Report NEP-ECM-2015-04-25

This is the archive for NEP-ECM, a report on new working papers in the area of Econometrics. Sune Karlsson issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-ECM

The following items were announced in this report:

• István Barra & Lennart Hoogerheide & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2014. "Joint Bayesian Analysis of Parameters and States in Nonlinear, Non-Gaussian State Space Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-118/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 31 Mar 2016.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2014. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Score-Driven Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-029/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 23 Oct 2017.
• Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng, 2015. "Partially Linear Panel Data Models with Cross-Sectional Dependence and Nonstationarity," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
• Pawel Janus & André Lucas & Anne Opschoor & Dick J.C. van Dijk, 2014. "New HEAVY Models for Fat-Tailed Returns and Realized Covariance Kernels," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-073/IV, Tinbergen Institute, revised 19 Aug 2015.
• Lukasz Gatarek & Lennart Hoogerheide & Koen Hooning & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Censored Posterior and Predictive Likelihood in Left-Tail Prediction for Accurate Value at Risk Estimation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-060/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 06 Mar 2014.
• Charles S. Bos & Pawel Janus, 2013. "A Quantile-based Realized Measure of Variation: New Tests for Outlying Observations in Financial Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-155/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Francisco Blasques & Artem Duplinskiy, 2015. "Penalized Indirect Inference," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-009/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Siem Jan Koopman & Geert Mesters, 2014. "Empirical Bayes Methods for Dynamic Factor Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-061/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2014. "Optimal Formulations for Nonlinear Autoregressive Processes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-103/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2014. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation for correctly Specified Generalized Autoregressive Score Models: Feedback Effects, Contraction Conditions and Asymptotic Properties," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-074/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Marco Bazzi & Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2014. "Time Varying Transition Probabilities for Markov Regime Switching Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-072/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Max Mallee, 2014. "Low Frequency and Weighted Likelihood Solutions for Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-105/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Matthias Weber & Martin Schumacher & Harald Binder, 2014. "Regularized Regression Incorporating Network Information: Simultaneous Estimation of Covariate Coefficients and Connection Signs," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-089/I, Tinbergen Institute.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2014. "Information Theoretic Optimality of Observation Driven Time Series Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-046/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & André Lucas, 2014. "The Dynamic Skellam Model with Applications," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-032/IV/DSF73, Tinbergen Institute, revised 06 Jul 2015.
• Skrobotov, Anton, 2015. "Likelihood Ratio Test for Change in Persistence," Published Papers skr001, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
• Kazim Azam & Andre Lucas, 2015. "Mixed Density based Copula Likelihood," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-003/IV/DSF084, Tinbergen Institute.
• Carsten Bormann & Melanie Schienle & Julia Schaumburg, 2014. "A Test for the Portion of Bivariate Dependence in Multivariate Tail Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-024/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 23 Jun 2014.
• G. Forchini & Bin Jiang & Bin Peng, 2015. "Common Shocks in panels with Endogenous Regressors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Katarzyna Lasak & André Lucas, 2015. "In-Sample Bounds for Time-Varying Parameters of Observation Driven Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-027/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 07 Sep 2015.
• Zdravko Botev & Ad Ridder & Leonardo Rojas-Nandayapa, 2013. "Semiparametric Cross Entropy for Rare-Event Simulation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-127/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Francesco Calvori & Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2014. "Testing for Parameter Instability in Competing Modeling Frameworks," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-010/IV/DSF71, Tinbergen Institute.
• Sungyong Park & Wendun Wang & Naijing Huang, 2015. "Testing for Stock Market Contagion: A Quantile Regression Approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-040/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Lukasz Gatarek & Lennart Hoogerheide & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Return and Risk of Pairs Trading using a Simulation-based Bayesian Procedure for Predicting Stable Ratios of Stock Prices," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-039/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Laurent Callot & Mehmet Caner & Anders Bredahl Kock & Juan Andres Riquelme, 2015. "Sharp Threshold Detection based on Sup-Norm Error Rates in High-dimensional Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-019/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Maxwell L. King & Sivagowry Sriananthakumar, 2015. "Point Optimal Testing: A Survey of the Post 1987 Literature," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 5/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
• Gerda Claeskens & Jan Magnus & Andrey Vasnev & Wendun Wang, 2014. "The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-127/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Nalan Basturk & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Bayesian Forecasting of US Growth using Basic Time Varying Parameter Models and Expectations Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-119/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 14 Sep 2014.
• Saikat Saha, 2015. "Noise Robust Online Inference for Linear Dynamic Systems," Papers 1504.05723, arXiv.org.
• André Lucas & Xin Zhang, 2014. "Score Driven exponentially Weighted Moving Average and Value-at-Risk Forecasting," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-092/IV/DSF77, Tinbergen Institute, revised 09 Sep 2015.
• Kurennoy, Alexey, 2015. "On the bias of the LSDV estimator in dynamic panel data models with endogenous regressors," Published Papers kur001, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
• Norbert Christopeit & Michael Massmann, 2013. "Estimating Structural Parameters in Regression Models with Adaptive Learning," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-111/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Xiaodong Gong & Jiti Gao, 2015. "Nonparametric Kernel Estimation of the Impact of Tax Policy on the Demand for Private Health Insurance in Australia," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 6/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
• Otter, Pieter W. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Reijer, Ard H.J. de, 2014. "A criterion for the number of factors in a data-rich environment," Research Report 14008-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
• Laurent Callot & Anders B. Kock & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2014. "Estimation and Forecasting of Large Realized Covariance Matrices and Portfolio Choice," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-147/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Aiste Ruseckaite & Peter Goos & Dennis Fok, 2014. "Bayesian D-Optimal Choice Designs for Mixtures," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-057/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Cecilia Mancini, 2015. "Truncated Realized Covariance when prices have infinite variation jumps," Working Papers - Mathematical Economics 2015-02, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
• Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2015. "Estimation of Tail Risk based on Extreme Expectiles," TSE Working Papers 15-566, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Jul 2017.
• Francine Gresnigt & Erik Kole & Philip Hans Franses, 2014. "Interpreting Financial Market Crashes as Earthquakes: A New early Warning System for Medium Term Crashes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-067/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Jørgen Modalsli, 2015. "Estimating occupational mobility with covariates," Discussion Papers 804, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
• Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk & Michel van der Wel, 2014. "Improving Density Forecasts and Value-at-Risk Estimates by Combining Densities," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-090/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & André Lucas, 2015. "Intraday Stock Price Dependence using Dynamic Discrete Copula Distributions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-037/III/DSF90, Tinbergen Institute.
• Andre Lucas & Bernd Schwaab & Xin Zhang, 2013. "Measuring Credit Risk in a Large Banking System: Econometric Modeling and Empirics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-063/IV/DSF56, Tinbergen Institute, revised 13 Oct 2014.
• Yasuo Hirose & Atsushi Inoue, 2014. "The zero lower bound and parameter bias in an estimated DSGE model," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 14-00009, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
• Hans-Peter Hafner & Felix Ritchie & Rainer Lenz, 2015. "User-focused threat identification for anonymised microdata," Working Papers 20151503, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
• Guillaume Gaetan Martinet & Michael McAleer, 2015. "On the Invertibility of EGARCH(p,q)," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-022/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2015. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Co-Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-018/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Tino Berger & Gerdie Everaert & Hauke Vierke, 2015. "Testing for time variation in an unobserved components model for the U.S. economy," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 15/903, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
• Michael McAleer, 2014. "Asymmetry and Leverage in Conditional Volatility Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-125/III, Tinbergen Institute.