Backtesting Value-at-Risk using Forecasts for Multiple Horizons, a Comment on the Forecast Rationality Tests of A.J. Patton and A. Timmermann
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References listed on IDEAS
- Andrew Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2012.
"Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 1-17.
- Andrew J. Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2011. "Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 1-17, June.
- Timmermann, Allan & Patton, Andrew, 2011. "Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds," CEPR Discussion Papers 8194, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hoogerheide, Lennart & van Dijk, Herman K., 2010.
"Bayesian forecasting of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall using adaptive importance sampling,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 231-247, April.
- Lennart Hoogerheide & Herman K. van Dijk, 2008. "Bayesian Forecasting of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall using Adaptive Importance Sampling," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-092/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Hoogerheide, Lennart F. & Kaashoek, Johan F. & van Dijk, Herman K., 2007.
"On the shape of posterior densities and credible sets in instrumental variable regression models with reduced rank: An application of flexible sampling methods using neural networks,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 139(1), pages 154-180, July.
- HOOGERHEIDE, Lennart F. & KAASHOEK, Johan F. & VAN DIJK, Herman K., 2005. "On the shape of posterior densities and credible sets in instrumental variable regression models with reduced rank: An application of flexible sampling methods using neural networks," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2005029, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- HOOGERHEIDE, Lennart F. & KAASHOEK, Johan F. & van DIJK, Herman K., 2007. "On the shape of posterior densities and credible sets in instrumental variable regression models with reduced rank: an application of flexible sampling methods using neural networks," LIDAM Reprints CORE 1922, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Hoogerheide, L.F. & Kaashoek, J.F. & van Dijk, H.K., 2005. "On the shape of posterior densities and credible sets in instrumental variable regression models with reduced rank: an application of flexible sampling methods using neural networks," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2005-12, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Paul H. Kupiec, 1995. "Techniques for verifying the accuracy of risk measurement models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 95-24, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Cited by:
- Boucher, Christophe M. & Daníelsson, Jón & Kouontchou, Patrick S. & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2014.
"Risk models-at-risk,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 72-92.
- Christophe Boucher & Jon Danielsson & Patrick Kouontchou & Bertrand Maillet, 2014. "Risk Model-at-Risk," Post-Print hal-01386003, HAL.
- Christophe Boucher & Jon Danielsson & Patrick Kouontchou & Bertrand Maillet, 2014. "Risk models-at-risk," Post-Print hal-02312332, HAL.
- Boucher, Christophe M. & Danielsson, Jon & Kouontchou, Patrick S. & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2014. "Risk models–at–risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 59299, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Christophe Boucher & Jón Daníelsson & Patrick Kouontchou & Bertrand Maillet, 2014. "Risk models-at-risk," Post-Print hal-01243413, HAL.
- Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2013.
"Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 213-232.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-118/III, Tinbergen Institute.
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More about this item
Keywords
Value-at-Risk; backtest; optimal revision; forecast rationality;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
- G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
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