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Climate Actions and Stranded Assets: The Role of Financial Regulation and Monetary Policy

Author

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  • Francesca Diluiso

    (Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC))

  • Barbara Annicchiarico

    (DEF and CEIS, Università di Roma "Tor Vergata")

  • Matthias Kalkuhl

    (Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) & University of Potsdam)

  • Jan C. Minx

    (Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) & Priestley International Centre for Climate, university of Leeds)

Abstract

Limiting global warming to well below 2°C may result in the stranding of carbon-sensitive assets. This could pose substantial threats to financial and macroeconomic stability. We use a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with financial frictions and climate policy to study the risks a low-carbon transition poses to financial stability and the different instruments central banks could use to manage these risks. We show that, even for very ambitious climate targets, transition risks are limited for a credible, exponentially growing carbon price, although temporary \green paradoxes" phenomena may materialize. Financial regulation encouraging the decarbonization of the banks' balance sheets via tax-subsidy schemes significantly reduces output losses and inflationary pressures but it may enhance financial fragility, making this approach a risky tool. A green credit policy as a response to a financial crisis originated in the fossil sector can potentially provide an effective stimulus without compromising the objective of price stability. Our results suggest that the involvement of central banks in climate actions must be carefully designed in compliance with their mandate to avoid unintended consequences.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesca Diluiso & Barbara Annicchiarico & Matthias Kalkuhl & Jan C. Minx, 2020. "Climate Actions and Stranded Assets: The Role of Financial Regulation and Monetary Policy," CEIS Research Paper 501, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 22 Jul 2020.
  • Handle: RePEc:rtv:ceisrp:501
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    Cited by:

    1. Barbara Annicchiarico & Stefano Carattini & Carolyn Fischer & Garth Heutel, 2022. "Business Cycles and Environmental Policy: A Primer," Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 221-253.
    2. Fried, Stephie & Novan, Kevin & Peterman, William B., 2022. "Climate policy transition risk and the macroeconomy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    3. Diluiso, Francesca & Annicchiarico, Barbara & Kalkuhl, Matthias & Minx, Jan C., 2021. "Climate actions and macro-financial stability: The role of central banks," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    4. Gourdel, Régis & Monasterolo, Irene & Dunz, Nepomuk & Mazzocchetti, Andrea & Parisi, Laura, 2024. "The double materiality of climate physical and transition risks in the euro area," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Anton Nakov & Carlos Thomas, 2023. "Climate-conscious monetary policy," Working Papers 2334, Banco de España.
    6. Huang, Bihong & Punzi, Maria Teresa & Wu, Yu, 2022. "Environmental regulation and financial stability: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    7. Guérin, Pierre & Suntheim, Felix, 2021. "Firms’ environmental performance and the COVID-19 crisis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    8. Patrick Gruning & Zeynep Kantur, 2023. "Stranded Capital in Production Networks: Implications for the Economy of the Euro Area," Working Papers 2023/06, Latvijas Banka.
    9. Benkhodja, Mohamed Tahar & Ma, Xiaofei & Razafindrabe, Tovonony, 2023. "Green monetary and fiscal policies: The role of consumer preferences," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    10. Ottmar Edenhofer & Max Franks & Matthias Kalkuhl, 2021. "Pigou in the 21st Century: a tribute on the occasion of the 100th anniversary of the publication of The Economics of Welfare," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 28(5), pages 1090-1121, October.
    11. Ferrari, Alessandro & Nispi Landi, Valerio, 2024. "Whatever it takes to save the planet? Central banks and unconventional green policy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(2), pages 299-324, March.
    12. Grill, Michael & Popescu, Alexandra & Rancoita, Elena, 2024. "Climate transition risk in the banking sector: what can prudential regulation do?," Working Paper Series 2910, European Central Bank.
    13. Ulrich Eydam, 2021. "The Distributional Implications of Climate Policies Under Uncertainty," CEPA Discussion Papers 33, Center for Economic Policy Analysis.
    14. Bartsch, Florian & Busies, Iulia & Emambakhsh, Tina & Grill, Michael & Simoens, Mathieu & Spaggiari, Martina & Tamburrini, Fabio, 2024. "Designing a macroprudential capital buffer for climate-related risks," Working Paper Series 2943, European Central Bank.
    15. Döttling, Robin & Rola-Janicka, Magdalena, 2023. "Too levered for Pigou: carbon pricing, financial constraints, and leverage regulation," Working Paper Series 2812, European Central Bank.
    16. Francesco Giovanardi & Matthias Kaldorf & Lucas Radke & Florian Wicknig, 2023. "The Preferential Treatment of Green Bonds," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 657-676, December.
    17. Xu, Wenli, 2020. "A Baseline DSGE model of Climate Change for Climate Policy Analysis," MPRA Paper 109234, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate policy; financial instability; financial regulation; green credit policy monetary policy; transition risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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