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Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Score-Driven Models

Author

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  • Francisco Blasques

    (VU University Amsterdam)

  • Siem Jan Koopman

    (VU University Amsterdam)

  • Andre Lucas

    (VU University Amsterdam)

Abstract

We establish the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator for time-varying parameter models driven by the score of the predictive likelihood function. We formulate primitive conditions for global identification, invertibility, strong consistency, and asymptotic normality under both correct specification and mis-specification of the model. A detailed illustration is provided for a conditional volatility model with disturbances from the Student's t distribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2014. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Score-Driven Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-029/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 23 Oct 2017.
    • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20140029
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    score-driven models; time-varying parameters; Markov processes; stationarity; invertibility; consistency; asymptotic normality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

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