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China's Global Growth and Latin American Exports

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  • Rhys Jenkins

Abstract

China's global expansion has led to concerns amongst other developing country exporters that they will be displaced by Chinese competition in their export markets. The paper develops a new index to measure the extent of the competitive threat which countries face from China, which is then applied to empirical data on US imports from China and 18 Latin American countries. It also presents new estimates of the impact of China on the value of Latin American exports to the US over the past decade, using an extension of constant market share analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Rhys Jenkins, 2008. "China's Global Growth and Latin American Exports," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2008-104, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:rp2008-104
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    File URL: https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/rp2008-104.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dussel Peters, Enrique, 2005. "Economic opportunities and challenges posed by China for Mexico and Central America," IDOS Studies, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS), volume 8, number 8, July.
    2. Mesquita Moreira, Mauricio, 2007. "Fear of China: Is There a Future for Manufacturing in Latin America?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 355-376, March.
    3. Sanjaya Lall & John Weiss & Hiroshi Oikawa, 2005. "China's Competitive Threat to Latin America: An Analysis for 1990-2002," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 163-194.
    4. Azevedo, João Pedro Wagner de & Batista, Jorge Chami, 2002. "NAFTA and the loss of US market share by Brazil, 1992-2001," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    5. Mr. Nicolas R Blancher & Mr. Thomas Rumbaugh, 2004. "China: International Trade and WTO Accession," IMF Working Papers 2004/036, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Jenkins, Rhys & Peters, Enrique Dussel & Moreira, Mauricio Mesquita, 2008. "The Impact of China on Latin America and the Caribbean," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 235-253, February.
    7. Jorge Chami Batista, 2008. "Competition between Brazil and other exporting countries in the US import market: a new extension of constant-market-shares analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(19), pages 2477-2487.
    8. Mesquita Moreira, Mauricio, 2007. "Fear of China: Is There a Future for Manufacturing in Latin America?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 355-376, March.
    9. Lora, Eduardo, 2005. "Should Latin America Fear China?," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4367, Inter-American Development Bank.
    10. Rhys Jenkins, 2008. "Measuring the Competitive Threat from China for other Southern Exporters," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(10), pages 1351-1366, October.
    11. Elena Ianchovichina & Will Martin, 2004. "Impacts of China's Accession to the World Trade Organization," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 18(1), pages 3-27.
    12. Lederman, Daniel & Olarreaga, Marcelo & Soloaga, Isidro, 2007. "The growth of China and India in world trade : opportunity or threat for Latin America and the Caribbean?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4320, The World Bank.
    13. Rhys Jenkins, 2008. "Measuring the Competitive Threat from China," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2008-11, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    14. L. Alan Winters & Shahid Yusuf, 2007. "Dancing with the Giants: China, India, and the Global Economy," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6632.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Nguyen, Huong, 2016. "China’s Agricultural Exports and their Effects on other Exporters," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235901, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Débora Bellucci Módolo & Celio Hiratuka, 2017. "The impact of Chinese competition on third markets: An analysis by region and technological category," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 35(6), pages 797-821, November.
    4. Mustafa Çakir & Alain Kabundi, 2017. "Transmission of China's Shocks to the BRIS Countries," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 85(3), pages 430-454, September.

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