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Credit and Inventories in Illiquid Housing Markets

Author

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  • Antonia Díaz

    (Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico (ICAE), Universidad Complutense de Madrid (Spain).)

Abstract

Wealthier, risk-averse buyers pay more to expedite up transactions in competitive search markets. This, coupled with forward-looking intermediaries who hold vacant homes overnight, implies that a credit expansion produces a boom in prices that slowly recedes over time. This boom is due to a combination of two effects. First, search and matching frictions imply that buyers are willing to pay a higher price to trade faster, not only to consume housing services. Second, the fact that intermediaries are forward-looking implies that trading probabilities today depend on the future evolution of prices. Since agents forecast that prices are higher than in the initial steady state, they turn to trading today. Our theory produces a boom in prices that slowly recedes and a gradual rise of homeownership rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonia Díaz, 2024. "Credit and Inventories in Illiquid Housing Markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2024-04, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucm:doicae:2404
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/108625
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Competitive search; Wealth effects; Housing prices; Credit constraints; Housing supply; Elasticity; Rental market; Transitional dynamics.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General

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