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Unemployment in the OECD since the 1960s. Do we really know?

Author

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  • T. BERGER
  • G. EVERAERT

Abstract

Nickell, Nunziata and Ochel [Economic Journal, 2005] argue that unemployment rates cointegrate with labour market institutions in a panel of OECD countries. This paper reproduces their Maddala-Wu panel cointegration test and shows that this test is only valid when (i) the number of countries tends to infinity and (ii) the underlying country-specific cointegration tests are independent. Their finding of cointegration does not survive when small sample properties and heterogeneous cross-sectional dependencies are taken into account. This suggests that the estimated impact of institutions on unemployment is spurious.

Suggested Citation

  • T. Berger & G. Everaert, 2006. "Unemployment in the OECD since the 1960s. Do we really know?," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 06/425, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    • Handle: RePEc:rug:rugwps:06/425
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    unemployment; panel cointegration; bootstrapping;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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