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Dime si estás empleado y te diré quién eres. Dime qué tipo de contrato tienes

Author

Listed:
  • Evelyn Benvin
  • Ximena Quintanilla

    (Studies Division, Chilean Pension Supervisor)

Abstract

Este artículo utiliza un modelo de panel dinámico con efectos aleatorios y con variable dependiente binaria para analizar las transiciones entre empleo y desempleo y entre tipos de contrato para aquellos con empleo. El modelo permite aislar el efecto de la persistencia estructural del efecto de la heterogeneidad no observada, separación que podría tener importantes implicancias para el diseño de políticas publicas que intentan mejorar las perspectivas de empleo de los individuos. Utilizando una muestra representativa de la Base de Datos de A liados al Seguro de Cesantía, se obtiene que mientras el estado laboral actual está determinado en un 70% por el estado laboral anterior, el efecto de la heterogeneidad no observada es del orden de 34%. En el modelo de movilidad entre tipos de contrato, los efectos de la persistencia estructural y de la heterogeneidad no observada son 73% y 15%, respectivamente. Estos resultados indican que, si bien la heterogeneidad no observada es un determinante importante de la estabilidad laboral y de tipo de contrato, la persistencia estructural es más importante aún..

Suggested Citation

  • Evelyn Benvin & Ximena Quintanilla, 2011. "Dime si estás empleado y te diré quién eres. Dime qué tipo de contrato tienes," Working Papers 49, Superintendencia de Pensiones, revised Oct 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:sdp:sdpwps:49
    as

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    File URL: https://repec.spensiones.cl/repec/3_doctrabajos/49_2011_empleado_quien_eres_contratohoy_contratomanana.pdf
    File Function: Revised version, 2011
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2005. "Simple solutions to the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 39-54, January.
    2. Mark B. Stewart, 2007. "The interrelated dynamics of unemployment and low-wage employment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(3), pages 511-531.
    3. Dean R. Hyslop, 1999. "State Dependence, Serial Correlation and Heterogeneity in Intertemporal Labor Force Participation of Married Women," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(6), pages 1255-1294, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gonzalo Castex & Roberto Gillmore, 2014. "Análisis de Flujos en el Mercado laboral Chileno," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 731, Central Bank of Chile.

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