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Has China de-industrialised other developing countries?

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  • Adrian Wood (ODID), Joerg Mayer (UNCTAD)

Abstract

China's opening to trade is interpreted as a shift in world average factor endowments, which altered the comparative advantage of other countries. In the rest of the world on average, this shift reduced the ratio of labour-intensive manufacturing to primary production by 7-10% for output and 10-15% for exports. China's impact is clearest on East Asian countries: in other developing regions, it was swamped by other causes of structural change. The de-industrialising effect was significant, but not big enough to be a serious threat to growth or equity in most other developing countries

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  • Adrian Wood (ODID), Joerg Mayer (UNCTAD), "undated". "Has China de-industrialised other developing countries?," QEH Working Papers qehwps175, Queen Elizabeth House, University of Oxford.
    • Handle: RePEc:qeh:qehwps:qehwps175
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    3. Olivier Cadot & Jaime de Melo & Patrick Plane & Laurent Wagner & Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael, 2016. "Industrialisation et transformation structurelle : l’Afrique subsaharienne peut-elle se développer sans usines ?," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 24(2), pages 19-49.
    4. Bräutigam, Deborah & Tang, Xiaoyang, 2014. "“Going Global in Groups”: Structural Transformation and China’s Special Economic Zones Overseas," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 78-91.
    5. Christoph Scherrer, 2018. "Labour surplus is here to stay: why ‘decent work for all’ will remain elusive," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 20(2), pages 293-307, October.
    6. Iacovone, Leonardo & Rauch, Ferdinand & Winters, L. Alan, 2013. "Trade as an engine of creative destruction: Mexican experience with Chinese competition," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 379-392.
    7. L. Alan Winters, 2012. "Living with China—Locally and Globally," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 37-58.
    8. Adrian Wood, 2017. "Variation in structural change around the world, 1985-2015: Patterns, causes and implications," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2017-34, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. L Alan Winters, 2015. "China and the World Trading System: Will ‘In and Up’ be replaced by ‘Down and Out’?," RSCAS Working Papers 2015/82, European University Institute.
    10. Adrian Wood, 2017. "Variation in structural change around the world, 1985–2015: Patterns, causes and implications," WIDER Working Paper Series 034a, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    11. Terheggen, Anne, 2010. "The new kid in the forest: the impact of China's resource demand on Gabon's tropical timber value chain," MPRA Paper 37982, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Naved Hamid & Maha Khan, 2015. "Pakistan: A Case of Premature Deindustrialization?," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 20(Special E), pages 107-141, September.
    13. Mr. Alberto Behar, 2013. "The Endogenous Skill Bias of Technical Change and Inequality in Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 2013/050, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Steven Husted & Shuichiro Nishioka, 2013. "China’s fare share? The growth of Chinese exports in world trade," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 149(3), pages 565-585, September.
    15. Wong, Chin-Yoong & Eng, Yoke-Kee & Habibullah, Muzafar Shah, 2014. "Rising China, anxious Asia? A Bayesian New Keynesian view," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 90-106.
    16. Umberto Monarca & Ernesto Cassetta & Michele Lo Re & Linda Meleo, 2019. "A Network Analysis of the Intersectoral Linkages Between Manufacturing and Other Industries in China and Italy," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 11(1-2), pages 80-97, January.
    17. Sabyasachi Kar & Selim Raihan & Kunal Sen, 2017. "Do economic institutions matter for growth episodes?," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series esid-092-17, GDI, The University of Manchester.
    18. Christoph Scherrer, 2018. "The Disrupted Passage from an Agrarian Rural to an Industrial Urban Workforce in Most Countries in the Global South," Agrarian South: Journal of Political Economy, Centre for Agrarian Research and Education for South, vol. 7(3), pages 301-319, December.
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    20. Haraguchi, Nobuya & Cheng, Charles Fang Chin & Smeets, Eveline, 2017. "The Importance of Manufacturing in Economic Development: Has This Changed?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 293-315.

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    JEL classification:

    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations

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