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25 Years of Austria's EU Membership. Quantifying the Economic Benefits With a DSGE Model

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  • Fritz Breuss

Abstract

Austria's EU accession 25 years ago, alongside Finland and Sweden, was preceded by an extended period of convergence toward the EU: via the free trade agreement concluded with the EC in 1973, and the participation in the European Economic Area (EEA) in 1994. Although the COVID-19 crisis in 2020 seems to overshadow the overall positive balance of 25 years of EU membership, on average the real GDP growth dividend amounted to 0.8 percentage points per year since 1995. To check the robustness of this result, obtained with an integration macro model, a DSGE model for Austria is used here. Usually other methods are applied to estimate integration effects: trade gravity models, CGE models, macro models. Following in't Veld's (2019) approach with a DSGE model for the EU, we adapt an earlier version of the two-country DSGE model for Austria and the Euro area (Breuss and Rabitsch, 2009) to evaluate the benefits of Austria's EU membership. It turns out that grosso modo the macro results can be confirmed with the DSGE model.

Suggested Citation

  • Fritz Breuss, 2020. "25 Years of Austria's EU Membership. Quantifying the Economic Benefits With a DSGE Model," WIFO Working Papers 603, WIFO.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wpaper:y:2020:i:603
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andrei A. Levchenko & Jing Zhang, 2012. "Comparative advantage and the welfare impact of European integration [General equilibrium analysis of the Eaton–Kortum model of international trade]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 27(72), pages 567-602.
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    5. Fritz Breuss & Katrin Rabitsch, 2009. "An estimated two-country DSGE model of Austria and the Euro Area," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 36(1), pages 123-158, February.
    6. Christian Beer & Christian Alexander Belabed & Andreas Breitenfellner & Christian Ragacs & Beat Weber, 2017. "Österreich und die europäische Integration," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 86-126.
    7. Harald Oberhofer, 2019. "Die Handelseffekte von Österreichs EU-Mitgliedschaft und des Europäischen Binnenmarktes," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 92(12), pages 883-890, December.
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    9. Harald Badinger, 2007. "Has the EU's Single Market Programme Fostered Competition? Testing for a Decrease in Mark‐up Ratios in EU Industries," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 69(4), pages 497-519, August.
    10. in ’t Veld, Jan, 2019. "The economic benefits of the EU Single Market in goods and services," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(5), pages 803-818.
    11. Fritz Breuss & Katrin Rabitsch, 2008. "An Estimated Two-Country DSGE Model of Austria and the Euro Area. FIW Working Paper," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 60008, January.
    12. Fritz Breuss, 2018. "Would DSGE Models Have Predicted the Great Recession in Austria?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 105-126, April.
    13. repec:wsr:wpaper:y:2008:i:017 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Fritz Breuss, 2018. "25 Years Single Market: Which Trade and Growth Effects?," WIFO Working Papers 572, WIFO.
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    European Integration; Model simulations; country studies;
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