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Trade shocks and social mobility: The intergenerational effect of import competition in Brazil

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  • César, Andrés
  • Ciaschi, Matías
  • Falcone, Guillermo
  • Neidhöfer, Guido

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the impact of trade shocks on employment and wages persists across generations. Using survey data with retrospective information on parental employment, we study the causal effect of increased Chinese import competition in Brazilian industries on individuals with differently exposed fathers. Results show that several years after the shock, children of more exposed fathers have lower education and earnings, lower chances of formal jobs, and are more likely to rely on social assistance. These effects are substantially stronger for children from disadvantaged background, indicating that the shock had a negative impact on intergenerational mobility.

Suggested Citation

  • César, Andrés & Ciaschi, Matías & Falcone, Guillermo & Neidhöfer, Guido, 2023. "Trade shocks and social mobility: The intergenerational effect of import competition in Brazil," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-042, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:279786
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Import competition; Education; Social Mobility; Incomes; Brazil;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I24 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Inequality
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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