IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wbk/wbrwps/9785.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Economic Consequences of Trade and Global Value Chain Integration : A Measurement Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Borin,Alessandro
  • Mancini,Michele
  • Taglioni,Daria

Abstract

This paper presents a new approach to measuring Global Value Chain (GVC) participation, essential for informed policy-making. It introduces a tripartite classification of GVC involvement—backward, forward, and two-sided—extending beyond trade to include production data. GVCs, vital for global economic growth, are networks through which companies internationally produce goods and services. The advanced framework accurately assesses how different combinations of domestic output, trade, and GVC integration correlate with growth and output stability. The paper finds that traditional trade-based GVC metrics significantly underestimate global GVC activity and misrepresent participation in key sectors like services and upstream manufacturing. They also exaggerate risks during critical stages like early trade liberalization in large economies. Additionally, it shows that traditional backward-forward classifications overestimate backward linkages. The new metrics, applied to established models, effectively predict trade disruption impacts, indicating that GVC participation increases exposure to external shocks but also enhances overall output stability by mitigating local shocks. Furthermore, GVC participation is a key driver of the positive trade-income growth correlation. The complete dataset of these new measures is available on the World Bank’s WITS Platform, and it is regularly updated, providing a key resource for GVC analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Borin,Alessandro & Mancini,Michele & Taglioni,Daria, 2021. "Economic Consequences of Trade and Global Value Chain Integration : A Measurement Perspective," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9785, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:9785
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/476361632831927312/pdf/Economic-Consequences-of-Trade-and-Global-Value-Chain-Integration-A-Measurement-Perspective.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pol Antras & Davin Chor & Thibault Fally & Russell Hillberry, 2012. "Measuring the Upstreamness of Production and Trade Flows," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(3), pages 412-416, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Dongin & Steinbach, Sandro & Zurita, Carlos, 2024. "Deep trade agreements and agri-food global value chain integration," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    2. Hashad, Reem & Lim, Sunghun & Abay, Kibrom A., 2024. "Global food value chains and obesity in low- and middle-income countries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    3. Wannaphong Durongkaveroj, 2023. "Emphasis on domestic value added in export in the era of global value chain: evidence from Thailand," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 50(3), pages 703-729, September.
    4. Bhushan Praveen Jangam & Hari Venkatesh, 2022. "Global Value Chains and Exchange Rate Disconnect," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 41(4), pages 347-359, December.
    5. Fabien RONDEAU & Yushi YOSHIDA, 2023. "Global Value Chains and Exchange Rate Pass-through into the Import Prices of Japanese Industries," Discussion papers 23013, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    6. Bataka, Hodabalo, 2024. "Global value chains participation and gender inequalities in Sub-Saharan Africa: Importance of women education," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    7. Tabe-Ojong, Martin Paul Jr. & Nana, Ibrahim & Zimmermann, Andrea & Jafari, Yaghoob, 2024. "Trends and evolution of global value chains in food and agriculture: Implications for food security and nutrition," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    8. Richard Baldwin & Rebecca Freeman & Angelos Theodorakopoulos, 2022. "Horses for Courses: Measuring Foreign Supply Chain Exposure," NBER Working Papers 30525, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Dario Guarascio & Jelena Reljic & Giacomo Cucignatto & Giuseppe Celi & Annamaria Simonazzi, 2023. "Between a rock and a hard place. Long-term drivers of EU structural vulnerability," Working Papers in Public Economics 237, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    10. Bhushan Praveen Jangam & Badri Narayan Rath, 2024. "Global Value Chain Integration and Business Cycle Synchronisation: Evidence from Selected ASEAN Countries," Working Papers DP-2023-28, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Aleksandra Parteka & Joanna Wolszczak-Derlacz, 2020. "Wage response to global production links: evidence for workers from 28 European countries (2005–2014)," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 156(4), pages 769-801, November.
    2. Njike, Arnold, 2020. "Trade in value-added and the welfare gains of international fragmentation," MPRA Paper 100427, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Maria Litvinova & Maria Luigia Segnana, 2015. "Firm boundaries in Transition countries. The influence of technological and institutional links," DEM Working Papers 2015/05, Department of Economics and Management.
    4. Fontaine, François & Martin, Julien & Mejean, Isabelle, 2020. "Price discrimination within and across EMU markets: Evidence from French exporters," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    5. Los, Bart & Timmer, Marcel & Vries, Gaaitzen J. de, 2013. "Made in Europe? Trends in International Production Fragmentation," GGDC Research Memorandum GD-131, Groningen Growth and Development Centre, University of Groningen.
    6. Dutta, Sourish, 2017. "Research Methods of Assessing Global Value Chains," MPRA Paper 106201, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Arne J. Nagengast & Robert Stehrer, 2016. "Accounting for the Differences Between Gross and Value Added Trade Balances," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(9), pages 1276-1306, September.
    8. De Backer, Koen & Miroudot, Sébastien, 2014. "Mapping global value chains," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 37176, September.
    9. Alyson C. Ma & Ari Van Assche, 2012. "Is East Asia's Economic Fate Chained to the West?," CIRANO Working Papers 2012s-11, CIRANO.
    10. Xing, Lizhi & Dong, Xianlei & Guan, Jun, 2017. "Global industrial impact coefficient based on random walk process and inter-country input–output table," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 576-591.
    11. Mahdi Ghodsi & Robert Stehrer, 2022. "Trade policy and global value chains: tariffs versus non-tariff measures," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(3), pages 887-916, August.
    12. Araújo, Inácio Fernandes de & Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro & Faria, Weslem Rodrigues, 2021. "Regional and global patterns of participation in value chains: Evidence from Brazil," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 154-171.
    13. Gustavo de Souza & Haishi Li, 2025. "The Employment Consequences of Anti-Dumping Tariffs: Lessons from Brazil," CESifo Working Paper Series 11654, CESifo.
    14. Ying Ge & Tony Fang & Yeheng Jiang, 2019. "Access to imported intermediates and intra‐firm wage inequality," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(8), pages 2364-2384, August.
    15. Yang, Wei & Wang, Xueke, 2024. "The impact of patent protection on technological innovation: A global value chain division of labor perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    16. Chuantao Cui & Leona Shao-Zhi Li, 2019. "High-speed rail and inventory reduction: firm-level evidence from China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(25), pages 2715-2730, May.
    17. Muriel Hernández, Beatriz & Herrera Jiménez, Alejandro, 2018. "Cadenas Globales de Valor: el caso de Bolivia," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 29, pages 1-42, May.
    18. Alquist, Ron & Berman, Nicolas & Mukherjee, Rahul & Tesar, Linda L., 2019. "Financial constraints, institutions, and foreign ownership," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 63-83.
    19. Aksel Erbahar & Yuan Zi, 2015. "Cascading Trade Protection: Theory and Evidence from the U.S," CTEI Working Papers series 04-2015, Centre for Trade and Economic Integration, The Graduate Institute.
    20. Dany Bahar & Andreas Hauptmann & Cem Özgüzel & Hillel Rapoport, 2019. "Migration and Post-Conflict Reconstruction: The Effect of Returning Refugees on Export Performance in the Former Yugoslavia," Working Papers 2019-12, CEPII research center.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:9785. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Roula I. Yazigi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dvewbus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.