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On Expectations-Driven Business Cycles in Economies with Production Externalities: A Comment

Author

Listed:
  • Jang-Ting Guo

    (Department of Economics, University of California Riverside)

  • Anca-Ioana Sirbu

    (Department of Economics, University of California Riverside)

  • Richard M. H. Suen

    (Department of Economics, University of California Riverside)

Abstract

Eusepi (2009, International Journal of Economic Theory 5, pp. 9-23) analytically finds that a one-sector real business cycle model may exhibit positive co-movement between consumption and investment when the equilibrium wage-hours locus is positively-sloped and steeper than the householdiÌ s labor supply curve. However, we show that this condition does not imply expectations-driven business cycles will emerge in EusepiiÌ s model. Specifically, a positive news shock about future productivity improvement leads to an aggregate recession whereby output, employment, consumption and investment all fall in the announcement period.

Suggested Citation

  • Jang-Ting Guo & Anca-Ioana Sirbu & Richard M. H. Suen, 2010. "On Expectations-Driven Business Cycles in Economies with Production Externalities: A Comment," Working Papers 201009, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2010.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucr:wpaper:201009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Benhabib Jess & Farmer Roger E. A., 1994. "Indeterminacy and Increasing Returns," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 19-41, June.
    2. Nir Jaimovich & Sergio Rebelo, 2008. "News and Business Cycles in Open Economies," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(8), pages 1699-1711, December.
    3. Nir Jaimovich & Sergio Rebelo, 2009. "Can News about the Future Drive the Business Cycle?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(4), pages 1097-1118, September.
    4. Beaudry, Paul & Portier, Franck, 2004. "An exploration into Pigou's theory of cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(6), pages 1183-1216, September.
    5. Beaudry, Paul & Portier, Franck, 2007. "When can changes in expectations cause business cycle fluctuations in neo-classical settings?," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 135(1), pages 458-477, July.
    6. Paul Beaudry & Franck Portier, 2006. "Stock Prices, News, and Economic Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(4), pages 1293-1307, September.
    7. Stefano Eusepi*, 2009. "On expectations‐driven business cycles in economies with production externalities," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 5(1), pages 9-23, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pavlov, Oscar, 2016. "Can firm entry explain news-driven fluctuations?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 427-434.
    2. Guo, Jang-Ting & Sirbu, Anca-Ioana & Weder, Mark, 2015. "News about aggregate demand and the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 83-96.
    3. Kazuo Mino, 2017. "Sunspot-Driven Business Cycles: An Overview," KIER Working Papers 973, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    4. Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2013. "Countercyclical Markups and News-Driven Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(2), pages 371-382, April.
    5. Paul Beaudry & Franck Portier, 2014. "News-Driven Business Cycles: Insights and Challenges," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(4), pages 993-1074, December.
    6. Kazuo Nishimura & Myrna Wooders & Makoto Yano, 2013. "Macroeconomic dynamics and its micro foundation: A special issue in honor of Cuong Le Van," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 9(1), pages 1-3, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Expectations-Driven Business Cycles; Production Externalities.;

    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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