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Raindrop in the drought? Vulnerability to climate shocks and the role of social protection in Zambia

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  • Katrin Gasior
  • Pia Rattenhuber
  • Adnan Abdulaziz Shahir
  • Anna Zasova

Abstract

Zambia's reliance on rain-fed agriculture makes its economy and population highly vulnerable to frequent droughts and irregular rainfall. This paper assesses the role of social protection, specifically the Social Cash Transfer (SCT) program, in mitigating drought-induced poverty and consumption declines. Using the MicroZAMOD microsimulation model and district-level rainfall data, we find that rainfall shocks significantly increase poverty and reduce household consumption, disproportionately affecting the poorest households.

Suggested Citation

  • Katrin Gasior & Pia Rattenhuber & Adnan Abdulaziz Shahir & Anna Zasova, 2024. "Raindrop in the drought? Vulnerability to climate shocks and the role of social protection in Zambia," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2024-88, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2024-88
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Holly Sutherland & Francesco Figari, 2013. "EUROMOD: the European Union tax-benefit microsimulation model," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 1(6), pages 4-26.
    2. Sarah Baird & Francisco H.G. Ferreira & Berk Özler & Michael Woolcock, 2014. "Conditional, unconditional and everything in between: a systematic review of the effects of cash transfer programmes on schooling outcomes," Journal of Development Effectiveness, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1-43, January.
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