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An Estimated Two Country DSGE Model of Austria and the Euro Area

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  • Fritz Breuss
  • Katrin Rabitsch

Abstract

We present a two-country New Open Economy Macro model of the Austrian economy within the European Union's Economic & Monetary Union (EMU). The model includes both nominal and real frictions that have proven to be important in matching business cycle facts, and that allows for an investigation of the effects and cross-country transmission of a number of structural shocks: shocks to technologies, shocks to preferences, cost-push type shocks and policy shocks. The model is estimated using Bayesian methods on quarterly data covering the period of 1976:Q1-2005:Q1. In addition to the assessment of the relative importance of various shocks, the model also allows to investigate effects of the monetary regime switch with the final stage of the EMU and investigates in how far this has altered macroeconomic transmission. We find that Austria's economy appears to react stronger to demand shocks, while in the rest of the Euro Area supply shocks have a stronger impact. Comparing the estimations on pre-EMU and EMU subsamples we find that the contribution of (rest of the) Euro Area shocks to Austria's business cycle fluctuations has increased significantly.

Suggested Citation

  • Fritz Breuss & Katrin Rabitsch, 2008. "An Estimated Two Country DSGE Model of Austria and the Euro Area," FIW Working Paper series 017, FIW.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsr:wpaper:y:2008:i:017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Moons, Cindy, 2009. "An Estimated Two-Country DSGE Model: losses from UK membership in EMU," Working Papers 2009/23, Hogeschool-Universiteit Brussel, Faculteit Economie en Management.
    2. Stempel, Daniel & Zahner, Johannes, 2023. "Whose Inflation Rates Matter Most? A DSGE Model and Machine Learning Approach to Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277627, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Fritz Breuss, 2020. "25 Years of Austria's EU Membership. Quantifying the Economic Benefits With a DSGE Model," WIFO Working Papers 603, WIFO.
    4. Stempel, Daniel & Zahner, Johannes, 2023. "Whose inflation rates matter most? A DSGE model and machine learning approach to monetary policy in the Euro area," IMFS Working Paper Series 188, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    5. Matus Senaj & Milan Vyskrabka & Juraj Zeman, 2010. "MUSE: Monetary Union and Slovak Economy model," Working and Discussion Papers WP 1/2010, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    6. Daniel Stempel & Johannes Zahner, 2022. "DSGE Models and Machine Learning: An Application to Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202232, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    7. Fritz Breuss, 2018. "Would DSGE Models Have Predicted the Great Recession in Austria?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 105-126, April.
    8. Fritz Breuss & Katrin Rabitsch, 2009. "An estimated two-country DSGE model of Austria and the Euro Area," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 36(1), pages 123-158, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EMU; DSGE Modelling; Bayesian Estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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