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Hochfrequenzkonjunkturanalyse vom Juli 2020

Author

Listed:
  • Sandra Bilek-Steindl
  • Julia Bock-Schappelwein
  • Christian Glocker

    (WIFO)

  • Serguei Kaniovski

Abstract

Der neu entwickelte wöchentliche WIFO-Wirtschaftsindex (WWWI) zeigt auf der Basis hochfrequenter Daten bis Ende Juli 2020 (Kalenderwoche 31, 27. Juli bis 2. August) eine Verbesserung der Wirtschaftslage gegenüber dem Tiefstand während des Lockdown im März und April 2020 (–22%). Die Wirtschaftsleistung lag damit jedoch noch immer deutlich unter dem Vorjahreswert (–3,1%). Die auf dem WWWI aufbauende Einschätzung für das Gesamtjahreswachstum des BIP stabilisierte sich ab Ende April bei rund –7%. Die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt entspannte sich im Juli weiter, jedoch schwächer als in den Monaten zuvor.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Julia Bock-Schappelwein & Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2020. "Hochfrequenzkonjunkturanalyse vom Juli 2020," WIFO Research Briefs 13, WIFO.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:rbrief:y:2020:i:13
    Note: With English abstract.
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    File URL: https://www.wifo.ac.at/wwa/pubid/66525
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 417-427.
    2. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Jürgen Bierbaumer & Christian Glocker & Ulrike Huemer & Simon Loretz & Helmut Mahringer & Hans Pitlik, 2020. "Die Wirtschaftsentwicklung in Österreich im Zeichen der COVID-19-Pandemie. Mittelfristige Prognose 2020 bis 2024," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 93(4), pages 239-265, April.
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