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Default and Repayment Among Baccalaureate Degree Earners

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Abstract

More than low default rates, lenders are interested in the expected return on their loans. In this paper, we consider a number of other measures of repayment and nonpayment that are likely to be of direct interest to lenders. Using data from the Baccalaureate and Beyond Longitudinal Study, we document repayment and nonpayment outcomes 10 years after graduation for American students receiving BA/BS degrees in 1993. We estimate differences in these outcomes across individual/family background characteristics, college major, type of institution, the amount borrowed, and post-graduation income. A key contribution is our analysis of the following outcomes in addition to student loan default rates: the fraction of the original undergraduate loan amount repaid as of 2003, nonpayment rates (including deferment and forbearance as well as default), and the fraction of original undergraduate loan amounts on which borrowers defaulted or are currently not repaying.

Suggested Citation

  • Lance J. Lochner & Alexander Monge-Naranjo, 2014. "Default and Repayment Among Baccalaureate Degree Earners," University of Western Ontario, Centre for Human Capital and Productivity (CHCP) Working Papers 20141, University of Western Ontario, Centre for Human Capital and Productivity (CHCP).
    • Handle: RePEc:uwo:hcuwoc:20141
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    1. Thomas A. Flint, 1997. "Predicting Student Loan Defaults," The Journal of Higher Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 68(3), pages 322-354, May.
    2. J. Fredericks Volkwein & Bruce P. Szelest & Alberto F. Cabrera & Michelle R. Napierski-Prancl, 1998. "Factors Associated with Student Loan Default among Different Racial and Ethnic Groups," The Journal of Higher Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 69(2), pages 206-237, March.
    3. David J. Deming & Claudia Goldin & Lawrence F. Katz, 2012. "The For-Profit Postsecondary School Sector: Nimble Critters or Agile Predators?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 26(1), pages 139-164, Winter.
    4. Schwartz, S. & Finnie, R., 2002. "Student loans in Canada: an analysis of borrowing and repayment," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 497-512, October.
    5. Barsky R. & Bound J. & Charles K.K. & Lupton J.P., 2002. "Accounting for the Black-White Wealth Gap: A Nonparametric Approach," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 97, pages 663-673, September.
    6. Lance Lochner & Todd Stinebrickner & Utky Suleymanoglu, 2013. "The Importance of Financial Resources for Student Loan Repayment," University of Western Ontario, Centre for Human Capital and Productivity (CHCP) Working Papers 20137, University of Western Ontario, Centre for Human Capital and Productivity (CHCP).
    7. repec:hka:wpaper:2013-20 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Dynarski, Mark, 1994. "Who defaults on student loans? Findings from the National Postsecondary Student Aid Study," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 55-68, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lance Lochner & Todd Stinebrickner & Utku Suleymanoglu, 2021. "Parental Support, Savings, and Student Loan Repayment," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 329-371, February.
    2. Lance Lochner & Alexander Monge-Naranjo, 2014. "Student Loans and Repayment: Theory, Evidence and Policy," Working Papers 2014-40, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    3. Johnathan G. Conzelmann & T. Austin Lacy & Nichole D. Smith, 2019. "Another Day Another Dollar Metric? An Event History Analysis of Student Loan Repayment," Education Finance and Policy, MIT Press, vol. 14(4), pages 627-651, Fall.
    4. Luiz Brotherhood & Bernard Herskovic & Joao Ramos, 2022. "Income-based affirmative action in college admissions," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2022/425, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
    5. Looney, Adam & Yannelis, Constantine, 2019. "How useful are default rates? Borrowers with large balances and student loan repayment," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 135-145.
    6. Lance Lochner & Qian Liu & Martin Gervais, 2021. "Innis Lecture: Returns on student loans in Canada," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(4), pages 1495-1524, November.
    7. Mi Luo & Simon Mongey, 2019. "Assets and Job Choice: Student Debt, Wages, and Job Satisfaction," 2019 Meeting Papers 1220, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Lance Lochner & Todd Stinebrickner & Utku Suleymanoglu, 2013. "The Importance of Financial Resources for Student Loan Repayment," Working Papers 2013-020, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
    9. Robert Kelchen & Amy Y. Li, 2017. "Institutional Accountability: A Comparison of the Predictors of Student Loan Repayment and Default Rates," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 671(1), pages 202-223, May.
    10. Luiz Brotherhood & Bernard Herskovic & João Ramos, 2023. "Income-Based Affirmative Action in College Admissions," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 133(653), pages 1810-1845.
    11. Mi Luo & Simon Mongey, 2019. "Assets and Job Choice: Student Debt, Wages and Amenities," NBER Working Papers 25801, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Cliff A. Robb & Swarn Chatterjee & Nilton Porto & Brenda J. Cude, 2019. "The Influence of Student Loan Debt on Financial Satisfaction," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 51-73, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Student Loans; Default; Forbearance and Deferment; Labor Market Outcomes; Return to Lenders;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
    • I23 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Higher Education; Research Institutions
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
    • H52 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Education

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