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Intergenerational earnings mobility and macroeconomic shocks: Evidence based on administrative records

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  • Leites, Martín
  • Pérez, Tatiana
  • Ramos, Xavier
  • Santín, Sofía
  • Vilá, Joan

Abstract

This paper provides novel evidence on trends in intergenerational earnings mobility in a developing country and explores some transmission mechanisms associated with the characteristics of the labor market. Using a novel social security records database for Uruguay, we study the intergenerational earning ranking association from cohorts between 1966-1983. To explore intergenerational transmission mechanisms, we exploit the arguably exogenous variation induced by the 2002 macroeconomic crisis to analyse the impact of parental displacement from jobs on their children’s labor trajectories. First, we focus on the effect of the crisis on parents’ labor market performance. In a second stage, we use this information as a shock to identify the effect on children outcomes of a parent’s employment shock. Results suggest (i) heterogeneity on the degree of intergenerational earning mobility across birth cohorts; (ii) weak evidence of downward trend in relative mobility, (iii) intergenerational transmission of the shock produced by the 2002 crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Leites, Martín & Pérez, Tatiana & Ramos, Xavier & Santín, Sofía & Vilá, Joan, 2022. "Intergenerational earnings mobility and macroeconomic shocks: Evidence based on administrative records," Research Department working papers 1896, CAF Development Bank Of Latinamerica.
    • Handle: RePEc:dbl:dblwop:1896
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    Cited by:

    1. César, Andrés & Ciaschi, Matías & Falcone, Guillermo & Neidhöfer, Guido, 2023. "Trade shocks and social mobility: The intergenerational effect of import competition in Brazil," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-042, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Guido Neidhöfer & Leonardo Gasparini & Matias Ciaschi, "undated". "Intergenerational mobility of economic well-being in Latin America," Working Papers 620, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    3. Javier Cortés Orihuela & Juan D. Díaz & Pablo Gutiérrez Cubillos & Pablo A. Troncoso & Gabriel I. Villarroel, 2024. "Intergenerational earnings mobility in Chile: the tale of the upper tail," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(5), pages 2411-2447, November.
    4. Javier Cortes Orihuela & Juan D. Díaz & Pablo Gutiérrez Cubillos & Pablo A. Troncoso, 2024. "Everything’s not lost: revisiting TSTSLS estimates of intergenerational mobility in developing countries," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(1), pages 66-94, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Desarrollo; Desempleo; Economía; Estudiantes; Familia; Investigación socioeconómica; Políticas públicas; Prácticas laborales y pasantías;
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