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Heterogenous Gains from Countercyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level Data

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  • Sangyup Choi

    (Yonsei Univ)

  • Davide Furceri

    (IMF)

  • João Tovar Jalles

    (IMF)

Abstract

Empirical evidence to date suggests a positive relationship between fiscal policy countercyclicality and growth. But do all industries gain equally from countercyclical fiscal policy? What are the channels through which countercyclical fiscal policy affects industry-level growth? We answer these questions by applying a difference-in-difference approach to an unbalanced panel of 22 manufacturing industries for 55 countries—including both advanced and developing economies—during the period 1970-2014. Among the nine industry characteristics that we consider based on different theoretical channels, we find that the credit constraint channel—proxied by asset fixity—identifies the best transmission mechanism through which countercyclical fiscal policy enhances growth. This channel becomes stronger during periods of weak economic activity when credit constraints are more likely to bind.

Suggested Citation

  • Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & João Tovar Jalles, 2020. "Heterogenous Gains from Countercyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level Data," Working papers 2020rwp-176, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:yon:wpaper:2020rwp-176
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    Cited by:

    1. Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Loungani, Prakash & Shim, Myungkyu, 2022. "Inflation anchoring and growth: The role of credit constraints," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    2. João Tovar Jalles & Youssouf Kiendrebeogo & Raphael Lam & Roberto Piazza, 2024. "Revisiting the countercyclicality of fiscal policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 877-914, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    countercyclical fiscal policy; time-varying coefficients; industry growth; technologies of production; credit constraints;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General

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