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Growing like Germany: Local public debt, local banks, low private investment

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  • Hoffmann, Mathias
  • Stewen, Iryna
  • Stiefel, Michael

Abstract

Over 2010-2016, municipal debt in Germany crowded out private investment worth 1 percent of GDP. Forced to lend to municipalities by their statutes, local public banks compensated for declining municipal-debt yields by charging higher rates to firms in Germany's locally segmented credit markets. The ensuing crowding-out was made worse by increased municipal borrowing when expensive fiscal commitments were shifted from federal and state to the municipal levels following the introduction of the debt brake. Our results identify new channels through which low interest rates adversely affect real outcomes and locally segmented credit markets can amplify contractionary effects from fiscal austerity.

Suggested Citation

  • Hoffmann, Mathias & Stewen, Iryna & Stiefel, Michael, 2022. "Growing like Germany: Local public debt, local banks, low private investment," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2022, Bank of Finland.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofrdp:92022
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ivanov, Ivan T. & Zimmermann, Tom, 2024. "The “Privatization” of municipal debt," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    2. Bernardo Morais & José-Luis Peydró & Claudia Ruiz-Ortega, 2021. "Expansionary Austerity: Reallocating Credit Amid Fiscal Consolidation," International Finance Discussion Papers 1323, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Xiaoming Li & Zheng Liu & Yuchao Peng & Zhiwei Xu, 2024. "The Crowding-In Effects of Local Government Debt in China," Working Paper Series 2024-35, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    4. Asatryan, Zareh & Heinemann, Friedrich & Nover, Justus, 2022. "The other government: State-owned enterprises in Germany and their implications for the core public sector," ZEW Expert Briefs 22-08, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    local public finance; firm-level investment; crowding-out; fiscal austerity; global and intraEuropean imbalances;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • H32 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Firm

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