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The New Keynesian Phillips Curves in Multiple Quantiles and the Asymmetry of Monetary Policy

Author

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  • Dong Jin Lee

    (University of Connecticut)

  • Jai Hyung Yoon

    (Andong National University)

Abstract

This paper empirically explores the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC)in multiple quantiles and examines the risk structure of the inflation process focusing on the asymmetric monetary policy. The estimation results support the canonical NKPC in upper quantiles while the hybrid version fits better with mid-quantiles. We find evidence of an asymmetric risk such that a decrease in the expected inflation reduces the risk in the sense of dispersive order and vice versa. This result implies that tightening rather than easing money is more effective in reducing risks. Structural break tests detect a break in all quantiles around 1983. Post-break data still support the asymmetric pattern. JEL Classification: C32, E31, E52 Key words: New Keynesian Phillips Curve, multiple quantile estimation, asymmetric monetary policy, structural break

Suggested Citation

  • Dong Jin Lee & Jai Hyung Yoon, 2012. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curves in Multiple Quantiles and the Asymmetry of Monetary Policy," Working papers 2012-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:uct:uconnp:2012-03
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Phiri, Andrew, 2015. "Examining asymmetric effects in the South African Philips curve: Evidence from logistic smooth transition regression (LSTR) models," MPRA Paper 64487, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    new keynesian phillips curve; multiple quantile estimation; asymmetric monetary policy; structural break;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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