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Trade liberalization and South African manufacturing: Looking back with data

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  • Ciaran Driver

Abstract

This paper provides a retrospective assessment of the effects of trade policies on South African manufacturing since the transition to democracy, examining the differences and commonalities in the views of economists in favour of and against an acceleration of trade liberalization. Data from the Bureau of Economic Research are used to test a number of effects on manufacturing industry that were envisaged to flow from trade policy reforms, including effects on mark-ups, productivity, exports, employment, and investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Ciaran Driver, 2019. "Trade liberalization and South African manufacturing: Looking back with data," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2019-30, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2019-30
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    File URL: https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/Publications/Working-paper/PDF/wp-2019-30.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Ciaran Driver & Nigel Meade, 2019. "Enhancing survey‐based investment forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 236-255, April.
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    6. Alan Gelb & Christian Meyer & Vijaya Ramachandran, 2013. "Does Poor Mean Cheap? A Comparative Look at Africa's Industrial Labor Costs," Working Papers 325, Center for Global Development.
    7. Philippe Aghion & Matias Braun & Johannes Fedderke, 2008. "Competition and productivity growth in South Africa," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 16(4), pages 741-768, October.
    8. Philippe Aghion & Nick Bloom & Richard Blundell & Rachel Griffith & Peter Howitt, 2005. "Competition and Innovation: an Inverted-U Relationship," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 120(2), pages 701-728.
    9. James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2005. "Forecasting Manufacturing Output Growth Using Firm‐Level Survey Data," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 73(4), pages 479-499, July.
    10. Stan du Plessis & Nico Katzke & Evan Gilbert & Chris Hart, 2015. "Mark-ups and competition: a comparison of the profitability of listed South African industrial companies," Working Papers 02/2015, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    11. Ciaran Driver & Giovanni Urga, 2004. "Transforming Qualitative Survey Data: Performance Comparisons for the UK," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(1), pages 71-89, February.
    12. Jonathan Michie & Vishnu Padayachee, 2019. "South African business in the transition to democracy," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 1-10, January.
    13. Philippe Aghion & Johannes W. Fedderke, 2008. "Introduction A symposium on fostering growth in South Africa," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 16(4), pages 583-584, October.
    14. James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2005. "Forecasting Manufacturing Output Growth Using Firm‐Level Survey Data," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 73(4), pages 479-499, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pamela Mondliwa & Sumayya Goga & Simon Roberts, 2021. "Competition, Productive Capabilities and Structural Transformation in South Africa," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(2), pages 253-274, April.

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    Keywords

    Trade policy; Manufacturing; Trade liberalization; Exports; Exchange rate; Data;
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