IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/sek/iacpro/4006523.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Using Generalized PathSeeker Regularized Regression for Modeling and Prediction of Output Power of CuBr Laser

Author

Listed:
  • Snezhana Gocheva-Ilieva

    (Plovdiv University)

  • Iliycho Iliev

    (Technical University of Sofia, branch Plovdiv)

Abstract

A Generalized PathSeeker Regularized Regression (GPSRR), based on data mining approach, is applied for statistical modeling and prediction of output power of copper bromide vapor lasers. The aim is on the basis of available experimental data to construct appropriate predictive models of the output power of the lasers depending on 10 operating laser characteristics in order to direct future experiments and designing new laser devices with increased output power. In particular, the influence on model performance and predictive ability of several data transformations, used to improve the normality of the distribution of the dependent variable is investigated. As a main result, numerous combined models, built by GPSRR with data mining techniques are obtained and their adequacy is established by cross-validation. It is found that the best combined models demonstrate up to 98-99% of fitting the experimental data. The combined models with the proposed preliminary transformations improve the adequacy and predictive ability of GPSRR in the region of high values of the output power by up to 10%. This was established both for learn and test random samples, showing a perfect out-of-sample performance of this type of model approach. The models are applied for predicting of laser output power for new laser devices of the same type by up to 15%.

Suggested Citation

  • Snezhana Gocheva-Ilieva & Iliycho Iliev, 2016. "Using Generalized PathSeeker Regularized Regression for Modeling and Prediction of Output Power of CuBr Laser," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 4006523, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
  • Handle: RePEc:sek:iacpro:4006523
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://iises.net/proceedings/24th-international-academic-conference-barcelona/table-of-content/detail?cid=40&iid=033&rid=6523
    File Function: First version, 2016
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. J. A. John & N. R. Draper, 1980. "An Alternative Family of Transformations," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 29(2), pages 190-197, June.
    2. Jarque, Carlos M. & Bera, Anil K., 1980. "Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 255-259.
    3. Gel, Yulia R. & Gastwirth, Joseph L., 2008. "A robust modification of the Jarque-Bera test of normality," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 99(1), pages 30-32, April.
    4. Friedman, Jerome H., 2012. "Fast sparse regression and classification," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 722-738.
    5. Hui Zou & Trevor Hastie, 2005. "Addendum: Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(5), pages 768-768, November.
    6. Hui Zou & Trevor Hastie, 2005. "Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(2), pages 301-320, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Feng, Lingbing & Rao, Haicheng & Lucey, Brian & Zhu, Yiying, 2024. "Volatility forecasting on China's oil futures: New evidence from interpretable ensemble boosting trees," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1595-1615.
    2. Feng, Lingbing & Qi, Jiajun & Lucey, Brian, 2024. "Enhancing cryptocurrency market volatility forecasting with daily dynamic tuning strategy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    3. Gabriel Okasa, 2022. "Meta-Learners for Estimation of Causal Effects: Finite Sample Cross-Fit Performance," Papers 2201.12692, arXiv.org.
    4. Iason Kynigakis & Ekaterini Panopoulou, 2022. "Does model complexity add value to asset allocation? Evidence from machine learning forecasting models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 603-639, April.
    5. Tutz, Gerhard & Pößnecker, Wolfgang & Uhlmann, Lorenz, 2015. "Variable selection in general multinomial logit models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 207-222.
    6. Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.
    7. Hou-Tai Chang & Ping-Huai Wang & Wei-Fang Chen & Chen-Ju Lin, 2022. "Risk Assessment of Early Lung Cancer with LDCT and Health Examinations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(8), pages 1-12, April.
    8. Wang, Qiao & Zhou, Wei & Cheng, Yonggang & Ma, Gang & Chang, Xiaolin & Miao, Yu & Chen, E, 2018. "Regularized moving least-square method and regularized improved interpolating moving least-square method with nonsingular moment matrices," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 325(C), pages 120-145.
    9. Mkhadri, Abdallah & Ouhourane, Mohamed, 2013. "An extended variable inclusion and shrinkage algorithm for correlated variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 631-644.
    10. Lucian Belascu & Alexandra Horobet & Georgiana Vrinceanu & Consuela Popescu, 2021. "Performance Dissimilarities in European Union Manufacturing: The Effect of Ownership and Technological Intensity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-19, September.
    11. Candelon, B. & Hurlin, C. & Tokpavi, S., 2012. "Sampling error and double shrinkage estimation of minimum variance portfolios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 511-527.
    12. Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," Working Papers 22-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    13. Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2018. "Mining big data using parsimonious factor, machine learning, variable selection and shrinkage methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 339-354.
    14. Shuichi Kawano, 2014. "Selection of tuning parameters in bridge regression models via Bayesian information criterion," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1207-1223, November.
    15. Chuliá, Helena & Garrón, Ignacio & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024. "Daily growth at risk: Financial or real drivers? The answer is not always the same," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 762-776.
    16. Enrico Bergamini & Georg Zachmann, 2020. "Exploring EU’s Regional Potential in Low-Carbon Technologies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-28, December.
    17. Qianyun Li & Runmin Shi & Faming Liang, 2019. "Drug sensitivity prediction with high-dimensional mixture regression," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(2), pages 1-18, February.
    18. Jung, Yoon Mo & Whang, Joyce Jiyoung & Yun, Sangwoon, 2020. "Sparse probabilistic K-means," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 382(C).
    19. Christopher J Greenwood & George J Youssef & Primrose Letcher & Jacqui A Macdonald & Lauryn J Hagg & Ann Sanson & Jenn Mcintosh & Delyse M Hutchinson & John W Toumbourou & Matthew Fuller-Tyszkiewicz &, 2020. "A comparison of penalised regression methods for informing the selection of predictive markers," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(11), pages 1-14, November.
    20. Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong, 2018. "Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regularized regression; Generalized PathSeeker; LASSO; TreeNet (Stochastic Gradient Boosting); Copper bromide vapor laser;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sek:iacpro:4006523. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klara Cermakova (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://iises.net/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.