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PIB réel et pouvoir d'achat de la production provinciale

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  • Macdonald, Ryan

Abstract

Ce document traite de l'effet des variations des prix des importations et des exportations sur le bien être économique du Canada et de chaque province. Il décrit la façon dont les changements des termes de l'échange et les fluctuations du ratio des prix des biens échangés aux prix des biens non échangés influent sur le pouvoir d'achat de la production intérieure. Nous montrons que les changements des termes de l'échange ont un effet plus important à court qu'à long terme. En outre, nous montrons qu'omettre de tenir compte de ces changements dans les analyses des données macroéconomiques peut aboutir à une interprétation incorrecte des sources de la croissance ou du déclin de la consommation, de l'investissement et des importations. La grandeur, la direction et les effets des fluctuations des termes de l'échange varient selon la province et au cours du temps. Les variations des prix des produits de base s'avèrent avoir des effets appréciables. L'effet le plus important des changements des termes de l'échange s'observe en Alberta et à Terre Neuve et Labrador; en revanche, le Manitoba paraît relativement peu touché.

Suggested Citation

  • Macdonald, Ryan, 2007. "PIB réel et pouvoir d'achat de la production provinciale," Série de documents de recherche sur l'analyse économique (AE) 2007046f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques.
    • Handle: RePEc:stc:stcp5f:2007046f
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    File URL: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/bsolc/olc-cel/olc-cel?catno=11F0027M2007046&lang=fra
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Macdonald, Ryan, 2007. "Croissance du revenu réel du Canada et des États-Unis avant et après 2000 : renversement des fortunes," Série de documents de recherche sur l'analyse économique (AE) 2007048f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques.
    2. Macdonald, Ryan, 2007. "Un syndrome chinois plutôt que hollandais," Aperçus sur l'économie canadienne 2007017f, Statistics Canada, Division de l'analyse économique.

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