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The Cost of Fear: Impact of Violence Risk on Child Health During Conflict

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  • Tapsoba, Augustin

Abstract

The fear of exposure to conflict events often triggers changes in the behavior of economic agents even before/without any manifestation of violence in a given area. It generates a treatment status (exposure to the adverse effects of conflict) that goes beyond violence incidence. This paper develops a new approach to capture such treatment. Violence is modeled as a space-time stochastic process with an unknown underlying distribution that is backed out of the observed pattern of conflict events. A new risk measure is built from this density and used to evaluate the impact of conflict on child health using data from Ivory Coast and Uganda. The empirical evidence suggests that conflict is a local public bad, with cohorts of children exposed to high risk of violence equally suffering major health setbacks even when this risk does not materialize in violent events around them.

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  • Tapsoba, Augustin, 2020. "The Cost of Fear: Impact of Violence Risk on Child Health During Conflict," TSE Working Papers 20-1127, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    • Handle: RePEc:tse:wpaper:124475
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    3. Timothy Besley & Thiemo Fetzer & Hannes Mueller, 2023. "How Big Is the Media Multiplier? Evidence from Dyadic News Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 10619, CESifo.
    4. Roland Pongou, 2020. "Is Excess (Fe)Male Mortality Caused by the Prenatal Environment, Child Biology, or Parental Discrimination? New Evidence from Male-Female Twins," Working Papers 2008E Classification-I15,, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
    5. Tapsoba, Augustin, 2022. "Conflict Prediction using Kernel Density Estimation," TSE Working Papers 22-1295, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    6. Conte, Bruno & Piemontese, Lavinia & Tapsoba, Augustin, 2023. "The power of markets: Impact of desert locust invasions on child health," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    7. Lusine Ivanov-Davtyan, 2024. "Education Under Attack? The Impact of a Localized War on Schooling Achievements," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp784, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    8. Ahsan, Md Nazmul & Thakur, Sounak, 2024. "The great Indian demonetization and gender gap in health outcomes: Evidence from two Indian states," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Conflict; Insecurity; Kernel Density Estimation; Child Health;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior

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