktmarktperspektive (The interdependence of product markets and labo," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 30(4), pages 721-731.
    4. Schettkat, Ronald, 1997. "Die Interdependenz von Produkt- und Arbeitsmärkten : die Wirtschafts- und Beschäftigungsentwicklung der Industrieländer aus der Produktmarktperspektive (The interdependence of product markets and labo," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 30(4), pages 721-731.

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